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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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I think it has a chance to pass 200 million by the end of the holidays 
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| Sun Dec 18, 2005 7:43 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15563
Location: Everywhere
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Make that 270m. Even Sith might not be safe if this thing has an Oscar run.  WOM might just be too strong among mainstream audiences (aka non-GG voters) for it not to get a best pic nom.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2005 8:12 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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 DP07 wrote: Make that 270m. Even Sith might not be safe if this thing has an Oscar run. WOM might just be too strong among mainstream audiences (aka non-GG voters) for it not to get a best pic nom. It needs to successfully cross two thresholds to have a successful run:
1) First, it needs to make it through the first few days, jumping into the holidays season and its fortnight of big daily grosses. That, for all intents and purposes, is a done deal. The 10m people who've seen it so far have begun spreading the word.
2) It needs to get out of the holiday season with enough stamina in order to make it through January and February, and preferrably March as well. In order to do that, it needs either continued great WOM (although I think the holidays will absorb as many of those who want to see it as can be hand, given that they have the time to watch a 3hr film), repeat viewings ensuring a more steady decline from week to week, or, preferrably, the Oscars and the huge publcity that comes with it.
1) guarantees $200m+; anything approaching $300m will require 2)'s threshold to be crossed. _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Sun Dec 18, 2005 8:18 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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If Kong does manage to secure the major nominations at the Oscars like many still suspect, then I think it will be quite a nice push for the film's box office. The Oscars should have more of an effect on King Kong, then the Lord of the Rings films in my opinion, being that King Kong has opened smaller and with less "fanboyism" and there are probably those still sceptical towards it.
As long as King Kong receives a PGA nomination, I'm pretty confident it will receive the Oscar nom too at this point.
PEACE, Mike.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2005 8:25 pm |
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Animosity Reigns
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
Posts: 1777
Location: The Dirty South
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202.5m
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| Sun Dec 18, 2005 8:50 pm |
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Ahmed Johnson
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:22 pm
Posts: 2226
Location: Pearl River, Mississippi
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The One still holds true to His 335m prediction...however something like 280m is quite likely too (and this would still be an excellent figure to achieve)
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| Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:02 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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With Friday's numbers out, anyone jumping on board this train yet????
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 4:19 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
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RAWSAW wrote: With Friday's numbers out, anyone jumping on board this train yet???? Almost ready.
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 4:52 pm |
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Anonymous
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Dropping from $231m, to around $195m for now.
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 4:53 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15563
Location: Everywhere
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It's got 200m. I just wonder whether it can reach 250m.
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 5:57 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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It will outdo War of the Worlds.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:51 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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Dr. Lecter wrote: It will outdo War of the Worlds. Its a good standard to judge it now...It needs to beat WotW in my book for respect...
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You get what you give
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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That, it shall do, but it will take time.
If this gets a Best Picture nom, then it will make $250+ million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:57 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11030
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I dont think it will get a BP nom,maybe a best director.
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:58 pm |
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