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 Scores with Actuals 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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If Mindhunters is 0.285 million as showbizdata has, it still has a chance at 0.84M for the weekend, which will round to 0.8, and it just has as good a chance to reach 0.95, which will round to 1.0. Should be interesting.

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My thoughts on box office


Sat May 21, 2005 1:56 pm
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
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Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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With MgCasey's I have an 88.89%.
With Xiayun's I have a 91.18%.

Well, I hope for my sake that xiayun is right. But great score nethertheless. :grin:

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Sat May 21, 2005 2:38 pm
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Extra on the Ordinary
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm
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84.41%


I was doing fine.


and then I predicted $0.6 million for Mindhunters.

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Sat May 21, 2005 3:38 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:54 pm
Posts: 1585
Location: New Zealand
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Using the average projections of MG Casey and Xiayun (seems logical if you can only have on set of numbers on BOF, if you guys disagree with that method just change it :wink: ):

Revenge Of The Sith - (140.2 / 162) -- Accuracy: 86.54%
Monster-In-Law - (12.9 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 91.49%
Kicking & Screaming - (11.8 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Crash - (4.8 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 87.27%
Unleashed - (4.7 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 72.97%
Kingdom Of Heaven - (4.4 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 70.59%
House Of Wax - (3.2 / 3) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
The Interpreter - (2.7 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 96.43%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.2 / 2) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Mindhunters - (0.7 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 77.78%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 86.64%

New Release: 83.89%
Still in Theater: 87.33%

Okay score. Anything above my average is fine by me, but I thought with 1 new release 89+ was maybe on the cards this round.

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Sat May 21, 2005 3:47 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
Posts: 1777
Location: The Dirty South
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87.23 %..

I was wondering why my hitchhiker prediction was so stinking high, so i brought up my spreadhseet and noticed the formula for Sunday on that cell had a + instead of a - :cry: So basically i increased Hitchhiker 35% instead of decreasing it :???:

so i should be in the 90's ...sigh


Sat May 21, 2005 3:54 pm
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College Boy T

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
Posts: 16020
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trixster wrote:
Nebs wrote:
trixster wrote:
83.42% with MG's

83.49% with xiayun's

By the way, for those who remember, I used to be a fairly big poster at BOM, at then I moved here... I haven't posted in 7 months or so though. I decided to come out of hiding for ROTS. :wink:


Hey! Wb trixster...saw you on BOM couple of days ago and glad you came back here as well.


Thanks.

Heh.

I sent you an e-mail a while ago (the little e-mail button on the bottom) to see what had happened.


Sat May 21, 2005 4:51 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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ROTS - (137.3 / 162) -- Accuracy: 84.75%
Monster-In-Law - (14.3 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 98.58%
Kicking and Screaming - (12 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 98.31%
Crash - (4.9 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 89.09%
Unleashed - (5.4 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 54.05% :mad:
Kingdom Of Heaven - (4.5 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 67.65%
House of Wax - (3.4 / 3) -- Accuracy: 86.67%
The Interpreter - (3.1 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 89.29%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.4 / 2) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Mindhunters - (.9 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 84.84%

New Release: 90.00%
Still in Theater: 83.55%


Sat May 21, 2005 5:11 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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torrino wrote:
trixster wrote:
Nebs wrote:
trixster wrote:
83.42% with MG's

83.49% with xiayun's

By the way, for those who remember, I used to be a fairly big poster at BOM, at then I moved here... I haven't posted in 7 months or so though. I decided to come out of hiding for ROTS. :wink:


Hey! Wb trixster...saw you on BOM couple of days ago and glad you came back here as well.


Thanks.

Heh.

I sent you an e-mail a while ago (the little e-mail button on the bottom) to see what had happened.

Did you? Sorry, I had changed my e-mail, so I didn't get it.
But I'm back now, at least for the summer. :wink:

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sat May 21, 2005 6:07 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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I got 78, I didn't have my head on when I put 6 for Unleashed :oops:

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Sat May 21, 2005 11:55 pm
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Star Trek XI
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Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am
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Location: Ukraine,Kyiv
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With estimates 86.52%


Last edited by Vovanik on Sun May 22, 2005 2:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun May 22, 2005 4:03 am
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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With estimates:

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - (150 / 158.5) -- Accuracy: 94.64%
Monster-in-Law - (14.3 / 14.4) -- Accuracy: 99.31%
Kicking and Screaming - (11.9 / 10.5) -- Accuracy: 86.67%
Crash - (4.7 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 85.45%
Unleashed - (4.3 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 86.84%
Kingdom of Heaven - (4.3 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 73.53%
House of Wax - (3.2 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Interpreter - (2.7 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 96.43%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.2 / 2) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Mindhunters - (0.8 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 88.89%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 90.18%

_________________
Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sun May 22, 2005 12:53 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Estimates

