The Sin City Tracking Thread - Int. Opening Wknd: 11.50m The Sin City Tracking Thread - Int. Opening Wknd: 11.50m
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
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Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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http://www.movies.com has a poll going on about what April movie people are most looking forward to
Sin City - 56%
Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - 15%
Amityville Horror - 13%
Beauty Shop - 12%
Fever Pitch - 4%
Good for Sin City =D>, hopefully it'll do decent business opening week.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Sun Mar 20, 2005 10:58 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Shocker that an "internet fanboy" movie leads a "Most Anticipated movies in April" poll. :razz:
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| Sun Mar 20, 2005 11:20 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
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Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Zingaling wrote: Shocker that an "internet fanboy" movie leads a "Most Anticipated movies in April" poll. :razz: I'd consider Hithchiker a internet fanboy movie, and that only got a 15% :2up:
For the most part that site seems more on the casual movie-goer side, looking at some of the scores movies get over there and how some movies like Fast and the Furious 3 has a good hype meter ( 4.27/5 ) _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 1:11 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
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Cool new pic
 _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 1:20 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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By the way, Box Office Mojo has Sin City's theater count estimated at 2,500+.
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 1:50 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
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Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: By the way, Box Office Mojo has Sin City's theater count estimated at 2,500+. :???: check page 14, Ive already posted this wonderful news :wink:
though I am wondering what your estimated theater count is :wink: _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 1:56 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
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Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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I think it could end up with anything from 2800 - 3100 theaters, i'd go with 2900.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 2:04 am |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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I'm changing my prediction to
24.67 Opening weekend
76.19 Total
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 2:08 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Those Who Will Be Seeing Sin City Opening Day/Wknd:
BJ
RogueCommander
Maverikk
Loyalfromlondon
Andrew
Matatonio
Schlomo
FILMO
BennyBlanco
Killuminati510
Zingaling
DPO7
Ghostooze
Torrino
MovieDude
Publicenemy#1
Spiderman2005
JB007
New editions will be placed in bold 
anyone else watching one of the best films of the year :?: :wink:
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 2:12 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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BJ wrote: Zingaling wrote: By the way, Box Office Mojo has Sin City's theater count estimated at 2,500+. :???: check page 14, Ive already posted this wonderful news :wink: though I am wondering what your estimated theater count is :wink: I think it'll have around 2,800-2,900. Near Kill Bill: Volume II's theater count.
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 2:16 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 March Update #5
Opening Wknd:
Levy - 7m
Zingaling - 13.5m
Rogue Commander - 13.7m
Erendis - 14m
Box_2005 - 15m
RB652 - 16m
Dr. Lecter - 16m
Are-why-a-en - 16m
MG Casey - 16.2m
Hans - 16.3
Jon Lyrik - 16.6
Killuminati510 - 17m
FILMO - 19m
Korrgan - 19.8m
Animosity Reigns - 20.5m
JB007 - 21m
Riggs27 - 21m
newfoundglorysp - 23m
Maverikk - 23m
PublicEnemy#1 - 24m
TonyMontana - 24m
Sako16 - 24.67m
Spiderman2005 - 25m
Revolutions - 25m
Mansonmyers - 26m
MadGez - 27.73m
Thomsoncory - 28m
Matatonio - 28m
BJ - 28.0m
DP07 - 29m
MovieDude - 30m
Algren - 31m
Movies35 - 32m
Impact - 33m
PositiveJon - 33.4m
ChipMunky - 34.5m
Samweis Gamschie - 39m
Amos - 126m very bold prediction
Average Opening Wknd Prediction: 24.03m
Average Opening Wknd Prediction With Amos's Prediction: 26.81m
Domestic Total:
Levy - 29m / multiplyer - 4.14
Rogue Commander - 31m / multiplyer 2.26
Zingaling - 35.1m / multiplyer - 2.60
Box_2005 - 40.5m / multiplyer - 2.70
MG Casey - 42m / multiplyer - 2.59
RB652 - 44m / multiplyer - 2.75
Jon Lyrik - 48m / multiplyer - 2.89
Dr. Lecter - 52m / multiplyer - 3.25
Erendis - 54m / multiplyer - 3.86
FILMO - 57m / multiplyer - 3.00
Korrgan - 58.9m / multiplyer - 2.97
newfoundglorysp - 60m / multiplyer - 2.61
Mansonmyers - 62m / multiplyer - 2.38
Hans - 62.5m / multiplyer - 3.83
JB007 - 63m / multiplyer - 3.00
Animosity Reigns - 64.5m / multiplyer - 3.15
Killuminati510 - 65m / multiplyer - 3.82
DP07 - 66m / multiplyer - 2.28
PublicEnemy#1 - 69m / multiplyer - 2.88
