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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am
Posts: 30505
Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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 baumer72 wrote: bABALINA wrote: baumer72 wrote: bABALINA wrote: baumer72 wrote: Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it. kind of contraictory there, innit? No. I'm just commenting that there are people that do like it. I am not equating that to WOM though Baba. but the public has seen it if there are people who enjoyed the book are raving about it. Not the public. The "raido hosts " and such who have had advanced screenings. off topic but have ya noticed when a particular radio is promoting a film? like with prizes and stuff? When the hosts get to see the film, didja know they're obligated to say something nice about it. (i'm talking about the music stations, not the AM radio stuff).
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| Fri May 19, 2006 10:11 am |
 
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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Yep, I have noticed it. I guess they are obligated to say good things at times, especially if that studio bought airtime for the commericals and such.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Fri May 19, 2006 10:14 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. Reloaded would be a better analogy for DVC. Revolutions was "dead" to begin with since Reloaded leaving a sour taste in so many people's mouths, DVC will open huge. I'm 95% sure it'll cross $200m. _________________
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| Fri May 19, 2006 11:24 am |
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Futureboy
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:18 pm
Posts: 139
Location: The Emerald City
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baumer72 wrote: Erendis wrote: How in the hell in DAVC going to make $225-$250M? You need massive WOM for that. And yes, there have been movies that defied the critics, but when you go as low at 18% on RT, that's no fluke. There will be no WOM.
My prediction is that this is going to look like Matrix Revolutions, if they're lucky. $185M or so, at most. How is there no WOM when the public hasn't seen it yet? And btw, the people who have seen it that enjoyed the book also, are raving about it. If it makes 80-90 mill this weekend, then it will drop no more than about 40% next weekend, if the WOM is terrible. And if that is the case, then it will make about another 50 mill for the weekend. Add in the weekdays before next weekend, and the film is already going to be at about 155-160 mill. You honestly believe it will make 20 mill more and that's it? Be realistic. Good analysis!  _________________My dvd collection is getting insane: http://futureboy.dvdaf.com/owned?rc=1
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| Fri May 19, 2006 2:58 pm |
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RB652
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sun Nov 07, 2004 12:23 pm
Posts: 403
Location: New York City
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I raised The da vinci code from 66 million opening weekend to 72 million
190 million total
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| Fri May 19, 2006 3:08 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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A film doesn't need massive good WOM to make over $200M, especially for summer. Jurassic Park: The Lost World is considered far inferior to its predecessor, but it is able to make $229 million based on the strength of its opening ($72m), even though its holds were only mediocre. If The Da Vinci Code makes over $80m this weekend, which all signs are indicating so, it will take some kind of toxic WOM to not make $230m, let alone $200m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri May 19, 2006 3:10 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Worst case would The Village bad wom bt I dont know how to equate it into the equation for MDW
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| Fri May 19, 2006 3:15 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I must say that the media has done an excellent job at spreading the word about the bad reviews for this film. Just about every single person I saw today said, "I heard it sucked."
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| Fri May 19, 2006 3:23 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Zingaling wrote: I must say that the media has done an excellent job at spreading the word about the bad reviews for this film. Just about every single person I saw today said, "I heard it sucked." Yeah, its been a while since the media obbsessed so much over bad reviews.
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| Fri May 19, 2006 3:28 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Zingaling wrote: I must say that the media has done an excellent job at spreading the word about the bad reviews for this film. Just about every single person I saw today said, "I heard it sucked." Heh, same here. Not that they dont wanna see it anymore, but some of them said they arent gonna rush to see it now. _________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Fri May 19, 2006 3:34 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/f ... inci-code/
First B.O. Reports on Da Vinci Code
I'm told Sony/Imagine's The Da Vinci Code did "huge business" in Australia and New Zealand today (remember, they're 24 hours ahead), "pretty much smash openings" across the board in every foreign territory it opened so far, "incredibly well" in parts of Europe except France, where there was a major soccer match on Day #1 but the box office bounced back on Day #2. Britain's Sky News has been reporting good reaction from people coming out of screenings there. Early reports say the matinees out of New York City were "giant-sized." I've learned that Sony execs are "very happy." As for the rotten reviews, I hear the Sony suits are taking the attitude that the critics are out of touch with the public and counting on Da Vinci Code being reviewer-proof. I should be getting some numbers soon...
