The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $754 million
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:06 am |
 
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Wow when we think about 800M I get a really good thought. Avatar started 2010 with 283.6M collections. If it reaches 783M it would have collected 500M Domestic in 2010 alone. Though it will not be counted it will be the biggest BO run in 2010  Current trajectory is for 750M and with a little Oscar support it can very well reach 800M. Go Avatar 
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:13 am |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread TDK impressively surrenders to Avatar in only 37 days... Titanic will sink in due time  _________________
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:44 am |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread So that we now have early estimates and no one posted Saturday prediction beside me, does it mean that I won? 
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:56 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Mesjarch wrote: So that we now have early estimates and no one posted Saturday prediction beside me, does it mean that I won? Mesjarch wrote: Saturday - 16.8M
Sunday - 12.2M mdana wrote: I would estimate $16.24m for Saturday with a range between $16.0-16.5m. soagg wrote: Saturday - 15.5M At the moment I am closer to the estimate.
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 5:08 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Wow my predictions this weekend fell heavily short. Next weekend I should do not under-predict it
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 6:55 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight | Titanic |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 | $8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 | $10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 | $9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 | $5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 | $6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 | $3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 | $9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 | $12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 | $12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 | $10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 | $7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 | $8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 | $8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13 |
| Thu | $14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 | $11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14 |
| Fri | $25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15 | $10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17 | $9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15 | $12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15 | $11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15 |
| Sat | $25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16 | $10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18 | $14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16 | $17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16 | $12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16 |
| Sun | $17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17 | $7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19 | $10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17 | $12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17 | $8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17 |
| Mon | $8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18 | $2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20 | $4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18 | $6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18 | $3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18 |
| Tue | $7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19 | $2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21 | $4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19 | $5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19 | $3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19 |
| Wed | $6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20 | $1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22 | $3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20 | $5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20 | $2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20 |
| Thu | $6,094,445
-11.8% / -58.6%
$380,540,297 / 21 | $1,651,907
-8.5% / -87.1%
$298,111,838 / 23 | $3,745,513
+1% / -42.1%
$337,879,183 / 21 | $4,734,366
-6.8% / -43.7%
$415,511,467 / 21 | $2,789,088
-1.8% / -75.9%
$169,165,503 / 21 |
| Fri | $13,280,653
+117.9% / -47.5%
$393,820,950 / 22 | $3,676,960
+122.6% / -65.3%
$301,788,798 / 24 | $5,966,100
+59.3% / -40.3%
$343,845,283 / 22 | $7,577,362
+60.1% / -40.4%
$423,088,829 / 22 | $7,738,150
+177.4% / -33.9%
$176,903,653 / 22 |
| Sat | $21,269,537
+60.2% / -17.7%
$415,090,487 / 23 | $6,439,410
+75.1% / -39%
$308,228,208 / 25 | $8,388,675
+40.6% / -42.8%
$352,233,958 / 23 | $10,502,243
+38.6% / -38.9%
$433,591,072 / 23 | $12,758,118
+64.9% / +0.2%
$189,661,771 / 23 |
| Sun | $15,756,027
-25.9% / -9.3%
$430,846,514 / 24 | $4,092,728
-36.4% / -41.7%
$312,320,936 / 26 | $6,251,803
-25.5% / -40.8%
$358,485,761 / 24 | $8,037,425
-23.5% / -37%
$441,628,497 / 24 | $8,220,042
-35.6% / -7.5%
$197,881,813 / 24 |
| Mon | $5,111,193
-67.6% / -36.9%
$435,957,707 / 25 | $1,098,097
-73.2% / -50.7%
$313,419,033 / 27 | $2,603,407
-58.4% / -39.5%
$361,089,168 / 25 | $3,742,198
-53.4% / -40.5%
$445,370,695 / 25 | $2,170,146
-73.6% / -28.2%
$200,051,959 / 25 |
| Tue | $5,066,734
-0.9% / -30.9%
$441,024,441 / 26 | $1,148,156
+4.6% / -43%
$314,567,189 / 28 | $2,749,175
+5.6% / -34.9%
$363,838,343 / 26 | $3,515,389
-6.1% / -37.9%
$448,886,084 / 26 | $2,386,164
+10% / -21.6%
