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 Weekend Estimates 
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
mark66 wrote:
Yeah, 6 votes is really a huge sample...

I was referring to the written reviews - - KJ's polls are unreliable at the best of times.
Okay, the reviews are:
A-
A
C
A
(there's a D from Heinrich Himmler as well, but he didn't write a review, so it doesn't count as you refer to the written reviews...

And 4 reviews are not a huge sample as well - bigger samples can be found at Rotten Tomatoes (92 % from 105) and IMDB (8.7 from 7,762)

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 3:27 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


Sun Jun 15, 2014 3:28 pm
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Speed Racer
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


Again...so what?


Sun Jun 15, 2014 3:30 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
mark66 wrote:
there's a D from Heinrich Himmler as well, but he didn't write a review

Incorrect.


mark66 wrote:
And 4 reviews are not a huge sample as well - bigger samples can be found at Rotten Tomatoes (92 % from 105) and IMDB (8.7 from 7,762)

You've been around long enough to know the fallacies of that argument.


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Edit: Added link to Heinrich Himmler's review.


Last edited by Bradley Witherberry on Sun Jun 15, 2014 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jun 15, 2014 3:32 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
mark66 wrote:
there's a D from Heinrich Himmler as well, but he didn't write a review

Incorrect.





He didn't see the film.

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 3:44 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


"Full spectrum"...4 reviews. :)
You can call them Movie Gods, Box Office Masters or WoM Prophets and it still won't impress me.

I've been here for a week or so now and I don't know the most of people commenting here. My question is: Are you a troll...or a 12 y.o. boy...or maybe both?


Sun Jun 15, 2014 4:18 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Great hold for Edge of Tomorrow. Will probably go sub-40 next weekend with no big new direct competition. And I think Fault can do sub-45% next weekend.


Sun Jun 15, 2014 4:19 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Fault down 10% Saturday. I suppose that first Saturday drop looks a bit better now that we see its pattern. The Saturday was worse than even I expected, it was the Friday that was deceptive. I expect it to drop with actuals as I don't think it will hold 37% on Fathers Day.

DOFP is on pace for over 235m at the moment.


Sun Jun 15, 2014 5:08 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Star Lord wrote:
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


"Full spectrum"...4 reviews. :)
You can call them Movie Gods, Box Office Masters or WoM Prophets and it still won't impress me.

I've been here for a week or so now and I don't know the most of people commenting here. My question is: Are you a troll...or a 12 y.o. boy...or maybe both?


No, he is Bradley Witherberry.

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 5:09 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Star Lord wrote:
I've just seen "HTTYD2". Well, it's too good to end up below $200M or even $300M. WoM should be great. :)


There have been some great films that deserved better BO results, not just this thing

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 5:18 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


"Full spectrum"...4 reviews. :)
You can call them Movie Gods, Box Office Masters or WoM Prophets and it still won't impress me.

I've been here for a week or so now and I don't know the most of people commenting here. My question is: Are you a troll...or a 12 y.o. boy...or maybe both?


No, he is Bradley Witherberry.


Who?


Sun Jun 15, 2014 5:45 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Brian wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
I've just seen "HTTYD2". Well, it's too good to end up below $200M or even $300M. WoM should be great. :)


There have been some great films that deserved better BO results, not just this thing


Maybe. All I wanted to say is that linking your own opinion about a movie with its box office is just stupid to me.


Sun Jun 15, 2014 5:47 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Star Lord wrote:
Brian wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
I've just seen "HTTYD2". Well, it's too good to end up below $200M or even $300M. WoM should be great. :)


There have been some great films that deserved better BO results, not just this thing


Maybe. All I wanted to say is that linking your own opinion about a movie with its box office is just stupid to me.

:huh:

HUH? You are the one who is doing that, inciting that 300m is not fair for a very good film like this

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 6:09 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Brian wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Brian wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
I've just seen "HTTYD2". Well, it's too good to end up below $200M or even $300M. WoM should be great. :)


There have been some great films that deserved better BO results, not just this thing


Maybe. All I wanted to say is that linking your own opinion about a movie with its box office is just stupid to me.

:huh:

HUH? You are the one who is doing that, inciting that 300m is not fair for a very good film like this


You probably didn't read my following comment. In case you had, you should have checked up the word "irony" in the dictionary next. :)


Sun Jun 15, 2014 6:20 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Star Lord wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


"Full spectrum"...4 reviews. :)
You can call them Movie Gods, Box Office Masters or WoM Prophets and it still won't impress me.

