| Author |
Message |
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
 Re: May 2-4 Predictions After seeing the movie I don't think this will generate enough interest on Saturday and Sunday outside of the core fanbase. I am now doubting $100m OW for this.
Changing mine to $97m just above CA2 because of a HUGE OD.
|
| Tue Apr 29, 2014 9:35 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Quote: 'The Amazing Spider-Man 2' Looking Rosy
By Alex Edghill
Tuesday Morning Update: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 had a strong start to its week with 16,690 tweets on the day, good enough for fourth spot amongst all tracked films. The most important comparison here will be the first film of the reboot franchise The Amazing Spider-Man which actually had just 3,322 tweets four days before its release. The first film had a much different release pattern as it was released on a Tuesday and managed to rack up $137 million through its first six days and over $750 million worldwide. Its is common for sequels to see a big bump in traffic over the original, but with significantly more traffic I believe it is in line for more box office riches. It should be able to top 9 digits and be the first film on the year to crack $100 million, while also securing the number 1 opening of 2014 (currently held by Captain America: The Winter Soldier's $95 million).
The Fault In Our Stars continues to do surprisingly well on Twitter, as it led all films on Monday thanks to a new trailer. Star Shailene Woodley has really exploded this year and this film plays very well to young girls and women who are one of the most vocal demographics on Twitter. The fact that the worst three tweet to box office dollar ratios this year came from films catering to this demo (Vampire Academy, Endless Love and Divergent) serve as timely reminders. Stars looks to be a Summer hit in the wings as it is handily trouncing Endless Love's numbers at the same distance out.
|
| Wed Apr 30, 2014 2:38 am |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Again it might have a big OD but I believe the WOM might prevent it to open above $100m.
|
| Wed Apr 30, 2014 3:00 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions WOM won't be so bad that it will hurt it OW. I'm sure audiences will enjoy it well enough.
|
| Wed Apr 30, 2014 3:05 am |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Let's hope so.
BTW I am surprised that Walk of Shame doesn't have a single RT review yet. Not good signs for it. I think they could have released it wide at some later time and have earned $8m-$10m theatrically.
|
| Wed Apr 30, 2014 3:19 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions I think Walk of Shame would have been good for 6-7 Million OW with a wide release. Seems like an odd choice to receive a limited one.
|
| Wed Apr 30, 2014 3:29 am |
|
|
|
Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Spiderman is on the verge of going rotten. The last film to have rotten reviews that opened the summer was Wolverine Origins.
|
| Wed Apr 30, 2014 7:20 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions I am not surprised that the Top Critics are not liking this one. Its just one of the weakest entry with good action scenes IMO and I was yearning for the quality level similar to Spider-Man 2.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 2:52 am |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions There you go we now have our first RT rotten Spidey movie.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 9:52 am |
|
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68391
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Jedi Master Carr wrote: Spiderman is on the verge of going rotten. The last film to have rotten reviews that opened the summer was Wolverine Origins. That's a shame, but it was poised to be rotten. You could hear the critics sharpening their knives at the sight of such a huge and in-your-face marketing campaign. They don't like blockbusters. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 10:06 am |
|
|
|
thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14628
Location: LA / NYC
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions It's kind of going back and forth. It could still end up fresh by tomorrow.
It's a shame. It's leagues better than Spider-Man 3. Shouldn't affect the box office at all though - it's a total crowdpleaser.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 10:17 am |
|
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68391
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions If it's hovering over Fresh/Rotten, then it means it will ultimately end up as rotten. When the newspaper reviews come in (usually later than the rest), they are usually harsher, so it will receive more negatives, pushing it over into Rotten. But as you said, it makes little difference, it's not the first time a mega blockbuster has received a Rotten RT score and still made hundreds of millions.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 10:24 am |
|
|
|
Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions If it is as bad as the reviews suggest, it will effect its legs. I think we can forget 300 million with these reviews, and 250 may not happen unless it opens very well. Really, Sony better not bring back Webb and also hire different writers for the next one.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 12:17 pm |
|
|
|
thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14628
Location: LA / NYC
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Reviews aren't even that bad. The average rating on RT is a 6/10.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 12:42 pm |
|
|
|
Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions It is under 6 now at 5.9 and the top critics are awful at 35%. The reviews remind me of MOS last year. I will probably be going with very low expectations.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 12:53 pm |
|
|
|
The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Algren wrote: Jedi Master Carr wrote: Spiderman is on the verge of going rotten. The last film to have rotten reviews that opened the summer was Wolverine Origins. That's a shame, but it was poised to be rotten. You could hear the critics sharpening their knives at the sight of such a huge and in-your-face marketing campaign. They don't like blockbusters. As evidenced by THE WINTER SOLDIER's awful reviews, and IRON MAN 3's last year, and THE DARK KNIGHT RISES' in 2012...
