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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am
Posts: 21230
Location: Massachusetts
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 Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) That estimate for GL just kept on dropping, didn't it? I haven't read the thread, so this might have been covered, but is there anyway GL could fail to reach $100 million (though I know worst case scenario the WB would push it there)? The best case scenario has to be TIH numbers at this point, or am I overestimating the "average" word of mouth it has?
_________________My DVD Collection
Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 6:48 pm |
 
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) A sub-2 multiplier for a $50+ million opener in the summer? Nah, that won't happen. The weekdays are too strong. Even if it drops 70% next weekend (which probably won't happen), it'll still be at $80+ million after ten days. Absolutely no way for it to miss even $110 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 6:50 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am
Posts: 21230
Location: Massachusetts
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) But probably not strong enough for a sequel?
Dumb question, but is the estimate taking into account Father's Day, or are small holidays like this a little too overhyped when it comes to estimating totals?
_________________My DVD Collection
Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 6:55 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Fantastic Four 2, which held up better over the weekend, fell 65.5% to $20 million. How exactly is Green Lantern going to avoid falling into the teens?
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 6:59 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Jmart wrote: But probably not strong enough for a sequel?
Dumb question, but is the estimate taking into account Father's Day, or are small holidays like this a little too overhyped when it comes to estimating totals? From the look of it, the estimate actually took into account Father's Day, but the Sunday drop might still end up even a tad better than estimated. That said, I see no chance whatsoever for a sequel. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 7:05 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Dr. Lecter wrote: A sub-2 multiplier for a $50+ million opener in the summer? Nah, that won't happen. The weekdays are too strong. Even if it drops 70% next weekend (which probably won't happen), it'll still be at $80+ million after ten days. Absolutely no way for it to miss even $110 million. I'd say there is a "slight" chance it could miss $110 m. The Village opened to $50.75 m and finished with $114.20 m. It's not likely, but if it followed The Villages' legs, or had a lowered weekend estimate, could potential miss $110 m in an absolute worst case scenario...
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 7:43 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) trixster sucks wrote: http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3190&p=.htm Quote: In second place, Super 8 had a decent hold, retreating 40 percent to an estimated $21.3 million (it has a bullish projection for Father's Day) I'm 99% sure Brandon Gray just hates Super 8. Seriously, how can you call a 40% drop in the summer just "decent"? Even with the holiday boost, it's at the very least a very good drop if not great. He either hates Super 8 or is his curmudgeonly, hard-to-please self some more. I used to read his box office articles circa 1998/1999/2000, and he was a lot more informal in his writing style. Even despite that, he was really snarky and didn't typically have nice things to say about many movies.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 7:48 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Libs wrote: trixster sucks wrote: http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3190&p=.htm Quote: In second place, Super 8 had a decent hold, retreating 40 percent to an estimated $21.3 million (it has a bullish projection for Father's Day) I'm 99% sure Brandon Gray just hates Super 8. Seriously, how can you call a 40% drop in the summer just "decent"? Even with the holiday boost, it's at the very least a very good drop if not great. He either hates Super 8 or is his curmudgeonly, hard-to-please self some more. It didn't even make two thirds of E.T. second weekend despite being in 2,000 more theaters. It BOMBED, Libs, it BOMBED.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 7:55 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Why is Libs talking to herself?!?!?!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 8:18 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) I'm impressed with GL and Super 8. Both will probably go over 140m.
BM is still the surprise of the summer I think.
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 8:58 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) trixster sucks wrote: http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3190&p=.htm Quote: In second place, Super 8 had a decent hold, retreating 40 percent to an estimated $21.3 million (it has a bullish projection for Father's Day) I'm 99% sure Brandon Gray just hates Super 8. Seriously, how can you call a 40% drop in the summer just "decent"? Even with the holiday boost, it's at the very least a very good drop if not great. Without Father's Day it would have dropped about -45%, which i wouldn't consider great, good maybe. It's not like it opened huge. _________________
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| Sun Jun 19, 2011 9:06 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Chippy wrote: GL will hold better today. So I'm fine with this OW.  _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Mon Jun 20, 2011 7:31 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Nazgul9 wrote: Without Father's Day it would have dropped about -45%, which i wouldn't consider great, good maybe. It's not like it opened huge. Agreed that 9% drop would have otherwise been 25%-28% drop which would have mean a "decent" hold. I think it will do good but it is not something great
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| Mon Jun 20, 2011 10:37 am |
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pepe pippen
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am
Posts: 769
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) GURU'S TWITTER:
#GreenLantern did slightly better than estimated on SUN w/ slim 9% dip from SAT. Revised wknd $53.2M.
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| Mon Jun 20, 2011 11:36 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) Quite the Saturday drop for Lantern. There's no getting around the bad wom that implies.
Quite the weekend drop for Judy Moody too.
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| Mon Jun 20, 2011 12:13 pm |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14628
Location: LA / NYC
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Re: Weekend Estimates (June 17-19) That's a great hold for Super 8, and not surprising at all given the film's "father" themes. I'm psyched that it is doing well.
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| Mon Jun 20, 2011 12:30 pm |
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