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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6781
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 Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? shawman wrote: pre-sales dont look that great. I read somewhere that jonas sold more tickets than watchmen. The definitely is not good for a SH movie.
I think it will open below tracking at this point. Even though pre-sales improved the week, there were enough signs that this one will open below tracking. MTC has dropped the ball twice in a row.Normally they are so conservative about films like Watchmen.
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I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:15 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? mark66 wrote: Even though I predicted $60m, I'm not fully convinced yet that $65m is totally out of the question. It just needs an IM of 2.59 to get there... (I know that 300 had an IM of 2.52) Without midnights, 300 dropped 4% on Saturday. A 4% drop w/o midnights for Watchmen would be $19.7 million, so it would need to stay level on Sunday in order to make it. So $65 million seems to be (IMO) impossible.
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:28 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? mark66 wrote: Even though I predicted $60m, I'm not fully convinced yet that $65m is totally out of the question. It just needs an IM of 2.59 to get there... (I know that 300 had an IM of 2.52) Watchmen's running time will help the multiplier, but it will be more naturally frontloaded because of the genre and the fanbase, thus more than equalling the running time benefit. No way it'll top 300's multiplier. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:29 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6781
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? Jon wrote: mark66 wrote: Even though I predicted $60m, I'm not fully convinced yet that $65m is totally out of the question. It just needs an IM of 2.59 to get there... (I know that 300 had an IM of 2.52) Without midnights, 300 dropped 4% on Saturday. A 4% drop w/o midnights for Watchmen would be $19.7 million, so it would need to stay level on Sunday in order to make it. So $65 million seems to be (IMO) impossible. I think his star trek over 100M OW has a better chance at this point (0.000001%) 
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:31 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? Look everybody, I'm pretty sure that it won't reach $65m myself (and I'm pretty happy with my $60m prediction).
What I have a problem with is that everybody is ruling this out for sure. All those first day or second day judgements by many people are so absolute and leave no room for what really CAN happen...
Remember all those $200m is a LOCK for QUANTUM LEAP after its opening?
Or remember all those NO WAY that TWILIGHT is gonna reach the $150m mark after its second day (or second weekend) drop?
Just sayin'...
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:42 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23385
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? mark66 wrote: Remember all those $200m is a LOCK for QUANTUM LEAP after its opening?
Just sayin'... Solace?  I was one of the few saying there was a strong chance it wouldnt make $200m.  So yeah who knows what will happen. _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:45 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million?  Yeah, QUANTUM OF SOLACE of course...
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:46 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23385
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? For a second I thought I may have missed the movie version of Quantum Leap lol
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:50 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Will Watchmen open to MORE or LESS than $65 million? MadGez wrote: For a second I thought I may have missed the movie version of Quantum Leap lol One day it'll happen for sure...
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| Sat Mar 07, 2009 6:52 pm |
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