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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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MovieDude wrote: Nevermind, I don't want to go over 43 million... I'll go with 43 million even opening day, 98 million for the weekend, 141 for the four day, and 315 million total, final prediction. i thought you were in the $150 mill 4 day club?
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| Tue May 17, 2005 10:21 pm |
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Jeff 42
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2005 2:44 pm
Posts: 763
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$44m Thursday, $142m 4-day, second weekend $50m/$63m, $350m domestic total, $750m worldwide.
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| Tue May 17, 2005 10:36 pm |
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Kali_Ariel
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 2:50 pm
Posts: 80
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My prediction for the midnight showings:
$16 million
Last edited by Kali_Ariel on Tue May 17, 2005 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue May 17, 2005 10:40 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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ROTS will make $10 mill in midnight showing alone. 
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| Tue May 17, 2005 10:43 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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revolutions wrote: ROTS will make $10 mill in midnight showing alone. Other films had previews too.
Anyways, there are 2 reasons why preview showings have such high numbers:
1) The nutty fans want to see it ASAP (ditto for ROTK, Reloaded, etc.)
2) And this is more important, Thursday and Friday are workdays. It's better to watch the film at night and have a little sleep than to watch it during the workday and skip work. _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Tue May 17, 2005 10:46 pm |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 1117
Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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$42 million opening day
$100 million 3-day weekend
$162 million 4-day weekend
$358 million final
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| Tue May 17, 2005 11:23 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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Ivan K wrote: revolutions wrote: ROTS will make $10 mill in midnight showing alone. Other films had previews too. Anyways, there are 2 reasons why preview showings have such high numbers: 1) The nutty fans want to see it ASAP (ditto for ROTK, Reloaded, etc.) 2) And this is more important, Thursday and Friday are workdays. It's better to watch the film at night and have a little sleep than to watch it during the workday and skip work. yep  and oh yeah..."it's starwars."
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| Tue May 17, 2005 11:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Could someone enlighten me why opening day + 3-day weekend != 4-day weekend for some of the predictions?
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| Wed May 18, 2005 1:14 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Guys, I just wrote a brilliant article on the history of Star Wars grosses, along with predictions for Sith's opening weekend. It should appear tomorrow.
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| Wed May 18, 2005 2:13 am |
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Lucky
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:50 am
Posts: 514
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Predictions:
Opening Day $36 mil
Opening Weekend $90 mil
4 Day Total $126 mil
Domestic total $325 mil
International total $375
Worldwide $700 mil
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| Wed May 18, 2005 2:31 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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revolutions wrote: MovieDude wrote: Nevermind, I don't want to go over 43 million... I'll go with 43 million even opening day, 98 million for the weekend, 141 for the four day, and 315 million total, final prediction. i thought you were in the $150 mill 4 day club? I think it actually has a damn good shot at it, and wouldn't be surprised if it pulled it off. But I'm still not exactly sure how forgiving audiences are, at least to the extent that it could break 12K opening day, if no film really ever has. However, I do think it has a strong possibility because of how many screens it has and the number of midnight shows. I mean, this could very well have over 10,000 screens total. 
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| Wed May 18, 2005 2:33 am |
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Ragnarok
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
Posts: 131
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Slight prediction change:
Domestic: 296 million
International: 324 million
Worldwide: 620 million
Midnight showings prediction: 15 million
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| Wed May 18, 2005 6:47 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15530
Location: Everywhere
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Final predictions:
Midnight - 14m
Opening day - 43.99m
3 day - 106m
4 day - 149.99m
Second weekend (3 day) - 43m (-59.4%)
4 day - 54m
Third weekend - 16.5m (-61.6%)
Multiplier - 2.575
Domestic - 317m
Overseas - 395m
International - 712m
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| Wed May 18, 2005 7:10 am |
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Anonymous
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 Code:
all $ are in millions.
Op- Opening Memorial 3day 3day 3day Dom- Over WW Mult Mid-
en- Weekend Weekend 2nd OW % OW es- seas Ttl w/o nig-
ing (thu-sun) (fri-mon) wknd of Mult tic Ttl OD ht
Day 3day 4day 3day 4day drop Ttl iply Ttl
================================================================================
Algren ? 65 ? ? ? ? 22% 4.6 301 ? ? ? ?
MG Casey 46 91 136 51 ? 44% 32% 3.1 285 386 625 2.6 ?
Korrgan ? 105 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.2 338 ? ? ? ?
Nebs 46 116 162 77 91 34% 23% 4.3 500 531 1031 3.9 15
matatonio 40 96 136 51 60 47% 31% 3.2 308 373 681 2.8 11
Snickety Snack 2 ? 87 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.4 297 ? ? ? ?
Dr. Lecter 41 96 137 ? ? ? 28% 3.6 341 ? ? 3.1 ?
Amer ? ? 138 ? ? ? ? ? 406 ? ? ? ?
BJ 48 115 163 64 83 44% 23% 4.4 502 598 1100 3.9 18
ShadyMilkman ? 102 ? ? ? ? 25% 4.0 405 ? ? ? ?
neo wolf 44 112 156 ? ? ? 33% 2.9 330 ? ? 2.6 ?