$202,438,123 / 26 |
| Wed | $4,743,762
-6.4% / -31.3%
$445,768,203 / 27 | $989,404
-13.8% / -45.2%
$315,556,593 / 29 | $2,549,037
-7.3% / -31.3%
$366,387,380 / 27 | $3,002,302
-14.6% / -40.9%
$451,888,386 / 27 | $2,095,782
-12.2% / -26.2%
$204,533,905 / 27 |
| Thu | $4,698,802
-0.9% / -22.9%
$450,467,005 / 28 | $1,036,039
+4.7% / -37.3%
$316,592,632 / 30 | $2,310,578
-9.4% / -38.3%
$368,697,958 / 28 | $2,814,471
-6.3% / -40.6%
$454,702,857 / 28 | $2,200,465
+5% / -21.1%
$206,734,370 / 28 |
| Fri | $10,394,264
+121.2% / -21.7%
$460,861,269 / 29 | $2,376,259
+129.4% / -35.4%
$318,968,891 / 31 | $3,241,311
+40.3% / -45.7%
$371,939,269 / 29 | $4,937,955
+75.4% / -34.8%
$459,640,812 / 29 | $7,418,385
+237.1% / -4.1%
$214,152,755 / 29 |
| Sat | $17,254,108
+66% / -18.9%
$478,115,377 / 30 | $4,614,194
+94.2% / -28.3%
$323,583,085 / 32 | $4,482,398
+38.3% / -46.6%
$376,421,667 / 30 | $6,708,833
+35.9% / -36.1%
$466,349,645 / 30 | $12,357,344
+66.6% / -3.1%
$226,510,099 / 30 |
| Sun | $15,137,240
-12.3% / -3.9%
$493,252,617 / 31 | $3,229,017
-30% / -21.1%
$326,812,102 / 33 | $3,277,977
-26.9% / -47.6%
$379,699,644 / 31 | $4,732,505
-29.5% / -41.1%
$471,082,150 / 31 | $10,235,305
-17.2% / +24.5%
$236,745,404 / 31 |
| Mon | $11,615,834
-23.3% / +127.3%
$504,868,451 / 32 | $2,228,291
-31% / +102.9%
$329,040,393 / 34 | $1,574,139
-52% / -39.5%
$381,273,783 / 32 | $2,112,206
-55.4% / -43.6%
$473,194,356 / 32 | $6,003,510
-41.3% / +176.6%
$242,748,914 / 32 |
| Tue | $4,190,947
-63.9% / -17.3%
$509,059,398 / 33 | $739,324
-66.8% / -35.6%
$329,779,717 / 35 | $1,382,590
-12.2% / -49.7%
$382,656,373 / 33 | $2,148,332
+1.7% / -38.9%
$475,342,688 / 33 | $2,322,334
-61.3% / -2.7%
$245,071,248 / 33 |
| Wed | $3,792,807
-9.5% / -20%
$512,852,205 / 34 | $610,621
-17.4% / -38.3%
$330,390,338 / 36 | $1,225,457
-11.4% / -51.9%
$383,881,830 / 34 | $1,805,312
-16% / -39.9%
$477,148,000 / 34 | $2,076,976
-10.6% / -0.9%
$247,148,224 / 34 |
| Thu | $3,945,213
+4% / -16%
$516,797,418 / 35 | $641,904
+5.1% / -38%
$331,032,242 / 37 | $1,312,024
+7.1% / -43.2%
$385,193,854 / 35 | $1,726,461
-4.4% / -38.7%
$478,874,461 / 35 | $2,212,942
+6.5% / +0.6%
$249,361,166 / 35 |
| Fri | Est. $9,100,000
+130.7% / -12.5%
$525,897,000 / 36 | $1,509,646
+135.2% / -36.5%
$332,541,888 / 38 | $2,080,197
+58.5% / -35.8%
$387,274,051 / 36 | $2,991,066
+73.2% / -39.4%
$481,865,527 / 36 | $7,031,183
+217.7% / -5.2%
$256,392,349 / 36 |
| Sat | Est. $16,475,000
+81% / -4.5%
$542,372,000 / 37 | $3,158,167
+109.2% / -31.6%
$335,700,055 / 39 | $3,056,841
+46.9% / -31.8%
$390,330,892 / 37 | $4,474,170
+49.6% / -33.3%
$486,339,697 / 37 | $12,474,937
+77.4% / +1%
$268,867,286 / 37 |
| Sun | Est. $10,425,000
-36.7% / -31.1%
$552,797,000 / 38 | $2,117,943
-32.9% / -34.4%
$337,817,998 / 40 | $2,100,889
-31.3% / -35.9%
$392,431,781 / 38 | $3,077,188
-31.2% / -35%
$489,416,885 / 38 | $5,732,600
-54% / -44%
$274,599,886 / 38 |
_________________
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 12:33 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Sundays for Avatar are really impressive. I know that they are not the best in the % drops but at the scale that they are operating the numbers really surprises me every weekend 
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 12:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread BS sunday estimate from fox, the film probably wont fall over 30%.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:46 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's SundayBJs Prediction: 11.50m -30% Average: 9.78m +148% you have until estimates are posted, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.I forgot to post a saturday prediction battle 
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:51 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Sunday- $12.0 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:55 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: BJ wrote: Domestic Total:
Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61
MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55
Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56
したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82
Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35
Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27
KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44
billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18
Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54
Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97
Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00
The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06
O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61
Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53
Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45
SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88
Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28
BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51
Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74
Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53
Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34
DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m
Average Multiplyer: 4.82
only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats  don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red. Those wit a strike through there name have predicted in round 2 BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 2 update #5
Proud Ryu - 450m
SolC9 - 459m
Archangel - 500m
BennyBlanco - 501m
Nazgul - 504m
Telemachos - 510m
BK - 525m
Keyser Soze - 525m
Tyler - 530m
The Dark Shape 540m
Eventine - 541.2m
Captain_Cold - 545m
Xiayun - 550m
LadiesMan217 - 565m
2001 - 565m
Gamaur - 575m
Chip Munkington - 601m
Soagg - 602m
Jmovies - 612m
Revatar - 612.5m
Mesjarch - 620m
Mark66 - 625m
DIB2 - 720m
Lotan - 770m
BJ - 811m
EnKi - 1.025b
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 583.80m
newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.
closed Chip Munkington - 601m Soagg - 602m Revatar - 612.5m Mark66 - 625m Nazgul - 634m Xiayun - 635m Dr. Lecter - 655m Lilmac - 660m Proud Ryu - 667m Mesjarch - 700m Telemachos - 710m Keyser Soze - 711m DIB2 - 720m Bryan_Smith - 750m Lotan - 770m Jmovies - 800m BJ - 811m EnKi - 1.025b Average Domestic Total Prediction: 704.92m newly submitted are in bold, have fun all. Two rounds in and still over half the pack under predict avatanics potential. This time 10 people make it to the next round  , those in red if you wish submit another prediction, you have until midnight eastern time to get your prediction in.
ClosedChip Munkington - 601m
Soagg - 602m
Revatar - 612.5m
Mark66 - 625m
Nazgul - 634m
Xiayun - 635m
Dr. Lecter - 655m
Lilmac - 660m
Proud Ryu - 667mMesjarch - 700m Wogusvh - 708m Telemachos - 710m Nazgul - 712m Chip Munkington - 717m DIB2 - 720m Revatar - 746mBryan_Smith - 750m Eventine - 754mLotan - 770m 2001 - 775 Keyser Soze - 777mJmovies - 800m Soagg - 840m BJ - 850m EnKi - 1.025b Average Domestic Total Prediction: 786.78m (only those over 700m) newly submitted are in bold, have fun all. Three rounds down, this is the final round, it closes the day Avatanic passes Titanic whether that be in Jan or Feb or March. Those in RED are eliminated and can post a new prediction of they please. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:56 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Chip Munkington wrote: Sunday- $12.0 mil _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:56 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Dr. Lecter wrote: $700 million is a lock.
$720 million is even a lock.
$740 million is likely.
$800 million is remotely possible. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 2:57 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32625
Location: the last free city
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Sunday $11.88m
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:20 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread WTF, why is my prediction the lowest  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:21 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread You've lost your mojo.
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:24 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread So I have a question. How much more box office could Avatar had done if it had a more popular soundtrack? Celine Dion certainly helped Titanic go on and on, but Leona Lewis's song didn't really gain much traction. Could a bigger song attached to the film have added say $50 m to the film's box office?
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 6:18 pm |
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm
Posts: 740
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread song has a small factor.
Last time it had a huge impact was 8 mile imo.
An epic soundtrack is what counts as it makes a film epic.
_________________
ACH! Unsere Unterseeboot sind stiehlen mit eine dog und baby und Art Garfunkel!
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 6:20 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread The thing is that Titanic had a song that was played and played and played all over again on every music channel and radio station for at least half a year. It was good marketing since the clip was like a trailer with all those scenes from the movie. I think it added a lot to the movie box office success.
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| Sun Jan 24, 2010 6:48 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Theater Monitoring Report for Avatar 1/24/10
All AMC Theaters
3D screens unless noted, sellouts on right 1st # 1/10/10, 2nd # 1/24/10
Tysons Corner
12 Showings-6/5
Hoffman 22
7 Showings-4/0
IMAX 3D 3 Showings-2/2
Hampton 24
7 Showings-0/0
IMAX 3D 4 showings-0/0
2D 3 Showings-0/0
Potomac Mills 18
7 Showings-4/1
IMAX 3D 4 showings-2/2
Mazza Gallerie 8
4 Showings-0/0
Columbia 14
8 Showings-3/3
IMAX 3D 4 showings-3/2
Security Square 8
4 2D showings-0/0
Lynnhaven 18
7 Showings-2/0
IMAX 3D 4 showings-1/1
A drop in sellouts from two weeks ago of 27 to 16. I don't have complete data from last Sunday, but the early sellouts lagged behind last Sunday's #. I would assume the afternoon and evening sellouts last week were strong with a Monday holiday. A drop in sellouts from yesterday of 33 to 16. I would estimate/project/predict a Sunday total of $10.6m with a range between $10.4-$10.9m. I would estimate it more likely to be below the range than above $11m.
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| Mon Jan 25, 2010 12:18 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Hope I am not late again but this time I haven't seen any estimates Sunday - 11.2M
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| Mon Jan 25, 2010 12:25 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight | Titanic |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 | $8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 | $10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 | $9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 | $5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 | $6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 | $3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 | $9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 | $12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 | $12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 | $10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 | $7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 | $8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 | $8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13 |
| Thu | $14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 | $11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14 |
| Fri | $25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15 | $10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17 | $9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15 | $12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15 | $11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15 |
| Sat | $25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16 | $10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18 | $14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16 | $17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16 | $12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16 |
| Sun | $17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17 | $7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19 | $10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17 | $12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17 | $8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17 |
| Mon | $8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18 | $2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20 | $4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18 | $6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18 | $3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18 |
| Tue | $7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19 | $2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21 | $4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19 | $5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19 | $3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19 |
| Wed | $6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20 | $1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22 | $3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20 | $5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20 | $2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20 |
| Thu | $6,094,445
-11.8% / -58.6%
$380,540,297 / 21 | $1,651,907
-8.5% / -87.1%
$298,111,838 / 23 | $3,745,513
+1% / -42.1%
$337,879,183 / 21 | $4,734,366
-6.8% / -43.7%
$415,511,467 / 21 | $2,789,088
-1.8% / -75.9%
$169,165,503 / 21 |
| Fri | $13,280,653
+117.9% / -47.5%
$393,820,950 / 22 | $3,676,960
+122.6% / -65.3%
$301,788,798 / 24 | $5,966,100
+59.3% / -40.3%
$343,845,283 / 22 | $7,577,362
+60.1% / -40.4%
$423,088,829 / 22 | $7,738,150
+177.4% / -33.9%
$176,903,653 / 22 |
| Sat | $21,269,537
+60.2% / -17.7%
$415,090,487 / 23 | $6,439,410
+75.1% / -39%
$308,228,208 / 25 | $8,388,675
+40.6% / -42.8%
$352,233,958 / 23 | $10,502,243
+38.6% / -38.9%
$433,591,072 / 23 | $12,758,118
+64.9% / +0.2%
$189,661,771 / 23 |
| Sun | $15,756,027
-25.9% / -9.3%
$430,846,514 / 24 | $4,092,728
-36.4% / -41.7%
$312,320,936 / 26 | $6,251,803
-25.5% / -40.8%
$358,485,761 / 24 | $8,037,425
-23.5% / -37%
$441,628,497 / 24 | $8,220,042
-35.6% / -7.5%
$197,881,813 / 24 |
| Mon | $5,111,193
-67.6% / -36.9%
$435,957,707 / 25 | $1,098,097
-73.2% / -50.7%
$313,419,033 / 27 | $2,603,407
-58.4% / -39.5%
$361,089,168 / 25 | $3,742,198
-53.4% / -40.5%
$445,370,695 / 25 | $2,170,146
-73.6% / -28.2%
$200,051,959 / 25 |
| Tue | $5,066,734
-0.9% / -30.9%
$441,024,441 / 26 | $1,148,156
+4.6% / -43%
$314,567,189 / 28 | $2,749,175
+5.6% / -34.9%
$363,838,343 / 26 | $3,515,389
-6.1% / -37.9%
$448,886,084 / 26 | $2,386,164
+10% / -21.6%
$202,438,123 / 26 |
| Wed | $4,743,762
-6.4% / -31.3%
$445,768,203 / 27 | $989,404
-13.8% / -45.2%
$315,556,593 / 29 | $2,549,037
-7.3% / -31.3%
$366,387,380 / 27 | $3,002,302
-14.6% / -40.9%
$451,888,386 / 27 | $2,095,782
-12.2% / -26.2%
$204,533,905 / 27 |
| Thu | $4,698,802
-0.9% / -22.9%
$450,467,005 / 28 | $1,036,039
+4.7% / -37.3%
$316,592,632 / 30 | $2,310,578
-9.4% / -38.3%
$368,697,958 / 28 | $2,814,471
-6.3% / -40.6%
$454,702,857 / 28 | $2,200,465
+5% / -21.1%
$206,734,370 / 28 |
| Fri | $10,394,264
+121.2% / -21.7%
$460,861,269 / 29 | $2,376,259
+129.4% / -35.4%
$318,968,891 / 31 | $3,241,311
+40.3% / -45.7%
$371,939,269 / 29 | $4,937,955
+75.4% / -34.8%
$459,640,812 / 29 | $7,418,385
+237.1% / -4.1%
$214,152,755 / 29 |
| Sat | $17,254,108
+66% / -18.9%
$478,115,377 / 30 | $4,614,194
+94.2% / -28.3%
$323,583,085 / 32 | $4,482,398
+38.3% / -46.6%
$376,421,667 / 30 | $6,708,833
+35.9% / -36.1%
$466,349,645 / 30 | $12,357,344
+66.6% / -3.1%
$226,510,099 / 30 |
| Sun | $15,137,240
-12.3% / -3.9%
$493,252,617 / 31 | $3,229,017
-30% / -21.1%
$326,812,102 / 33 | $3,277,977
-26.9% / -47.6%
$379,699,644 / 31 | $4,732,505
-29.5% / -41.1%
$471,082,150 / 31 | $10,235,305
-17.2% / +24.5%
$236,745,404 / 31 |
| Mon | $11,615,834
-23.3% / +127.3%
$504,868,451 / 32 | $2,228,291
-31% / +102.9%
$329,040,393 / 34 | $1,574,139
-52% / -39.5%
$381,273,783 / 32 | $2,112,206
-55.4% / -43.6%
$473,194,356 / 32 | $6,003,510
-41.3% / +176.6%
$242,748,914 / 32 |
| Tue | $4,190,947
-63.9% / -17.3%
$509,059,398 / 33 | $739,324
-66.8% / -35.6%
$329,779,717 / 35 | $1,382,590
-12.2% / -49.7%
$382,656,373 / 33 | $2,148,332
+1.7% / -38.9%
$475,342,688 / 33 | $2,322,334
-61.3% / -2.7%
$245,071,248 / 33 |
| Wed | $3,792,807
-9.5% / -20%
$512,852,205 / 34 | $610,621
-17.4% / -38.3%
$330,390,338 / 36 | $1,225,457
-11.4% / -51.9%
$383,881,830 / 34 | $1,805,312
-16% / -39.9%
$477,148,000 / 34 | $2,076,976
-10.6% / -0.9%
$247,148,224 / 34 |
| Thu | $3,945,213
+4% / -16%
$516,797,418 / 35 | $641,904
+5.1% / -38%
$331,032,242 / 37 | $1,312,024
+7.1% / -43.2%
$385,193,854 / 35 | $1,726,461
-4.4% / -38.7%
$478,874,461 / 35 | $2,212,942
+6.5% / +0.6%
$249,361,166 / 35 |
| Fri | $9,028,494
+128.8% / -13.1%
$525,825,912 / 36 | $1,509,646
+135.2% / -36.5%
$332,541,888 / 38 | $2,080,197
+58.5% / -35.8%
$387,274,051 / 36 | $2,991,066
+73.2% / -39.4%
$481,865,527 / 36 | $7,031,183
+217.7% / -5.2%
$256,392,349 / 36 |
| Sat | $16,326,050
+80.8% / -5.4%
$542,151,962 / 37 | $3,158,167
+109.2% / -31.6%
$335,700,055 / 39 | $3,056,841
+46.9% / -31.8%
$390,330,892 / 37 | $4,474,170
+49.6% / -33.3%
$486,339,697 / 37 | $12,474,937
+77.4% / +1%
$268,867,286 / 37 |
| Sun | $9,589,537
-41.3% / -36.6%
$551,741,499 / 38 | $2,117,943
-32.9% / -34.4%
$337,817,998 / 40 | $2,100,889
-31.3% / -35.9%
$392,431,781 / 38 | $3,077,188
-31.2% / -35%
$489,416,885 / 38 | $5,732,600
-54% / -44%
$274,599,886 / 38 |
_________________
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| Mon Jan 25, 2010 6:32 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Double Titanic. Hard to wrap one's head around. Double Titanic after 6 weekends.
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| Mon Jan 25, 2010 6:41 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $1.2 billion domestic, here we come! But seriously, if it follows Return of the King's trajectory, it'll end up with $757 million. $800 million is definitely a huge possibility at this point. _________________
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| Mon Jan 25, 2010 6:49 pm |
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