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 May 24-27 predictions 

How much will the Top 6 movies combine for over the 3-day weekend?
Less than $200 million 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$200-210 million 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$211-220 million 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$221-230 million 18%  18%  [ 2 ]
$231-$240 million 36%  36%  [ 4 ]
$241-250 million 9%  9%  [ 1 ]
$251-260 million 9%  9%  [ 1 ]
$261-270 million 9%  9%  [ 1 ]
$271-280 million 18%  18%  [ 2 ]
$281-290 million 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$291-300 million 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
More than $300 million 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 11

 May 24-27 predictions 
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Begging Naked
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
4-day:
1. Fast & Furious 6 - $112 million
2. The Hangover Part III - $60 million ($77 million 5-day)
3. Star Trek Into Darkness - $40 million
4. Epic - $38 million
5. Iron Man 3 - $23 million
6. The Great Gatsby - $15 million

$230-240 million for the 3-day for these six sounds right. Big, big weekend up ahead.


Mon May 20, 2013 6:44 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
So BTC has nailed it lately. Very very curious to see what the verdict is this week


Mon May 20, 2013 7:09 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Not feeling The Hangover 3. The buzz for Fast 6 feels so much much bigger.

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Tue May 21, 2013 12:08 am
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
xiayun wrote:
Not feeling The Hangover 3. The buzz for Fast 6 feels so much much bigger.


For real.

I'm actually getting tired of seeing so many spots for Fast 6. Watching Fast and Furious on USA and there are tv spots pretty much every break and sometimes more than one.

FUCKING insanity.

I just want to watch the movie already dammit.


Tue May 21, 2013 12:16 am
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
xiayun wrote:
Not feeling The Hangover 3. The buzz for Fast 6 feels so much much bigger.


Yeah, I've been trying to figure out a daily breakdown that feels right, but the total numbers just feel too high - even my current prediction feels too high. WB is doing an admirable job of trying to make it feel like an event film, but I just don't think it's enough in the face of F&F6..


Tue May 21, 2013 12:50 am
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
I'm so apathetic towards Fast & Furious 6. The only movie in the franchise I've even seen is the first one. lol


Tue May 21, 2013 1:28 am
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Libs wrote:
I'm so apathetic towards Fast & Furious 6. The only movie in the franchise I've even seen is the first one. lol
I would highly recommend watching Fast 5 (and 6) if you've ever enjoyed an action film just for its spectacle.


Tue May 21, 2013 1:38 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
MTC

lowball edition 3 day only. Fast 70 Hang 56 Epic 33 {nm} notfabio

Should be pointed out that mtc tends to lowball afterthey overpredict the weekend before {nm} notfabio

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Tue May 21, 2013 10:33 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
BTC will tell us more, but honestly from day 1 I thought it was a just a bad idea to pit theses two films against each other.

It may be action vs. comedy, but the demographics still overlap hugely. It wouldn't be that surprising for both to come in underwhelming.

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Tue May 21, 2013 10:35 am
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You must have big rats
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Proud Ryu wrote:
MTC

lowball edition 3 day only. Fast 70 Hang 56 Epic 33 {nm} notfabio

Should be pointed out that mtc tends to lowball afterthey overpredict the weekend before {nm} notfabio


They are still overpredicting Epic and The Hangover III if this is 3-day only.

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Tue May 21, 2013 10:47 am
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We had our time together
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Too low on Hangover.


Tue May 21, 2013 11:28 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
$70M 3 day would be almost as disappointing as Star Trek Into Darkness. Not quite though, since Trek had a much higher ceiling, or so it seemed.


Tue May 21, 2013 12:39 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Twitter Index

1. Fast & Furious 6 - 54,052 10:1
2. The Purge - 20,501 6:1
3. The Hangover Part III - 16,302 8:1
4. Star Trek Into Darkness - 13,636 8:1
5. The Great Gatsby (2013) - 9,599 9:1
6. Man of Steel - 2,328 13:1
7. Now You See Me - 2,290 14:1
8. Anchorman: The Legend Continues - 2,276 13:1


Tue May 21, 2013 1:42 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
BTC

HNOV3 (26/20/22/19.3/12.7) 100,
FAST6 (32/28/23.5/16.5) 100,
EPIC (8/12/11/9) 40
-whitewalls @hsx

Wow, well that's more like it. I like the breakdowns too.

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Tue May 21, 2013 1:44 pm
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
There's no way that Thursday number is happening for Hangover


Tue May 21, 2013 1:46 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Biggestgeekever wrote:
There's no way that Thursday number is happening for Hangover


Yeah, I agree.


Tue May 21, 2013 1:48 pm
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
The dailies seem a bit fucked up in general, but that definitely stuck out the most.

Hopefully we can develop some sort of BTC-MTC theorum soon. :P


Tue May 21, 2013 1:53 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Biggestgeekever wrote:
The dailies seem a bit fucked up in general, but that definitely stuck out the most.

Hopefully we can develop some sort of BTC-MTC theorum soon. :P


So far the actuals either go between the two or (if outside the range) favor the BTC direction.

And so far this is better than the RS MTC rule. Only Peeples and The Host have been exceptions.

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Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Tue May 21, 2013 2:17 pm
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Proud Ryu wrote:
So far the actuals either go between the two or (if outside the range) favor the BTC direction.

And so far this is better than the RS MTC rule. Only Peeples and The Host have been exceptions.
Interesting. BTC in general has been rocking the major openers this year

Also worth noting that BTC's Furious 6 projection has gone up by $10m this week.


Tue May 21, 2013 3:03 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Fandango 5

1. Star Trek Into Darkness Must Go!
2. Fast & Furious 6 Must Go!
3. The Great Gatsby (2013) Go
4. Iron Man 3 Go
5. The Hangover Part III So-so


Tue May 21, 2013 3:09 pm
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Your Knife, My Back. My Gun, Your Head.
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
What does BTC stand for???


Tue May 21, 2013 3:46 pm
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You must have big rats
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Big theatre chain

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Tue May 21, 2013 4:02 pm
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
It saw 180 for IM3, 50 for GG and 85 for ST2.

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Tue May 21, 2013 6:17 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Mannyisthebest wrote:
It saw 180 for IM3, 50 for GG and 85 for ST2.

They were pretty good with the biggies and pretty bad with the smaller movies.

However, the $85m prediction for STID was their Thursday predicition (based on Matinee Business), their Monday prediction was $90m... (still by far the lowest prediction by the professionals)

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Tue May 21, 2013 6:37 pm
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Post Re: May 24-27 predictions
Hey being off 6 million is not bad considering it under performed so badly.

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Tue May 21, 2013 6:52 pm
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