RogueCommander 44 108 152 59 71 45% 27% 3.8 405 600 1005 3.3 ?
Daniel Raedts ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 525 ? ? ? ?
ChipMunky 40 115 155 71 90 38% 21% 4.7 537 463 1000 4.3 ?
DP07 44 106 150 43 54 59% 33% 3.0 317 395 712 2.6 14
Maverikk ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 350 ? ? ? ?
hans 46 91 137 52 65 43% 25% 4.0 360 390 750 3.5 ?
jb007 ? 96 ? ? ? ? 21% 4.8 462 ? ? ? ?
Riggs27 ? 94 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.5 327 ? ? ? ?
Samweis Gamdschie ? 93 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.1 291 ? ? ? ?
Nazgul9 40 95 135 47 ? 51% 27% 3.7 350 400 750 3.3 ?
MikeQ. ? 95 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.2 300 ? ? ? ?
FILMO 41 98 139 ? ? ? 25% 4.0 388 462 850 3.5 ?
want2write 35 95 130 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 330 ? ? 3.1 ?
insomniacdude 45 105 150 60 78 43% 22% 4.6 480 350 830 4.1 ?
Ragnarok 45 90 136 39 47 57% 31% 3.3 296 324 620 2.8 15
El_masked_este.. 42 95 137 ? ? ? 33% 3.1 290 ? ? 2.6 ?
Squee ? 87 ? ? ? ? 27% 3.8 327 ? ? ? ?
Impact 47 112 159 68 90 39% 29% 3.5 390 510 900 3.1 ?
revolutions 41 95 136 50 62 47% 29% 3.4 325 500 825 3.0 10
moviedude 43 98 141 44 55 55% 31% 3.2 315 ? ? 2.8 ?
scottb 40 111 151 63 75 43% 27% 3.6 405 485 890 3.3 ?
Zingaling 45 101 146 55 68 46% 29% 3.4 348 400 748 3.0 11
Futureboy ? 103 ? ? ? ? 30% 3.4 345 465 810 ? ?
Killuminati510 ? ? 120 ? ? ? ? ? 355 ? ? ? ?
BKB The Man 52 108 160 ? ? ? 32% 3.1 340 ? ? 2.7 ?
Jon Lyrik ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 290 ? ? ? ?
rusty 33 105 138 ? ? ? 26% 3.9 410 ? ? 3.6 ?
nghtvsn 43 108 151 64 81 41% 26% 3.8 415 502 917 3.4 ?
Terminator1997 36 101 137 ? ? ? 23% 4.3 434 510 944 3.9 ?
addrOck ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 400 ? ? ? ?
Legend of Jam 35 105 140 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 363 ? ? 3.1 ?
Positive Jon 37 97 134 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 363 387 750 3.4 ?
Amos 40 96 136 52 ? 46% 28% 3.5 340 380 720 3.1 ?
Steve 38 97 135 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 315 ? ? 2.9 ?
Erendis 38 86 124 ? 75 ? 26% 3.8 325 350 675 3.3 ?
baumer72 39 110 149 ? 75 ? 27% 3.7 410 490 900 3.4 ?
JMorphin 40 100 140 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 321 ? ? 2.8 ?
StarWars 39 97 136 56 73 42% 24% 4.1 397 454 851 3.7 ?
TonyMontana ? 78 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.3 255 ? ? ? ?
The Dark Shape 37 93 130 72 ? 23% 27% 3.8 350 380 730 3.4 ?
Archie Gates 40 115 155 ? ? ? 33% 3.0 350 ? ? 2.7 ?
loyalfromlondon 47 123 170 ? ? ? 26% 3.8 470 ? ? 3.4 ?
Mesjarch 46 108 154 74 93 31% 25% 4.0 435 470 905 3.6 ?
RB652 ? ? 138 ? ? ? ? ? 405 ? ? ? ?
Raffiki 43 104 147 74 85 29% 25% 3.9 410 590 1000 3.5 ?
Vovanik 37 82 119 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
dolcevita 38 91 129 ? ? ? 24% 4.1 375 325 700 3.7 ?
torrino 38 80 118 42 ? 48% 28% 3.6 285 ? ? 3.1 ?
BOYFRESH 40 113 153 72 87 36% 25% 4.0 450 525 975 3.6 ?
KC 42 102 144 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Flava'd‡ 44 107 151 60 77 44% 26% 3.8 410 560 970 3.4 ?
MadGez 41 108 149 ? 74 ? 25% 4.0 437 370 807 3.7 ?
~~~Archangel~~~ 41 106 147 ? ? ? 23% 4.3 460 500 960 4.0 ?
choubachou 38 90 128 ? ? ? 38% 3.5 319 376 695 3.1 ?
Buffjedi ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 560 440 1000 ? ?
Ivan K 40 92 132 ? ? ? 29% 3.4 315 ? ? 3.0 ?
Kali Ariel 44 95 139 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 350 ? ? 3.2 16
neostorm 51 94 145 47 59 50% 23% 4.3 401 425 826 3.7 ?
Snrub ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 289 ? ? ? ?
