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 December 23-25 Predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
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Shack wrote:
The FWD&J critical drilling has begun. It's already at 38% on RT.

Same goes for Cheaper 2. 14% right now. The first only got around 24% though, so it's not really that worrisome. On a side note, check out one of the reviews so far:

"Cheaper by the Dozen 2 is predictable, manipulative, and probably funded by the Taliban, but that doesn't mean you won't enjoy it." - Joshua Tyler

...Wha? :huh: :smile:



So that it will terrorize the nation.

Get it? It's called a 'lame attempt at humour'. That man should be fired. Or murdered.

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Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation.


My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/


Tue Dec 20, 2005 8:34 pm
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Tea Leoni is an awful, shrill little hag. I can't blame people for not wanting to see the film, I think I'd avoid just about any movie that she starred in. I fully believe that she is unquestionably the least likable actress alive.


Tue Dec 20, 2005 10:14 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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I think maybe King Kong might have the biggest increase of all movies on Friday (excluding opening movies). The 3-hour running time is a major factor.

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1- Apes 9.5/10
2- Noah 9.0/10
3- Lone Survivor 8.5/10
4- Captain America 8.0/10
5- 300: 8.0/10


Tue Dec 20, 2005 10:16 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Shack wrote:
Mmkay...



I know absolutely nothing about Christmas box-office. This is gonna be rough.


it sucks quite frankly...even worse we have to do a fri - mon predict...bleh


Wed Dec 21, 2005 1:11 am
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Award Winning Bastard

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MovieDude wrote:
Tea Leoni is an awful, shrill little hag. I can't blame people for not wanting to see the film, I think I'd avoid just about any movie that she starred in. I fully believe that she is unquestionably the least likable actress alive.


You may be right about her. Maybe Dick and Jane will show a better side of her, but likeability has never been anything she has conveyed in her roles.


Wed Dec 21, 2005 1:58 am
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Extraordinary

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Leoni was hot in bad boys...


Wed Dec 21, 2005 2:10 am
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I think that with its 1-day gross Rumor Has It will be #8 for the weekend. King Kong, Munich, Fun with Dick and Jane, CBTD2, Narnia, Memoirs of a Geisha and The Family Stone are the only ones I see getting ahead of it.

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Wed Dec 21, 2005 2:13 am
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They should've cast Judi Dench as the female support in FWD&J, seriously. Carrey and his mom, awww... That would've been 200 mil in the bank easy.

Hell, almost any single actress would be a better choice than Leoni. Penelope Cruz, Anna Faris, Madonna(hah), Rachel Bilson, Brooke Shields, Molly Ringwald, Marisa Tomei, Helen Hunt, ... etc.

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Wed Dec 21, 2005 2:42 am
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Extraordinary
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Most of those would be even worse then Leoni ( and this is coming from someone that finds Leoni very annoying )

Bilson as Carrey's wife :wacko:


Wed Dec 21, 2005 3:08 am
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FWD&J has finally popped onto moviefone, at #5.

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Wed Dec 21, 2005 3:21 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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neo_wolf wrote:
Leoni was hot in bad boys...



She's still hot I think. Well less so then 10 years ago I suppose.


Wed Dec 21, 2005 3:54 am
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choubachou wrote:
I think maybe King Kong might have the biggest increase of all movies on Friday (excluding opening movies). The 3-hour running time is a major factor.


I'm gonna go out on a wild prediction and say that FUN with DICK and JANE Ends up as #1 for this weekend, for the simple fact it's Jim Carrey, moviegoers want a good comedy over Christmas, the reviews won't matter worth a #### and it's not a ridiculous 3 hours plus long and not to mention the fact that KONG is FINISHED.. If Carrey's movie bumps KONG to #2, I'll be anxious to hear what the next Top 10 Reasons are for why KONG got plummeled.. :-k

REVISED: After reading USA TODAY this morning and the reviews for CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 2 and FUN WITH DICK AND JANE, Both of which received 2 stars, I'm even more convinced now that both movies are going to hurt KONG ALOT this weekend simply because moviegoers don't listen to critics and want to see a good comedy and be the judges themselves.. Both movies also are probably 90 Minutes to which is better than 3 hours and 8 minutes.. We shall see in any event..


Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:43 am
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I can't find the latest tracking info on the new movies. Does anybody know the latest numbers from Major Theaters Chains and Reel Source?


Wed Dec 21, 2005 10:18 am
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Extraordinary

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The Numbers predicts.

I didn't check if notfabio posted the tracking info on HSX.


Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:07 pm
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xiayun wrote:
The Numbers predicts.

I didn't check if notfabio posted the tracking info on HSX.


