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Sandy
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Jul 11, 2006 6:30 pm
Posts: 59
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Supafroius - how is this tracking done? Do you have a source or is it your own model? I'm just curious because I'm a very interested observer of box office but am not in the entertainment field. I find all this tracking stuff fascinating!
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:41 pm |
 
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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This is my own tracking formula based off averages of the movies previous weeks drops etc... etc.. ITs always been within a few days of shrek2 but was a day or two behind. Its legs have been improving steadily and now i have it passing 400 just before Shrek2. =p
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 5:11 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Pirates fell behind Shrek 2 last weekend...
But this weekend it should be even with it.
SO, from here on out it should do no more than $20 mil less than it.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 5:28 pm |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 1796
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Very good for Pirates. It's on track for a drop below 35% this weekend, maybe even below 30%. I guess it could go as high as $430-435M after all.
_________________
Best of 2014:
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 6:07 pm |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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ChipMunky wrote: Pirates fell behind Shrek 2 last weekend...
But this weekend it should be even with it.
SO, from here on out it should do no more than $20 mil less than it. nono Pirates2 is still 10 mill ahead in the day to day numbers. Makes pirates even that more impressive considering Shrek had an extra 2 day start as did all the other films minus Sith(1Day). Besides Pirates 2, SPidey 2 was the only other Friday opener.
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:28 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Spider-Man 2 opened on Wednesday.
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:06 pm |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
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He probably meant Spiderman
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:25 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Pirates 2 is holding up so well. It is a lock for $410 million, really. I think it'll go a bit beyond.
Monster House is doing great business too, down less than 30% from last week. It might drop less than 35% despite Barnyard, then it has a shot at $80+ million.
John Tucker Must Die is obviously really frontloaded. Don't expect a drop less than 45-46%, probably around 50% is likely.
Scoop is shaping up for a good, sub 40% drop despite no real theatre count increase.
The Ant Bully reaminds me soooo much of The Wild. Weak opening, great 2nd weekend hold. I think it'll drop less than 20%. It'll probably make $30 million now or more.
The Devil Wears Prada - still wow!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 12:03 am |
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Lotan
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 5:25 pm
Posts: 1222
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Dr. Lecter wrote: The Ant Bully reaminds me soooo much of The Wild. Weak opening, great 2nd weekend hold. I think it'll drop less than 20%. It'll probably make $30 million now or more.
Garfield 2 also had the same pattern. Bombing on weekend and decent numbers after that. Before it was killed by big theatre loss.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 1:14 am |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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Speevy wrote: He probably meant Spiderman I did my bad =p
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:27 am |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Pirates 2 is holding up so well. It is a lock for $410 million, really. I think it'll go a bit beyond.
Monster House is doing great business too, down less than 30% from last week. It might drop less than 35% despite Barnyard, then it has a shot at $80+ million.
John Tucker Must Die is obviously really frontloaded. Don't expect a drop less than 45-46%, probably around 50% is likely.
Scoop is shaping up for a good, sub 40% drop despite no real theatre count increase.
The Ant Bully reaminds me soooo much of The Wild. Weak opening, great 2nd weekend hold. I think it'll drop less than 20%. It'll probably make $30 million now or more.
The Devil Wears Prada - still wow! Lecter, I gotta say, I always genuinely enjoy reading your BO analysis. I think it's the way you bold the movie titles. It must be.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:34 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Snrub wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Pirates 2 is holding up so well. It is a lock for $410 million, really. I think it'll go a bit beyond.
Monster House is doing great business too, down less than 30% from last week. It might drop less than 35% despite Barnyard, then it has a shot at $80+ million.
John Tucker Must Die is obviously really frontloaded. Don't expect a drop less than 45-46%, probably around 50% is likely.
Scoop is shaping up for a good, sub 40% drop despite no real theatre count increase.
The Ant Bully reaminds me soooo much of The Wild. Weak opening, great 2nd weekend hold. I think it'll drop less than 20%. It'll probably make $30 million now or more.
The Devil Wears Prada - still wow! Lecter, I gotta say, I always genuinely enjoy reading your BO analysis. I think it's the way you bold the movie titles. It must be. Thanks 
And now take your hands out of your pants! _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:46 am |
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Erendis
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am
Posts: 1527
Location: Emyn Arnen
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Is Pirates going to beat Phantom Menace? That's what I really want.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:23 am |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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That will be tough. but its possible most definitly. Either way I think it will be within 10 million + or - phantom.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:33 am |
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