[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 12 [col] 20.1 [col] 59.70% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 14 [col] 15.4 [col] 90.91% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 13 [col] 12.5 [col] 96.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 8.0 [col] 12.2 [col] 65.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 7.0 [col] 8.3 [col] 84.34% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 7.9 [col] 7.5 [col] 94.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 5.6 [col] 5.9 [col] 94.92% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 2.2 [col] 4 [col] 55.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 5.0 [col] 2.9 [col] 27.59% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 3.0 [col] 1.1 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]66.87%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 35.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 87.73% [/table]

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 14.5 [col] 20.1 [col] 72.14% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 16.6 [col] 15.4 [col] 92.21% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 13.9 [col] 12.5 [col] 88.80% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 9 [col] 12.2 [col] 73.77% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 7.7 [col] 8.3 [col] 92.77% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 7.6 [col] 7.5 [col] 98.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 5.7 [col] 5.9 [col] 96.61% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 2.3 [col] 4 [col] 57.50% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 4.7 [col] 2.9 [col] 37.93% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 3.1 [col] 1.1 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]71.04%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 41.89% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.47% [/table]

Bloodrayne shouldn't count, but I can't believe Casanova is going to have a PTA around $4000. HOW!?

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 16.2 [col] 20.1 [col] 80.60% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 14.5 [col] 15.4 [col] 94.16% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 14.2 [col] 12.5 [col] 86.40% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 10.6 [col] 12.2 [col] 86.89% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 7.7 [col] 8.3 [col] 92.77% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 7.2 [col] 7.5 [col] 96.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 5.9 [col] 5.9 [col] 100.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 2.7 [col] 4 [col] 67.50% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 5.2 [col] 2.9 [col] 20.69% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 3 [col] 1.1 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]72.50%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 42.20% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 92.70% [/table]

The derby average is 70%. So hopefully this will be enough for a top 100 finish.

[table][row]Movie[col]Actual[col]Prediction[col]Score[row]Hostel[col]$20,100,000 [col]$17,500,000 [col]87.06%[row]The Chronicles of Narnia[col]$15,400,000 [col]$15,400,000 [col]100.00%[row]King Kong[col]$12,500,000 [col]$14,400,000 [col]84.80%[row]Fun with Dick and Jane[col]$12,200,000 [col]$10,400,000 [col]85.25%[row]Cheaper by the Dozen 2[col]$8,300,000 [col]$8,700,000 [col]95.18%[row]Munich[col]$7,500,000 [col]$7,600,000 [col]98.67%[row]Rumor Has It[col]$5,900,000 [col]$5,600,000 [col]94.92%[row]Grandma's Boy[col]$2,900,000 [col]$4,800,000 [col]34.48%[row]Casanova[col]$4,000,000 [col]$4,000,000 [col]100.00%[row]Bloodrayne[col]$1,100,000 [col]$1,700,000 [col]45.45%[row]Overall[col]$89,900,000 [col]$90,100,000 [col]82.58%[/table]

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 14.4 [col] 20.1 [col] 71.64% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 16.2 [col] 15.4 [col] 94.81% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 14.7 [col] 12.5 [col] 82.40% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 11.6 [col] 12.2 [col] 95.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 11.7 [col] 8.3 [col] 59.04% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 8.6 [col] 7.5 [col] 85.33% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 6.5 [col] 5.9 [col] 89.83% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 3.4 [col] 4 [col] 85.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 5.4 [col] 2.9 [col] 13.79% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 1.9 [col] 1.1 [col] 27.27% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]70.42%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 49.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 84.41% [/table]

Blech. Can't believe I'm so bad on Cheaper 2.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 14.8 [col] 20.1 [col] 73.63% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 16.7 [col] 15.4 [col] 91.56% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 13.7 [col] 12.5 [col] 90.40% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 11.1 [col] 12.2 [col] 90.98% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 10.7 [col] 8.3 [col] 71.08% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 7.6 [col] 7.5 [col] 98.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 6.2 [col] 5.9 [col] 94.92% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 3.1 [col] 4 [col] 77.50% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 4.5 [col] 2.9 [col] 44.83% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 1 [col] 1.1 [col] 90.91% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]82.45%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 71.72% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 89.60% [/table]

Lost about 3% from Projections

74.24% ... of course Bloodrayne hurt me since i Based it on the early theatre count .. Hostel wasnt all that good either

terrible way to ring in the new year

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 13.7 [col] 20.1 [col] 68.16% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 17 [col] 15.4 [col] 89.61% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 13.5 [col] 12.5 [col] 92.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 10.4 [col] 12.2 [col] 85.25% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 9 [col] 8.3 [col] 91.57% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 7.2 [col] 7.5 [col] 96.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 5.4 [col] 5.9 [col] 91.53% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 3.9 [col] 4 [col] 97.50% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 3.8 [col] 2.9 [col] 68.97% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 0.9 [col] 1.1 [col] 81.82% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]86.24%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 79.11% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.99% [/table]

I'll need BloodRayne to be at 1.1 with actual and some other helps such as Casanova drop from estimate, Rumor Has It drop, or Narnia increase. Jeff has the upper hand.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 15.2 [col] 20.1 [col] 75.62% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 16.4 [col] 15.4 [col] 93.51% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 14.5 [col] 12.5 [col] 84.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 10 [col] 12.2 [col] 81.97% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 9.2 [col] 8.3 [col] 89.16% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 8.5 [col] 7.5 [col] 86.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 6.8 [col] 5.9 [col] 84.75% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 3.9 [col] 4 [col] 97.50% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 5.1 [col] 2.9 [col] 24.14% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 1.8 [col] 1.1 [col] 36.36% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]75.37%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 58.41% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 86.67% [/table]

Grandma's Boy and bloodrayne really killed me

82.39%

Bloodrayne is going to have a Titanic like multiplier. It's on it's way to 21 million.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 12.3 [col] 20.1 [col] 61.19% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 14.4 [col] 15.4 [col] 93.51% [row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 13.4 [col] 12.5 [col] 92.80% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 9.6 [col] 12.2 [col] 78.69% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 8.5 [col] 8.3 [col] 97.59% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 6.1 [col] 7.5 [col] 81.33% [row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 5.7 [col] 5.9 [col] 96.61% [row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 2.6 [col] 4 [col] 65.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 4.5 [col] 2.9 [col] 44.83% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 3.6 [col] 1.1 [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]71.16%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 42.76% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 90.09% [/table]

The third time this year that I underpredicted a torture/horror film.

[table][row color=#FF0000]Movie[col color=#FF0000]Prediction[col color=#FF0000]% Change[col color=#FF0000]Actual[col color=#FF0000]Percent[row color=#FFFF99]Hostel[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 15.5 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 20.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]77.11%[row color=#FFFF99]Grandma's Boy[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 5.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 2.9 million[col color=#CCFFFF]27.59%[row color=#FFFF99]BloodRayne[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 2.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 1.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]18.18%[row color=#FFFF99]Chronicles of Narnia[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 17.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-33.8%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 15.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF]89.61%[row color=#FFFF99]King Kong[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 14.3 million[col color=#FFFF99]-42.3%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 12.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]85.60%[row color=#FFFF99]Fun with Dick and Jane[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 11.9 million[col color=#FFFF99]-28.0%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 12.2 million[col color=#CCFFFF]97.54%[row color=#FFFF99]Cheaper by the Dozen 2[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 10.5 million[col color=#FFFF99]-27.5%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 8.3 million[col color=#CCFFFF]73.49%[row color=#FFFF99]Rumor Has It[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 6.4 million[col color=#FFFF99]-31.7%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 5.9 million[col color=#CCFFFF]91.53%[row color=#FFFF99]Casanova[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]+1085.2%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 4.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF]80.00%[row color=#FFFF99]Munich[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 8.4 million[col color=#FFFF99]+76.5%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 7.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]88.00%[row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row]10 Movies:[col]72.87%[col][col][col][/table]This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

Blah. It looked like the dailies were pointing torward a stronger-than-normal weekend for family movies.

With Bloodrayne at $1.2 million, I have 83.87%.

the year just started

77.82%
Bloodrayne really killed me

77.7, pretty average for this week I guess. Oh well, hopefully I'll recover

73.76%

Grandma's Boy killed me.

BRANDON GRAY killed me

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Actual[col]Accuracy[col]% gain/loss[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 14.5 [col] 19.6 [col] 73.98% [col] 1.84%[row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 16.6 [col] 15.6 [col] 93.59% [col] 1.38%[row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 13.9 [col] 12.6 [col] 89.68% [col] 0.88%[row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 9 [col] 11.9 [col] 75.63% [col] 1.86%[row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 7.7 [col] 8.4 [col] 91.67% [col] -1.10%[row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 7.6 [col] 7.6 [col] 100.00% [col] 1.33%[row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 5.7 [col] 5.7 [col] 100.00% [col] 3.39%[row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 2.3 [col] 3.8 [col] 60.53% [col] 3.03%[row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 4.7 [col] 2.9 [col] 37.93% [col] 0.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 3.1 [col] 1.2 [col] 0.00% [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (actual) [col]72.30%[row color=#CCDDFF] Estimated [col] 71.04% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 43.11% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 91.76% [/table] Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 1.26% in your average.

Nice increase. Still amazed Casanova did as well as it did (still not very good)
Should be good for top 100? Eh I'll improve next weekend.

With BloodRayne being at either 1.1 or 1.2, Jeff should win the weekend.

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Actual[col]Accuracy[col]% gain/loss[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Hostel [col] 15.2 [col] 19.6 [col] 77.55% [col] 1.93%[row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe [col] 16.4 [col] 15.6 [col] 94.87% [col] 1.37%[row color=#CCDDFF] 3 [col] King Kong [col] 14.5 [col] 12.6 [col] 84.92% [col] 0.92%[row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Fun With Dick and Jane [col] 10 [col] 11.9 [col] 84.03% [col] 2.07%[row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] Cheaper by the Dozen 2 [col] 9.2 [col] 8.4 [col] 90.48% [col] 1.32%[row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] Munich [col] 8.5 [col] 7.6 [col] 88.16% [col] 1.49%[row color=#CCDDFF] 7 [col] Rumor Has It [col] 6.8 [col] 5.7 [col] 80.70% [col] -4.04%[row color=#ffCC66] 8 [col] Casanova [col] 3.9 [col] 3.8 [col] 97.37% [col] -0.13%[row color=#ffCC66] 9 [col] Grandma's Boy [col] 5.1 [col] 2.9 [col] 24.14% [col] 0.00% [row color=#ffCC66] 10 [col] Bloodrayne [col] 1.8 [col] 1.2 [col] 50.00% [col] 0.00% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (actual) [col]77.22%[row color=#CCDDFF] Estimated [col] 76.73% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 62.26% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 87.19% [/table] Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 0.49% in your average.

[table][row]Movie[col]Actual[col]Prediction[col]Score[row]Hostel[col]$19,600,000 [col]$17,500,000 [col]89.29%[row]The Chronicles of Narnia[col]$15,600,000 [col]$15,400,000 [col]98.72%[row]King Kong[col]$12,600,000 [col]$14,400,000 [col]85.71%[row]Fun with Dick and Jane[col]$11,900,000 [col]$10,400,000 [col]87.39%[row]Cheaper by the Dozen 2[col]$8,400,000 [col]$8,700,000 [col]96.43%[row]Munich[col]$7,600,000 [col]$7,600,000 [col]100.00%[row]Rumor Has It[col]$5,700,000 [col]$5,600,000 [col]98.25%[row]Grandma's Boy[col]$2,900,000 [col]$4,800,000 [col]34.48%[row]Casanova[col]$3,800,000 [col]$4,000,000 [col]94.74%[row]Bloodrayne[col]$1,200,000 [col]$1,700,000 [col]58.33%[row]Overall[col]$89,300,000 [col]$90,100,000 [col]84.33%[/table]

Hehe, oh well, BloodRayne wasn't counted after all.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/derb ... m?game=202