Author |
Message |
OncomingStorm93
Waitress in LA
Joined: Wed Apr 29, 2015 12:41 pm Posts: 25
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote: Chippy wrote: I would think we need at least $20 mil for the late night shows. Probably closer to $25 mil for a shot at beating the record. Probably but 20 million would be low IMO. Agreed. First Avengers film made 18m with only midnight showings, AoU is having previous throughout the evening, with the frontloaded sequel factor, I'd have to think the floor for midnights tonight is 23m-25m I'd increase that number if it weren't for the Draft.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:14 pm |
|
 |
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.
I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:16 pm |
|
 |
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I've never charted impact of the draft against B.O. Does it really have an impact? I remember getting updates on my phone last year but nothing that couldn't wait until the movie was over.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:16 pm |
|
 |
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19448 Location: San Diego
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I think it'll be able to beat Catching Fire's previews. I'm thinking 26 million.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:18 pm |
|
 |
OncomingStorm93
Waitress in LA
Joined: Wed Apr 29, 2015 12:41 pm Posts: 25
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote: TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.
I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million. AoU is lacking the "franchise finale" factor.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:24 pm |
|
 |
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21604 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote: TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.
I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million. And Deathly Hallows 2 wasn't, Thegun?
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 4:45 pm |
|
 |
OncomingStorm93
Waitress in LA
Joined: Wed Apr 29, 2015 12:41 pm Posts: 25
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Deathly Hollows II was midnight showings only, but in terms of # showings of a film during a midnight only (none of this recent 7pm or 9pm BS, I miss the days where midnight premiers were special), I have never seen anything like DHII. My local theaters had every screen they had showing DHII, a new run starting every minute after 12am. 23 showings at my local mall theater that midnight, all sold out. AoU is only getting 11 showings tonight.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:33 pm |
|
 |
Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
DH2 made 1/4 of its opening weekend gross in 3 hours.
_________________The Dark Prince 
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:39 pm |
|
 |
Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21904 Location: Walking around somewhere
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
zwackerm wrote: Excel wrote: TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.
I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million. And Deathly Hallows 2 wasn't, Thegun? What?
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:56 pm |
|
 |
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21604 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
In my Harry Potter 8 midnight forever thread, you insisted DH2 wasn't just midnight. What about TDKR? Was that midnight only?
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 9:48 pm |
|
 |
Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Thinking 25+ previews are a done deal, above CF here if not in tickets easily in $.
_________________The Dark Prince 
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:02 pm |
|
 |
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Get ready.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:46 pm |
|
 |
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Where are the numbers? I thought preview numbers ( or estimates) would be out already? Its close to 11pm...give me some numbers.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:51 pm |
|
 |
Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21904 Location: Walking around somewhere
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I wonder if anyone can give a breakdown of how much in midnights each state got. Judging from sold out lines for 12 showings (I was at the 7PM and lines were crazy for the 10) NJ might make 3-5 million on its own! Crowd seemed to love it too. I'm seeing it two more times this weekend.
And yes Zwack, I saw DH2 at 10 PM with my mom and brother. Not sure about TDKR, one of the few movies I had to wait til opening day cause I was working.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:54 pm |
|
 |
m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am Posts: 543 Location: DC Metropolitan
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
m051293 wrote: Thursday Previews:  I'm at 124 sellouts and 504 showtimes as of 10PM EST. Here's how that compares with others, which were tracked up till 11:30 PM - 12 AM. AOU - 124/504 (7PM Previews) BD2 - 112/251 (10PM Previews) TDKR - 243/310 (Midnights) TA - 55/174 (Midnights) THG - 87/199 (Midnights) IM3 - 17/260 (9PM Previews) as of 8:45 PM EST BD1 was tracked in DC/VA only, so I've added the comparison for the equivalent theaters: BD1 - 55/108 (Midnights) AOU - 84/287 (7PM Previews) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Also, Friday as of 6PM today:  Comparison: IM3 - 867 shows (as of Opening Friday evening) BD2 - 655 shows (as of Opening Friday evening) TA - 627 shows (as of Opening Friday evening) TDKR - 653 shows (as of prior Wednesday afternoon) THG - 710 shows (as of Opening Friday morning, 1AM)
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 11:49 pm |
|
 |
m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am Posts: 543 Location: DC Metropolitan
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Seems to me like this is behaving like a mega-opener Friday evening, which tend to range around 40-45M in recent years. The showtime volume for Thursday 7PM-12AM is orders of magnitude beyond what we've seen before for previews/midnights. Tele will provide a LA/Metro update later tonight and that might tally up to 800 shows alone. Nationwide we're probably looking at 25% more shows tonight than a typical 150M+ opener's Friday night, but obviously slightly less proportionate demand because the next day is a workday, so I wouldn't expect 25% over the typical 40-45M, but I think 35-40M has become the target.
|
Thu Apr 30, 2015 11:55 pm |
|
 |
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Maybe Disney is gunning for that midnight record afterall.
|
Fri May 01, 2015 12:11 am |
|
 |
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
BTW why aren't their midnight numbers its well past the time when estimated numbers kick in.
|
Fri May 01, 2015 1:23 am |
|
 |
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
|
Fri May 01, 2015 1:38 am |
|
 |
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Nothing on twitter yet. I'm about to go to bed.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
Fri May 01, 2015 1:39 am |
|
 |
m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am Posts: 543 Location: DC Metropolitan
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Rth is suggesting that the Preview figure is sub 30M.
|
Fri May 01, 2015 8:14 am |
|
 |
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Still nothing official from a source I trust
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
Fri May 01, 2015 8:50 am |
|
 |
m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am Posts: 543 Location: DC Metropolitan
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Nope.
|
Fri May 01, 2015 8:59 am |
|
 |
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
m051293 wrote: Rth is suggesting that the Preview figure is sub 30M. Hmmm...considering they started at 7 pM I would say that is quite low. 3d + inflation + showings starting at 7 PM but it couldn't beat The Dark Knight Rises? I know it's May and this is more kid friendly but still I expected more. What did Iron Man 3 do w/ primarily midnights?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Last edited by Excel on Fri May 01, 2015 9:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
|
Fri May 01, 2015 9:14 am |
|
 |
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Anything over $25m is great for it.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
|
Fri May 01, 2015 9:15 am |
|
|