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 The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club 
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Waitress in LA

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote:
Chippy wrote:
I would think we need at least $20 mil for the late night shows. Probably closer to $25 mil for a shot at beating the record.


Probably but 20 million would be low IMO.


Agreed. First Avengers film made 18m with only midnight showings, AoU is having previous throughout the evening, with the frontloaded sequel factor, I'd have to think the floor for midnights tonight is 23m-25m

I'd increase that number if it weren't for the Draft.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:14 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.

I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million.

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Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:16 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I've never charted impact of the draft against B.O. Does it really have an impact? I remember getting updates on my phone last year but nothing that couldn't wait until the movie was over.

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Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:16 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I think it'll be able to beat Catching Fire's previews. I'm thinking 26 million.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:18 pm
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Waitress in LA

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote:
TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.

I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million.


AoU is lacking the "franchise finale" factor.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 1:24 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote:
TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.

I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million.


And Deathly Hallows 2 wasn't, Thegun?


Thu Apr 30, 2015 4:45 pm
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Waitress in LA

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Deathly Hollows II was midnight showings only, but in terms of # showings of a film during a midnight only (none of this recent 7pm or 9pm BS, I miss the days where midnight premiers were special), I have never seen anything like DHII. My local theaters had every screen they had showing DHII, a new run starting every minute after 12am. 23 showings at my local mall theater that midnight, all sold out. AoU is only getting 11 showings tonight.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:33 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
DH2 made 1/4 of its opening weekend gross in 3 hours.

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Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:39 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
zwackerm wrote:
Excel wrote:
TDKR's 30 million with inflation and 3D is low 40s. Those were exclusively midnights.

I know it's May, but since they're starting so early, this should so - at least - 40 million.


And Deathly Hallows 2 wasn't, Thegun?


What?

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Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:56 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
In my Harry Potter 8 midnight forever thread, you insisted DH2 wasn't just midnight. What about TDKR? Was that midnight only?


Thu Apr 30, 2015 9:48 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Thinking 25+ previews are a done deal, above CF here if not in tickets easily in $.

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Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:02 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Get ready.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:46 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Where are the numbers? I thought preview numbers ( or estimates) would be out already? Its close to 11pm...give me some numbers.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:51 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I wonder if anyone can give a breakdown of how much in midnights each state got. Judging from sold out lines for 12 showings (I was at the 7PM and lines were crazy for the 10) NJ might make 3-5 million on its own! Crowd seemed to love it too. I'm seeing it two more times this weekend.

And yes Zwack, I saw DH2 at 10 PM with my mom and brother. Not sure about TDKR, one of the few movies I had to wait til opening day cause I was working.

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Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:54 pm
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
m051293 wrote:
Thursday Previews:

Image

I'm at 124 sellouts and 504 showtimes as of 10PM EST. Here's how that compares with others, which were tracked up till 11:30 PM - 12 AM.

AOU - 124/504 (7PM Previews)

BD2 - 112/251 (10PM Previews)
TDKR - 243/310 (Midnights)
TA - 55/174 (Midnights)
THG - 87/199 (Midnights)
IM3 - 17/260 (9PM Previews) as of 8:45 PM EST

BD1 was tracked in DC/VA only, so I've added the comparison for the equivalent theaters:

BD1 - 55/108 (Midnights)
AOU - 84/287 (7PM Previews)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Also, Friday as of 6PM today:

Image

Comparison:

IM3 - 867 shows (as of Opening Friday evening)
BD2 - 655 shows (as of Opening Friday evening)
TA - 627 shows (as of Opening Friday evening)
TDKR - 653 shows (as of prior Wednesday afternoon)
THG - 710 shows (as of Opening Friday morning, 1AM)


Thu Apr 30, 2015 11:49 pm
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The Incredible Hulk
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Seems to me like this is behaving like a mega-opener Friday evening, which tend to range around 40-45M in recent years. The showtime volume for Thursday 7PM-12AM is orders of magnitude beyond what we've seen before for previews/midnights. Tele will provide a LA/Metro update later tonight and that might tally up to 800 shows alone. Nationwide we're probably looking at 25% more shows tonight than a typical 150M+ opener's Friday night, but obviously slightly less proportionate demand because the next day is a workday, so I wouldn't expect 25% over the typical 40-45M, but I think 35-40M has become the target.


Thu Apr 30, 2015 11:55 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Maybe Disney is gunning for that midnight record afterall.


Fri May 01, 2015 12:11 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
BTW why aren't their midnight numbers its well past the time when estimated numbers kick in.


Fri May 01, 2015 1:23 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
$55.3 m :grrr: :blink: :wacko:







Would be an awfully big number. I wonder if it can get there! :hahaha:


Fri May 01, 2015 1:38 am
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Nothing on twitter yet. I'm about to go to bed.

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Fri May 01, 2015 1:39 am
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The Incredible Hulk
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Rth is suggesting that the Preview figure is sub 30M.


Fri May 01, 2015 8:14 am
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Still nothing official from a source I trust

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Fri May 01, 2015 8:50 am
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The Incredible Hulk
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Nope.


Fri May 01, 2015 8:59 am
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Superfreak
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
m051293 wrote:
Rth is suggesting that the Preview figure is sub 30M.


Hmmm...considering they started at 7 pM I would say that is quite low. 3d + inflation + showings starting at 7 PM but it couldn't beat The Dark Knight Rises?

I know it's May and this is more kid friendly but still I expected more. What did Iron Man 3 do w/ primarily midnights?

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Last edited by Excel on Fri May 01, 2015 9:16 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri May 01, 2015 9:14 am
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Post Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Anything over $25m is great for it.

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Fri May 01, 2015 9:15 am
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