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 The Superman Returns will make under 200 million club 
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excel wrote:
shack this opens on a wednesday, till get a much better multiplier then jusst a 3.

10/10 in reviews, 9/10 totally utterly loving it,with 1/10 saying its just "very,very good".


Tell that to Cinderella Man and every Woody Allen film ever produced.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 3:48 pm
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cinderella man opened on a friday but still got a 3.2


Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:01 pm
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Theres less and less buzz over this movie every single week!....

The majority of people i know are not interested on seeing SR.... just my dad


Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:10 pm
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excel wrote:
cinderella man opened on a friday but still got a 3.2


I'm talking abuot reviews.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:19 pm
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Between Pirates, and frontloadedness just being really high this summer, I don't think a 3 multiplier is unreasonable. Remember, it's Wednesday and Thursday will be low because all the advertising has been saying the 30th. It won't make that much less that weekend than if it was coming out on a Friday.

And WOM is no guarantee yet, most early reviews for movies like this are strong. And even so, strong reviews does not mean strong WOM. Judging by the fact that it has more romance than action, people could be turned off and bored. Or they could love it, and I'll be eating my words there.

Still though, I'll stick by a 3 multiplier. Getting a 4 is nearly impossible, with Pirates undoubtably killing it.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:21 pm
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what do you think it wqould get then if it opened on a friday? a 2.3?


Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:36 pm
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2.6-2.7.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:38 pm
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plus its a kids movie + quality=multiplier much higher then 3, no matter how big opens. yes, lots fo teenagers will be seeing this i think, after the insane crowd reaction they got at the mtv movie awards, but kids andquality qill give this amultiplier probably over 3.7. wotw, with big compitition , little kid appeal, and mixed wom, got a 3.7. superman wiith what looks to be good word of mouth, huge kid appeal, but big compitition, should atleast match that, even if it opens to 90 million.


Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:13 pm
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SR's opening obviously will be the determining factor on its legs. If it has a smaller, disappointing opening, it will have good, durable legs like Batman Begins. If it opens big, its legs will be mediocre-average. Even if the former happens, I still don't see it falling below $200 million.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:32 pm
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I think SHAK has a valid point of superman turning off some people.

Those who are expecting an action packed movie with amazing visuals like SM2 won't be getting that here.

THE PLANE SCENE IS SIMPLY NOT ENOUGH AND DOES NOT LOOK THAT GOOD!!

I know people were expecting an awesome HULK smash movie but were teriibly dissapointed when they watched it because they found out it was a PSYCHOLOGICAL DRAMA movie.

If that is what superman becomes. I mean a chick flick with too much ROMANCE and EMOTION with only one or two JUST GOOD action scene NOT AMAZING like SPIDER-MAN 2 then i think SR will end up with 230-250 million domestically.

POTC 2 will be the MOVIE EVENT of the year because it looks like it will be the ultimate action, adventure, comedy and FUN FUN movie of the year.


Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:19 pm
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Webslinger wrote:
SR's opening obviously will be the determining factor on its legs. If it has a smaller, disappointing opening, it will have good, durable legs like Batman Begins. If it opens big, its legs will be mediocre-average. Even if the former happens, I still don't see it falling below $200 million.


Not necessarily. If BB wasn't so phenomenal, it would've struggled to reach $150 million.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:15 pm
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ashwani wrote:
I think SHAK has a valid point of superman turning off some people.

Those who are expecting an action packed movie with amazing visuals like SM2 won't be getting that here.

THE PLANE SCENE IS SIMPLY NOT ENOUGH AND DOES NOT LOOK THAT GOOD!!

I know people were expecting an awesome HULK smash movie but were teriibly dissapointed when they watched it because they found out it was a PSYCHOLOGICAL DRAMA movie.

If that is what superman becomes. I mean a chick flick with too much ROMANCE and EMOTION with only one or two JUST GOOD action scene NOT AMAZING like SPIDER-MAN 2 then i think SR will end up with 230-250 million domestically.

POTC 2 will be the MOVIE EVENT of the year because it looks like it will be the ultimate action, adventure, comedy and FUN FUN movie of the year.


I'm not quite sure if this is sarcasm or not. :huh:

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:16 pm
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Eventine wrote:
Webslinger wrote:
SR's opening obviously will be the determining factor on its legs. If it has a smaller, disappointing opening, it will have good, durable legs like Batman Begins. If it opens big, its legs will be mediocre-average. Even if the former happens, I still don't see it falling below $200 million.


Not necessarily. If BB wasn't so phenomenal, it would've struggled to reach $150 million.


Exactly. A low opening does not guarantee legs. WoM does.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:16 pm
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had batman had supermans marketing, it woulda topped 250 million with the wom it got.


Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:47 pm
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Pretty much. Not enough people saw on its OW to spread how great it was. WB didn't take that chance.

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Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:51 pm
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not too many people are gonna say the plane sequence doesnt look good, pal.


Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:55 pm
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nah, i dont think so.


Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:32 am
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excel wrote:
had batman had supermans marketing, it woulda topped 250 million with the wom it got.


I am missing the whole Superman marketing thing. Look I go to the movies all the time in the summer. i've seen pretty much every summer film thus far. And I have to say that the marketing for this film is about as lacklustre as you can get. I'm not sue what marketing you are speaking of.

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Sun Jun 11, 2006 9:38 am
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ashwani wrote:
Those who are expecting an action packed movie with amazing visuals like SM2 won't be getting that here.

There was nothing amazing about SM2.

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Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:52 am
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Nazgul9 wrote:
ashwani wrote:
Those who are expecting an action packed movie with amazing visuals like SM2 won't be getting that here.

There was nothing amazing about SM2.


Your opinion. :smile:

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Last edited by Eventine on Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jun 11, 2006 12:55 pm
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:puke:

such an appalling thread :cringe:

200m+ for Sups Returns :biggrin:

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Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:35 pm
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BJ wrote:
:puke:

such an appalling thread :cringe:

200m+ for Sups Returns :biggrin:


That's it? What's wrong, back on the add meds? Don't you mean 400m+?

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Sun Jun 11, 2006 2:41 pm
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Squee wrote:
BJ wrote:
:puke:

such an appalling thread :cringe:

200m+ for Sups Returns :biggrin:


That's it? What's wrong, back on the add meds? Don't you mean 400m+?


LMAO :lol:

300m-365m :shades:

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Eventine wrote:
Webslinger wrote:
SR's opening obviously will be the determining factor on its legs. If it has a smaller, disappointing opening, it will have good, durable legs like Batman Begins. If it opens big, its legs will be mediocre-average. Even if the former happens, I still don't see it falling below $200 million.


Not necessarily. If BB wasn't so phenomenal, it would've struggled to reach $150 million.


Exactly. A low opening does not guarantee legs. WoM does.


I know that. I made the post under the assumption that SR will be around the same level as BB quality-wise.

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Sun Jun 11, 2006 3:16 pm
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Bump

Members:
1. Shack
2. Archie Gates
3. matatonio
4. Snrub
5. Dr. Lecter
6. Outatime
7. Dr. Malcom
8. Libs
9. SFERIC
10. trixster
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15. Positive Jon
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22. lesterg

2 and a half weeks away from release day now. I can't wait, reactions will be hilarious.

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