TonyMontana - 70m / multiplyer - 2.92
Spiderman2005 - 70m / multiplyer - 2.80
Revolutions - 70m / multiplyer - 2.80
Maverikk - 70m / multiplyer - 3.04
MovieDude - 75m / multiplyer - 2.50
Movies35 - 74m / multiplyer - 2.31
Sako16 - 76.19m / multiplyer - 3.09
MadGez - 78.31m / multiplyer - 2.82
Thompsoncory - 80m / multiplyer - 2.86
Matatonio - 81m / multiplyer - 2.89
Riggs27 - 84m / multiplyer - 4.00
Are-why-a-en - 95m / multiplyer - 5.94
Algren - 106m / multiplyer - 3.42
PositiveJon - 107.2m / multiplyer - 3.21
Impact - 110m / multiplyer - 3.33
ChipMunky - 113m / multiplyer - 3.28
Samweis Gamdschie - 122m / multiplyer - 3.13
BJ - 123m / multiplyer - 4.39
Amos - 940m :cool: bold prediction indeed / multiplyer - 7.46
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 73.73m
Average Domestic Total Prediction With Amos's Prediction: 97.14m
Average Multiplyer: 3.18
Average Mutiplyer with Amos's Prediction: 3.30
Note: Predictions in bold are new or re-assessed predictions
:wink:
_________________The Force Awakens
Last edited by BJ on Mon Mar 21, 2005 3:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 2:57 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
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BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: I'm going to adjust my prediction slightly. I do believe it will have a low multiplier, but there is more room for it to go above my current multiplier then below it. So, I'm keeping the same total, but with a 28m opening. cool, what multiplyer range are you thinking of :?: I'm thinking anything between 2.1-2.6 is possible unless WOM is incredible. Im aiming in the 3.5-4.5 area, I expect great WOM :wink: If it has great WOM, it might just get to 3.0. Seriously, the way this year is shaping up, frontloading is becoming even more severe then I anticipated. The Ring 2 is going to have a multiplier of around 2.
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 7:41 am |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
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Location: New Mexico
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I have one of the highest openings, totals, and wom it looks like!
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Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 1:42 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
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DP07 wrote: BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: I'm going to adjust my prediction slightly. I do believe it will have a low multiplier, but there is more room for it to go above my current multiplier then below it. So, I'm keeping the same total, but with a 28m opening. cool, what multiplyer range are you thinking of :?: I'm thinking anything between 2.1-2.6 is possible unless WOM is incredible. Im aiming in the 3.5-4.5 area, I expect great WOM :wink: If it has great WOM, it might just get to 3.0. Seriously, the way this year is shaping up, frontloading is becoming even more severe then I anticipated. The Ring 2 is going to have a multiplier of around 2. front loading is not that bad, think about it the only films that have had bad legs are the horror/thriller films (Constantine included) and films that were just not recieved well. The only exception to that I can see is Coach Carter. The films that have been recieved well this year and have had outstanding legs are, In Good Company, Soon to be Robots, Hitch, Are We There Yet, The Racing Stripes, and many more.
Most of the hard drops this year have been from massive theater losses, or large storms. As long as Sin City can hold up well for the second wknd (anything under 50%) than it could pull off a great multiplyer. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 2:12 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
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Moriarty's Sin City review
http://aintitcool.com/display.cgi?id=19697
Quote: The short version of all of this is that Robert Rodriguez has come up with a wall-to-wall winner, pure cinema freebase. Between this, KUNG-FU HUSTLE, and THE HITCHHIKER’S GUIDE TO THE GALAXY, April is the first real month of 2005 at the theater. Strap on your gun, buckle up for safety, and kick open the theater door on April 1st. SIN CITY delivers. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon Mar 21, 2005 7:08 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
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Harry's Sin City Review
http://www.aintitcool.com/display.cgi?id=19700
Quote: This film will haunt BATMAN BEGINS this summer. It’s hard to want to see BATMAN done any other way than the Miller way. This film… folks. We have a new cool standard, we’ll all be visiting SIN CITY for our kicks, and this film has stiletto Rockettes to kick your ass. Take everyone you know. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 2:13 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
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BJ wrote: front loading is not that bad, think about it the only films that have had bad legs are the horror/thriller films (Constantine included) and films that were just not recieved well. The only exception to that I can see is Coach Carter. The films that have been recieved well this year and have had outstanding legs are, In Good Company, Soon to be Robots, Hitch, Are We There Yet, The Racing Stripes, and many more.
