The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Rank | Wks in Release | Wknd | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
1 | Opening Wk | $137,122,136 | New | $137,122,136 | $39,723 | 3,452 | December 18-24, 2009 |
1 | 2nd Wk | $146,530,209 | +6.9% | $283,624,210 | $42,399 | 3,456 | +4 | December 25-31, 2009 |
1 | 3rd Wk | $96,916,087 | -33.9% | $380,540,297 | $28,002 | 3,461 | +5 | January 1-7, 2010 |
1 | 4th Wk | $69,926,708 | -27.8% | $450,467,005 | $20,434 | 3,422 | -39 | January 8-14, 2010 |
1 | 5th Wk | $66,330,413 | -5.1% | $516,797,418 | $20,192 | 3,285 | -137 | January 9-21, 2010 |
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:42 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Those week-to-week drops are insane.
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:43 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32624 Location: the last free city
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Prepare to be shocked Friday $8.41m
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:46 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Nicely done BJ these charts clearly shows how good have been the legs so far and what could be the potential here 
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote: Prepare to be shocked Friday $8.41mAvatar's weekends are just bursting out and the collection offices are predicting a breakout this weekend as well. Well I would say you prepare to be shocked.
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:49 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Rank | Days in Release | Day | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
1 | Opening Day | $26,752,099 | New | $26,752,099 | $7,750 | 3,452 | Friday, December 18, 2009 |
1 | 2nd Day | $25,529,036 | -4.6% | $52,281,135 | $7,395 | 3,452 | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
1 | 3rd Day | $24,744,346 | -3.1% | $77,025,481 | $7,168 | 3,452 | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
1 | 4th Day | $16,385,820 | -33.8% | $93,411,301 | $4,747 | 3,452 | Monday, December 21, 2009 |
1 | 5th Day | $16,086,461 | -1.6% | $109,497,762 | $4,660 | 3,452 | Tuesday, December 22, 2009 |
2 | 6th Day | $16,445,291 | +2.2% | $125,943,053 | $4,764 | 3,452 | Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
1 | 7th Day | $11,150,998 | -32.2% | $137,122,136 | $3,230 | 3,452 | Thursday, December 24, 2009 |
2 | 8th Day | $23,095,046 | +107.1% | -13.7% | $160,189,097 | $6,683 | 3,456 | Friday, December 25, 2009 |
1 | 9th Day | $28,274,406 | +22.4% | +10.8% | $188,463,503 | $8,181 | 3,456 | Saturday, December 26, 2009 |
1 | 10th Day | $24,247,681 | -14.2% | -2% | $212,711,184 | $7,016 | 3,456 | Sunday, December 27, 2009 |
1 | 11th Day | $19,418,139 | -19.9% | +18.5% | $232,129,323 | $5,619 | 3,456 | Monday, December 28, 2009 |
1 | 12th Day | $18,290,628 | -5.8% | +13.7% | $250,419,951 | $5,292 | 3,456 | Tuesday, December 29, 2009 |
1 | 13th Day | $18,466,123 | +1.0% | +12.3% | $268,886,074 | $5,343 | 3,456 | Wednesday, December 30, 2009 |
1 | 14th Day | $14,738,136 | -20.2% | +32.2% | $283,624,210 | $4,265 | 3,456 | Thursday, December 31, 2009 |
1 | 15th Day | $25,274,008 | +71.5% | +9.4% | $308,898,218 | $7,303 | 3,461 | Friday, January 1, 2010 |
1 | 16th Day | $25,835,551 | +2.2% | -8.6% | $334,733,769 | $7,465 | 3,461 | Saturday, January 2, 2010 |
1 | 17th Day | $17,381,129 | -32.7% | -28.3% | $352,114,898 | $5,022 | 3,461 | Sunday, January 3, 2010 |
1 | 18th Day | $8,094,554 | -53.4% | -58.3% | $360,209,452 | $2,339 | 3,461 | Monday, January 4, 2010 |
1 | 19th Day | $7,327,233 | -9.4% | -59.9% | $367,536,685 | $2,117 | 3,461 | Tuesday, January 5, 2010 |
1 | 20th Day | $6,909,167 | -5.7% | -62.6% | $374,445,852 | $1,996 | 3,461 | Wednesday, January 6, 2010 |
1 | 21st Day | $6,094,445 | -11.8% | -58.6% | $380,540,297 | $1,761 | 3,461 | Thursday, January 7, 2010 |
1 | 22nd Day | $13,280,653 | +117.9% | -47.5% | $393,820,950 | $3,881 | 3,422 | Friday, January 8, 2010 |
1 | 23rd Day | $21,269,537 | +60.2% | -17.7% | $415,090,487 | $6,216 | 3,422 | Saturday, January 9, 2010 |
1 | 24th Day | $15,756,027 | -25.9% | -9.3% | $430,846,514 | $4,604 | 3,422 | Sunday, January 10, 2010 |
1 | 25th Day | $5,111,193 | -67.6% | -36.9% | $435,957,707 | $1,494 | 3,422 | Monday, January 11, 2010 |
1 | 26th Day | $5,066,734 | -0.9% | -30.9% | $441,024,441 | $1,481 | 3,422 | Tuesday, January 12, 2010 |
1 | 27th Day | $4,743,762
| -6.4% | -31.3% | $445,768,203 | $1,386 | 3,422 | Wednesday, January 13, 2010 |
1 | 28th Day | $4,698,802
| -0.9% | -22.9% | $450,467,005 | $1,373 | 3,422 | Thursday, January 14, 2010 |
2 | 29th Day | $10,394,264
| +121.2% | -21.7% | $460,861,269 | $3,164 | 3,285 | Friday, January 15, 2010 |
1 | 30th Day | $17,254,108
