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 Early Friday numbers (siren noise) 
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A very honest-hearted fellow
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Maybe people are sick of Jennifer Lawrence talking politics.

1) Wages relative to male co-stars; and
2) Embarrassed to be from Kentucky where Kim Davis (the idiot that refused to sign off on same sex marriages) is from.

I may be way off, and agree that franchise fatigue set in.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 8:51 am
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
She is a nagging little bitch, I agree. And people can be turned off by this sort of thing. She is a multi-millionaire and she is complaining about salary inequality - lower class American people are like "I'm struggling to pay my bills, why do I give a shit about some rich bitch?".

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 9:36 am
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Caius wrote:
I may be way off


Indeed.

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 10:06 am
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Caius wrote:
I may be way off


Indeed.

You seem confident that is not the case, you may very well be correct, but how do you epistemologically know that it is not a factor?

All we do know is that it decreased relative to the previous film. We do not know what caused it but we have guesses that may be correct but we will never know.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 10:27 am
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
LMAO, of course.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 11:30 am
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Caius wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Caius wrote:
I may be way off


Indeed.

You seem confident that is not the case, you may very well be correct, but how do you epistemologically know that it is not a factor?

All we do know is that it decreased relative to the previous film. We do not know what caused it but we have guesses that may be correct but we will never know.


It could also be that moviegoers don't like Josh Hutcherson's new haircut in real life. How do you epistemologically know that it is not a factor?

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 11:34 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Caius wrote:
Maybe people are sick of Jennifer Lawrence talking politics.

1) Wages relative to male co-stars; and
2) Embarrassed to be from Kentucky where Kim Davis (the idiot that refused to sign off on same sex marriages) is from.

I may be way off, and agree that franchise fatigue set in.



she also in a recent interview attacked Christian and Republicans. I am not a Christian or Republican my self, but you don't go attacking a large percentage of the population like that that could potentially be audience for your movie.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:13 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice · 31m31 minutes ago
THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 2 earned an estimated $46.0M on opening day Friday. #TheHungerGames #Mockingjay

..... :|


Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:14 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
what's the biggest opening day for a movie that failed to reach 100m in its opening weekend (3-day-openings only)?


Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:19 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
if it follows MJ1, it will make about 98m this weekend.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:25 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Heinrich Himmler wrote:
what's the biggest opening day for a movie that failed to reach 100m in its opening weekend (3-day-openings only)?


I think Fast & Furious 6.
Transformers: Age of Extinction barely made it.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:25 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Heinrich Himmler wrote:
what's the biggest opening day for a movie that failed to reach 100m in its opening weekend (3-day-openings only)?


Fast & Furious 6 with $38.7 million.

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:28 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Caius wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Caius wrote:
I may be way off


Indeed.

You seem confident that is not the case, you may very well be correct, but how do you epistemologically know that it is not a factor?

All we do know is that it decreased relative to the previous film. We do not know what caused it but we have guesses that may be correct but we will never know.


It could also be that moviegoers don't like Josh Hutcherson's new haircut in real life. How do you epistemologically know that it is not a factor?

I don't. Maybe that is the case, I doubt it, but we cannot ever know the true cause(s) for why a film failed with certainty. It is not like we have multiple variables we can test. A film is created and released once. No way to measure variables that contributed to its success or failure, though we can attempt guesses and replicate them in future, but different, films.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 12:57 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Very enlightening.

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:02 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Yeah, I guess this goes on to show how impressively Twilight has performed and how loyal it fanbase has been.

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:05 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
I want to blame it on Mockingjay - Part 1 being such a dull, dull, dull experience.

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:12 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
David wrote:
I want to blame it on Mockingjay - Part 1 being such a dull, dull, dull experience.


That's exactly what it is. It soured a lot of people on the series. I've heard from so many people how much they disliked Part 1. I myself was really high on the franchise until that one. It killed the momentum.


Brooklyn did great. An average above $10,000 (they're projecting $10,619) from 113 theaters for it is impressive. Should be in 500+ theaters for Thanksgiving and I think it should do really well over this frame.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:26 pm
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Both Brooklyn and Spotlight expanded very nicely. The better they do now the better they look at the Oscars, which can only help hem further. Carol is off to a really nice start too. Hopefully that expands well also.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:28 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Magic Mike wrote:
Sizzling debut in limited release for Carol. I hate that I'll have to wait so long to see it. Weinstein is planning on very slowly rolling it out, which is typical for them with their Oscar hopefuls. Even ones with huge mainstream appeal like Silver Linings Playbook.

A slow roll-out indeed. It will only open in the D.C. market on Christmas Day.

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Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:33 pm
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The Incredible Hulk
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Given the extra hour of Thursday previews, everything else held constant, this should have a stronger Saturday jump than MJ1's +7.3%.  

Here are the previews as a percentage of Friday for the 4 Hunger Games films:
Spoiler

THG: 41.5%
CF: 54.4%
MJ1: 44.6%
MJ2: 53.3% (est.)


Here are the previews as a percentage of opening day for the 4 Hunger Games films:
Spoiler

THG: 29.3%
CF: 35.2%
MJ1: 30.8%
MJ2: 34.8% (est.)



Here are the Preview -> Friday increases for the 4 Hunger Games films:
Spoiler

THG: +140.7%
CF: +83.8%
MJ1: +124.4%
MJ2: +87.5% (est.)


Currently, CF's daily shifts make the most sense for MJ2:

16.0M Previews
30.0M Friday
34.5M Saturday (+15.0%)
22.4M Sunday (-35.0%)

86.9M 3-Day
102.9M OW

THG (2.92), CF (3.0), MJ1 (3.05), all hit a ~3.0 multiplier from the 3-day weekend.  The same for this would yield a 276.8M DOM total.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 1:47 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Wow.. Can't believe the number went even lower. What a sad way to exit. Also can't believe algren nailed this one. Might be your best prediction ever, bro. :thumbsup:


Sat Nov 21, 2015 2:05 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
David wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Sizzling debut in limited release for Carol. I hate that I'll have to wait so long to see it. Weinstein is planning on very slowly rolling it out, which is typical for them with their Oscar hopefuls. Even ones with huge mainstream appeal like Silver Linings Playbook.

A slow roll-out indeed. It will only open in the D.C. market on Christmas Day.


It sucks because I'm dying to see it. Maybe it will open in Minneapolis on Christmas. Might need to make a trip there to see it.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 2:17 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
We should also mentiom that Mockingjay

Spoiler: show
Has a real bummer ending. There's no big triumph like in Harry Potter or Twilight. Katniss gets the job done and her reward is watching her sister get blown up right afterwards.


So legs might be poor too.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 2:21 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
Technically Twilight also doesn't have any big ending. We already knew that Cullens were going to be together and alive from the beginning.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 2:59 pm
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Post Re: Early Friday numbers (siren noise)
This decline does make more sense than MJ1's. MJ1 actually had a mixed response, but it was following Catching Fire, which had great WOM. What would have made sense would have been an opening on par with the first two followed by much worse legs. But why it opened so much Lower, I still cannot figure out. People should have been eager to see what happened to Katniss after that cliffhanger, even if they were bored with the answer.


Sat Nov 21, 2015 5:46 pm
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