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 Spanglish predictions 
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Opening: $10.3
Total: $55.0

I don't know if this can really be a hit with Adam Sandler being... serious.

Jim Carrrey's The Majestic bombed, opening in a similar 2,361 theaters and having an opening weekend of $4,904,339 in December. It still got a great multiplier, though. Its budget was $72 million.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:36 pm
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micasey300 wrote:
Opening: $10.3
Total: $55.0

I don't know if this can really be a hit with Adam Sandler being... serious.

Jim Carrrey's The Majestic bombed, opening in a similar 2,361 theaters and having an opening weekend of $4,904,339 in December. It still got a great multiplier, though. Its budget was $72 million.


But that movie had such boring commercials. Sandler looks like he turns in a solid performance for this film, and while it won't attract Sandler's main audience, it should get many older views.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:40 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Libs wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Mine:

Opening weekend - $13.8 million

Total gross - $54 million


It's virtually impossible for its final gross to be that low, opening a week before Christmas.


If the movie is as mediocre as the reviews suggest, it is possible.


I really don't think that a movie like this can get a multiplier of under 4 with that release date. Only something very frontloaded like a sequel, an action/horror film, or something with dreadful WOM (The Village, Alexander) could do that.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:43 pm
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Opening: $13.2 million
Total: $85.8 million

I'm feeling good about this one. Though it's not the usual Sandler-type movie, it is the feel-good romcom of the Christmas time this year, and should be able to pull atleast $70-80 million minimum. It might be able to pull Something's Gotta Give numbers as well. All depends on quality, and from what I've been hearing thus far, it looks to be a nice hit.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:43 pm
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Okay, well, actually I was just focused on the total gross. I suppose my predicted opening will be lower.

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Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:44 pm
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DP07 wrote:
But that movie had such boring commercials. Sandler looks like he turns in a solid performance for this film, and while it won't attract Sandler's main audience, it should get many older views.

The teens when they see the commercials for it are saying "What the heck?", and the older crowd doesn't trust Sandler to go see a drama film. I think it will have an odd audience.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:45 pm
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The early reviews are awful. If Sandler couldn't help Punch-Drunk Love, which had good reviews, this will pretty much bomb. Sure, it will be much more accessible than PDL, but Sandler is dull to general audiences without the grade-school humor, especially if the movie sucks altogether.

10/40 (elevated by Christmas)

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Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:48 pm
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micasey300 wrote:
DP07 wrote:
But that movie had such boring commercials. Sandler looks like he turns in a solid performance for this film, and while it won't attract Sandler's main audience, it should get many older views.

The teens when they see the commercials for it are saying "What the heck?", and the older crowd doesn't trust Sandler to go see a drama film. I think it will have an odd audience.


I think the theme and the content of the film will attract the older audience. They might not be fans of Sandler, but I doubt that he will keep them away. After all, they can see from the commercials what kind of role he plays, and so I don't think that will scare them away.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:49 pm
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The winners on opening weekend were the two who went the lowest:
Torrino and Jon Lyrik both with predictions of 10m. Congrats! :wink:

Well after a weaker then expected opening weekend, the question become: can the legs power it to a strong total. Predictions for the multiplier range from 3.83 to 7.18 and average about 5.5, so the film might reach about 50m. El_masked_esteROIDe_user has the best chance of being the closest for the total IMO.

Opening weekend:
RogueCommander 24
lyndenfl 23
lovemerox 20
rusty 19
matatonio 19
hans 18
DP07 17.5
alex young 17
Zingaling 13.2
BigMoviePimp 15.5
zach 15
Dr. Lecter 13.8
ROID 13.3
Libs 12
micasey 10.3
Torrino 10
Jon Lyrik 10


Total:
alex young 122
lyndenfl 120
lovemerox 117
RogueCommander 115
hans 112
rusty 104
DP07 101
Libs 82
Zingaling 85.8
matatonio 78

BigMoviePimp 64
Torrino 58
zach 58

micasey 55
Dr. Lecter 54

ROID 51
Jon Lyrik 40

Multiplier:
alex young 7.18
Libs 6.83
Zingaling 6.50
hans 6.22
lovemerox 5.85
Torrino 5.80
DP07 5.77
rusty 5.47
micasey 5.34
lyndenfl 5.22
RogueCommander 4.79
BigMoviePimp 4.13
matatonio 4.11
Jon Lyrik 4.00
Dr. Lecter 3.91
zach 3.87
ROID 3.83


Wed Dec 22, 2004 6:07 am
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I dunno, I went with 11/70. These types of movies ALWAYS have terrific legs, even without great reviews. Just look at Mona Lisa Smile or Something's Gotta Give. Plus I think that the WOM is a lot better then the critics. I've talked to a lot of people who really loved the movie.


Wed Dec 22, 2004 6:21 am
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Well, it is holding up fairly well for its first two weekdays. Hopefully it can maintain these legs. Still won't finish above $50 million though, if it even gets that far.


Wed Dec 22, 2004 8:33 pm
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I'm pretty sure it will get over $50 million, atleast. Like Moviedude said, these types of movies have great legs during this time of the year, and I don't see why Spanglish would be any acception yet.


Wed Dec 22, 2004 9:09 pm
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Looks like the legs are not too great. Jon Lyrik might very well win the total gross prediction as well. At the moment.I see a total gross of around $42-45 million.

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Wed Dec 29, 2004 12:09 pm
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Proected Domestic total:

52.64m

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Thu Jan 06, 2005 1:05 pm
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A very dissapointing total would be my first reaction, but after seeing the movie, I'd have to say that is actually quite good considering how bland the film is.

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Thu Jan 06, 2005 1:11 pm
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Total:
alex young 122
lyndenfl 120
lovemerox 117
RogueCommander 115
hans 112
rusty 104
DP07 101
Libs 82
Zingaling 85.8
matatonio 78
BigMoviePimp 64
Torrino 58
zach 58
micasey 55
Dr. Lecter 54
ROID 51
Jon Lyrik 40

Multiplier:
alex young 7.18
Libs 6.83
Zingaling 6.50
hans 6.22
lovemerox 5.85
Torrino 5.80
DP07 5.77
rusty 5.47
micasey 5.34
lyndenfl 5.22
RogueCommander 4.79
BigMoviePimp 4.13
matatonio 4.11
Jon Lyrik 4.00
Dr. Lecter 3.91
zach 3.87
ROID 3.83

The total is going to be just over 42m, so Jon Lyrik's low prediction will pay off. The multiplier is 4.768, so Rogue is closest there.


Mon Feb 07, 2005 10:58 pm
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Well, that's one small victory. :)

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Mon Feb 07, 2005 11:07 pm
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I was way off on the total, but I got the multiplier right. Go figure.

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Mon Feb 07, 2005 11:20 pm
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