This will definitely disappoint. It looks terrible! Like one of the worst movies of the year! It's not going to do well at all. It could very well do AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS numbers, but slightly higher. PLUTO NASH looked better than this movie.

I say 11 Million opening and a 34 Million finish, and this is being somewhat generous. I wouldn't be shocked if it did worse.

Well, I think it'll do decent atleast. Marketing is starting to pick up and it has no direct competition ( xXx2 might hurt it a bit and vice versa, but not anything significant probably ) If kids are digging what they see in the trailers and such then this movie is gonna be a hit, because thats the audience I think that will make or break this movie, people not to familar with the source material might think this is more for kids then adults and that will be a turn off for them so will have to wait and see.

I'll stay on the safe side for right now and say....
Opening - 24m
Final - 74m

It easily could do alot less or alot more, depends how the marketing campaign goes for the most part. I think Galaxy Quest is the fairest comparison to this movie, which finished with 71mil

17/55

Wait, this is silly. Here are the #1 openers for this year. And Hitchhiker's will open at number one.

The Ammityville Horror - ~$22 million
Sahara - $18 million
Sin City - $29 million
Guess Who - $20 million
The Ring Two - $35 million
Robots - $36 million
The Pacifier - $30 million
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $21 million
Hitch - $43 million
Boogeyman - $19 million
Hide and Seek - $21 million
Are We There Yet? - $18 million
Coach Carter - $24 million

There are people on this list who think that the film, which has gotten trailer play in front of some of the biggest movies last year (they ran it during christmas with The Aviator and all the big blockbusters that were WB related) will be basically the smallest opener of the year? ...What? Even Sky Captain opened north of $15 million.

Hitchhiker's has more of a fan base than The Pacifier, Diary of a Mad Black Woman, and the horror movies. I think predicting less than $20 million is absolutely silly.

Opening: $35 million
Total: $110 million

And I think I may be *lowballing* the opening. I think it has the potential to do $40 million plus. There is an entire generation of people who have this film on their radar.

This is one of the hardest movies to predict in a long time.

The opening weekend could go anywhere from $12M to $40M, seriously.

My take on this is similar to add rocks and Snrub.

35/125.

I also hope it does well enough so that someone makes a Red Dwarf movie.

BJs New Prediction:

26m / 158m

I see a Bomb in this film's future. I do admit that the parody of movie trailers was a very good trailer, but it isn't the film so in the end why present your film that way to begin with.

Opening : Less than 20
Finish : Less than 60

Well, andaroo pointed out that no number one opener this year, even in Jan and Feb was much short of 20 million. Are we there yet is the lowest with 18. The competition is going to come from xXx which is big competition I guess. But that's it, its not Holy Girl is going to be bringing in the big bucks.

I also don't think xXX and Hitchhiker's are catering to the same crowd. All the movies I've gone to, I haven't seen a single xXx trailer. It'll get a big pull too, but not the same pull.

The only other factor is Interpreter which is carrying over one week. If Interpreter opens to rave reviews and really grabs a name for it, people that didn't see it the first weekend but who's curiosity has been piqued might go check it out weekend 2. I doubt its going to make that big a scene though, that it detracts from Hitchhikers (which, I do believe, is more close an audiance than xXx).

Hitchhikers - 28
xXx- 19
Interpeter - 11

All the other carry overs will drop big. By following weekend though I expect xXx to take a huge plunge, Interpreter to also, including theatre shedding, and Hitchhikers will have a good drop. Maybe less than 30%

I would like to see it perform better though, Because with a 28 opener, 100 million is impossible.


Red Dwarf would be terrible as a feature length film. It was funny because nothing happens. Its four bored people (quasi-people) stuck on a space capsule that looks like a garbage can and they're only sitraction is virtual world technology stories. Good for 1/2 hour eps, painful for two hours. :razz:

Bite your tongue!!

I think, like andaroo has said, that for Hitchhiker's to open to any less than 20 million is pure crazy talk. I think the best potential comparison in recent years might be Chronicles of Riddick, in that it's a sci-fi summer flick with a cult following. Riddick opened to over 20 million, so I don't see why Hitchhiker's can't. Hitchhiker's has a far larger cult than Riddick though, and the trailers have all been much more impressive to date (not to mention plentiful). The buzz surrounding the film at the moment is surprisingly positive (again, unlike Riddick, which at the time had to face a Diesel backlash as well as being a bit pooh) and all indications are that the film's pretty damn good.

I'm sticking with my 42 million opening prediction. A) because I think the audience will show for this film, in much the same way X-men had such a surprising opening in 2000, and B) because it'd be quite cool for the number 42 to be involved somewhere in it's box office run (preferably at the beginning rather than the end).

