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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
49 days to $600 million

$30.9 million weekend

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 1:45 am
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Days to $700 million: 70

Wednesday: $3.94 million

6th Weekend: $37.5 million

:wub2:

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 2:20 am
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Enki wrote:
Days to $700 million: 70

Wednesday: $3.94 million

6th Weekend: $37.5 million

:wub2:

hey, Enki!! I'd love to see your prediction graph!!
still expecting $900 million? :)

Wednesday: 4.01 million

Weekend: 34.0 million


Thu Jan 21, 2010 2:26 am
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Still on track to pass $900 million :thumbsup:

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 3:15 am
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Enki wrote:
Still on track to pass $900 million :thumbsup:

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:twisted:

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
This B.O. run is a bit addictive. My oh my.


Thu Jan 21, 2010 11:36 am
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Enki wrote:
Still on track to pass $900 million :thumbsup:

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:funny: :funny: :funny:

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 2:28 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Thursday- $3.85M
6th weekend- $35.8M


Thu Jan 21, 2010 5:32 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
BK wrote:
Enki wrote:
Still on track to pass $900 million :thumbsup:

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:funny: :funny: :funny:



Avatar's 2010 domestic gross alone will be enough to sink Titanic's $601 million all-time record.

Not to mention that Avatar's foreign box office in 2010 will easily pass $1.84 billion :P

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Anyone else noticed the trend in foreign markets? Very soon the WW split will be 30-/70+ of Domestic/foreign percentages.

What that means is if Avatar reaches $900 million domestic, its WW total should be over $3 billion :ohmy:

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
DayAvatarReturn of the KingDead Man's ChestThe Dark KnightTitanic
Wed-$34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1
---
Thu-$17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2
---
Fri$26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1
$21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3
$55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1
$67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1
$8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1
Sat$25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2
$27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4
$44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2
$47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2
$10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2
Sun$24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3
$23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5
$35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3
$43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3
$9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3
Mon$16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4
$13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6
$18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4
$24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4
$5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4
Tue$16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5
$12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7
$15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5
$20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5
$6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5
Wed$16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6
$7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8
$14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6
$18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6
$3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6
Thu$11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7
$13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9
$12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7
$16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7
$9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7
Fri$23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8
$19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10
$18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8
$23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8
$12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8
Sat$28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9
$17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11
$24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9
$28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9
$12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9
Sun$24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10
$14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12
$18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10
$23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10
$10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10
Mon$19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11
$10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13
$7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11
$10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11
$7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11
Tue$18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12
$9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14
$7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12
$9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12
$8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12
Wed$18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13
$7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15
$6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13
$8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13
$8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13
Thu$14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14
$12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16
$6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14
$8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14
$11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14
Fri$25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15
$10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17
$9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15
$12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15
$11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15
Sat$25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16
$10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18
$14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16
$17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16
$12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16
Sun$17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17
$7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19
$10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17
$12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17
$8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17
Mon$8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18
$2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20
$4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18
$6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18
$3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18
Tue$7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19
$2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21
$4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19
$5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19
$3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19
Wed$6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20
$1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22
$3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20
$5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20
$2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20
Thu$6,094,445
-11.8% / -58.6%
$380,540,297 / 21
$1,651,907
-8.5% / -87.1%
$298,111,838 / 23
$3,745,513
+1% / -42.1%
$337,879,183 / 21
$4,734,366
-6.8% / -43.7%
$415,511,467 / 21
$2,789,088
-1.8% / -75.9%
$169,165,503 / 21
Fri$13,280,653
+117.9% / -47.5%
$393,820,950 / 22
$3,676,960
+122.6% / -65.3%
$301,788,798 / 24
$5,966,100
+59.3% / -40.3%
$343,845,283 / 22
$7,577,362
+60.1% / -40.4%
$423,088,829 / 22
$7,738,150
+177.4% / -33.9%
$176,903,653 / 22
Sat$21,269,537
+60.2% / -17.7%
$415,090,487 / 23
$6,439,410
+75.1% / -39%
$308,228,208 / 25
$8,388,675
+40.6% / -42.8%
$352,233,958 / 23
$10,502,243
+38.6% / -38.9%
$433,591,072 / 23
$12,758,118
+64.9% / +0.2%
$189,661,771 / 23
Sun$15,756,027
-25.9% / -9.3%
$430,846,514 / 24
$4,092,728
-36.4% / -41.7%
$312,320,936 / 26
$6,251,803
-25.5% / -40.8%
$358,485,761 / 24
$8,037,425
-23.5% / -37%
$441,628,497 / 24
$8,220,042
-35.6% / -7.5%
$197,881,813 / 24
Mon$5,111,193
-67.6% / -36.9%
$435,957,707 / 25
$1,098,097
-73.2% / -50.7%
$313,419,033 / 27
$2,603,407
-58.4% / -39.5%
$361,089,168 / 25
$3,742,198
-53.4% / -40.5%
$445,370,695 / 25
$2,170,146
-73.6% / -28.2%
$200,051,959 / 25
Tue$5,066,734
-0.9% / -30.9%
$441,024,441 / 26
$1,148,156
+4.6% / -43%
$314,567,189 / 28
$2,749,175
+5.6% / -34.9%
$363,838,343 / 26
$3,515,389
-6.1% / -37.9%
$448,886,084 / 26
$2,386,164
+10% / -21.6%
$202,438,123 / 26
Wed$4,743,762
-6.4% / -31.3%
$445,768,203 / 27
$989,404
-13.8% / -45.2%
$315,556,593 / 29
$2,549,037
-7.3% / -31.3%
$366,387,380 / 27
$3,002,302
-14.6% / -40.9%
$451,888,386 / 27
$2,095,782
-12.2% / -26.2%
$204,533,905 / 27
Thu$4,698,802
-0.9% / -22.9%
$450,467,005 / 28
$1,036,039
+4.7% / -37.3%
$316,592,632 / 30
$2,310,578
-9.4% / -38.3%
$368,697,958 / 28
$2,814,471
-6.3% / -40.6%
$454,702,857 / 28
$2,200,465
+5% / -21.1%
$206,734,370 / 28
Fri$10,394,264
+121.2% / -21.7%
$460,861,269 / 29
$2,376,259
+129.4% / -35.4%
$318,968,891 / 31
$3,241,311
+40.3% / -45.7%
$371,939,269 / 29
$4,937,955
+75.4% / -34.8%
$459,640,812 / 29
$7,418,385
+237.1% / -4.1%
$214,152,755 / 29
Sat$17,254,108
+66% / -18.9%
$478,115,377 / 30
$4,614,194
+94.2% / -28.3%
$323,583,085 / 32
$4,482,398
+38.3% / -46.6%
$376,421,667 / 30
$6,708,833
+35.9% / -36.1%
$466,349,645 / 30
$12,357,344
+66.6% / -3.1%
$226,510,099 / 30
Sun$15,137,240
-12.3% / -3.9%
$493,252,617 / 31
$3,229,017
-30% / -21.1%
$326,812,102 / 33
$3,277,977
-26.9% / -47.6%
$379,699,644 / 31
$4,732,505
-29.5% / -41.1%
$471,082,150 / 31
$10,235,305
-17.2% / +24.5%
$236,745,404 / 31
Mon$11,615,834
-23.3% / +127.3%
$504,868,451 / 32
$2,228,291
-31% / +102.9%
$329,040,393 / 34
$1,574,139
-52% / -39.5%
$381,273,783 / 32
$2,112,206
-55.4% / -43.6%
$473,194,356 / 32
$6,003,510
-41.3% / +176.6%
$242,748,914 / 32
Tue$4,190,947
-63.9% / -17.3%
$509,059,398 / 33
$739,324
-66.8% / -35.6%
$329,779,717 / 35
$1,382,590
-12.2% / -49.7%
$382,656,373 / 33
$2,148,332
+1.7% / -38.9%
$475,342,688 / 33
$2,322,334
-61.3% / -2.7%
$245,071,248 / 33
Wed$3,792,807
-9.5% / -20%
$512,852,205 / 34
$610,621
-17.4% / -38.3%
$330,390,338 / 36
$1,225,457
-11.4% / -51.9%
$383,881,830 / 34
$1,805,312
-16% / -39.9%
$477,148,000 / 34
$2,076,976
-10.6% / -0.9%
$247,148,224 / 34

