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 Super 8: Under 90 mil club 
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
MG Casey wrote:
Jmart wrote:
J.J Abrams name has got to mean something now at this point though.

The people who actually know who he is would already be going to this movie anyways if the marketing and movie looked exactly the same without J.J. Abrams.


Abrams's name isn't as mainstream as his fans would like to believe. Spielberg would obviously be the bigger influence.

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Tue Jun 07, 2011 1:32 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
This will probably make like 95 mil. That's what always happens when I make a club.

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Tue Jun 07, 2011 2:43 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Or $900 mil. Because you're usually THAT wrong.

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Tue Jun 07, 2011 3:34 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
It'd need to open below $25 million to miss $90 million. And that is not happening.

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Wed Jun 08, 2011 9:59 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
But it is not yet guaranteed to be WOM hit or even hit the multiplier of 3. I'd say it can still miss $90m with $25m-$28m OW. The early reviews at RT has it at 80% and with more coming in I am sure this number will go down. Nothing is really suggesting a great run or decent legs as of now.


Wed Jun 08, 2011 11:38 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
1/4 of it's Metacritic reviews are 100. So... It's probably pretty good.

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Wed Jun 08, 2011 3:26 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Jack Sparrow wrote:
But it is not yet guaranteed to be WOM hit or even hit the multiplier of 3. I'd say it can still miss $90m with $25m-$28m OW. The early reviews at RT has it at 80% and with more coming in I am sure this number will go down. Nothing is really suggesting a great run or decent legs as of now.


It has an 83% with a 7.9 average after 48 reviews. The average tells me that the percentage is bound to go up not down.


Wed Jun 08, 2011 4:09 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Agreed the average is pretty good..still with good reviews you cannot guarantee that the movie will have decent legs. The competition ahead is quite big as well so legs might be difficult, it will have to open bigger to make $100m


Wed Jun 08, 2011 11:55 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
It's not a sequel and will have at least solid WoM. That alone, in the summer, guarantees a 3.2+ multiplier. This one, however, looks to have especially good WoM.

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Thu Jun 09, 2011 7:39 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
I don't think WOM will be nearly as great as we all thought. It might be like The Village, where people are pissed that the mystery is so anti-climactic.


Last edited by MovieDude on Sat Jun 11, 2011 9:34 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Jun 10, 2011 10:34 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
This club is absorbing power like Goku in Dragonball Z or Kevin Bacon in X Men: First Class

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Fri Jun 10, 2011 2:02 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Yeah, I'm in the club as well. After seeing the film, I don't think the WOM will be as great as first imagined.

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Fri Jun 10, 2011 2:03 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
I love Michael A's condescending response coming back to bite him


Fri Jun 10, 2011 2:41 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
xiayun wrote:
Yeah, I'm in the club as well. After seeing the film, I don't think the WOM will be as great as first imagined.


+1.
While it is still possible it might make it past 100 million, after seeing it myself I think it's just off the mark to be a family film, and thus I'm not certain which audiences will show up, if any...

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Fri Jun 10, 2011 2:47 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
With an expected less than $25m OW this club has a very good chance now.


Fri Jun 10, 2011 3:39 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Eh, I'll still stay out of it.

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Fri Jun 10, 2011 5:16 pm
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Next time BKB and I are both on one side for a movie, bet your life savings on the other side, you won't lose - the combined power is too much

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Sat Jun 11, 2011 1:35 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Shack wrote:
Next time BKB and I are both on one side for a movie, bet your life savings on the other side, you won't lose - the combined power is too much


This would probably have to go down as the most successful club thread ever created for such a low weekend total for this.. Hell, it's almost embarrassing for the people who did predict so high for this just cause Spielberg and Abrams name was attached....

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Sat Jun 11, 2011 3:53 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
Shack wrote:
Next time BKB and I are both on one side for a movie, bet your life savings on the other side, you won't lose - the combined power is too much


LOL

With a $30+ million opening and B+ CinemaScore, $100+ million shouldn't be much of a problem.

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Sat Jun 11, 2011 5:14 am
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Post Re: Super 8: Under 90 mil club
I'm glad I stuck to my instinct.

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