The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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 Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread china release date has been postponed to jan 4th.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 3:49 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Dead Man's Chest and ROTK made more WW than TDK.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 3:50 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Keyser Söze wrote: china release date has been postponed to jan 4th. China better make 70M+ for that 
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 3:54 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32636
Location: the last free city
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Mesjarch wrote: Dead Man's Chest and ROTK made more WW than TDK. yeah, Enki don't forget about Capn Sparrow & Frodo 
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 3:58 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
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Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Keyser Söze wrote: china release date has been postponed to jan 4th. I didn't know that. Anyway. Even without China, it is probable that the $1billion happens today, if not, it will happen for sure tomorrow, after 17 days in theaters. Unbelievable! _________________
Last edited by Enki on Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:01 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Revatar wrote: Mesjarch wrote: Dead Man's Chest and ROTK made more WW than TDK. yeah, Enki don't forget about Capn Sparrow & Frodo You are right, it will be the 4th largest WW. ROTK and DMC are still between Titanic and Avatar WW. I was just trying to make the point of passing TDK, which, by itself, is outstanding! (I edited my post to correct the typo  _________________
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:03 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Mesjarch wrote: Dead Man's Chest and ROTK made more WW than TDK. I stand corrected  _________________
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:04 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread avatatanic for president.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:07 pm |
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Lotan
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 5:25 pm
Posts: 1222
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Enki wrote: Same here. Among all the other sites that I was checking about Avatar predictions, this thread in WOKJ seemed to have the nicest people. I confess that I've been following the posts before joining for a while, enough to see that people here have respect for each other. You know how much hate is out there. But here I saw posts of different opinions being respectful and not insulting.
I bet there are many readers like me thinking about joining as I did. Avatanic brings people together!
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:11 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Lotan wrote: Enki wrote: Same here. Among all the other sites that I was checking about Avatar predictions, this thread in WOKJ seemed to have the nicest people. I confess that I've been following the posts before joining for a while, enough to see that people here have respect for each other. You know how much hate is out there. But here I saw posts of different opinions being respectful and not insulting.
I bet there are many readers like me thinking about joining as I did. Avatanic brings people together!  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:33 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's Friday
BJs Prediction: 27.0m +80%
Revatar - 26.5m 78%
Captain_Cold - 26.0 +74%
Keyser Soze - 26.0m +74
Soagg - 25.5m +70%
Jmovies - 25.4m +70%
Chip Munkington - 25.0 +68%
LadiesMan217 - 23.8m +60%
Eventine 23,4m +56%
Mark66 - 22.725m +52%
Mesjarch - 22.0m +47%
Enki - 21.90m +47%
Average: 24.60m +65%
closed our current range for friday _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:37 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread BJ wrote: Predict Avatanic's 3rd Wknd
EnKi - 81.5m +7%
BJs Prediction: 70.90m -6%
Mark66 - 68.055m -10%
Jmovies - 68m -10%
Captain_Cold - 68m -10%
Soagg - 66.9m -11%
BennyBlanco - 66.5m -12%
Xiayun - 64.5m -15%
DIB2 - 64.5m -15%
Eventine 63.8m -15%
LadiesMan217 - 64.3m -15%
MG Casey - 64m -15%
Keyser Soze - 62m -18%
Flava'd - 62m -18%
2001 - 61m -19%
Gamaur - 61m -19%
Mesjarch - 60.5m -19%
Solas - 60.5m -19%
Lotan - 60.0m -20%
Revatar - 58.67m -22%
Telemachos - 57m -24%
Chip Munkington - 56.8m -24%
~Average: 63.59m -15%
closed current range for the wknd _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 4:38 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread bj, my final avatar number was 65.1m which i put in my derby as well. i am sure i posted it some time on wednesday.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 5:02 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread This is exciting. In the next few days we'll see Avatar break may records. This is one of them: All-time highest domestic box office for a 3D movie! http://boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=3d.htm_________________
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 7:15 pm |
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BennyBlanco
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2004 3:51 pm
Posts: 1102
Location: The Bronx
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread $26.1 million Saturday
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 7:27 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Well BOM finally has Avatars Friday estimates and it's $25.2M
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 7:28 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread looking at sellouts at nyc,sf/bay area,boston its sellouts are in line with yesterday. i am sure it will stay flat today.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 7:39 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread
| Day | Avatar | Return of the King | Dead Man's Chest | The Dark Knight |
| Wed | - | $34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1 | - | - |
| Thu | - | $17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2 | - | - |
