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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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 Re: Friday Numbers TF3 should have the biggest opeing weekend so far which is quite impressive as it burned off 64 million in demand and will still make around 18-20 million Monday.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 10:46 am |
 
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
Posts: 274
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Re: Friday Numbers TF3 should stay relatively flat today, ala 2005. That's a solid Friday boost for it, hopefully not TOO much because of Canada Day (heard LOTS of sellout reports there). Then with a -15% drop Sunday and 35-40% drop on Monday, it should come very close to $180m. TF1 adjusts to a little over $177m 6-day, interestingly enough.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 10:52 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: Friday Numbers Wow it actually increased more than War of the Worlds?! That's crazy. I'm glad it's rebounding.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:06 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: Friday Numbers For comparison, TF2 increased 26% Friday while TF3's increase is well over 50%. That's a fantastic rebound. Hopefully Potter doesn't top it for No.1 of the summer/year, though I'd love to see it pull a ROTS/ROTK for the sake of great BO.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:09 am |
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
Posts: 274
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Re: Friday Numbers Personally, I still don't think TF2 is the best model to use. It didn't release on a double-holiday weekend (or even a single one), so its internal drops are going to have a very different context.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:15 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: Friday Numbers ShawnMR wrote: Personally, I still don't think TF2 is the best model to use. It didn't release on a double-holiday weekend (or even a single one), so its internal drops are going to have a very different context. I'm just basically saying it's behaving less frontloaded than TF2. WotW is probably the best comparison to use, if that's what you're saying.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:22 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Friday Numbers I would just like to point out that, in this particular instance, the instant negativity and Debbie Downer-ness running rampant throughout the forum after the film's opening day were, of course, TOTALLY OFF. Eat it.
Can't wait to repeat this cycle every weekend of the summer!
Last edited by Libs on Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:33 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Friday Numbers Magnus wrote: It's opening day is still disappointing despite this. It's overall run though now isn't. That's not my point. My point is that there are people who wrote the movie off before Wednesday was even over.
Last edited by Libs on Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:35 am |
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curtis20
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2008 2:16 pm
Posts: 492
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Re: Friday Numbers TF3 is ether very back loaded or WOM is kicking in. 3 days ago it looked like MTC was right on point. Now they are way off.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 11:46 am |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm
Posts: 2120
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Re: Friday Numbers Given the Friday #'s and the fact that there seems to be minimal frontloaded with this one, I'm really very interested to see what Saturdays number might be. Though it was a holiday in Canada yesterday, the fact of the matter is that the US which makes up 90% of the North American BO still had a work day yesterday, and so this might have a decent bump Saturday too, since the people who wanted to see it ASAP already rushed out Wednesday and it seems the casual moviegoers waited for the weekend.
Even a 10-15% increase for Saturday I think would be incredible!!
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 12:09 pm |
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
Posts: 274
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Re: Friday Numbers I can't speak for everyone, but I know a lot of people that had shortened work days in the U.S. too. Some even had the whole day off. Its an extended holiday weekend for some, so that may be a factor as well.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 12:17 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: Friday Numbers Libs wrote: So where are all the people who were labeling Transformers a HORRIBLE FLOP after its first day was barely even over? Yet again, patience is a virtue. It's doing less than the previous film but showing significantly less frontloading.
Disappointing for Larry Crowne and Monte Carlo, although they could possibly have good legs. The audience at my showing of Larry Crowne last night was one of the oldest I've ever been in attendance at, even more than when I saw The King's Speech. So that could benefit it.
Cars' plunge is alarming but presumably it will rebound over the weekend. Bad Teacher will stabilize as well. 175m is still weak, I agree people react far too quickly and assume too much with the slightest piece of evidence, but given the 250m+ predictions for 6 days, it's still not great. It'll still have a hard time beating the original, which given 4 years of inflation and the increase of the sequel is not very good. _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 12:21 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: Friday Numbers Quote: FRI BO: #Transformers3 $33M/$115M, Car2 $7.9M/$30M, BadTeacher $4.5M/$17M, LarryCrowne $4M/$16M, MonteCarlo $3.1M/$10M.
Gitesh _________________
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 12:42 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13057
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Friday Numbers
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 12:47 pm |
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
Posts: 274
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Re: Friday Numbers Michael A wrote: Libs wrote: So where are all the people who were labeling Transformers a HORRIBLE FLOP after its first day was barely even over? Yet again, patience is a virtue. It's doing less than the previous film but showing significantly less frontloading.
Disappointing for Larry Crowne and Monte Carlo, although they could possibly have good legs. The audience at my showing of Larry Crowne last night was one of the oldest I've ever been in attendance at, even more than when I saw The King's Speech. So that could benefit it.