The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy

Opening Day: 8.21m
2nd Day: 11.49m +40%
Opening Wknd: 26.02m - Fri: 8.21m / Sat: 11.49m +40% / Sun: 6.32m -45%
4-Day: 27.60m - Mon: 1.58m -75%
5-Day: 29.10m - Tue: 1.50m -5%
6-Day: 30.36m - Wed: 1.26m -15%
Opening Wk: 31.56m - Thur: 1.20m -5%
2nd Wknd: 22.15m - Fri: 6.40m +431% / Sat: 10.50m +64% / Sun: 5.25m -50%
Wk-2: 27.15m - Wknd: 22.15m | Total: 58.71m
Wk-3: 20.88m - Wknd: 16.01m | Total: 79.59m
Wk-4: 17.01m - Wknd: 12.18m | Total: 96.60m
Wk-5: 17.56m - Wknd: 10.60m - 4-Day-Wknd: 14.02m | Total: 114.16m
Wk-6: 9.92m - Wknd: 6.31m | Total: 124.08m
Wk-7: 7.12m - Wknd: 4.30m | Total: 131.20m
Wk-8: 5.11m - Wknd: 2.98m | Total: 138.31m
Wk-9: 3.30m - Wknd: 1.81m | Total: 141.61m
Wk-10: 3.32m - Wknd: 1.27m - 4-Day-Wknd: 1.93m | Total: 144.93m
Wk-11: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.17m | Total: 146.93m
Wk-12: 1.40m - Wknd: .76m | Total: 148.33m
Wk-13: 1.02m - Wknd: .58m | Total: 149.35m
Wk-14: .80m - Wknd: 44m | Total: 150.15m
Wk-15: .57m - Wknd: .34m | Total: 150.72m
Wk-16: .44m - Wknd: .24m | Total: 151.16m
Wk-17: .34m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 151.50m
Wk-18: 1.05m - Wknd: .60m | Total: 152.55m
Wk-19: 2.04m - Wknd: 1.18m - 4-Day-Wknd: 1.73m | Total: 154.59m
Wk-20: 1.45m - Wknd: 1.14m | Total: 156.04m
Wk-21: .90m - Wknd: .72m | Total: 156.94m
Wk-22: .60m - Wknd: .46m | Total: 157.54m
Wk-23: .42m - Wknd: .33m | Total: 157.96m
Wk-24: .37m - Wknd: .29m | Total: 158.33m
Wk-25: .29m - Wknd: .22m | Total: 158.77m
Wk-26: .20m - Wknd: .16m | Total: 158.97m
Wk-27: .15m - Wknd: .11m | Total: 159.12m
Money Made After Wk-27: ~.5m
Days to 50m: 10-Days - 53.71m
Days to 100m: 30-Days - 103.60m
Days to 150m: 97-Days - 150.05m
Domestic Total: 159.5m
International Total: 480m
World Wide Total: 640m

Like many others have already said, this film is VERY hard to predict. Personally I think it will end up with middling B.O. The franchise has a strong fanbase, but probably more so in Europe than in USA. The test screening reviews have generally been very favourable so far and it should have good WOM.

The marketing has been VERY uneven. In fact the first two trailers did an effective job of making me NOT to want to see the film, and I love the books. But the internet exclusive trailer, which was later released in cinemas with Sin City, was pretty damn good.

I think a 17 million opening and a 50 million finish is in the line. The initial fanbase should make it a bit frontloaded, but on the other hand the good WOM will give it good legs. I'm looking at a 3.0 multiplier. The film cost 50 million to make, so a 50 million finish isn't too shabby. And I think it will make 2/3 of it's money outside USA, mainly in Europe (And especially UK), and will have a strong DVD life.

Eventually it should turn a healthy profit once it enters the home market, and a sequel is likely.

150 million on worldwide B.O, and another 150 million on DVD. Even with marketing and distribution costs, this 50 million flick will become very profitable for the studio.

Unfortunately the uneven marketing might make this film a bomb. A 8 million opening with a 25 million finish isn't out of the question. But I want to be hopeful, because I think the film will be good. I don't think there is enough hype for this to become a 100 million grosser, any estimation going over 80 million is IMHO stretching it.

Opening: 17 million
Total: 57 million

But I think I'll LOVE this movie! :wink:

Yes, DVD will be as big as theatrical. It's so 'culty' they should make a package deal of theater and DVD; because 'heavy' fans will want to get both experiences.. Someone did have a combo offer a few months ago.. Was it Legally Blonde?, I can not recall..

Woohoo!! Did you read my analysis. I've predicted round about the same numbers.

The article that was written actually got a reply from the executive producer of the movie (I blieve his name was Robbie Stamp). He thinks I undermined Hitchhiker's ability to actually break out (which I did actually) but all in all, he thought it was a balanced and reasonable prediction.

so .. umm .. wooHOO!!

I think the British argument is excellent but in this case, in regards to longevity. Remember, there is little about it that is being promoted as British, something I believe people will realize once they go to the theeatres. I'm counting on that as one of the things that will insure that effect not determining the opening weekend.

21 million is still a reasonable guess though. Actually, even though my values in the article were about 34 million opening and 110-115 finish, the 21-66 could very well happen.

Judging by BJs prediction he does not undermine the awesome ability this film has to break out

I like that idea. It'd be nice to have the option to buy a ticket to a big movie for something like 20 dollars and get a coupon for the DVD. They'd probably want to charge more than that but they need to give some sort of discount or there's no point.

20/57

Bump....

It is here!

I will only put in predictions that are made before 9:00 AM tomorrow morning. The Yahoo stuff is getting to be too accurate...

Opening: $21.9 million
Total: $65.7 million

Final Prediction
Opening Weekend- $24.1M
Final Gross- $70.2M

Opening: $16.1 million.
Closing: $50 million.

Changing mine. 22/75

Changing...

Opening - 25 million
Total - 90 million

It's actually had some presales, rare for my theater :wink: