The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
| Author |
Message |
|
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13057
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
|
 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $7,107,416 Wednesday
_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U
|
| Wed Jan 06, 2010 9:18 pm |
 
|
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $6.59 m Wednesday -10%
|
| Wed Jan 06, 2010 9:21 pm |
|
|
|
Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $6.76 million Wednesday
_________________
|
| Wed Jan 06, 2010 9:34 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread nghtvsn wrote: TDK had a 242 million dollar lead after 19 days while Avatar has a 204 million dollar lead.
Is Titantic really going to lose to Avatar? After 3 days TDK had 130M lead whereas Avatar had only 49M lead. So in just 16 days the difference between the differences has gone from 81M to 38M, so yes it is definitely catching up  Let us come back to this difference after 24 days. I guess the difference will be minuscule then 
|
| Wed Jan 06, 2010 10:41 pm |
|
|
|
Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread nghtvsn wrote: TDK had a 242 million dollar lead after 19 days while Avatar has a 204 million dollar lead.
Is Titantic really going to lose to Avatar? I think James Cameron figured out how to keep people going to the theaters. How? I have no clue to what his formula is: is it the plot?, the controversy?, his name?, the record investment?, the promotional campaign?, the word of mouth?, the pricing strategy?, the penetration in foreign markets?, the timing with the Oscars?, the lack of real competition in winter? luck?...etc, etc... Who knows. The bottom line is that his movies' box office performance is different from the rest. I wouldn't use the statistical data to forecast Avatar sales. I just think that the "slope" of the curve of Avatar will be closer to Titanic than to the normal "successful" curves like TDK. I mean, Titanic is not as "exponentially" negative as TDK. Most of the movies decrease box office with a big exponential factor. Titanic was losing strength slowly. That's what I think Avatar curve will be like. We'll probably know whether Avatar curve resembles Titanic's curve or not, no later than MLK. I expect Avatar to catch Titanic in 51 days from its release. _________________
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 12:37 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Enki wrote: nghtvsn wrote: TDK had a 242 million dollar lead after 19 days while Avatar has a 204 million dollar lead.
Is Titantic really going to lose to Avatar? I think James Cameron figured out how to keep people going to the theaters. How? I have no clue to what his formula is: is it the plot?, the controversy?, his name?, the record investment?, the promotional campaign?, the word of mouth?, the pricing strategy?, the penetration in foreign markets?, the timing with the Oscars?, the lack of real competition in winter? luck?...etc, etc... Who knows. The bottom line is that his movies' box office performance is different from the rest. I wouldn't use the statistical data to forecast Avatar sales. I just think that the "slope" of the curve of Avatar will be closer to Titanic than to the normal "successful" curves like TDK. I mean, Titanic is not as "exponentially" negative as TDK. Most of the movies decrease box office with a big exponential factor. Titanic was losing strength slowly. That's what I think Avatar curve will be like. We'll probably know whether Avatar curve resembles Titanic's curve or not, no later than MLK. I expect Avatar to catch Titanic in 51 days from its release. I expect day 51 as well _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 12:53 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 12:54 am |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's Wednesday
Enki - 8.5m +15%
Keyser Soze - 7.2m -1%
Revatar - 7.15m -2%
Mark66 - 7,107,416m -2%
Jmovies - 7.10m -3%
Soagg - 7.10m -3%
BJs Prediction: 7.00m -4%
Eventine 6,76m -8%
Chip Munkington - 6.70m -8%
O - 6.59m -10%
Average: 7.29m -1%
closed
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 12:59 am |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Thursday- $6.6M
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 1:44 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread its not dropping today.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:13 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $7.12m Thursday 
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:14 pm |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: its not dropping today. I think it might just because of the record cold going across the Midwest. I mean right here outside St. Louis its about -15 to -20 wind chill and in North Dakota their wind chills are getting to be over -50.
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:19 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread jmovies wrote: BJ wrote: its not dropping today. I think it might just because of the record cold going across the Midwest. I mean right here outside St. Louis its about -15 to -20 wind chill and in North Dakota their wind chills are getting to be over -50. Wow seems like other than Movies Avatar is in continuous battle with Nature as well. Funny though cause in Avatar Mother Nature is taking sides. It seems Mother Nature is quite offended with it
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:26 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread jmovies wrote: BJ wrote: its not dropping today. I think it might just because of the record cold going across the Midwest. I mean right here outside St. Louis its about -15 to -20 wind chill and in North Dakota their wind chills are getting to be over -50. will only hinder the increase _________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:26 pm |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Though I still see $50M+ for the weekend.
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:27 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread I'm rooting for 50m+ but I'm afraid it'll only do mid 40m. 
