i take that back, his 141m prediction seems perfectly reasonable. would beat former record holder potc2 by a few million after all.

How much does it need to do at least in the previews to remain in the race for the opening record? I'd say $40 million.

it will make those 40m anyway, but i'm afraid it might not do enough daytime business to secure a 100m opening day. i somehow think it will do a bit less than 200m ow, then disney steps in and does a little fudging.

Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Friday - $96 million ($39 million previews)
Saturday - $59 million
Sunday - $55 million
Opening Weekend - $210 million

I was gonna say $200 million even for the weekend, but running the daily numbers now I think the opening weekend record is in sight. Anything above $180 million IMO would still be amazing, but the hype really is there. Frickin' Facebook is doing special profile picture filters, which they've only done before for the Gay Marriage ruling and the Paris attacks. Ev-er-y-one is aware of this.

Sisters - $15.2 million
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - $11.5 million

Both of these movie would open at least 50% higher on any other weekend. Sisters could have been a threat for $25+ million. But I think interest will be there for both movies - the audience will just show up once Christmas break starts.

The Pre-Christmas slot is still the big unknown (as it always has been). If this was summer - we'd be talking $250m OW as an almost lock. We just dont know where this will land. Im thinking $200m even also - but anything between $175-$225m wouldnt surprise.

The OW isnt crucial as this film can still make $700/800m without it (pending quality).

The point is SW7 breaking the opening weekend record or doing 200+ on this weekend would be far more impressive then JW or TA opening.

The reason is if this was a weekend in May Opening weekend record would be assured by now.

You're right. That's why it is going to smash the opening weekend and have Avatar-like holds for a few weekends.

$1B domestic, $1B Chinese, $3.5B worldwide. Awareness is 100%, hype is unprecented and quite frankly the whole world really needs a big distraction right now.

To be honest as excited as I am for the movie I'll be glad that's finally out just so I don't have hear about it anymore lol!. Between the media hype and that damn Battlefront game which I heard is actually not doing that well in sales I am so ready for all this Star Wars mania to be over. Of course once it starts breaking records left and right the media headlines won't be able to help themselves.

4 days out and SW7 beats AOU and DH2 has broken the advance ticket record off all time here in Canada.

http://calgaryherald.com/entertainment/ ... recedented

ROTK had the third biggest OD of all time back on '03, on a Wednesday, with a run time a full hour longer than Star Wars. I think anyone who believes the holidays have a significant impact on the opening of a true fanboy driven event film are putting too much stock in the wrong comps.

The holidays won't affect the opening or the legs in any significant way. 175 OW minimum, 50% second weekend drop minimum.

However with large weekdays and a guaranteed soft third weekend drop, it turns into JW on steroids.

Alright, troll prediction aside. Being serious now.

$165 million.

It will be huge, and thats an insane number for this time of year. But there is no reason to think, at this point in time, there is more overall demand for a STAR WARS movie than there was for say AVENGERS 2.

I was a big TA2 fan and people are more excited for SW7 then AOU.

Flava'd, you're a nice guy, but that second part is just a tad, um, idiotic.

It needs decent holds, if it falls 50% 2nd weekend it could clear 100 million 2nd weekend and unlike TA and JW it will have a nicer hold on its third weekend.

My theater is doing something interesting. If you are in-line for Star Wars (we'll have a dedicated queue for it) and the next showtime sells out, the next 25 people in line will receive a voucher for a free large drink and small popcorn. Costs them nothing and will keep some patrons happy after hearing the bad news.

Actually, at THIS point in time, there is all reason to think just THAT.

The stellar marketing for this is everywhere - you basically have to live under a rock to not be aware Star Wars is going to be massive. I'm sure even the Amish are excited.

MT.com Top 5:

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 91%
2. The Hateful Eight - 2%
3. In the Heart of the Sea - 1%
4. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 - 1%
5. Sisters - 0%

Theoretically this is completely useless, but I do think it's a good sign that SIsters is already in the Top 5. It should do pretty well this weekend. Also a nice start for Hateful Eight.

What's the highest ratio anyone remembers seeing for a single film at MT.com?

Black Mass had 103%

Sisters, like many films targeting women, will be over represented on MT. A higher % of that audience pre orders tickets. Still a good sign though.

Well I've been kind of reserved on the OW for this movie due to the holidays.. but that 99% on RT is changing my mind. I totally expected it to get good reviews, maybe high 70s-low 80s.. but damn.