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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12195
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread I'm so on the fence with this one. My gut is telling me to underpredict this one, but not having one opener to get $25 m + since 4 weeks ago only helps it out even more, especially with 2012 being the last action film. I'm going to go with my gut and rely on Google trends for this one's opening weekend.
I'm seeing monster legs on this one though. While I'm predicting under $60 m ow, I could see potential for a 6.0 multiplier...
Last edited by O on Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:05 am |
 
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Not a single local midnight sell-out thus far, including IMAX.
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:16 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32608
Location: the last free city
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread The Dark Shape wrote: Not a single local midnight sell-out thus far, including IMAX. where?
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Is it 2028 yet?
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:36 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread There are no midnights in this area.
Edit: there are two, but they aren't sold out.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:41 am |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Rev wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: Not a single local midnight sell-out thus far, including IMAX. where? Omaha.
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:43 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6765
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread i dont see it do more than 3-4m in midnights. its main business should be from friday evening onwards.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 12:49 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread doubters be warned, avatar will smash 90m opening wknd fo sho.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:01 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatars Opening Day
Rev - 80m
BJs Prediction: 40.77m
Telemachos 32.6m
Gamaur - 31m
Keyser Soze - 31m
2001 - 30m
KC - 28m
Xiayun - 28m
したい - 27m
Proud Ryu - 27m
Chip Munkington: 26.00m
Nebs - 24.6m
Mr. Lobotomy - 24.1m
Mark66 - 24m
Dr. Lecter - 24m
Neo_Wolf - 22m
Mesjarch - 20m
Zingy - 19m
Jon - 18.9m
MG Casey: 16.80m
Mr. Green - 15m
LadiesMan217 - 13.5
Mr. Blue - 10m
Average: 26.67m
Predicting of the opening day ends when midnights #s are announced whether that be tonight or tomorrow evening.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:09 am |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Final
Midnights - 10m
OD: 38m
Saturday: 30m
Sunday - 24m
OW: 92m
TOTAL: 670m
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:46 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Final Predictions:
Opening Day - $17.35 million (midnights: $3.3 million)
Opening Weekend: $47 million
Total: $235 million
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 3:05 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread DIB2 wrote: Final
Midnights - 10m
OD: 38m
Saturday: 30m
Sunday - 24m
OW: 92m
TOTAL: 670m  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 3:15 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread MG Casey wrote: Final Predictions:
Opening Day - $17.35 million (midnights: $3.3 million)
Opening Weekend: $47 million
Total: $235 million such a sad prediction. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 3:16 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Keyser Söze wrote: i dont see it do more than 3-4m in midnights. its main business should be from friday evening onwards. I expect 5m+  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 4:08 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Bryan_smith wrote: Avatar, midnight screening. 3D
About 150 people in a 200 seater theatre. That's a little better than the Watchmen midnight showing at the same theatre.
The film was nothing short of magnificent.
After watching it, I no longer care how much the film actually makes, I am just thankful that it was made.
I would indeed classify it as a game changer.
I personally thought there was nothing wrong with the story, and in fact, I would say it was better story telling than Titantic.
But the visuals are by far what make the movie, and they are spectacular, from beginning to end.
There were indeed cheers and clapping at the end of the film, and most the chatter I heard was about what an achievement the film was. One guy was saying something like it wasn't even like watching a movie, it was like experiencing it. I myself would not have gone that far to say that, but yes, I would not be surprised if James Cameron wins his second Oscar for Direction with this film.
A+ QFT this review has me totally pumped _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 4:22 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread RT Update:AvatarReviews: 136 Fresh/Rotten: 111 Fresh /25 Rotten Certified Fresh82% Fresh / 18% RottenAverage Rating: 7.4 / 10Cream of the CropReviews: 25Fresh/Rotten: 24 Fresh / 1 Rotten 96% Fresh / 4% RottenAverage Rating: 7.7 / 10 Its got 80% from the users with 571 fresh and 136 rotten, average grade is 7.9
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 4:34 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: doubters be warned, avatar will smash 90m opening wknd fo sho. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 5:43 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread What the heck, I'm raising my prediction to $75m/$625m...
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 1:39 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread 3m down at least 497m to go
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 2:23 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 6:40 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread What is your top choice to see this weekend (Dec. 18-20)?
80.2% Avatar
4.0% No interest this weekend.
3.5% The Princess and the Frog
2.5% The Blind Side
2.2% New Moon
1.7% Invictus
1.6% Other
1.5% 2012
1.3% Did You Hear About the Morgans?
0.6% Armored
0.5% A Christmas Carol
0.3% Brothers
0.1% Old Dogs
2,120 users polled.
one of three films to reach 80% first choice, the other two made over 150m, I'm now calling for 100m+
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 6:44 pm |
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm
Posts: 740
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Yeah even with a 70 million opening weekend, it could easily get 2 more weekends over 35 million.
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 6:57 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Mandeep wrote: Yeah even with a 70 million opening weekend, it could easily get 2 more weekends over 35 million. under prediction, i expect three 50m+ wknds _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 7:01 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread heading out, hour and a half till the film starts, 3:30 running trailers included.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 7:09 pm |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm
Posts: 8202
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread wow BJ wow
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 8:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread After seeing the film, I'd say it certainly won't become another Titanic. It's much more in the vein of LOTR and other fantasy or sci-fi type of films. The love story or screenplay isn't strong enough for getting repeated viewings from females. Still crossing $300m though, but not $400m+.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Dec 18, 2009 10:51 pm |
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