I've been here for a week or so now and I don't know the most of people commenting here. My question is: Are you a troll...or a 12 y.o. boy...or maybe both?


No, he is Bradley Witherberry.


Who?


Bradley Witherberry, man, legendary troll...

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 7:13 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Bradley Witherberry wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Yes, I think WoM for HTTYD2 should be great, based on my reception of the film, my assumption on the reception of the film by other viewers and the very positive reviews. A few pasted links won't change my mind.

Those "pasted links" are to our own review threads - - the full spectrum of opinion of the World of KJ's members.


"Full spectrum"...4 reviews. :)
You can call them Movie Gods, Box Office Masters or WoM Prophets and it still won't impress me.

I've been here for a week or so now and I don't know the most of people commenting here. My question is: Are you a troll...or a 12 y.o. boy...or maybe both?


No, he is Bradley Witherberry.


Who?


Bradley Witherberry, man, legendary troll...


So I was right. :)

Ok, now we can stop littering this thread and go back to talk about the box office.


Sun Jun 15, 2014 7:22 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
So Edge of Tomorrow will end up with Elysium numbers? If legs keep up,100 million is possible.


Sun Jun 15, 2014 7:53 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Excellent start for 22 Jump Street. An increase from the first one was always in the cards, but it's mightily impressive to see it nab one of the biggest opening weekends on record for an R-rated film. Sony did a great job of selling it as a bigger event than its predecessor, and the move to summer certainly paid off.

Disappointing opening for Dragon 2. There's already more than enough analysis on the film's performance elsewhere on the forum, so suffice it to say that the film could and should have gone higher, but it's not doing badly, either. With summer weekdays and limited direct competition up until the Planes sequel, it still has a shot at hitting $200 million.

Maleficent is still doing really well, even despite competition from Dragon this weekend. $220-225 million could be a reachable goal, and we finally have our first somewhat leggy film of the season.

Edge of Tomorrow held up decently. Hopefully it will continue to hold up well, although I don't think it's going to have the stamina to top $100 million.

The Fault in Our Stars took a big hit, but that was expected. We'll see where it goes from here, but if the last week is any indication of where it's going from here, the weekday business is going to be especially important to watch.

X-Men nailed a great hold, even if it's too late after two big drops.

Godzilla could squeeze past $200 million if all goes well from here on out.

A Million Ways to Die in the West and Neighbors both held a little bit better than I was expecting, although both were expectedly and understandably hit hard by the size of 22 Jump Street's opening.

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 9:59 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Fairly soft debut for The Rover considering the star power and ultra-limited theatre count.

Focus completely fumbled The Signal. Bizarre release.

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 11:03 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Star Lord wrote:
Brian wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
Brian wrote:
Star Lord wrote:
I've just seen "HTTYD2". Well, it's too good to end up below $200M or even $300M. WoM should be great. :)


There have been some great films that deserved better BO results, not just this thing


Maybe. All I wanted to say is that linking your own opinion about a movie with its box office is just stupid to me.

:huh:

HUH? You are the one who is doing that, inciting that 300m is not fair for a very good film like this


You probably didn't read my following comment. In case you had, you should have checked up the word "irony" in the dictionary next. :)


I didn't care about your followed comment even if you started using 'irony' to excuse your first original argument :pinch:

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Sun Jun 15, 2014 11:28 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Based on the %'s on movietickets.com, it would seem that Dragon either had a great day, 22JS had a bad day, or both. Dragon was easily out in front of 22JS in ticket sales on the site. Also, EoT, Maleficent, and X-Men all increased while FAULT fell out of the top 5. I"m expecting a 45%+ drop for it since it's like the anit-Father's Day movie. It will easily have the best Monday hold though.


Mon Jun 16, 2014 12:29 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Spidey is $1.7m away from $200m coming off a $960k weekend. Could be touch and go, but I think it will do it.

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Mon Jun 16, 2014 8:43 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
It will do it, it still has the 4th of July weekend

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Mon Jun 16, 2014 9:19 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
By that time it will be making around $30k per day. That weekend will mean nothing.

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Mon Jun 16, 2014 9:21 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
It might get a late-summer bump. Perhaps Sony will reissue it as a double feature with 22 Jump Street in the dog days.

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Mon Jun 16, 2014 9:25 am
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