| +66.0% | -18.9% | $478,115,377 | $5,252 | 3,285 | Saturday, January 16, 2010 |
1 | 31th Day | $15,137,240
| -12.3% | -3.9% | $493,252,617 | $4,608 | 3,285 | Sunday, January 17, 2010 |
1 | 32th Day | $11,615,834
| -23.3% | +127.3% | $504,868,451 | $3,536 | 3,285 | Monday, January 18, 2010 |
1 | 33th Day | $4,190,947
| -17.3% | -63.9% | $509,059,398 | $1,276 | 3,285 | Tuesday, January 19, 2010 |
1 | 34th Day | $3,792,807
| -9.5% | -20.0% | $512,852,205 | $1,155 | 3,285 | Wednesday, January 20, 2010 |
1 | 35th Day | $3,945,213
| +4.0% | -16.0% | $516,797,418 | $1,201 | 3,285 | Thursday, January 21, 2010 |
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:50 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's 6th Wknd
BJs Prediction: 40.5m -5% Chip Munkington - 38.7m -9% Enki - 37.5m -12% Eventine - 37.4m -12% Jmovies - 35.80m -16% Keyser Soze - 34.50m -19% Wogusuh - 34.0m -20% Benny Blanco - 33.2m -22% Mesjarch - 32.5m -24% Saogg - 32.0m -25% Revatar - 28.7m -32%
Average: 35.03m -18%
you have until Friday, 10pm eastern, get em in eh
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Last edited by BJ on Sat Jan 23, 2010 4:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:57 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatanic's Friday
chip Munkington - 11.0m 180% BJs Prediction: 10.00m +154% Soagg - 9.90m -151% Eventine - 9.60m +144% Keyser Soze - 9.4m +138% Revatar - 8.41m +113%
Average: 9.78m +148%
you have until estimates are posted, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.
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Last edited by BJ on Sat Jan 23, 2010 4:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 9:01 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
soagg wrote: Nicely done BJ these charts clearly shows how good have been the legs so far and what could be the potential here  thanks
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 9:01 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 600m-Enki - 45 -BJ - 47 -Eventine - 49 -MinkeQ - 50 -Revatar - 52 -Soag - 54 Deadline for 600m will be on Monday, as always, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 700m-BJ - 68 Enki - 70 700m deadline to be determined
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 9:03 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6779
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
I already predicted 34.5m weekend. my friday prediction is 9.4m.
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 9:04 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: BJ wrote: Domestic Total:
Mr. Blue - 120m | multiplier - 4.80
LadiesMan - 160m | multiplier - 4.57 Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44 Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00 Nebs - 228.1m | multiplier - 3.84 Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
BK - 235m | multiplier - 3.61 MG Casey - 235m | multiplier - 5.00
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69 Tuukka - 240m | multiplier - 4.00
2001 - 250m | multiplier - 4.55 Madgez - 260m | multiplier - 4.56 したい - 265m | multiplier - 4.82 Neo_Wolf - 270m | multiplier - 4.35 Mr. Lobotomy - 274.25m | multiplier - 4.27 KC - 275m | multiplier - 4.44 billybobwashere - 285m | multiplier - 5.18 Jon - 295.5m | multiplier - 5.54 Dr. Lecter - 303m | multiplier - 4.97 Magnus - 300m | multiplier - 5.00 The Dark Shape - 310m | multiplier - 4.77
Proud Ryu - 320m | multiplier - 4.06 O - 327.6m | multiplier - 5.60
Telemachos - 340m | multiplier - 4.20
Nazgul - 350m | multiplier - -
Xiayun - 350m | multiplier - 4.61 Justice - 377m | multiplier - 4.08
Chip Munkington - 415m | multiplier - 5.53 Flava'd - 420m | multiplier - 5.45 SolC9 - 459m | multiplier - 4.88 Keyser Soze - 475m | multiplier - 5.28 BennyBlanco - 501m | multiplier - 5.51 Gamaur - 510m | multiplier - 5.74 Rev - 600m | multiplier - 3.53 Mark66 - 625m | multiplier - 8.34 DIB2 - 670m | multiplier - 7.28 BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 331.36m
Average Multiplyer: 4.82
only 8 of the first round predictors made it in without having to update in the 2nd round, congrats don't forget to get your predictions in, especially if you're past prediction was in the red. Those wit a strike through there name have predicted in round 2 BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 2 update #5
Proud Ryu - 450m SolC9 - 459m Archangel - 500m BennyBlanco - 501m Nazgul - 504m Telemachos - 510m BK - 525m Keyser Soze - 525m Tyler - 530m The Dark Shape 540m Eventine - 541.2m Captain_Cold - 545m Xiayun - 550m LadiesMan217 - 565m 2001 - 565m Gamaur - 575m Chip Munkington - 601m Soagg - 602m Jmovies - 612m Revatar - 612.5m Mesjarch - 620m Mark66 - 625m DIB2 - 720m Lotan - 770m BJ - 811m EnKi - 1.025b
Average Domestic Total Prediction: 583.80m
newly submitted are in bold, have fun all.
