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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
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Sat Dec 19, 2009 9:35 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
$26.2 million

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Sat Dec 19, 2009 11:11 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
$25.7 million


Sun Dec 20, 2009 2:04 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
2001 wrote:
Final Prediction:

OD: 30.0m
Saturday: 27.0m (-10%)
Sunday: 16.2m (-40%)

OW: 73.2m

Domestic Total: 307.4m (4.2 multiplier)


Almost nailed the OW. :thumbsup:


Sun Dec 20, 2009 12:27 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Saturday

Rev - 34.8m +29%
Jmovies - 29m +8%
Keyser Soze - 28m +4%
BJs Prediction: 27.5m NC
Dr. Lecter - 26.2m -3%
MG Casey 25.7m -4%
Flava'd - 25.5m -5%
Chip Munkington - 24.8m -9%
Coprse - 23.5m -12%

Average: 27.67m +2%

slammin average, BJ always lie an increase. Grats to MG Casey though your predict was 3 hours late i will accept it.

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 4:51 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Sunday

BJs Prediction: 21.8m -15%


Average: 21.8m

you have until 10pm eastern

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 4:54 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
IMDB Update:

Avatar

User Rating: 8.9/10 (23,174 votes)

User Ratings for Avatar

User Comments for Avatar

IMDB top 250 #25 on top 250

External Reviews

up 300% in buzz from last wk :happy:

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 4:56 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
RT Update:

Avatar

Reviews: 202
Fresh/Rotten: 167 Fresh /35 Rotten Certified Fresh
83% Fresh / 17% Rotten
Average Rating: 7.4 / 10

Cream of the Crop
Reviews: 32
Fresh/Rotten: 30 Fresh / 2 Rotten
94% Fresh / 6% Rotten
Average Rating: 7.6 / 10

Its got 90% from the users with 2249 fresh and 248 rotten, average grade is 8.7

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 4:59 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
$527,788,189 to go.


Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:01 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
domestic total predictions will end on sunday of its 3rd wknd.

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:04 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
22.5m sunday.

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:11 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predictions for Avatar
December Update #7

Opening Wknd:
Mr. Blue - 25m
LadiesMan - 35m
Excel - 45m
MG Casey - 47m
Jon - 53.3
2001 - 55m
billybobwashere - 55m
O - 58.5m
Nebs - 59.4m
Madgez - 59m
Tuukka - 60m
Magnus - 60m
Dr. Lecter 61m
Neo_Wolf - 62m
KC - 62m
Mr. Lobotomy - 64.2m
Zingy - 65m
BK - 65m
Archangel - 65m
したい - 65m
The Dark Shape - 65m
Kris K - 70m
Mark66 - 70m
Chip Munkington - 75m
Xiayun - 76m
Flava'd - 77m
Proud Ryu - 80m
Telemachos - 81m
Gamaur - 89m
Keyser Soze - 90m
Justice - 91m
Benny Blanco - 91m
DIB2 - 92m
SolC9 - 94m
BJ - 106.32m
Rev - 170m

Average Opening Wknd Prediction: 66.63m


Domestic Total:

Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61
MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55
Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56
したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82
Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35
Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27
KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44
billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18
Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54
Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97
Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00
The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06
O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61
Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53
Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45
Mark66 - 450m | multiplier - 6.43
SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88
Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28
BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51
Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74
Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53
DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 326.63m

Average Multiplyer: 4.77

:thumbsup:

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:27 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I think you missed this post from mine...
mark66 wrote:
What the heck, I'm raising my prediction to $75m/$625m...

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:29 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar


Days
RankDays in ReleaseDay% ChangeDomestic TotalTheater AverageTheater CountDay, Month and Year
1Opening Day$27,000,000New$27,000,000$7,8223,452December 18, 2009
12nd Day$25,650,000-5%$52,650,000$7,4303,452December 19, 2009



first of many.

