inception rhymes with domination, mixed it would be dominception, best pf both worlds.

Inception doesn't really rhyme with domination, but point taken.

Oh, no doubt. I'm still predicting a sub-35% drop personally, but I can't stop that nagging feeling of it maybe only increasing like 20% tomorrow. Is there really any good precedents for this film? It's weekdays are performing like WC and POTC, but fuck me, I will blow a load if goes up 60% today.

ENOUGH OF THAT! Avatanic was bad enough.

Avatanic

Especially considering if you exclude the $3m from midnight, it would be a sub-35% drop. It means sub-30% is very likely, if not almost certain, next weekend.

So Inception has now gone from 60th biggest OW to 48th biggest opening week. Only three films with 100m+ in 7-days didn't break 200m (Simpsons, Wolverine, and TDAT) so I'd go as far as saying that 200m and even 225m is a lock.

250 is a lock.

It'll increase 40 - 60% on friday.

225 is definitely a lock. Look at Bourne Ultimatum (227) and compare it with Inception. Inception started $6.5m behind it after 3 days and is already ahead of it. Going to take an even bigger lead this weekend (around $8-10m) and it's just going to keep getting bigger.

Well, Biggestgeekever expressed fear it might only increase 20%.

20-60% sounds good to me. You?

40 - 60% sounds good to me.

30-60%. Final offer.

$8,563,251 Thursday. Cume to date $100,158,412

http://twitter.com/MovieNumbers

No. Not unless it increases 55% Friday.

I see

Friday - 11.7m (+37%)
Saturday - 14.6m (+25%)
Sunday - 12.3m (-16%)
2nd weekend - 38.6m (-38.5%)

Screw you.

I don't see it failing to make $250m even with a 38.6m 2nd weekend.

Changed my mind, 35% is the lowest it could go.

Neither do I, but that doesn't mean that it has an absolute certainty of happening.

Wow, this movie's run is incredibly impressive so far.

Good stuff from Ebert about the film's word of mouth:



http://twitter.com/ebertchicago/status/19341801998

1 Inception $8,563,251 -3% 3,792 -- $2,258 $100,158,412 1 Warner Bros.
2 Despicable Me $4,584,625 2% 3,501 25 $1,310 $137,600,845 2 Universal
3 The Sorcerer's Apprentice $1,893,667 0% 3,504 119 $540 $32,957,525 1 Disney
4 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse $1,888,207 3% 4,001 -467 $472 $272,641,092 3 Summit
5 Toy Story 3 $1,816,846 3% 3,177 -195 $572 $370,499,039 5 Disney
6 Grown Ups $1,368,811 2% 3,074 -263 $445 $134,812,086 4 Sony / Columbia
7 The Last Airbender $900,051 -2% 2,805 -398 $321 $119,091,769 3 Paramount
8 Predators $773,992 -3% 2,669 0 $290 $43,718,425 2 Fox
9 Knight and Day $455,468 0% 1,925 -312 $237 $70,981,721 4 Fox
10 The Karate Kid (2010) $323,701 3% 1,532 -583 $211 $170,612,858 6 Sony / Columbia

from boxoffice.com

Good Thursday overall, pretty much on par with what I based on to make my weekend predictions. Thought last Thursday was an anomaly.

TSA went up $359 yesterday. That's the closet to flat I've seen in a long time!

I was skimming through his tweets waiting for the Inception #. My God, that man can write. I am flabbergasted at the amazingly high quality of his prodigious output. He really is a national treasure. His show (along with Gene) and Pauline Kael formed the foundation of my love of movies as much as any director from the 70s.