I'm not saying Disney will underperform and Sony will win am I.

And let's face it, your just think WB is the bee's knees.

Well I think its all but certain that this summer is a Sony vs Disney race, and not WB...

Disney has it by far and away.

Unless Click somehow makes $200+ million and Da Vinci passes $250 million.

WB is out, for sure, mostly due to their marketing department.

Disney's big two will combine for around $600 million or so.

Sony's big two will combine for around $450 million or so.

The smaller films will balance out, so I still think Disney will win.

So the WB has officially retarded themselves out of the competition.

Superman Returns - 180
Poseidon - 50
Lady - 50

Total: 280

Yep, Pirates is practically a lock to beat that trio on it's own.

Disney definetly has the upper hand when it comes to the top two movies. They've also been doing well with smaller movies this year. This should be close.

I totally missed the above exchange between you and getluv. But its good to see you now agree with me and changed your tune about Sony

I stand by my predictions - DaVinci is heading to $300m and the rest (bar Click) are generally generic guesses. Sure Talladega could be high - but i feel it has a strong non internet anticipation - more so than Anchorman.

Click is my most daring prediction - but IMO i think this will dominate June after Cars. An opening in the $60m range and finish somewhere between $180 and $200m. Its high concept, has mass appeal and a good release date. This is more of Big Daddy Sandler than the Deeds Sandler.

As for WB - they were never in the hunt. Now that Poseidon has tanked and when Superman underwhelms - WB will creep back into their abyss until the next Harry Potter...

Its Sony Vs BV all the way...

This could get very close if CARS has a misstep.

POTC 2 and Cars will both be massive ... mainly POTC 2

Click is Sony's only decent shot at a win in this one, if Click somehow makes $200+ million...

Disney
Goal! - $5m
Cars - $315m
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $588m

Total: $908m


WB
Poseidon - $68m
The Lake House - $140m
Superman Returns - $285m
Lady in the Water - $150m
The Ant Bully - $60m
The Reaping - $42m
Beerfest - $55m

Total: $800m

Sony

The Da Vinci Code -365m
Click - 160m
Little Man - 25m
Monster House - 85m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby - 125m
Zoom - 50m

Total: 810m

Disney will win

As much as I would LOVE Little Man to flop, I see it doing pretty well, maybe $55 m +...

Um, BJ, your Da Vinci Code projection is dellusional. You expect it to have a 4.1 multiplier?

Disney
Goal! - $5m
Cars - $255m
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $320m
Invincible - $65m

Total: $640m


WB
Poseidon - $60m
The Lake House - $30m
Superman Returns - $190m
Lady in the Water - $90m
The Ant Bully - $65m
The Reaping - $50m
Beerfest - $35m

Total: $520m

Sony

The Da Vinci Code -$285m
Click - 200m
Little Man - 50m
Monster House - 105m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby - 100m
Zoom - 50m

Total: 790m

So Sony wins.

Isnt Invincible a disney picture too? Sports movie with Mark Walberg so I see an average of 50 million for that

a 4.05

Bump



The WB:
Poseidon - 60 mil
Lady in the Water - 45 mil
Superman Returns - 195 mil
The Lake House - 52 mil
The Ant Bully - 20 mil

Total: 372 mil

Disney
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - 425 mil
Cars - 240 mil
Goal - 4 mil

Total: 669 mil

The WB got soooooo raped. Pirates beats them single handily.

Sony:
The Da Vinci Code - 218 mil
Click - 135 mil
Little Man - 60 mil
Monster House - 75 mil
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby - 130 mil

Total: 618 mil

So it's still close between Disney and Sony, thanks to the latter's quantity. Disney has this in the bag though, as they still have Invincible, while Sony has Zoom.

Disney has the summer in the bag, but Sony will probably end up taking the year.

something tells me that FOX will be the the real winner this winter.

#1 studio this year will be DISNEY
#2 will be either FOX (Eragon and Night at the museum) or SONY (talladega nights, casino royale and open season)

hehe Im glad i picked WB's dismal performance. Though I cant beleive I went so high on DVC anc CLICK haha

So to tally up WB:

Ant Bully $8.1 m opening, maybe $30 m total, and likely much higher budget. Disappointment, especially considering it was WB's 2nd CG animated film, thus they needed this to do alot better.

Deep Sea 3D $15.2 m -> It had a $366,000 weekend, and went up 19% without any more theaters. Its per theater average is only 41% less than its average 21 weekends ago. It should be able to make it to the top 7 imax films of all time, if it does $22 m +. which at this rate, I think it can.

ATL $11.6 m/$21.2 m I'm sure this was cheap, but a 1.83 multiplier????

Lady In The Water $32 m so far, maybe $45 m finish. Big disappointment.

16 Blocks $37 m total, For a Bruce Willis film, this isn't that great.

Firewall $49 m total, not horrendous, but not superb either, for a Ford film.

Lake House $51 m total, this is a solid total, but I'm sure a Bullock/Reeves reunion cost at least $35 m + to bring together.

Poseidon $60 m total, $160 m budget.

V For Vendetta $71 m, $54 m budget. Solid. But with this as the directors' Matrix follow up, the bar could have been higher, but considering how the Matrix series finished, it was still a good total.

Superman $186 m so far, budgets have been rumored to vary from $180 m, to $300 m, so its hard to tell how this film really did, but definitely below expectations, which were expecting this film to be a top 3 finisher for the year. It's #6 for the year so far, but there's still another half of the year to go.


WB next has "Beerfest," from the director of such classics as Dukes of Hazzard, Club Dread, and Supertroopers.