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 6:44 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Thursday $3.54m :cheer:

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 7:46 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Revatar wrote:
Wednesday $3.85m

pansy prediction


:lol: I beat you yet again :P

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 7:48 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar is now 36 million ahead of TDK


Should be 60 million by the end of the weekend...

Shows where Avatar will end.

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 7:59 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
On saturday or sunday Avatar is going to pass Titanic worldwide gross :D

:cheer: Woooo!

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Revatar wrote:
On saturday or sunday Avatar is going to pass Titanic worldwide gross :D

:cheer: Woooo!



For a second I thought you really meant WW, but then I realized you meant foreign :sweat:

To pass Titanic WW, Avatar will need an impressive 6th weekend of $43.5 domestic. Very difficult, but not impossible for Avatanic :twisted:

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 9:42 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Thursday $3.81 million

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Enki wrote:
Revatar wrote:
On saturday or sunday Avatar is going to pass Titanic worldwide gross :D

:cheer: Woooo!



For a second I thought you really meant WW, but then I realized you meant foreign :sweat:

To pass Titanic WW, Avatar will need an impressive 6th weekend of $43.5 domestic. Very difficult, but not impossible for Avatanic :twisted:


No, I mean worldwide!!!!!
545m Domestic
1320m Overseas
1865m Worldwide

20m overseas thursday gross
3.5m domestic thurday gross
110-120m overseas weekend gross
30m domestic weekend gross

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Why keep people forgetting that the thursday OS gross is included in the weekend gross, at least for the most part?

It might do $100+m but with thursday included.

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 10:11 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
You add thursday & it'll be 130-140m oversea weekend

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 10:22 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
No way, it did $129m last weekend (including thursday) with Italy opening (contributing $15m).

It probably won't even hit $100m this weekend (again, including thursday).

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 10:24 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
I'll bet your sig it does at least 110m

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 10:33 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
I'm not betting against Avatar. :P

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Thu Jan 21, 2010 10:41 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Nazgul9 wrote:
No way, it did $129m last weekend (including thursday) with Italy opening (contributing $15m).

It probably won't even hit $100m this weekend (again, including thursday).




Again, only a couple of countries include Thursday in the weekend, as discussed a few weeks ago.

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Post Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
Well, the weekend clearly include thursday as evidenced week after week. You got mon-wed dailies reported and then weekend.

It's true though that mon-wed plus weekend doesn't always add up to the week gross so there seem to be some markets that count the thursday separately. Or maybe some markets are late reporting their dailies. It's difficult to know what's going on...

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Last edited by Nazgul9 on Thu Jan 21, 2010 11:12 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Thu Jan 21, 2010 10:55 pm
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