Cars' plunge is alarming but presumably it will rebound over the weekend. Bad Teacher will stabilize as well. 175m is still weak, I agree people react far too quickly and assume too much with the slightest piece of evidence, but given the 250m+ predictions for 6 days, it's still not great. It'll still have a hard time beating the original, which given 4 years of inflation and the increase of the sequel is not very good. I sort of disagree. That's putting it in an unfair context in some ways. Sequels pay for the sins of their predecessors, but at the end of the day TF3 is still on pace to become the biggest opener of the year and the #1 grosser of the year (maybe temporarily though). Relative to the market and keeping realistic expectations in mind after the second film's poor word of mouth, this is a solid opening. It may not break any records but its still doing quite well financially. Maybe not as much in terms of ticket sales, but the rebound from Wednesday is still good.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:05 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Friday Numbers You have to give TF3 some serious credit. It didn't even crack $40M on Wednesday, but still has a shot at being the number 1 film of the year. I know it didn't reach most expectations like that $400M+ club, but it't still holding up really well and when all is said and done atleast it's going to outgross the first movie and not go under $300M. We need as many $300M+ films as we can get this year for boxoffice sake.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:11 pm |
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
Posts: 274
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Re: Friday Numbers wrongturn687 wrote: You have to give TF3 some serious credit. It didn't even crack $40M on Wednesday, but still has a shot at being the number 1 film of the year. I know it didn't reach most expectations like that $400M+ club, but it't still holding up really well and when all is said and done atleast it's going to outgross the first movie and not go under $300M. We need as many $300M+ films as we can get this year for boxoffice sake. Agreed, even if its with the aid of 3D inflation. TF3 is at least proving to have some good WOM so far and that may help it somewhat in the long run. Probably not as much as the first film, but still, enough to help make up for the slightly disappointing opening day.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:13 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Friday Numbers Another good hold for Bridesmaids. -39.8% drop from last Friday despite losing 642 theaters.
The biggest drop for Midnight in Paris yet but still a really good hold. Larry Crowne did hurt it a bit.
Last edited by Magic Mike on Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:24 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Friday Numbers Has anyone checked on Rev? He didn't jump off that bridge already, did he?
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:28 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
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Re: Friday Numbers The Dark Shape wrote: Has anyone checked on Rev? He didn't jump off that bridge already, did he? I was about to but Friday gross's holding me back... 
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:02 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: Friday Numbers Libs wrote: Magnus wrote: It's opening day is still disappointing despite this. It's overall run though now isn't. That's not my point. My point is that there are people who wrote the movie off before Wednesday was even over. So we made guesses that what has typically been a frontloaded franchise would continue to be so? Boy, we sure committed an irrational, cardinal sin with that one. Anyway, this is really a great number for Transformers 3. I have no doubt this is WOM convincing people who had given up after 2 to come show up. It once again has a shot at being #1 of the year now (God, I hate this stupid fucking franchise  ).
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:10 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Friday Numbers Biggestgeekever wrote: Libs wrote: Magnus wrote: It's opening day is still disappointing despite this. It's overall run though now isn't. That's not my point. My point is that there are people who wrote the movie off before Wednesday was even over. So we made guesses that what has typically been a frontloaded franchise would continue to be so? Boy, we sure committed an irrational, cardinal sin with that one.. It's just illustrative of a common trend (sickness?) on this forum: y'all are so trigger happy with every minute set of data that it becomes this endless cycle of bitching and grave dancing. And this doesn't just happen with Transformers, it happens with pretty much everything. A movie is declared an outright flop at, like, 5 PM the day it opens because of some random number Nikki Finke throws out, and no one even attempts to reason that one day does not tell the full story.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:37 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
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Re: Friday Numbers
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:40 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Friday Numbers ^ Eh, whatever.
I've already tarnished my rep on this forum to the point where everyone is just nasty to me and vice versa so I might as well.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:45 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Friday Numbers Mildly overdramatic, no? Libs wrote: y'all are so trigger happy with every minute set of data that it becomes this endless cycle of bitching and grave dancing. And this doesn't just happen with Transformers, it happens with pretty much everything. A movie is declared an outright flop at, like, 5 PM the day it opens because of some random number Nikki Finke throws out, and no one even attempts to reason that one day does not tell the full story. I've thought about this, and I really do believe the difference is early numbers. When the old-timers here were at BOM, we didn't get constant updates. We had to wait, discuss, be hopeful, be worried. But now at 3 p.m. we can have a fairly solid number, so the arguing begins.
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:48 pm |
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