closed Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 3 update #3Chip Munkington - 601m Soagg - 602m Revatar - 612.5m Mark66 - 625m Nazgul - 634m Xiayun - 635m Dr. Lecter - 655m Lilmac - 660m Proud Ryu - 667m Mesjarch - 700m Telemachos - 710m Keyser Soze - 711m DIB2 - 720m Bryan_Smith - 750m Lotan - 770m Jmovies - 800m BJ - 811m EnKi - 1.025b Average Domestic Total Prediction: 704.92m newly submitted are in bold, have fun all. Two rounds in and still over half the pack under predict avatanics potential. This time 10 people make it to the next round  , those in red if you wish submit another prediction, you have until midnight eastern time to get your prediction in.
Closed Predict Avatanic's Domestic Total: round 4 update #1 Death RoundChip Munkington - 601m Soagg - 602m Revatar - 612.5m Mark66 - 625m Nazgul - 634m Xiayun - 635m Dr. Lecter - 655m Lilmac - 660m Proud Ryu - 667mMesjarch - 700m Telemachos - 710m Keyser Soze - 711m DIB2 - 720m Eventine - 733m Bryan_Smith - 750m Lotan - 770m Jmovies - 800m Soagg - 840m BJ - 845mEnKi - 1.025b Average Domestic Total Prediction: 786.78m (only those over 700m) newly submitted are in bold, have fun all. Three rounds down, this is the final round, it closes the day Avatanic passes Titanic whether that be in Jan or Feb or March. Those in RED are eliminated and can post a new prediction of they please.
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 9:06 pm |
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Top
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Jan 07, 2010 11:14 am Posts: 158 Location: South Korea
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Days to reach 600m50 daysAvatar's Domestic Total708m I like Enki's prediction... 
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Fri Jan 22, 2010 9:17 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Updating the weekend numbers it should be somewhere between 35-36M.
My numbers for 6th weekend 32M
Last edited by Jack Sparrow on Sat Jan 23, 2010 11:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 8:52 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Days to reach 700M - 80I am going a bit low for now but will update them later before the deadline 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 9:02 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32624 Location: the last free city
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
soagg wrote: Updating the weekend numbers it should be somewhere between 35-36M.
My numbers for 6th weekend 35.5M updating after Friday #'s are released is cheating! 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 10:39 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote: soagg wrote: Updating the weekend numbers it should be somewhere between 35-36M.
My numbers for 6th weekend 35.5M updating after Friday #'s are released is cheating!  My timezone is quite different than the US. Anyways I just gave my numbers if not acceptable I am fine 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 10:50 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32624 Location: the last free city
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
soagg wrote: Revatar wrote: soagg wrote: Updating the weekend numbers it should be somewhere between 35-36M.
My numbers for 6th weekend 35.5M updating after Friday #'s are released is cheating!  My timezone is quite different than the US. Anyways I just gave my numbers if not acceptable I am fine  Don't give me that BS! You updated it AFTER you saw the Friday #'s. Your orignal prediction is $32m. Stick to it like a man. 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 10:58 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Those numbers are still predictions right  Anyways I don't think so that it will make only 32M. But if it is not accepted then I am fine. I am fine with not having one day glory, I participate to have fun  BJ don't make any updates this time I think so I was late anyways  I have updated the post with updated figures as well 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 11:47 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Cameron tribute song Do we have a dance smily? 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 11:56 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Really nice song. Kudos to the creator and singer 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 12:01 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32624 Location: the last free city
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 12:36 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6779
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote: soagg wrote: Revatar wrote: soagg wrote: Updating the weekend numbers it should be somewhere between 35-36M.
My numbers for 6th weekend 35.5M updating after Friday #'s are released is cheating!  My timezone is quite different than the US. Anyways I just gave my numbers if not acceptable I am fine  Don't give me that BS! You updated it AFTER you saw the Friday #'s. Your orignal prediction is $32m. Stick to it like a man.  eww. that is disgusting.  soagg has justified his entry into hall of shame.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:03 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Hmmm...disgusting can be the right word since I did see the Friday estimates  But really it was not because of that I wanted to change the numbers. I just slept before posting the numbers that is all. Anyways I have taken it back so leave me alone 
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:14 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
relax all, the prediction was to late to be accepted anyway.
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Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:21 pm |
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