Predict Avatanic's 7th Wknd


Chip Munkingtin - 35.1 +1%
BJs Prediction: 34.2m -2%
Lancer1997 - 32m -8%
Soagg - 31.8m -8%
Enki - 31.5m -9%
Benny Blanco - 29.0m -17%
Revatar - 28.6m -18%

Average: 31.74m -8%


closed

Predict Avatanic's Friday


Chip Munkington - 8.2 +160%
Enki - 8.0m +154%
Soagg - 7.80m +146%
BJs Prediction: 7.60m +140%
Revatar - 7.34m +132%


Average: 7.60m +140%

closed

Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 600m


-Enki - 45
-BJ - 47
-Eventine - 49
-MinkeQ - 50
-Wogusvh - 50
-Revatar - 52
-Soagg - 54


closed


Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 700m

-BJ - 68
-Enki - 70
-Revatar - 74
-Soagg - 80

will close on presidents Day Monday

Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 4 update #4 Death Round


Chip Munkington - 601m
Soagg - 602m
Revatar - 612.5m
Mark66 - 625m
Nazgul - 634m
Xiayun - 635m
Dr. Lecter - 655m
Lilmac - 660m
Proud Ryu - 667m
Mesjarch - 700m
Wogusvh - 708m
Telemachos - 710m
Nazgul - 712m
Chip Munkington - 717m
DIB2 - 720m
BennyBlanco - 740m
Revatar - 746m
lilmac - 750m
Bryan_Smith - 750m
Eventine - 754m
Lotan - 770m
2001 - 775
Keyser Soze - 777m
Jmovies - 800m
Soagg - 840m
BJ - 850m
EnKi - 1.025b


Average Domestic Total Prediction: 786.78m (only those over 700m)

newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.

Three rounds down, this is the final round, it closes the day Avatanic passes Titanic whether that be in Jan or Feb or March. Those in RED are eliminated and can post a new prediction of they please.

Predict Avatanic's Saturday



BJs Prediction: 15.40m +105%


Average: 15.4m +105%

you have until estimates are posted, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.

Saturday- $15.5

It's dropping 20% or less on Sunday.

no doubt

under prediction

That's funny. 2 weeks ago I bought tickets to see Avatar in IMAX tomorrow. It wasn't easy. You have to be in front of the computer waiting for the moment they make reservations available online for that day. Then, you select the seats of your choice, it is like booking a flight! If you miss it, you have to seat in the front row or in the lateral side.

BJ likes

How so? It never dropped better than 25% on a normal sunday that is followed by a normal monday.

Because last weekend had 6-7 hours straight of championship football - with almost 60 million viewers, causing big time drops. Avatar fell 40% last Sunday. This weekend Sundays number will be down a bit or flat with last Sunday because of no football.

Yeah but it won't be down (probably) by only 20% compared to saturday. Films drop more than that on sunday.

Last weekend Avatar increased 80% on Sat.

Sat- $13,500,000 (+80%)
Sun- $10,125,000 (-25%)

That Sunday number would be a +5.6% increase over last Sundays number...It could fall almost 30% on Sunday and still be flat with last Sunday.

true, the munk exaggerated a bit, but I think a 24% sunday drop is possible, this will be the films first sunday not hampered by big NFL playoffs and College Football bowls, the pro bowl is a joke, the impact will be no existent. a 25% drop or better is guaranfrickinteed.

Wasn't i clear enough? I'm not talking about the week-to-week drop but daily drop. And Munk is neither.

I already posted them here it goes again

Saturday - 13.8M
Sunday - 10.2M

Avatar will continue to melt faces

Saturday - 14.3m +90%
Sunday - 10.7m -25%

Theater Monitoring Report for Avatar 1/30/10

All AMC Theaters

3D screens unless noted, sellouts on right 1st # 1/23/10, 2nd # 1/30/10

Tysons Corner

14 Showings-8/0

Hoffman 22

8 Showings-5/0
IMAX 3D 4 Showings-3/3

Hampton 24

7 Showings-0
IMAX 3D 4 showings-0
2D 3 Showings-dropped

Potomac Mills 18

8 Showings-5/0
IMAX 3D 4 showings-3/0

Mazza Gallerie 8

4 Showings-0/0

Columbia 14

8 Showings-5/0

IMAX 3D 5 showings-4/3

Security Square 8

4 2D showings-0/0

Lynnhaven 18

5? Showings-0/1(2)
IMAX 3D 3? showings-0/0(1)

I am assuming no more sellouts at this point. I will update any changes.

Hampton dropped 2D screen and 3 showings. Lynnhaven dropped 2 showings 3D and 1 IMAX due to weather. The theater closed early with no showings for any movie after 7:30 at a minimum and perhaps as early as 5:00. Lynnhaven definitely had at least one sell-out, but I am not sure if it had 3 due to the fact they were taking the showings off for all films around 4:30-5:00. Movies like Alvin and other films I know did not sell out were registering as sellouts for the 5-7 period.

Overall, 6 (8) sellouts compared to 33 last week and a loss of 6 showings. Snow had a major impact and it is impossible to extrapolate much from my local area.

I would estimate $12.75m for Saturday with a range between $13.0-12.5m. A relatively small Saturday increase (compared to previous Sats.) more likely and a 20-25% weekly drop. I must reiterate that my theater sample may not be a good match due to the fact of the snow storm. I should probably go much lower, but this storm affected less than 10% of the US population, so I don't think it will impact Avatar too badly nationwide.

I deleted a double post.

Sunday- $10M