Chris 44 98 132 ? ? ? 26% 3.8 375 ? ? 3.4 ?
newfoundglorysp 32 79 111 43 56 46% 29% 3.4 270 500 770 3.0 9
alex young 41 90 131 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 14
junio 45 99 144 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
bradley with... 48 118 166 68 88 42% 23% 4.4 518 582 1100 4.0 ?
xiayun 40 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Jeff 42 44 98 142 50 63 49% 28% 3.6 350 400 750 3.1 ?
rolandka19 42 100 142 ? ? ? 28% 3.6 358 ? ? 3.2 ?
Lucky 36 90 126 ? ? ? 28% 3.6 325 375 700 3.2 ?
Premiere ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 400 ? ? ? ?
================================================================================
average 42 99 141 58 73 -44% 27% 3.7 371 449 840 3.3 13
Low 32 65 111 39 47 -23% 21% 2.9 255 324 620 2.6 9
High 52 123 170 77 93 -59% 34% 4.8 560 600 1100 4.3 18
================================================================================
TPM actual 29 65 106^ 51 67 -22% 15% 6.6 431 493 924 6.1 ?
AOTC actual 30 80 110 48 60 -40% 26% 3.9 311 339 650 3.5 8
^ 106 is a 5-day total as TPM opened on wednesday. AOTC opened
on thursday and ROTS will also open on thursday.
opening weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is thu-sun.
memorial day weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is fri-mon.
Predict until the midnight your time.
Btw guys and gals, I'm keeping your predictions with decimals as well, just don't put them on chart as would ruin layout.
So DP, no worries, you're not in $150m club.
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| Wed May 18, 2005 7:30 am |
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Anonymous
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Oh nice, 79 members made their prediction.
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| Wed May 18, 2005 7:47 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15530
Location: Everywhere
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Nebs wrote: Btw guys and gals, I'm keeping your predictions with decimals as well, just don't put them on chart as would ruin layout. So DP, no worries, you're not in $150m club.  Thanks. :wink:
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| Wed May 18, 2005 8:08 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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DP07 wrote: Final predictions:
Midnight - 14m
Opening day - 43.99m
3 day - 106m
4 day - 149.99m
Second weekend (3 day) - 43m (-59.4%)
4 day - 54m
Third weekend - 16.5m (-61.6%)
Multiplier - 2.575
Domestic - 317m
Overseas - 395m
International - 712m legs = way to bad :down: what on earth makes you think the best star wars film in over 20 years is just going to fall like a stone [-X that prediction is hilarious and yes BJ thinks its imposible. 400m+ says BJ, and he has high hopes for a 500m gross _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed May 18, 2005 10:50 am |
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maelitoo
Newbie
Joined: Mon Mar 21, 2005 4:56 pm
Posts: 4
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Box office from France
The film opened today here.
Broke the record for first showings in Paris with 16 277 admissions.
It took the record from Spider man 2 and his 16 141 admissions.
It's already huge.
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| Wed May 18, 2005 11:02 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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maelitoo wrote: Box office from France
The film opened today here.
Broke the record for first showings in Paris with 16 277 admissions.
It took the record from Spider man 2 and his 16 141 admissions.
It's already huge. \:D/ great news 
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| Wed May 18, 2005 11:16 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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does anyone know if GL is making it so theaters have to kep EP III for atleast 4 wks like he did for EP I and II :?:
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed May 18, 2005 11:30 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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BJ wrote: does anyone know if GL is making it so theaters have to kep EP III for atleast 4 wks like he did for EP I and II :?: i thought the 4 week thing was only for TPM. 
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| Wed May 18, 2005 11:38 am |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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revolutions wrote: BJ wrote: does anyone know if GL is making it so theaters have to kep EP III for atleast 4 wks like he did for EP I and II :?: i thought the 4 week thing was only for TPM. Yup AOTC did too it did not drop a theater till its fifth weekend.
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All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Wed May 18, 2005 11:43 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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scottb wrote: revolutions wrote: BJ wrote: does anyone know if GL is making it so theaters have to kep EP III for atleast 4 wks like he did for EP I and II :?: i thought the 4 week thing was only for TPM. Yup AOTC did too it did not drop a theater till its fifth weekend. I realy hop[e they do it for EP III as will considering it could have got a way higher theater count. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed May 18, 2005 12:02 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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Well, based on the fact that this is going to open in many more theaters by midnight, it will cause me to change my prediction for teh last time.
Opening Day, including midnight showings- 42.5
Weekend- 110
Total- 152.5 mill
Second weekend ( 4 day) 69.5
I expect EIII to be at about 250 mill after the end of Memorial Day.
Total- 400.1 mill
OVS- 550 mill
Total 950 mill
This is my final revision!!!
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| Wed May 18, 2005 12:21 pm |
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KC
Team Kris
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm
Posts: 1024
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Final Prediction-
Opening day- 45 mil
3 day- 105
4 day- 150
Second weekend
3 day- 50 mil
4 day- 65 mil
Domestic total- 410 mil
International total- 600 mil
Worldwide total- $1,010,000,000
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| Wed May 18, 2005 1:02 pm |
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