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billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm
Posts: 4308
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 Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch TDK Ran Shit wrote: Possibly. Best case scneario is Thurs: 18 Fri: 27 +50% Sat: 39 + 45% Sun: 28 -24% Thats 94  it won't increase over 45% back-to-back. If it cracks $80m this weekend, I'll be elated. If it cracks $85m, I'll be just as WTF-YAY'd as I've been all week, and if it does $90m...well, we'll just find out how I react then. _________________ Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:18 pm |
 
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6742
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch At NY most shows till 930 are sold out and Regal has sold out 1020 show as well. Only theater that is not selling out is the crap multiplex at Newport Mall in Jersey City.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:26 pm |
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lancer1997
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Mon Sep 04, 2006 12:41 am
Posts: 457
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch TDK Ran Shit wrote: Possibly. Best case scneario is Thurs: 18 Fri: 27 +50% Sat: 39 + 45% Sun: 28 -24% Thats 94 Thats NOT the best case scenario. Its higher than that. However, I think $80 million looks reaaaaaaalllly solid right now. I think friday's increase will be 50%, and Sat's lower.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:30 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch It's not increasing more than DMC on Saturday. It's just... not.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:31 pm |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Friday +32% Saturday +18% Sunday -10%
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:40 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Friday +45%
Saturday +25%
Sunday -10%
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:42 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Eventine wrote: It's not increasing more than DMC on Saturday. It's just... not. Hell yes it is the WOM is 100x DMCs _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:42 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: It's not increasing more than DMC on Saturday. It's just... not. Hell yes it is the WOM is 100x DMCs Then the large increase will happen on Friday. _________________
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:43 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Fri: +45%
Sat: +40%
Sun: -15%
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:43 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Eventine wrote: BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: It's not increasing more than DMC on Saturday. It's just... not. Hell yes it is the WOM is 100x DMCs Then the large increase will happen on Friday. not true, films with tremendous WOM have tremendous dailies and great saturday increases, friday should be between 40%-45%. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:45 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch From an $18 million Thursday...
Friday: +36%
Saturday: +31%
Sunday: -25%
That's $80 million... Jeez.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:45 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: It's not increasing more than DMC on Saturday. It's just... not. Hell yes it is the WOM is 100x DMCs Then the large increase will happen on Friday. not true, films with tremendous WOM have tremendous dailies and great saturday increases, friday should be between 40%-45%. Then how come DMC was increasing more than Pirates 1 on Saturday? It's all about the Fridays, man. _________________
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:46 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Eventine wrote: From an $18 million Thursday...
Friday: +36%
Saturday: +31%
Sunday: -25%
That's $80 million... Jeez. thats shit, especially the sunday. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:47 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch $18 mil Thursday
+45% Friday is $26.1 mil
+25% Saturday is $32.6 mil
-10% Sunday is $29.3 mil
$88 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:48 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Eventine wrote: BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: It's not increasing more than DMC on Saturday. It's just... not. Hell yes it is the WOM is 100x DMCs Then the large increase will happen on Friday. not true, films with tremendous WOM have tremendous dailies and great saturday increases, friday should be between 40%-45%. Then how come DMC was increasing more than Pirates 1 on Saturday? It's all about the Fridays, man. DMC had good WOM, not great like the first but good, and the first had mammoth sized friday increases do to crazy fangirls running out early in the wknd. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:48 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch BJ wrote: DMC had good WOM, not great like the first but good, and the first had mammoth sized friday increases do to crazy fangirls running out early in the wknd. I'm sure crazy fangirls were just rushing as much for DMC was they were for the first, at least proportionally speaking. _________________
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:53 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Eventine wrote: BJ wrote: DMC had good WOM, not great like the first but good, and the first had mammoth sized friday increases do to crazy fangirls running out early in the wknd. I'm sure crazy fangirls were just rushing as much for DMC was they were for the first, at least proportionally speaking. DMC judging from how much more it made had a more universal appeal, and no two films have the exact same run, there runs were under different conditions. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:57 pm |
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lancer1997
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Mon Sep 04, 2006 12:41 am
Posts: 457
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Magnus wrote: Um...why are people assuming a 18m Thursday? Even if it does 20m on Wed., it'll do around 17m-17.5m Thurs.
I'm thinking a 19m (9% drop) Wed followed by a 17m (11% drop) Thurs.
17m+ Thursday though puts it in position to get a 80m-85m 2nd weekend....mind-bottling (you know, what happens when you get your thoughts all trapped in a bottle) If its over $16 million on Thursday well see $80 million IMO. Anything over a $16 million Thursday, that and look the fuck out.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 9:45 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Too bad it's increasing today  _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:09 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Why so low...
...on Friday?
BB rose 84%, BF rose 73%, BR rose 59%. Batman only rose 38%, but it only dropped 12% Mon-Thur. DMC rose by 50%
If this doesn't increase by more than 50% on Friday, then something is wrong. OK, if it's above $17.4m on Thurs., I will tolerate a bit below, but I won't tolerate anything below $26m on Friday.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:45 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch mdana wrote: Why so low...
...on Friday?
BB rose 84%, BF rose 73%, BR rose 59%. Batman only rose 38%, but it only dropped 12% Mon-Thur. DMC rose by 50%
If this doesn't increase by more than 50% on Friday, then something is wrong. OK, if it's above $17.4m on Thurs., I will tolerate a bit below, but I won't tolerate anything below $26m on Friday. I agree with this. A sub-50% increase is almost certainly not happening, not with the WOM this is getting. I could see this dropping less than 20% on Sunday as well, considering Transformers managed to do so on it's second weekend.
Last edited by Biggestgeekever on Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:49 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch mdana wrote: I won't tolerate anything below $26m on Friday. Umm...  _________________
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:53 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch $30+ mil Friday  _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:54 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch Eventine wrote: mdana wrote: I won't tolerate anything below $26m on Friday. Umm... I agree with mdana, you eventine are still being a total pessimist. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:56 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Dark Knight pre-sales and sellout watch If it makes $26 million on Friday, this thing is beating Titanic.
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| Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:58 pm |
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