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:08 pm |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 1117
Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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Archie Gates wrote: http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/first-bo-reports-on-da-vinci-code/
First B.O. Reports on Da Vinci Code
I'm told Sony/Imagine's The Da Vinci Code did "huge business" in Australia and New Zealand today (remember, they're 24 hours ahead), "pretty much smash openings" across the board in every foreign territory it opened so far, "incredibly well" in parts of Europe except France, where there was a major soccer match on Day #1 but the box office bounced back on Day #2. Britain's Sky News has been reporting good reaction from people coming out of screenings there. Early reports say the matinees out of New York City were "giant-sized." I've learned that Sony execs are "very happy." As for the rotten reviews, I hear the Sony suits are taking the attitude that the critics are out of touch with the public and counting on Da Vinci Code being reviewer-proof. I should be getting some numbers soon... NICE. Here's to a record-breaking opening!
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:10 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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bradley witherberry wrote: $58m / $148m I'll stand by my predictions, though I never hesitate to remind everyone about my poor skills in the black art of BO prognostication. As per my review, I loved the actual movie, and hope it does well, but anyone can see that there are dark forces aligned against it's success.
At my Friday matinee screening, there were perhaps 75 people in a 500 seat theatre.
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:13 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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@bradley -- Yeah but you are on Xatar....
really what state are you in? Or region even if state is too much info for you to reveal.
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:14 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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The Daily Star, The Sun and the Metro newspapers said the following....
1. Critics were laughing, leaving, boo-ing and hissing.
2. The reception of the movie was referred to as "Disasterous", "Monsterous" and "Horrific"
3. People who haven't read the book, will never find out what the hype is about.
4. Now, when the critic from The Sun thinks DaVinci Code, he'll picture a fat, sweaty, balding Tom Hanks.
5. Audrey Tautou delivers her lines like a 9 year old in a school play.
6. Critics laughed out loud at the "So, your related to Jesus" line.
7. Paul Bettany is the only saving grace, acting wise.
None of the above is my opinion.
Just taken from 3 UK newspapers.
However, one reviewer gave the film 8/10. The same reviewer who last week gave 'When A Stranger Calls (2006)' 7 out of 10. Take that as you will.
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:15 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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TDVC has a score of 170 on the Yahoo Buzz Chart...
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:17 pm |
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Timayd
The 5th B-Sharp
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:48 am
Posts: 1506
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Zingaling wrote: TDVC has a score of 170 on the Yahoo Buzz Chart... One word comes to mind, WOW
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:19 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Zingaling wrote: TDVC has a score of 170 on the Yahoo Buzz Chart... I DON'T KNOW WHAT THAT MEANS?!?!? _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:19 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Archie Gates wrote: @bradley -- Yeah but you are on Xatar....
really what state are you in? Or region even if state is too much info for you to reveal. No problemo - I'm in the region of what you Terrans refer to as the Orion Nebula...
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| Fri May 19, 2006 5:19 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Meh, critics are overreacting, it wasn't that bad. Yeah, it draged a bit, some performances fell flat (however, interestingly, it wasn't Hank's underacting that cought my eyes but McKellen's occasional overacting), but following the story, the charecters how they unrevel these mysteries, all that secret society and history stuff and all, was quite intriguing (i have quite a soft spot for such things). It's not that much repeat-viewing friendly though, once you know the story (haven't read the book myself) you don't feel the need to see the movie again (at least for a while), because the story is the movie, that's what makes it (not some great performances or scenes in particular or whatever).
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| Fri May 19, 2006 6:23 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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This BS about critics and their lame opinions is laughable. The film was everything I thought it would be and it went very quickly for an almost three hour film. That line about her being related to Jesus was not laughable, it was right in line with how it plays out in the book. Thsi was a very very well done film.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Fri May 19, 2006 10:38 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11016
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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This is what summer film box office tracking is all about when we get to relish in the uber opening day grosses and uber weekend grosses for films like these. This is when I really love visiting here. The Summer Season has officially begun! Yay!
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| Sat May 20, 2006 3:38 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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nghtvsn wrote: This is what summer film box office tracking is all about when we get to relish in the uber opening day grosses and uber weekend grosses for films like these. This is when I really love visiting here. The Summer Season has officially begun! Yay! 
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| Sat May 20, 2006 3:46 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I see it making below $50 million for the 4-day weekend.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 20, 2006 12:38 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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If it makes $85m this weekend, a 50% drop for the 3-Day weekend should be expected. That'll give it around $42.5m 3-Day and $53m 4-Day for Memorial Day weekend.
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| Sat May 20, 2006 12:56 pm |
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