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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congrats Omni/Corpse! A dominating win.
Can't believe I got a 3th place out of that score.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 6:47 pm |
 
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Despite my pathetic score, I got 16th place. I am now in 3rd place in the yearly chart now, but not by much (don't worry Ericka, I still like you).
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 7:12 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread The back and forth between the Top 4/5 or so is exciting. I hope it stays that way up until the very last week.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 7:14 pm |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm
Posts: 1461
Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congratulations Omni/Corpse! Great week for you and terrific score.
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 7:19 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Corpse wrote: The back and forth between the Top 4/5 or so is exciting. I hope it stays that way up until the very last week. I agree. The Christmas Weeks will definetely be all over the place, with scores even as low as 50's with expert predictors. If one breaks out, then the game is decided by that. _________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see. and many more.
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 7:19 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Right under you Scott. Surprised I placed so well despite being 7% less than the winners, heh 
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 8:10 pm |
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Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm
Posts: 12821
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread top 15 with 78.78% I'm content with it  _________________ Best Actress 2008
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| Tue Sep 02, 2008 10:37 pm |
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Mr. R
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Feb 20, 2006 3:19 pm
Posts: 2231
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread 82 Rumpelschtiltzchen_[rus] 162,082 80.36% 200 TWO FREAKING HUNDRED GAMES, BABY! Let's all drink for another hundred!    What I clearly don't understand though is this: 81 smokey ling 162,218 79.32% 200
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| Wed Sep 03, 2008 12:09 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread 7th place. My highest in a while. Been in the Top 100 for about 6-7 weeks now... _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Sep 03, 2008 12:49 am |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congrats Omni/Corpse, what a great score  And congrats to the other KJ-ers at the top as well I'm 79th for the week, down to 25th for the month, and 9th for the year. A week to forget.
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| Wed Sep 03, 2008 4:08 am |
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Kyle
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:49 am
Posts: 489
Location: Gogia's Bar
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congrats Omni/Corpse 
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| Wed Sep 03, 2008 4:31 am |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congrats Omni/Corpse, Xia, Munky, DIB2 and everyone else I forgot. What a week for us.
I'm back to 31st for the year with my 8th place
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| Wed Sep 03, 2008 2:53 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread exactly 90% haha.
_________________
"Voici mon secret. Il est très simple: on ne voit bien qu'avec le cœur. L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux."
----Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (Le Petit Prince)
A Lonely Person is at Home Everywhere.
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| Mon Sep 08, 2008 6:52 pm |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Directly behind Omni/Corpse at #23 which puts me at 30 for the year with one missed game.
Decent week for KJ but we had better. Congrats @asalem for our only Top 10!
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| Tue Sep 09, 2008 2:31 am |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Thanks Levy I was 7th for the week, and still 9th for the year. This was one of my better weeks.
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| Tue Sep 09, 2008 9:08 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Great score, Levy! Also Dreamline for a top 20 ranking.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Mon Sep 15, 2008 6:50 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread This weekends results is going to make the Top 5 yearly the closest it's ever been so far I think.
Everyone will be .20% (60 pts) or so from each other. Crazy after 37 weeks.
Congrats Levy.
75/76 this week.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Sep 15, 2008 7:00 pm |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congrats Levy, that was one great score BOM is down atm, but I think I was 134th for the week, 24th for the month, and still 9th for the week.
Last edited by asalem182 on Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue Sep 16, 2008 3:57 am |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Did I win? 
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| Tue Sep 16, 2008 4:21 am |
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asalem182
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Actually, I was very surprised you didn't, as your score was head and shoulders over ours. A top 10 finish in a weekend like this is damn good though
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| Tue Sep 16, 2008 4:50 am |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread BOM works again. 6th for the week, 2nd for the month, 29th for the year with one missed game. I am happy 
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| Tue Sep 16, 2008 10:23 am |
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Trillian
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Jul 05, 2008 1:12 pm
Posts: 149
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread © The Derby MiniMax Theoremvariables: Min = minimum prediction Max = maximum prediction MiniMax = average prediction that allows you to score the same if Min or Max will happen formula: MiniMax = 2 * Min * Max / ( Min + Max ) ---- example: Min = 3m Max = 7m MiniMax = 2 * 3m * 7m / ( 3m + 7m ) = 4.2m with 4.2m as your prediction, you'll score 60% at the Derby if 3m will happen, or you'll score 60% if 7m will happen ---- as you can see, the MiniMax is different from the simple average: average = ( 3m + 7m ) / 2 = 5m with 5m as your prediction, you'll score a terrible 33.3% if 3m will happen, or you'll score 71.4% if 7m will happen ---- Corollary of ©The Derby MiniMax Theorem: If you predict 3m, and then the movie get 6m, your score will be 50% If you predict 6m, and then the movie get 3m, your score will be 0% ---- Murphy's Law applied to the Corollary of ©The Derby MiniMax Theorem: If you predict 3m, the movie will get 6m If you predict 6m, the movie will get 3m ---- for further reading: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimaxhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murphy%27s_law
_________________©The Derby MiniMax Theorem, brought to you by Ponyo
Last edited by Trillian on Sat Nov 15, 2008 9:16 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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| Sat Sep 20, 2008 10:30 am |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Congrats to Misutaa for the win
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
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| Mon Sep 22, 2008 8:18 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread JMorphin wrote: Congrats to Misutaa for the win Thank you!!! YES!!! I can't believe I finally won a game.
_________________
"Voici mon secret. Il est très simple: on ne voit bien qu'avec le cœur. L'essentiel est invisible pour les yeux."
----Antoine de Saint-Exupéry (Le Petit Prince)
A Lonely Person is at Home Everywhere.
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| Mon Sep 22, 2008 8:23 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread Great job, Misutta!
61/62 this week.
7/8 for Sept 08.
1/2 for the Year 08.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Sep 22, 2008 8:31 pm |
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