For reference, this is what Fantastic Four had at each hour:

12:30am (PST) - 27
3:30am - 116, +89
4:30am - 137, +21
5:30am - 160, +23
6:30am - 215, +55
7:30am - 305, +90
8:30am - 419, +114
9:30am - 477, +58
10:30am - 615, +138
11:30am - 741, +126
12:30pm - 872, +131
1:30pm - 952, +80
2:30pm - 1205, +253
3:30pm - 1368, +163
4:30pm - 1509, +141
5:30pm - 1587, +78
6:30pm - 1782, +195
7:30pm - 1956, +174
8:30pm - 2134, +178
9:30pm - 2232, +98
10:30pm - 2678, +446
11:30pm - 2898, +220
Final - 3046, +148, $21,263,992

Are you not concerned with the overall to written to overall ratio of 1:2.9 (give or take)? The grade is good, but that's a bit topheavy.

That would give it a 49-50 million weekend considering it will at least drop 10% on saturday and 32% on sunday

But it's not on front page now and still able to keep the pace with the first one. If it continues to match hour for hour from this point on, it should be doing fine. The last one also had a bigger simultaneous worldwide release, I believe, and already had over 1,000 reviews coming into Friday (also 3 late hours of front page), so I think it'll even out.

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 676 (227), +52,(+16), B (down from B+)
Nancy Drew - 192 (11), +15, (+3), B

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 743 (230), +67,(+3), B
Nancy Drew - 220 (13), +28, (+2), B

32% on Father's Day? More like 20-22%.

seems like ROTSS pace is dropping behind the first FF4 now

almost famous' one is a half hour update, so should still be close. The previous hour was slower.

It's really slowing now in comparision to the last FF

In that case, could we not update the half hour ones, as it just makes for confusion...

We should wait until the :30 of each hour to update, it'll mess up the comparison, guys.

I dont know. That 1:00 ROTS has the same amount of reviews based on the 11:30am update of FF. Also the ratio doesnt seem to huge a huge lead over Nancy Drew, its 3.3 to 1. I know ND will probably trail during night showings however I dont think ROTS night shows are going to do as well knowing its lagging behind in the female demographic to really make it a date movie. Unless Nancy Drew also will beat tracking if you are expecting ROTS to match the first movies receipts

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 783 (234), +40,(+4), B
Nancy Drew - 231 (14), +11, (+1), B- (down from B)

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 783 (234), +107 (+7), B
Nancy Drew - 231 (14), +39 (+3), B- (down from B)

Look like $3m for ND?

so, what should be looking for guys?

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 881 (250), +98 (+16), B
Nancy Drew - 261 (18), +30 (+4), B-

It's now falling further behind (1205 for FF and an average of 160 per hour), so $20m is not a sure thing yet. With the multiplier FF got between now and the end, ROTSS is looking at only 2,000 reviews. $16-18m?

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 960 (260), +79, (+10), B
Nancy Drew - 293 (20), +32, (+2), B-

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 1057 (279), +97, (+19), B
Nancy Drew - 319 (21), +26, (+1), B (Up from B-)

ff=fucked

Looks like at this point it will acount for half of its review total right now. So if it ends up with 2115 total more or less, that would be around 70% of what the last FF got at the end of the day. I say a 17 million friday even by using a smaller ratio

30% slower. Doesn't look like it's going to do $20m.

And $3m for Nancy Drew.

I agree.
Perhaps Father's Day and the fact it opens in June will give it a better IM though.

$16m
$14.5m
$10m

$40.5m

Under 45 million would definately deserve a "What went wrong" thread. Thats even lower than tracking