He said on HSX that it wasn't updated this week.


Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:26 pm
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Orphan

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MovieDude wrote:
Tea Leoni is an awful, shrill little hag. I can't blame people for not wanting to see the film, I think I'd avoid just about any movie that she starred in. I fully believe that she is unquestionably the least likable actress alive.


Couldn't agree more. She was abominably awful in JP3 and especially Spanglish. God, she was annoying as hell in that film. If they were smart, Hollywood executives would stop giving her roles and we'd all be better for it.


Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:58 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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If Fun with Dick And Jane bombs, studios should stop putting Tea Leoni in movies. Its amazing what she can do with the box office run even when paired with Adam Sandler and Nicholas CAge


Wed Dec 21, 2005 4:59 pm
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Extraordinary

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Just think about what a Tea Leoni and Ben Kingsley movie would do with a $200 m budget! :sweat:


Wed Dec 21, 2005 5:07 pm
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Extraordinary

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O wrote:
Just think about what a Tea Leoni and Ben Kingsley movie would do with a $200 m budget! :sweat:


And directed by Uwe Boll?


Wed Dec 21, 2005 5:08 pm
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Extraordinary

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xiayun wrote:
O wrote:
Just think about what a Tea Leoni and Ben Kingsley movie would do with a $200 m budget! :sweat:


And directed by Uwe Boll?


Or "Pitof" (Catwoman). :sweat:


Wed Dec 21, 2005 5:47 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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My final predictions for this weekend (I do only Kong cuz I don't care about the others):

3-day: $29.8M (-40.5%)
5-day: $45.1M (-10%)

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Best of 2014:
1- Apes 9.5/10
2- Noah 9.0/10
3- Lone Survivor 8.5/10
4- Captain America 8.0/10
5- 300: 8.0/10


Thu Dec 22, 2005 12:10 am
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****MY CHRISTMAS WEEK PREDICTIONS****

1. CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 2 - 42.1 MILLION (Fri-Sun), 68.7 MILLION (Fri-Mon), 86.3 MILLION (Wed-Mon)
2. FUN WITH DICK AND JANE - 37.2 MILLION (Fri-Sun), 56.4 MILLION (Fri-Mon), 74.1 MILLION (Wed-Mon)
3. KING KONG - 41.6 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
4. THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA - 27.3 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
5. THE FAMILY STONE - 14.2 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
6. RUMOR HAS IT - 14.2 MILLION (Sun & Mon)
7. MUNICH - 7.2 MILLION (Fri-Sun), 9.8 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
8. MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA - 7 MILLION (Fri-Sun), 9.3 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
9. THE RINGER - 6.2 MILLION (Fri-Sun), 8.3 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
10. HARRY POTTER 4 - 5.6 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
11. WOLF CREEK - 4.9 MILLION (Sun & Mon)
12. BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN - 4.9 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
13. THE PRODUCERS - 4.9 MILLION (Sun & Mon)
14. SYRIANA - 3.9 MILLION (Fri-Mon)
15. WALK THE LINE - 3.3 MILLION (Fri-Mon)



My god this week was a bitch to predict! I'm sure the worst week of the year to predict.


Last edited by Magic Mike on Thu Dec 22, 2005 12:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Dec 22, 2005 2:13 am
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Devil's Advocate
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...Wha? That's INSANE.

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Thu Dec 22, 2005 2:15 am
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Wallflower
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Joe wrote:
MovieDude wrote:
Tea Leoni is an awful, shrill little hag. I can't blame people for not wanting to see the film, I think I'd avoid just about any movie that she starred in. I fully believe that she is unquestionably the least likable actress alive.


Couldn't agree more. She was abominably awful in JP3 and especially Spanglish. God, she was annoying as hell in that film. If they were smart, Hollywood executives would stop giving her roles and we'd all be better for it.


She was the best thing about SPANGLISH. She gave an excellent performance in a stupid, pointless film. The reason it didn't set the B.O. on fire is because it sucked and also because a lot of Sandler's fans are males who want to see him acting immature and screaming, not as a family man in a dramedy.

I don't even really remember her performance in JP3 but that movie sucked enough on its own so I highly doubt she made it worse.

As for FUN WITH DICK AND JANE, the movie looks "OK." Jim Carrey seems to give another obnoxious, over-the-top, and highly unfunny performance, but I do like the concept and it could be entertaining enough. She seems better in it than him, at least she won't be incredibly grating. I can't stand annoying slapstick comedy.


Thu Dec 22, 2005 2:18 am
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Wallflower
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Shack wrote:
...Wha? That's INSANE.


Well we'll have to wait and see ;).


Thu Dec 22, 2005 2:20 am
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