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:33 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Thursday- $7.1 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:34 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread I am going on lower end for tomorrow since Mother Nature is opposing the course  Thursday - 6.5M Weekend prediction is still the same 49.5M
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:41 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: Predict How Many Days it will take Avatanic to Reach 400mEnki - 21 -BJ - 22 -DIB2 - 22 -Captain_Cold - 22 Soagg - 23 -Mark66 - 24 -Rev - 24
closed, who will be closest, let hope the 22's get it right He he the current score means by Friday it will fall just short of a 5-10M. Which is currently a lock for this Saturday. BJ you are going down this time 
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:45 pm |
|
|
|
Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Well from what I saw on CNN weather forecast they said that today will be the worst and next days will be cold but snow will go away.
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 2:55 pm |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $1,135,383,229 down, $707,496,727 to go!
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 3:01 pm |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Real treat for Avatards. I took the videographer 2:44 minutes to complete the video. Amazing!  Cannot actually blame them the movie grossed 1Billion before it even hit theaters for them
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 3:16 pm |
|
|
|
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
|
Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight | Titanic |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 | $8,658,814
- / -
$8,658,814 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 | $10,672,013
+23.3% / -
$19,330,827 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 | $9,307,304
-12.8% / -
$28,638,131 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 | $5,578,212
-40.1% / -
$34,216,343 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 | $6,003,119
+7.6% / -
$40,219,462 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 | $3,571,345
-40.5% / -
$43,790,807 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 | $9,178,529
+157% / -
$52,969,336 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 | $12,122,298
+32.1% / +40%
$65,091,634 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 | $12,466,455
+2.8% / +16.8%
$77,558,089 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 | $10,866,920
-12.8% / +16.8%
$88,425,009 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 | $7,942,520
-26.9% / +42.4%
$96,367,529 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 | $8,012,909
+0.9% / +33.5%
$104,380,438 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 | $8,213,735
+2.5% / +130%
$112,594,173 / 13 |
| Thu | $14,738,136
-20.2% / +32.2%
$283,624,210 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 | $11,558,520
+40.7% / +25.9%
$124,152,693 / 14 |
| Fri | $25,274,008
+71.5% / +9.4%
$308,898,218 / 15 | $10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17 | $9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15 | $12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15 | $11,698,861
+1.2% / -3.5%
$135,851,554 / 15 |
| Sat | $25,835,551
+2.2% / -8.6%
$334,733,769 / 16 | $10,563,221
-0.4% / -38.8%
$283,395,934 / 18 | $14,665,667
+46.8% / -41%
$311,341,880 / 16 | $17,191,150
+35.3% / -39.2%
$380,987,031 / 16 | $12,726,625
+8.8% / +2.1%
$148,578,179 / 16 |
| Sun | $17,381,129
-32.7% / -28.3%
$352,114,898 / 17 | $7,015,027
-33.6% / -50.6%
$290,410,961 / 19 | $10,557,353
-28% / -44.3%
$321,899,233 / 17 | $12,764,034
-25.8% / -46.1%
$393,751,065 / 17 | $8,889,792
-30.1% / -18.2%
$157,467,971 / 17 |
| Mon | $8,094,554
-53.4% / -58.3%
$360,209,452 / 18 | $2,228,471
-68.2% / -77.8%
$292,639,432 / 20 | $4,304,211
-59.2% / -45.6%
$326,203,444 / 18 | $6,287,429
-50.7% / -40.2%
$400,038,494 / 18 | $3,022,271
-66% / -61.9%
$160,490,242 / 18 |
| Tue | $7,327,233
-9.5% / -59.9%
$367,536,685 / 19 | $2,015,440
-9.6% / -79%
$294,654,872 / 21 | $4,220,967
-1.9% / -43.6%
$330,424,411 / 19 | $5,661,240
-10% / -41.2%
$405,699,734 / 19 | $3,044,822
+0.7% / -62%
$163,535,064 / 19 |
| Wed | $6,909,167
-5.7% / -62.6%
$374,445,852 / 20 | $1,805,059
-10.4% / -76%
$296,459,931 / 22 | $3,709,259
-12.1% / -42.5%
$334,133,670 / 20 | $5,077,367
-10.3% / -42%
$410,777,101 / 20 | $2,841,351
-6.7% / -65.4%
$166,376,415 / 20 |
_________________
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 3:23 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's WednesdayEnki - 8.5m +15% Keyser Soze - 7.2m -1% Revatar - 7.15m -2% Mark66 - 7,107,416m -2% Jmovies - 7.10m -3% Soagg - 7.10m -3% BJs Prediction: 7.00m -4%Eventine 6,76m -8% Chip Munkington - 6.70m -8% O - 6.59m -10% Average: 7.29m -1% closed, and for the third dailies battle in a row I win 
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 3:51 pm |
|
|
|
BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
|
Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread Predict Avatanic's Thursday
Revatar - 7.12m +3%
Chip Munkington - 7.10m +2%
BJs Prediction: 7.00m +1%
Jmovies - 6.6m -4%
Soagg - 6.5m -5%
Average: 6.86m -1%
you have until 10pm eastern, post your prediction for a chance at one day of predicting glory.
_________________The Force Awakens
|
| Thu Jan 07, 2010 4:02 pm |
|
|
Who is online |
Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 146 guests |
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum
|
|