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 4:31 pm |
|
|
|
Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions The Dark Shape wrote: Algren wrote: Jedi Master Carr wrote: Spiderman is on the verge of going rotten. The last film to have rotten reviews that opened the summer was Wolverine Origins. That's a shame, but it was poised to be rotten. You could hear the critics sharpening their knives at the sight of such a huge and in-your-face marketing campaign. They don't like blockbusters. As evidenced by THE WINTER SOLDIER's awful reviews, and IRON MAN 3's last year, and THE DARK KNIGHT RISES' in 2012... The Avengers and all of the Harry Potter movies come to mind as well. Hell, the previous Spiderman movie got over 70%. I think this film just has problems.
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 6:10 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Youtube: 104.5m
Prediction: 103m
That's top 5 all time on Youtube, but more people are using it to watch trailers than ever. The final trailer did poorly, which tends to mean a weak ratio. It will still be one of 4 100m trailers for the year along with DOFP, Transformers 4, and TMNT.
The Other Woman: -44%
Brick Mansions: -58%
The Quiet Ones: -64%
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 7:00 pm |
|
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68391
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions The Dark Shape wrote: Algren wrote: Jedi Master Carr wrote: Spiderman is on the verge of going rotten. The last film to have rotten reviews that opened the summer was Wolverine Origins. That's a shame, but it was poised to be rotten. You could hear the critics sharpening their knives at the sight of such a huge and in-your-face marketing campaign. They don't like blockbusters. As evidenced by THE WINTER SOLDIER's awful reviews, and IRON MAN 3's last year, and THE DARK KNIGHT RISES' in 2012... For some reason, critics love Marvel and Nolan, but dislike Sony. It's more about the brash campaign of the Summer blockbuster than the blockbuster itself, though. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
| Thu May 01, 2014 11:09 pm |
|
|
|
The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Um, THE AMAZING SPIDER-MAN got pretty good reviews.
|
| Fri May 02, 2014 1:44 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Just realized I never posted my predictions.
1. THE AMAZING SPIDER-MAN 2 - 96.67 MILLION (New)
2. THE OTHER WOMAN - 15.1 MILLION (-39%)
3. HEAVEN IS FOR REAL - 9.471 MILLION (-34%)
4. RIO 2 - 8.745 MILLION (-37%)
5. CAPTAIN AMERICA 2 - 7.136 MILLION (-56%)
6. BRICK MANSIONS - 4.282 MILLION (-55%)
7. BEARS - 2.315 MILLION (-38%)
8. DIVERGENT - 1.8 MILLION (-50%)
9. THE QUIET ONES - 1.784 MILLION (-54%)
10. THE GRAND BUDAPEST HOTEL - 1.721 MILLION (-30%)
11. TRANSCENDENCE - 1.663 MILLION (-61%)
12. GOD'S NOT DEAD - 1.599 MILLION (-43%)
|
| Fri May 02, 2014 1:55 am |
|
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68391
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions The Dark Shape wrote: Um, THE AMAZING SPIDER-MAN got pretty good reviews. Critics dislike sequels, especially those that are brash and in-your-face, just like The Amazing Spider-Man 2.  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
| Fri May 02, 2014 2:16 am |
|
|
|
_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Spidey2 $91m
|
| Fri May 02, 2014 5:45 am |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions Gosh, TDS, don't you know critics hate Sony blockbuster sequels!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Fri May 02, 2014 11:11 am |
|
|
|
The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
|
Re: May 2-4 Predictions I actually just got an e-mail:
"Are you a potential film critic? Then by no means are you allowed to enjoy superhero films made by Sony Pictures."
|
| Fri May 02, 2014 12:39 pm |
|
|