Most of the hard drops this year have been from massive theater losses, or large storms. As long as Sin City can hold up well for the second wknd (anything under 50%) than it could pull off a great multiplyer. DOAMBW seems to have had good wom, but it dropped anyway. Constantine as well.
Horror and action films tend to drop the most every year, and since this is an action film, it should be no different.
I'm pretty sure Racing Stripes did not have good WOM (mediocre B- at Yahoo), and besides Hitch, the rest you mention (BTW, you forgot The Pacifier) seem to have had decent wom, but nothing special. Most of those held up well because they were family films, while IGC was aimed at older audiences. Hitch was the one huge WOM hit this year, but even it, as a romantic comedy, is in a leggy genre.
You can't compare Sin City to any of those films. It's mostly about the genre, not WOM. Why does nearly every action film drop while family films hold up well? If it were WOM, you would think audiences would long ago have abandoned action films.
I would seriously consider betting my life that Sin City does not drop less then 50% in the second weekend. This film is nearly as naturally frontloaded as they get.
I think there are a few films each year for which the legs are majorly affected by WOM, but for the vast majority that neither have fantastic WOM nor horrible WOM, the effect is minor. SC might be among the few, like Kill Bill Vol. 1, with amazingly positive WOM, but I would not count on it.
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 6:21 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
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Few more reviews
A Review by Tyler Foster
for http://www.funkdiggityfresh.com
http://www.comingsoon.net/forums/showth ... ge=1&pp=25
Quote: The images, the direction, the writing and the performances blend together perfectly, and Sin City is an experience that will stay with me forever. It's a classic. It's a masterpiece. It’s a work of art. Frank Miller's Sin City is nothing short of brilliant. Hero Realm http://www.herorealm.com/Movies/Sincity.htmQuote: SIN CITY will likely prove critic-proof, especially among comic fans; it’s a shiny new toy that will dazzle our senses until the next Cool Thing comes along, and there are certainly worse ways to spend two hours. So sit back, enjoy the ride, and wait for that 2-disc special edition dvd. Juicy Cerebellum http://www.juicycerebellum.com/200507.htmQuote: "Classic" isn't word enough to describe this seductive, powerful, ballsy film. It flirts, fondles and teases its audience right through 'til the end, and, when the credits role, it brings them to release -- resulting in uproarious applause that doesn't seem as though it will ever fade. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 5:37 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am
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Location: Massachusetts
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I'm definetly going to see this opening weekend. I've liked Rodriguez's other films, and I don't think this one will disappoint at all, since it looks like his best. The visual style looks very nice. I was originally going to say that I think the film will do Kill Bill type numbers, but I think the all-star cast will raise the totals up just a little bit.
Opening: $28.6
BO Total: $83.4
_________________My DVD Collection
Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
Last edited by Jmart on Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:21 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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This movie is getting very good reviews, I thought it would get at the highest mixed reviews from the critics.
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:24 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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I just checked rottentomatoes.com and this movie currently has 2 fresh reviews and 0 rotten reviews.
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/sin_city/?show=all
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:28 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Location: Arlington, VA
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Yeah, I suppose 2 reviews shows that it is universally loved. Heh.
Eh, I don't know.
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 7:39 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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Libs wrote: Yeah, I suppose 2 reviews shows that it is universally loved. Heh. Eh, I don't know. She's raining on our fanboy parade. :bur:
Are you going to step up and predict a number for this so BJ can add you to the list? 
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 8:40 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
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Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Maverikk wrote: Libs wrote: Yeah, I suppose 2 reviews shows that it is universally loved. Heh. Eh, I don't know. She's raining on our fanboy parade. :bur: Are you going to step up and predict a number for this so BJ can add you to the list? Nah, I was more commenting on someone feeling the need to highlight the movie's positive reviews when it has *2* in. Heh.
21/60, by the way.
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 8:43 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
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Location: Slumming at KJ
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Libs wrote: Nah, I was more commenting on someone feeling the need to highlight the movie's positive reviews when it has *2* in. Heh.
21/60, by the way. Mark it down , BJ.
And your comment was funny, so I was only teasing. :grin:
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| Tue Mar 22, 2005 8:51 pm |
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