Is that more than Bullyscheißfilme have?

More than all but the first one.

Admissions:

1) 543,814 ALICE
2) 238,518 SHUTTER
3) 208,532 AVATAR
4) 159,544 GOATS
5) 83,466 OCEANS

Less than $20 million away from the domestic number

Less than $100 million away from the worldwide number

Less than 500,000 admissions away from the German number (after a 208,000 weekend)

Give me your predictions, then we'll see who'll be closer.

Although your numbers will be tagged with an asterix since you had one more week to follow box office.

Btw, it didn't make $10m on the weekend like you said it would... FAIL! You also saw $2.61b after this weekend... ANOTHER FAIL!

I didn't say I am not overestimating, did I? I said that you are underestimating no matter what.

It's not "no matter what", they are reasonable numbers. So it didn't collapse in Germany, thank God, but it dropped -60% in UK and i believe -50% in Australia. Even if i'll be wrong it won't be by much.

I didn't say it would be by much either, did I? All I meant was that no matter what number you name it will be below the final one, whether by little or by much...but won't be on the upside spectrum.

Right?

I dunno, can't look into the future.

It's true, however, and i said this many times before, that i tend to be more conservative, especially when it comes to movies i dig, i just feel like i jinx it when i go too high.

Yet Another update


January 7-10, 2010


Rank - Movie - Weekend admissions - Change from Last Week - Total admissions - Week #


1. Avatar - 624,804 - -15.6% - 5,055,375 - 4
2. Did You Hear About the Morgans? - 193,436 - NEW - 221,730 - 1
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel - 151,198 - -39.5% - 1,291,595 - 3
4. Zweiohrküken - 136,507 - -46.8% - 3,828,693 - 6
5. The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus - 124,877 - NEW - 142,582 - 1
6. Soul Kitchen - 103,449 - -26.3% - 642,851 - 3
7. 13 Semester - 56,699 - NEW - 56,699 - 1
8. The Princess and the Frog - 52,737 - -51.2% - 1,273,881 - 5
9. Gamer - 47,694 - NEW - 58,711 - 1
10. Fame - 45,088 - -59% - 583,424 - 3



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At that point it was Avatar's biggest drop to date.

Damn, didn't get around to sending my predictions.

Yep, sorry to hear that...

Looks like THE HURT LOCKER will add 10-20 % to its total this weekend - percentage-wise a HUGE Oscar bounce...

Heh, still the worst BP-winning performer ever in Germany admissions-wise? (well since 1968)

No, CHARIOTS OF FIRE did even less...

Terrible, terrible.

And that after three 2+ million admissions BP nominees of last year.

Of course we have Avatar this time, but that one would have been huge either way.

Admissions:

1) 529,071 ALICE (-3 %)
2) 160,585 AVATAR (-23 %)
3) 159,529 SHUTTER (-33 %)
4) 128,081 TEUFELSKICKER
5) 108,968 GOATS (-32 %)

Oh my, Avatar is back at #2 in Germany (in its 13th week!). Nazgul must be pleasently surprised since it is now looking to easily cruise past his 10.4 million admissions projection.

Meh, Alice had a better drop... (seriously, what's with those legs?!)

Nah, i'm not surprised, that was last week.

Shutter did fall very hard any reason why ?

Very good for Alice and specially Avatar. 11M here we come.

33% is not hard, especially not when Edge of Darkness just opened as a direct competitor.

Hmm...EOD how do you think will be the legs for it in Germany ?

Those are good drops overall, but outstanding for Alice and again very very good for Avatar.

Mediocre

Two more updates


January 14-17, 2010


Rank - Movie - Weekend admissions - Change from Last Week - Total admissions - Week #


1. Avatar - 598,175 - -4.3% - 5,865,259 - 5
2. Friendship! - 336,777 - NEW - 347,570 - 1
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel - 161,114 - +6.6% - 1,478,932 - 4
4. Did You Hear About the Morgans? - 144,386 - -25.4% - 420,458 - 2
5. Zweiohrküken - 113,720 - -16.7% - 3,983,407 - 7
6. The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus - 100,212 - -19.8% - 288,098 - 2
7. Soul Kitchen - 93,032 - -10.1% - 776,704 - 4
8. Nanga Parbat - 60,423 - NEW - 69,741 - 1
9. The Princess and the Frog - 59,094 - +12.1% - 1,343,463 - 6
10. Old Dogs - 42,692 - NEW - 42,951 - 1



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Terrific holds for everything that week and Avatar continues to stand out. The immense legs of Alvin and the Chipmunks 2 are also becoming obvious.

January 21-24, 2010


Rank - Movie - Weekend admissions - Change from Last Week - Total admissions - Week #


1. Avatar - 593,283 - -0.8% - 6,677,246 - 6
2. Friendship! - 292,735 - -13.1% - 748,434 - 2
3. It's Complicated - 226,193 - NEW - 263,436 - 1
4. Vorstadtkrokodile 2 - 132,780 - NEW - 134,176 - 1
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel - 125,212 - -22.3% - 1,630,439 - 5
6. Surrogates - 96,921 - NEW - 96,921 - 1
7. Did You Hear About the Morgans? - 77,263 - -46.5% - 541,974 - 3
8. Zweiohrküken - 72,036 - -36.4% - 4,089,324 - 8
9. Soul Kitchen - 65,716 - -29.4% - 880,025 - 5
10. The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus - 62,954 - -37.2% - 386,180 - 3


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Avatar continued to impress, while It's Complicated disappointed a bit in its opening.