| Fri | $26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1 | $21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3 | $55,830,600
- / -
$55,830,600 / 1 | $67,165,092
- / -
$67,165,092 / 1 |
| Sat | $25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2 | $27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4 | $44,443,225
-20.4% / -
$100,273,825 / 2 | $47,650,240
-29.1% / -
$114,815,332 / 2 |
| Sun | $24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3 | $23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5 | $35,360,729
-20.4% / -
$135,634,554 / 3 | $43,596,151
-8.5% / -
$158,411,483 / 3 |
| Mon | $16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4 | $13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6 | $18,140,271
-48.7% / -
$153,774,825 / 4 | $24,493,313
-43.8% / -
$182,904,796 / 4 |
| Tue | $16,086,461
-1.8% / -
$109,497,762 / 5 | $12,476,242
-8% / -
$150,139,984 / 7 | $15,731,919
-13.3% / -
$169,506,744 / 5 | $20,868,722
-14.8% / -
$203,773,518 / 5 |
| Wed | $16,445,291
+2.2% / -
$125,943,053 / 6 | $7,544,400
-39.5% / -78.1%
$157,684,384 / 8 | $14,154,725
-10% / -
$183,661,469 / 6 | $18,377,288
-11.9% / -
$222,150,806 / 6 |
| Thu | $11,150,998
-32.2% / -
$137,094,051 / 7 | $13,986,220
+85.4% / -17.8%
$171,670,604 / 9 | $12,358,033
-12.7% / -
$196,019,502 / 7 | $16,464,405
-10.4% / -
$238,615,211 / 7 |
| Fri | $23,095,046
+107.1% / -13.7%
$160,189,097 / 8 | $19,152,196
+36.9% / -12.2%
$190,822,800 / 10 | $18,544,356
+50.1% / -66.8%
$214,563,858 / 8 | $23,232,292
+41.1% / -65.4%
$261,847,503 / 8 |
| Sat | $28,274,406
+22.4% / +10.8%
$188,463,503 / 9 | $17,249,267
-9.9% / -37.3%
$208,072,067 / 11 | $24,846,771
+34% / -44.1%
$239,410,629 / 9 | $28,272,494
+21.7% / -40.7%
$290,119,997 / 9 |
| Sun | $24,247,681
-14.2% / -2%
$212,711,184 / 10 | $14,196,641
-17.7% / -39.1%
$222,268,708 / 12 | $18,954,137
-23.7% / -46.4%
$258,364,766 / 10 | $23,661,680
-16.3% / -45.7%
$313,781,677 / 10 |
| Mon | $19,418,139
-19.9% / +18.5%
$232,129,323 / 11 | $10,052,588
-29.2% / -25.9%
$232,321,296 / 13 | $7,912,691
-58.3% / -56.4%
$266,277,457 / 11 | $10,518,116
-55.5% / -57.1%
$324,299,793 / 11 |
| Tue | $18,290,628
-5.8% / +13.7%
$250,419,951 / 12 | $9,615,240
-4.4% / -22.9%
$241,936,536 / 14 | $7,490,004
-5.3% / -52.4%
$273,767,461 / 12 | $9,629,366
-8.4% / -53.9%
$333,929,159 / 12 |
| Wed | $18,466,123
+1% / +12.3%
$268,886,074 / 13 | $7,509,391
-21.9% / -0.5%
$249,445,927 / 15 | $6,448,468
-13.9% / -54.4%
$280,215,929 / 13 | $8,755,141
-9.1% / -52.4%
$342,684,300 / 13 |
| Thu | Est. $14,925,000
-19.2% / +33.8%
$283,811,000 / 14 | $12,784,656
+70.2% / -8.6%
$262,230,583 / 16 | $6,468,103
+0.3% / -47.7%
$286,684,032 / 14 | $8,402,546
-4% / -49%
$351,086,846 / 14 |
| Fri | Est. $25,200,000
+68.8% / +9.1%
$309,011,000 / 15 | $10,602,130
-17.1% / -44.6%
$272,832,713 / 17 | $9,992,181
+54.5% / -46.1%
$296,676,213 / 15 | $12,709,035
+51.3% / -45.3%
$363,795,881 / 15 |
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 7:39 pm |
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Enki
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 2:20 pm
Posts: 88
Location: Chicago
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Mesjarch wrote: Well BOM finally has Avatars Friday estimates and it's $25.2M I wonder what is taking them so long to update foreign estimates  . Their current figure of $476,192,825 is from last Tuesday. By yesterday that figure should be over $600,000,000. Their WW total right now is EXTREMELY under-represented. They say as of Friday WW is $785,203,825, but in reality is well over $900,000,000. Why? _________________
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 7:44 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread I keep reading 3D tickets cost 50% more, that's just not true. It's more like 25%.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 10:31 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Nazgul9 wrote: I keep reading 3D tickets cost 50% more, that's just not true. It's more like 25%. no way. real d has about $3 premium on average. that is about 40%. imax has about 50% premium.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 10:57 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Somewhere else i've read $2. Even $3 would be like 30% more as normal tickets cost about $7. I've also read that some IMAX don't charge 3D extra.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:07 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Quote: The story of how "Monsters vs. Aliens" took in $58.2 million on its opening weekend sounds less like a success when you take note of the inconvenient facts. Even though only 2,100 of the 7,000 screens the movie opened on were equipped with 3D technology, reports Brooks Barnes, the 3D screenings "carried premium prices of up to $4 above the standard admission. So about 30 percent of the screens delivered 56 percent of the gross." so the surcharge varies between 30-50%. the average rate difference is around 40%.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:45 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6788
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread btw avatar is doing great. i wont be surprised by a small increase. it is definitely making more than 65m this weekend.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:46 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: The Avatar(Avatanic) Prediction | Tracking Thread Nazgul9 wrote: Somewhere else i've read $2. Even $3 would be like 30% more as normal tickets cost about $7. I've also read that some IMAX don't charge 3D extra. Here are a few examples. Tysons Corner 16 AMC Fairfax, Va: $8 child $11 adult non-3D, $11/14 for Avatar 3D. 37.5% and 27% increase. Hampton 24 AMC Hampton, VA: $5 child, $10 adult, 3D $8/$13, IMAX 3D $9/$14. Non 3D IMAX is $8/$13. For 3D 60% and 30%, for IMAX 80%, and 40%. We have entered the "live ball" era of box office like in baseball when either the ball or the players were juiced. The rules of the game have changed. I have also noticed that 2d showings have basically dried up in the theaters I monitor and screenings have improved to 12-14 range from the 10-12 range of the first weekend.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:48 pm |
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