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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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I'm in no way signing on to this silly club but at the same time I think a lot of you guys overestimate how much quality matters in a movie of this sort.
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| Wed Nov 30, 2005 3:01 am |
 
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Korrgan
problem?
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:52 am
Posts: 15515
Location: Bait Shop
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It'll be lucky to top $90 million, so no.
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| Wed Nov 30, 2005 3:25 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Finally saw the new trailer. It looks okay, just like the first movie's trailer did (the movie was bad, though). I see a 5-day opening of around $27-28 million and a atotal of about $90-100 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 12:40 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Im lowering my Domestic total prediction to 105m Narnia should hammer this film over the holidays  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 12:53 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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It's tracking at, like, $38 million five day, I think.
If it gets that, it should make around $130-140 million total.
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 12:53 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: It's tracking at, like, $38 million five day, I think.
If it gets that, it should make around $130-140 million total. It is tracking ahead of Dick & Jane. I can hardly believe that. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 1:02 am |
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xXVincentxX
La Bella Vito
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 9146
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I don't even see this crossing $100 million so I am definitely not in this club sorry.
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 1:33 am |
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torrino
College Boy T
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
Posts: 16020
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I'm in.
I loved Cheaper by the Dozen.
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 1:40 pm |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
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It'll hit 100
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 2:10 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11016
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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No need to degrade MTF when CBTD2 will only be slightly funny if that.
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| Sun Dec 11, 2005 2:43 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40586
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 bump
So, now that the release is coming, any new takers?
With Fun With Dick & Jane looking to be weaker than expected, the door is wide open for Cheaper By the Dozen 2 to grab the majority of the comedic audience. It's now consistantly tracking as the #1 new opener.
Chew on this:
Last year, Fockers, on this same Christmas weekend, opened to a 3-day total of 46 mil. It then had a 6.06 multiplier, on route to a total gross of 279 mil.
Using the same 6.06 multiplier, 180 / 6.06, it mathamatically works out that Cheaper By The Dozen 2 will need approximately 29.7 mil on it's 3-day opening weekend. 29.7 mil, that's it folks. Hmm, that doesn't seem so hard does it?
There are of course other factors. One is the fact that Fockers was actually funny, and it had good WOM. But on the other hand, Cbtd2 is also a kid's film which have better legs in the Christmas season. And for a kid's film, there is a very good chance that this WILL in fact be a big crowd-pleaser like Fockers.
Now I do believe that Fockers has a good chance of having better legs than Cheaper 2, and that's why I do think it will need to pass 30 mil to do this. But really, it isn't that much of a stretch anymore.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Dec 20, 2005 3:25 am |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm
Posts: 9773
Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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now way it will get even close to 180. maybe 100-120 million tops
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| Tue Dec 20, 2005 3:27 am |
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snack
Extraordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
Posts: 12159
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I haven't seen ANY advertising for this...I don't think it'll top 110.
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| Tue Dec 20, 2005 3:45 am |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Hmmm.. I've changed my view on this one. It looks to be one of the few big movies for children this winter besides Narnia, and I think it's going to do solid business.
Opening: $25 million
Total: $112 million
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| Tue Dec 20, 2005 6:18 pm |
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newfoundglorysp
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
Posts: 1093
Location: Montreal, Canada
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yeah, still no.
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| Tue Dec 20, 2005 6:33 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15571
Location: Everywhere
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A bit less then Fockers opening day. 
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| Thu Dec 22, 2005 9:28 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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Wow...I wonder if Shack even has enough sense in his head to realize everyone is laughing at how dumb he is. 
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| Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:27 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40586
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WOW.
KJ Idol thread.
King Kong prediction thread.
CBTD2 thread.
Me so angry! _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:30 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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What do we have, about 177.5 million to go? Good call, Shack. 
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| Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:33 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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With legs it might near 100 million, if it's lucky.
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| Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:36 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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As of now, I think it will end up just a bit ahead of Yours, Mine and Ours. It seems to be on track towards a $19-20 million 4-day weekend and it will have nice legs into January, at least until Hoodwinked arrives, but I still see it topping out with around $75-80 million now.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 11:16 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40586
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Yep.  .
Even if it pulls a Shrek 2 IM, it still looks like I would be wrong pretty badly. _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 11:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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If you want to feel better, just go to that thread in which I predicted Stay to be the biggest horror/thriller hit of the fall.  _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 23, 2005 11:21 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23385
Location: Melbourne Australia
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MadGez wrote: No way - I doubt this will even make $70m.
Yours Mine and Ours will actually hurt it. 
Dont worry Shack. Ive learnt that in 05 its better to underpredict than over predict!
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 4:28 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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| Sat Dec 24, 2005 10:53 pm |
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