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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas polled as poorly as Battleship here. We could be off a bit but $30m+ seems like a stretch.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 5:53 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1887
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions smell a lot of duds coming up this summer...
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| Sun May 24, 2015 5:54 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions #2015flops
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| Sun May 24, 2015 11:23 pm |
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devon28flick
SO FETCH!
Joined: Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:35 pm
Posts: 309
Location: Sunnyside Daycare
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - 55
Aloha - 14
I feel like we are seriously underestimating San Andreas. I don't see it open below Noah, which is considered a disaster film.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 12:31 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25324
Location: Classified
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: San Andreas polled as poorly as Battleship here. We could be off a bit but $30m+ seems like a stretch. This is how I've always felt, and I'm as big of a Rock fan as you'll find. Earthquakes were a boring threat and are now far too real a threat. There was never the middle ground this movie would need to succeed. 2012 had earthquakes, tsunamis, super volcanoes and an ancient Mayan prophecy.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 2:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Flava'd makes a valid point. It would be like making a Die Hard film in 2017 with only one terrorist and expecting it to blow people away. Or a Jurassic Park film all about the triceratops. San Andreas really is from the 1990s in every single way. It just looks so unspectacular, even its effects. I swear ID4 had better effects. And poor old Dwayne, he's this century's Jesse Ventura. Sure, he earns more and he's more pumped, but he's comparatively (to his box office) as pathetic and unpopular.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 10:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions I can't see overseas audiences caring either. It might make $300m worldwide just because its opening in the summer and is a largely easy watch blockbuster. But Battle: Los Angeles kind of proves that nobody cares about these films anymore. Alien invasions, mass destruction etc. Unless it's a Transformers film. It could gross exactly what B: LA did actually, but being that it's the summer, a little more ($300m) is likely.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 11:49 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Still believe San Andreas will be big, earning more than 120 million total stateside.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 12:02 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions I have a hard time not seeing this do at least $35 m. The horrendous looking Hercules (second film that year) did $30 m. The Rock can anchor $25-30 m openings usually on his own.
With this weekend underwhelming, Andreas can overperform a bit. Add in goodwill from the Fast franchise and $50 m is doable imo.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 2:07 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22194
Location: Places
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions SA's marketing IMO has been fairly strong. If it fails I think it's due to a played out concept. The shots of the tidal wave would have been killer 10 years ago.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 2:49 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions SA only has 20K user ratings on RT, a pretty terrible figure for a disaster film with just a few days to go.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 3:01 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Another issue I've started to think about is that SF is the new "it" place it seems for film locations for these big budget action blockbusters. It's featured in San Andreas, Ant-Man, AND Terminator and that's just this summer. It was also featured for Planet of the Apes, Big Hero 6, Godzilla, Pacific Rim, Ghost Protocol, Transcendence, Star Trek 1/2 and probably more that I missed.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 3:03 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Magnus wrote: the tidal wave isnt a good enough money shot for me.
frankly, I'm only going to check it out cause The Rock is awesome and Alexandra Daddario is a smoke. Haha, the film makes such blatant use of Daddario being smoking hot, worth 3D alone. Her first scene is of course in a bikini. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Mon May 25, 2015 6:25 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions That being said, Carla Gugino is such a MILF too.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 6:26 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions I'm kind of in the mood for an old school crappy disaster movie. I was watching The Day After Tomorrow on cable the other day and forgot how awesomely dumb that movie is.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 6:47 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Gugino  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon May 25, 2015 6:56 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions I don't get the Daddario love.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 7:00 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions You have seen "True Detective"?
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| Mon May 25, 2015 7:06 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21528
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Algren wrote: Gugino I agree, much hotter than Daddario.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 7:40 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68297
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Dr. Lecter wrote: You have seen "True Detective"? Yes. Awesome scene. She has amazing boobs. But she ain't "beautiful" or "pretty" from the neck up, which is the main part in my opinion. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon May 25, 2015 8:23 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Those eyes are amazing.
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| Mon May 25, 2015 8:40 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Daddario is wonderful and should be in anything/everything.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Tue May 26, 2015 10:46 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions I think it will open to 25 million and lower
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| Tue May 26, 2015 4:11 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Excel wrote: SA's marketing IMO has been fairly strong. If it fails I think it's due to a played out concept. The shots of the tidal wave would have been killer 10 years ago. that is the thing movies like Deep Impact already did that tidal wave shot. There is no way to top a Tidal wave that wipes out the whole east coast.
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| Tue May 26, 2015 7:14 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22194
Location: Places
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Majority of the 18-35 hasnt seen or doesnt remember Deep Impact or that scene, so...The Day AFTer Tomorrow's wave, perhaps, but not DI.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Tue May 26, 2015 7:52 pm |
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