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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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DP07 wrote: Positive Jon wrote: I will remain persistant. DP07 is still with me, right?
Opening: 25.5
Total: 74.2 (2.91) Yes.  Could you be a little more. . .detailed?
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 5:39 pm |
 
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Positive Jon wrote: DP07 wrote: Positive Jon wrote: I will remain persistant. DP07 is still with me, right?
Opening: 25.5
Total: 74.2 (2.91) Yes. Could you be a little more. . .detailed? 19m/55m. So, I'm even lower.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 5:42 pm |
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RAWSAW
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2004 3:15 am
Posts: 810
Location: Somewhere
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I'm just not feeling it from this film. The subject matter/plot doesn't seem that interesting. M Night seems to love stories based on Twilight Zone episodes with twist endings, so much to pick from and he does this...... As with all films, unless this just blows everyone away its gonna flop by his standards. I think the Village really hurt him so I'm guessing a 30mil opening and a 60-70mil final.
If its a great film it'll grow legs and get to 110-120mil.
_________________
You get what you give
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 5:55 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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RAWSAW wrote: I'm just not feeling it from this film. The subject matter/plot doesn't seem that interesting. M Night seems to love stories based on Twilight Zone episodes with twist endings, so much to pick from and he does this...... As with all films, unless this just blows everyone away its gonna flop by his standards. I think the Village really hurt him so I'm guessing a 30mil opening and a 60-70mil final.
If its a great film it'll grow legs and get to 110-120mil. YAY!! Someone who agrees with me. I'm going even lower....22 mill OW and a total of 50.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
Last edited by baumer72 on Sat Jul 22, 2006 7:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 7:08 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Some people tend to take personal opinion into account way too much when making predictions.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 7:09 pm |
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Amer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:35 pm
Posts: 1912
Location: Texas
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I think this movie might actually suprise us...I think the release date is horrible and will hurt it..I think this should have been released around Oct or Nov.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 7:12 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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i expect 30 million opening and incredible legs through all agust ala sixth sense. just not as big ! _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 8:34 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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If it opens to $30 million, it'll make at least $80 million total.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:17 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Killuminati510 wrote: Some people tend to take personal opinion into account way too much when making predictions. M Night fans?
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:25 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Zingaling wrote: If it opens to $30 million, it'll make at least $80 million total. Probably. But Village legs obviously are not impossible.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:26 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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No, Clerk [s]fans[/s] fan
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:27 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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To think an M.Night film with this type of marketing push that already is tracking well is gonna do around 50m total is kinda unrealistic. I personally dont think it'll do much higher then 100m, probably top out around 85m-95m, but 50m just aint happening.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:29 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Well, we'll see how the MTC tracking is on Monday, but it is tracking at $35 million right now, the marketing is just enough (not overload like Superman Returns or anything) and M. Night is still a draw, IMO.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:34 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Killuminati510 wrote: To think an M.Night film with this type of marketing push that already is tracking well is gonna do around 50m total is kinda unrealistic. I personally dont think it'll do much higher then 100m, probably top out around 85m-95m, but 50m just aint happening. Tracking well? That's RS which had MI3 at 88m, Poseidon at 39m, and TDVC at 47m. This isn't Disney's marketing, this is WB. After the Village I don't think M Night will attract even 50m without great marketing or WOM.
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:38 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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DP07 wrote: This isn't Disney's marketing, this is WB. And? This movie is getting a damn good push, tv spots are everywhere. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jul 13, 2006 9:43 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Killuminati510 wrote: DP07 wrote: This isn't Disney's marketing, this is WB. And? This movie is getting a damn good push, tv spots are everywhere. I'm not talking about quantity of marketing, but quality. The Village marketing campaign over its final week was brilliant; among the best ever pulled off.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:08 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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ladys has been great too. tv spots make it look very shymalanish and very original.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:31 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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IM REALLLLLLLLLLLLLY FEELING DEM LEGS FOR THIS. 300 million is in reach.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:40 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:42 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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*200 million
typo.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:44 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:44 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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Killuminati510 wrote: No, Clerk [s]fans[/s] fan That's actually funny. I am a big Night fan. I loved Sixth sense and Unreakable. My opinion is based on the fact that The Village pissed off so many people and this film just looks strange. The idea is not exactly setting the world on fire right now. Even the Disney execs who made it thought the idea was weird. That is what i'm basing it on.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:48 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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hence why itll have mad legs bt nota big opening.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:52 am |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am
Posts: 2913
Location: Portugal
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I wouldn't be that surprised if that happened. Really.
But for now it seems to indicate a total somewhere between 100 and 120 million, with much better legs than (the brilliant) Village... 
_________________
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 9:28 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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I'll be shocked if it makes 100 mill.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2006 1:18 pm |
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