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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: Early Thursday Numbers
Cars 2 looks set to have the worst 2nd weekend drop of a Pixar film - needs to beat Toy Story 2 whose 2nd weekend was on the worst weekend of the year (post-thanksgiving, -51.6%)
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Fri Jul 01, 2011 5:21 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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 Re: Early Thursday Numbers
Proud Ryu wrote: Cars 2 looks set to have the worst 2nd weekend drop of a Pixar film - needs to beat Toy Story 2 whose 2nd weekend was on the worst weekend of the year (post-thanksgiving, -51.6%) I think it's pretty much a lock at this point. 60% even has a good chance of happening. 
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Fri Jul 01, 2011 8:26 pm |
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devon28flick
SO FETCH!
Joined: Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:35 pm Posts: 309 Location: Sunnyside Daycare
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 Re: Thursday Numbers
Don't underestimate cars 2 it well surprise everyone whm Friday gross cum in for good or bad that is
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Fri Jul 01, 2011 9:32 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am Posts: 6245
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 Re: Early Thursday Numbers
Jedi Master Carr wrote: Bryan_smith wrote: Jedi Master Carr wrote: Mannyisthebest wrote: did some calculations..
a 30% increase gives it 95-100 million 4-day
anything higher and it could go to 105-110+
So imo a 160 million 7-day looks to be about 75% assured. I see about 165 for the 7 Day right now. Much better than MTCs 138 million in any event... RS will be much closer on this one... RS has been more accurate lately, and I think we can throw that old rule out the window. I like how this is said almost every fucking time the rule is significantly off. And then every goddamn time the rule is dead on the same fucking idiots say "omg, the rule is so much better than twitter." But here's the little secret half this site is too fucking stupid to see, the rule will work sometimes, and it won't others. That's just how these things are. The rule will go several weeks with total misses and then come up with a couple major calls that no-one guessed that are totally right. And I'll just point out 165 is far closer to MTC's number than the vast majority of predictions I read from members of this websight.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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Fri Jul 01, 2011 10:03 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm Posts: 11637
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 Re: Early Thursday Numbers
Michael A wrote: Jedi Master Carr wrote: Bryan_smith wrote: Jedi Master Carr wrote: Mannyisthebest wrote: did some calculations..
a 30% increase gives it 95-100 million 4-day
anything higher and it could go to 105-110+
So imo a 160 million 7-day looks to be about 75% assured. I see about 165 for the 7 Day right now. Much better than MTCs 138 million in any event... RS will be much closer on this one... RS has been more accurate lately, and I think we can throw that old rule out the window. I like how this is said almost every fucking time the rule is significantly off. And then every goddamn time the rule is dead on the same fucking idiots say "omg, the rule is so much better than twitter." But here's the little secret half this site is too fucking stupid to see, the rule will work sometimes, and it won't others. That's just how these things are. The rule will go several weeks with total misses and then come up with a couple major calls that no-one guessed that are totally right. And I'll just point out 165 is far closer to MTC's number than the vast majority of predictions I read from members of this websight. It can't be a rule if it only works some of the time. This is like the rule of Gravity that is absolute. It just shows tracking is hard to determine and there is a huge impredictability in it.
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Fri Jul 01, 2011 10:10 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am Posts: 6245
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 Re: Thursday Numbers
I absolutely agree, tracking is far from absolute, but the rule is not called such because it is the law of gravity. It is simply the boundaries created by, I believe, the members of this site, in attempt to most accurately interpret tracking. It is not perfect, nor is any tracking source or predictor, everyone has innacuracies. It is just bullshit when followers of these resources claim they are awful each time they are innacurate, and hail them each time their correct. You have to look at the big picture, and use a mixture of the sources, and not draw conclusions each fucking time somethign happens like a kid with add who changes their mind with every new fucking development. It's ridiculous how short sighted so many people here are.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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Fri Jul 01, 2011 10:17 pm |
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