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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: June 17-19 Predictions MARVEL_ROCKS wrote: I don't see how Poppers does well at the BO. Families are likely going to skip it in favour of Cars 2 What a silly line of thinking. PEOPLE CAN SEE MORE THAN ONE MOVIE. And Cars 2 succeeding (one week later) does not prevent this from carving out an audience of its own.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:28 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions People will skip Mr. Popper's Penguins in favor of Happy Feet 2  .
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:38 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions MARVEL_ROCKS wrote: I don't see how Poppers does well at the BO. Families are likely going to skip it in favour of Cars 2 So you mean to say that $100m worth of people will not see movies since Cars 2 is releasing in coming weeks ?
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:47 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Haven't penguins gone out of style?
I like Jim Carrey but the movie looks so 90s type of humour.
I think an OW in the high teens is likely or at most something like 24m.
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Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
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Men in Black 3 Under 100m
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Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:50 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions RS: [GLANT] low 50s, [POPNG] low 20s, [ARTGB] 2 million (pointing to a possible HSX wide release)
Posted by: secretstalker on Jun 12, 16:19
Futures
[CARS2] mid 70s
[TFRM3] let's just say that it's over $175 million for the six days (opening Weds)
[BDTCH] high 20s
[MONTC] high single digits (4 day)
[LCROW] mid to high 20s (4 day)
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 7:53 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions ^ Monte Carlo looks low. It would be nice if Bad Teacher and Larry Crowne could actually hit those numbers.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:13 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Yeah, Monte Carlo should do better than that. Selena Gomez is pretty popular.
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:26 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Yeah, Monte Carlo should do better than that. Selena Gomez is pretty popular. Agreed, I think it can at least match Soul Surfer's numbers.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:34 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions That's quite a plunge for Penguins, which is generally a bad sign, right?
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:35 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Looks like the lowballing on Penguins wasn't so far fetched afterall. Carrey's name isn't nearly as strong as it used to be and last time I checked his last so called family flick was severly overestimated from early tracking aswell.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 8:39 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions wrongturn687 wrote: Looks like the lowballing on Penguins wasn't so far fetched afterall. Carrey's name isn't nearly as strong as it used to be and last time I checked his last so called family flick was severly overestimated from early tracking aswell. Carrey is bound to have a family miss eventually. Wasn't too smart to schedule this right before Cars 2.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 9:00 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Libs wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Yeah, Monte Carlo should do better than that. Selena Gomez is pretty popular. Agreed, I think it can at least match Soul Surfer's numbers. I don't know. Trailer wasn't impressive. Though I'd think it would do more like 11-12 Million 4-Day.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 9:25 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions trixster sucks wrote: Selena Gomez isn't really that popular. Though it'll do better than high single digits over 4-day. I sure hear Who Says on the radio a lot.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 9:59 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Gomez has her fans. I would say she is more popular than Miley Cyrus right now, of course her popularity has plummeted.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 10:15 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions I always forget who Selena Gomez is. I can vaguely picture her face, but I couldn't tell you anything she's been in (movie, TV show) or any song titles. Although according to Libs one is called "Who Says."
Strange to hear she's more popular than Miley Cyrus.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 10:50 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Gunslinger wrote: I always forget who Selena Gomez is. I can vaguely picture her face, but I couldn't tell you anything she's been in (movie, TV show) or any song titles. Although according to Libs one is called "Who Says."
Strange to hear she's more popular than Miley Cyrus. Well Miley has begun pulling a Britney Spears so that is why. I don't think Gomez is the most popular actress her age. I think Miranda Cosgrove is more popular.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 10:54 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6787
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions This was posted at BOM. Comparison between TF3 and Pirates 4 are interesting. TF3 is doing worse.  Chewy: The Worst Avenger wrote: For a comparison here's Thor on 4/28 versus GL Today
Thor
Unaided Awareness: 18 22 24 14 13
Total Awareness: 80 87 86 72 76
Definite Interest: 48 62 62 35 32
First Choice: 15 19 26 04 08
Green Lantern
Unaided Awareness: 23
Total Awareness: 88 90 93 83 87
Definite Interest: 46
First Choice: 12 15 19 7 6
And Pirates on 4/28 vs Transformers Today
Pirates
Unaided Awareness: 06 07 07 05 04
Total Awareness: 90 91 89 92 90
Definite Interest: 61 67 65 59 54
First Choice: 22 27 22 20 20
Dark of the Moon
Unaided Awareness: 10
Total Awareness: 89 91 91 85 87
Definite Interest: 54
First Choice: 16 19 18 14 13
_________________
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 10:56 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions I wouldn't be shocked, the last film was hated and the marketing hasn't been very good so far. However, that could improve in the coming weeks.
Last edited by Jedi Master Carr on Sun Jun 12, 2011 11:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 11:07 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions I wouldn't worry about Transformers. People thought that Transformers 2 was going to disappoint literally up until the first midnight numbers came out because the marketing wasn't strong and awareness/hype was supposedly low. Look what happened.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 11:33 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Gunslinger wrote: I always forget who Selena Gomez is. I can vaguely picture her face, but I couldn't tell you anything she's been in (movie, TV show) or any song titles. Although according to Libs one is called "Who Says."
Strange to hear she's more popular than Miley Cyrus. You can also remember her as the possible object of hatred for millions of 12 year old girls since she's dating the Biebs.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 11:37 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions lol that could hurt her appeal to that demographic.
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| Sun Jun 12, 2011 11:43 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6787
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions zingy wrote: I wouldn't worry about Transformers. People thought that Transformers 2 was going to disappoint literally up until the first midnight numbers came out because the marketing wasn't strong and awareness/hype was supposedly low. Look what happened. There is a big difference in WOM between 1st and 2nd films. Also we have seen what 3D does to sequels. Especially ones coming in with meh WOM.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:11 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Penguins is like Prince Caspian's release all over again. Seems like the perfect movie to open over the winter holidays, not June! Bad release date on the studio's part...
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:11 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions GREEN LANTERN - 55.9 MILLION
MR. POPPER'S PENGUINS - 21.9 MILLION
THE ART OF GETTING BY - $800,000
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:33 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: June 17-19 Predictions Green Lantern is giving off a Hellboy vibe imo and feels more like a B comic book movie rather than an event film. I think this is set for a $30's opening but if buzz builds could get low $40's.
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| Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:35 am |
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