ROTS - (137.3 / 158.5) -- Accuracy: 86.62%
Monster In Law - (14.3 / 14.4) -- Accuracy: 99.31%
Kicking and Screaming - (12 / 10.5) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Crash - (4.9 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 89.09%
Unleashed - (5.4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 57.89% :evil:
Kingdom of Heaven - (4.5 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 67.65% :mad:
House of Wax - (3.4 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
The Interpreter - (3.1 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 89.29%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.4 / 2) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Mindhunters - (.9 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.93%


Sun May 22, 2005 1:01 pm
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Sith - (155 / 158.5) -- Accuracy: 97.79%
Monster-In-Law - (13.2 / 14.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67%
Kicking & Screaming - (12.5 / 10.5) -- Accuracy: 80.95%
Crash - (4.9 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 89.09%
Unleashed - (4.6 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 78.95%
Kingdom of Heaven - (4.6 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 64.71%
House of Wax - (3 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
The Interpreter - (2.6 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.4 / 2) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Mindhunters - (0.7 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 77.78%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.75%

This week, I don't care much about my score. :D

But, great job xiayun!


Sun May 22, 2005 1:01 pm
loyalfromlondon
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Revenge of the Sith - (139 / 158.5) -- Accuracy: 87.70%
Monster-In-Law - (12.7 / 14.4) -- Accuracy: 88.19%
Kicking & Screaming - (11.1 / 10.5) -- Accuracy: 94.29%
Crash - (5.3 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 96.36%
Unleashed - (5.5 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 55.26%
Kingdom of Heaven - (4.3 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 73.53%
House of Wax - (3 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
The Interpreter - (2.5 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 89.29%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.3 / 2) -- Accuracy: 85.00%
Mindhunters - (.8 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 88.89%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 85.23%

New Release: 86.94%
Still in Theater: 84.80%

Pretty decent, considering I messed up Unleashed and Kingdom...

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sun May 22, 2005 1:28 pm
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King Albert!
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I got an 89.22%. With xiayun's score, it should be a very close race for 3rd (or even 2nd) place on the yearly chart.

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Sun May 22, 2005 1:29 pm
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Star Wars: Episode III - 87.70% ( 139.0 / 158.5 )
Monster-In-Law - 95.14% ( 13.7 / 14.4 )
Kicking and Screaming - 98.10% ( 10.3 / 10.5 )
Unleashed - 81.58% ( 4.5 / 3.8 )
Kingdom of Heaven - 64.71% ( 4.6 / 3.4 )
Crash - 92.73% ( 5.1 / 5.5 )
House of Wax - 100.00% ( 3.2 / 3.2 )
The Hitchhiker's Guide - 85.00% ( 2.3 / 2.0 )
The Interpreter - 100.00% ( 2.8 / 2.8 )
Mindhunters - 88.89% ( 0.8 / 0.9 )

Accuracy: 89.383%

I thought I would have a bad score on Unleashed, so 81% is good.

My projections: 95.65%
xiayun's projection: 96.76%

Ah, xiayun projected too close for me!


Sun May 22, 2005 1:33 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Scott Vasquez wrote:
I got an 89.22%. With xiayun's score, it should be a very close race for 3rd (or even 2nd) place on the yearly chart.


Casey did well this week too, so we'll only be a little closer, if at all.

Thanks Nebs!

I will probably need House of Wax to stay at 3.2 and Hitchhiker to move up to at least 2.1 to have a chance at winning this week, considering some of scores I saw from the Domestic vs. International game.

_________________
Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sun May 22, 2005 1:37 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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86.80% for the Derby, I am happy.


Sun May 22, 2005 1:49 pm
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No Wire Tampons!

Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
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84.8%...meh
At least i hit a 94% for sith and a near 100% for House of Wax

Hitchiker, Unleashed and Kingdom of Heaven's horrific drops killed me.

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Sun May 22, 2005 2:23 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
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Location: At the edge of reality
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86.79% ... I think I should be happy with it...


Sun May 22, 2005 2:26 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Derby: 82.68%
Inferno and Dom vs. International: 83.63%

](*,)


Sun May 22, 2005 2:30 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
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Location: The Dirty South
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Only got an 85% ..hitch and unleashed killed me...

however my wife wants me to post if estimates hold up she hit Star Wars at 100%...shes happy, zzzzz


Sun May 22, 2005 4:33 pm
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And I have not sent the forecast, because i has forgotten that deadline - wednesday :-(

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Sun May 22, 2005 5:22 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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86.26% - which I'm very happy with, because it is about 2% over projections! Sweet stuff. Not a good weekend for me, but still a respectable enough score for me.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sun May 22, 2005 5:29 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Scores With Actuals:

Derby - 87.08%
DomVsInt - 87.61%

This has gotta be one of the first times ever that my score increased from projections to estimates, and then from estimates to actuals. It usually starts out best for me with projections, and then goes way down hill. heh.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Mon May 23, 2005 4:47 pm
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