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:33 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote:
I think you missed this post from mine...
mark66 wrote:
What the heck, I'm raising my prediction to $75m/$625m...

aw, thanks :D

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:34 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar


Days
RankDays in ReleaseDay% ChangeDomestic TotalTheater AverageTheater CountDay, Month and Year
1Opening Day$27,000,000New$27,000,000$7,8223,452December 18, 2009
12nd Day$25,650,000-5%$52,650,000$7,4303,452December 19, 2009



bump

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:35 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Beautiful chart!

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:38 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predictions for Avatar
December Update #7/part2

Opening Wknd:
Mr. Blue - 25m
LadiesMan - 35m
Excel - 45m
MG Casey - 47m
Jon - 53.3
2001 - 55m
billybobwashere - 55m
O - 58.5m
Nebs - 59.4m
Madgez - 59m
Tuukka - 60m
Magnus - 60m
Dr. Lecter 61m
Neo_Wolf - 62m
KC - 62m
Mr. Lobotomy - 64.2m
Zingy - 65m
BK - 65m
Archangel - 65m
したい - 65m
The Dark Shape - 65m
Kris K - 70m
Mark66 - 75m
Chip Munkington - 75m
Xiayun - 76m
Flava'd - 77m
Proud Ryu - 80m
Telemachos - 81m
Gamaur - 89m
Keyser Soze - 90m
Justice - 91m
Benny Blanco - 91m
DIB2 - 92m
SolC9 - 94m
BJ - 106.32m
Rev - 170m

Average Opening Wknd Prediction: 66.77m


Domestic Total:

Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61
MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55
Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56
したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82
Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35
Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27
KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44
billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18
Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54
Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97
Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00
The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06
O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61
Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53
Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45
SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88
Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28
BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51
Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74
Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53
Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34
DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m

Average Multiplyer: 4.82

:thumbsup:

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:42 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Chip Munkington wrote:
Beautiful chart!

thankyou :happy:

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:43 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predictions for Avatar

Opening Wknd:
Mr. Blue - 25m
LadiesMan - 35m
Excel - 45m
MG Casey - 47m
Jon - 53.3
2001 - 55m
billybobwashere - 55m
O - 58.5m
Nebs - 59.4m
Madgez - 59m
Tuukka - 60m
Magnus - 60m
Dr. Lecter 61m
Neo_Wolf - 62m
KC - 62m
Mr. Lobotomy - 64.2m
Zingy - 65m
BK - 65m
Archangel - 65m
したい - 65m
The Dark Shape - 65m
Kris K - 70m
Mark66 - 75m
Chip Munkington - 75m
Xiayun - 76m
Flava'd - 77m

Proud Ryu - 80m
Telemachos - 81m
Gamaur - 89m
Keyser Soze - 90m
Justice - 91m
Benny Blanco - 91m
DIB2 - 92m
SolC9 - 94m
BJ - 106.32m
Rev - 170m

Average Opening Wknd Prediction: 66.77m

Those in darkred totally rock! :1st: battles on, I'm pulling for flava'd

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:52 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Sunday

Keyser Soze - 22.5m -12%
BJs Prediction: 21.8m -15%


Average: 22.15m -13%

you have until 10pm eastern

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
$20.9 mil

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Sun Dec 20, 2009 5:58 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
$21,290,000

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar


Wknds
RankWknds in ReleaseWknd% ChangeDomestic TotalTheater AverageTheater CountDay, Month and Year
1Opening Wknd$73,000,000New$73,000,000$21,1473,452December 18-20, 2009

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Sun Dec 20, 2009 6:02 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I'm back! And i bring you some chart. ;)

Why those two? Well, i consider I Am Legend worst case scenario for Avatar and ROTK best case scenario. And all three opened on around the same date.

EDIT
Updated with actuals...

DayAvatarI Am LegendReturn of the King
Wed--$34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1
Thu--$17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2
Fri$26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1
$30,059,386
- / -
$30,059,386 / 1
$21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3
Sat$25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2
$28,795,114
-4.2% / -
$58,854,500 / 2
$27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4
Sun$24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3
$18,356,821
-36.3% / -
$77,211,321 / 3
$23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5

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Last edited by Nazgul9 on Mon Dec 21, 2009 4:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Dec 20, 2009 8:18 pm
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