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 The Official Eragon Prediction/Tracking Thread 
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Teh Mexican
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ui have no idea what Eragon is....

i saw a poster in the movie theater, it was just a big "e"...


Sat Jun 10, 2006 4:05 am
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matatonio wrote:
ui have no idea what Eragon is....

i saw a poster in the movie theater, it was just a big "e"...


just take the starwars storyline and stick it in an epic/fantasy/Lord of the Ringsish world and you have Eragon, there is absolutely nothing origonal about this movie, it will be mediocre to the last degree, but I fully expect a 200m+ gross do to it using the magic formula.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:17 pm
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Teh Mexican
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BJ wrote:
matatonio wrote:
ui have no idea what Eragon is....

i saw a poster in the movie theater, it was just a big "e"...


just take the starwars storyline and stick it in an epic/fantasy/Lord of the Ringsish world and you have Eragon, there is absolutely nothing origonal about this movie, it will be mediocre to the last degree, but I fully expect a 200m+ gross do to it using the magic formula.


That doesnt sound like an $200M grosser.....

I guess ill have to wait for a Teaser at least


Sat Jun 10, 2006 2:15 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Magnus wrote:
Since when has originailty been a key to BO succuess?


i didnt say that...


Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:56 pm
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I have seen some footage about 4-.5 months ago and it looked bad, but it was very early and unedited. If they really push it well, it can pass $200 million simply because there is no other epic fantasy flick coming out this winter. Charlotte's Web looks like another Babe and certainly not like a $200+ million grosser.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:13 pm
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Fox knows this is their only big movie this year aside from X-3 so I think they'll really push the marketing for this movie, and we all know how good Fox is at marketing their big hits and blockbusters.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:18 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
I have seen some footage about 4-.5 months ago and it looked bad, but it was very early and unedited. If they really push it well, it can pass $200 million simply because there is no other epic fantasy flick coming out this winter. Charlotte's Web looks like another Babe and certainly not like a $200+ million grosser.


Sorry to sound like Mav, but you obviously have no idea how popular and well-known it is in the US. I'd bet good money that at LEAST 2/3 of people under the age of 30 have read the book, and that 90% of the total population at least knows the book. The buzz should be higher then Eragon's.


Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:28 pm
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Positive Jon wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I have seen some footage about 4-.5 months ago and it looked bad, but it was very early and unedited. If they really push it well, it can pass $200 million simply because there is no other epic fantasy flick coming out this winter. Charlotte's Web looks like another Babe and certainly not like a $200+ million grosser.


Sorry to sound like Mav, but you obviously have no idea how popular and well-known it is in the US. I'd bet good money that at LEAST 2/3 of people under the age of 30 have read the book, and that 90% of the total population at least knows the book. The buzz should be higher then Eragon's.


Well-known and popular is one thing. $200+ million is another. You don't make $200+ million on popularity and fanbase alone. Only Star Wars, Harry Potter and LOTR can achieve that. Others need to expand on their "fanbase" and popularity immensly.

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:51 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Well-known and popular is one thing. $200+ million is another. You don't make $200+ million on popularity and fanbase alone. Only Star Wars, Harry Potter and LOTRcan achieve that. Others need to expand on their "fanbase" and popularity immensly.


OMG! :hahaha: Someone :hahaha: finally :hahaha: gets :hahaha: it!!! :hahaha:

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:52 pm
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And that's the difference between Lemony Snicket and Narnia...

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Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:00 am
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Shack wrote:
And that's the difference between Lemony Snicket and Narnia...


Bingo.


Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:14 am
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ya see, fox and w.b. are 2 totally companies.

w.b. never seems to struggle with quality, but many of their movies seem to UNDER preform due to poor marketing campaigns.

fox always seems to struggle with quality, but many of their movies OVER preform due to great marketing campaigns.

fox is the best marketing studio around flat out. that will get this great opening then holiday legs.


Sun Jun 11, 2006 3:41 am
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Positive Jon wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I have seen some footage about 4-.5 months ago and it looked bad, but it was very early and unedited. If they really push it well, it can pass $200 million simply because there is no other epic fantasy flick coming out this winter. Charlotte's Web looks like another Babe and certainly not like a $200+ million grosser.


Sorry to sound like Mav, but you obviously have no idea how popular and well-known it is in the US. I'd bet good money that at LEAST 2/3 of people under the age of 30 have read the book, and that 90% of the total population at least knows the book. The buzz should be higher then Eragon's.



As part of my job I have to pitch films for promotional partners several months to a year in advance, over 50 to date for the year and every single one of them has been familiar with WEB.

How many were familiar with ERAGON?

2. Both bookstore owners.

Granted that's exactly the same response I got on Lemony Snicket as well until I said "It's the next Jim Carrey movie"

I would put Web as familiar with the North American audience or close to, How The Grinch Stole Christmas.


Sun Jun 11, 2006 1:35 pm
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I think

OW:45

TOTAL:160

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Fri Jun 16, 2006 5:06 am
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Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:33 pm
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Eh, the poster doesn't feel fantasy enough.

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Thu Jun 22, 2006 5:58 pm
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Paolini is a hack.

Should do okay, though. 40/160


Thu Jun 22, 2006 7:10 pm
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Magnus wrote:
Pretty good. The kid there isn't too bad. Looks the part and he doesn't have a "wimpy" look that the Narnia guys had.

Teaser should be coming out online in the next week.


Is that just speculation or official about the trailer.


Thu Jun 22, 2006 7:33 pm
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liesse00 wrote:
Magnus wrote:
Pretty good. The kid there isn't too bad. Looks the part and he doesn't have a "wimpy" look that the Narnia guys had.

Teaser should be coming out online in the next week.


Is that just speculation or official about the trailer.


Theres a fanmade teaser that was shown in E3
<object><param></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/ethG8SbwB6k" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="350"></embed></object>


Thu Jun 22, 2006 7:34 pm
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Amazing fan-made trailer. It got me hooked. Can't wait for the official teaser. :)

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Thu Jun 22, 2006 7:37 pm
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If Fox makes this a big hit, looks like they have a new franchise to mine on after X-Men.

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Thu Jun 22, 2006 7:46 pm
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it is with sr it was announced. that looks great-EXTREMELY lord of the rings-ish but looks to be on a smaller scale.


Thu Jun 22, 2006 7:49 pm
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Cool, thanks for confirmation.


Thu Jun 22, 2006 9:34 pm
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That fan-made teaser was pretty good actually.

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Thu Jun 22, 2006 9:43 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
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doenst look to bad, Im amazed, thought it would look liek dirt, seems Fox is pulling out all the great advertising once again :biggrin:

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