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 Friday Numbers from SBD !!!! 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
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Mojo has updated its thursdays numbers so maybe their friday estimates will be up soon.I know guru and sbd have narnia at 8.2 and MCN has it at 8.1mill.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:38 pm
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Extraordinary

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I guess we will have to wait for mojo and see who's closer.


Last edited by neo_wolf on Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:39 pm
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Eh, using The Numbers over SBD...The Numbers with MCN have worst track record for friday estimates, if that means anything to you.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:39 pm
Extraordinary

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Weird,mojo has only posted the producer's friday number.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 6:55 pm
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Nebs wrote:
Eh, using The Numbers over SBD...The Numbers with MCN have worst track record for friday estimates, if that means anything to you.


I was just using it because it had increases for each movie. Even if Narnia did $8.2m the highest Fri. estimate it increased 42%. Kong using the lowest Fri. estimate did $8.1m and using the highest Thur. estimate did $5.58m for a 45% increase.

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:03 pm
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$0.7 million for Brokeback Mountain's Friday gross isn't great, but it's okay. I never expected this movie to break through to mainstream audiences completely. It will go further than any serious movie that had gay relationships as its main plot point (and please spare me from the comments which say that this is not what the movie is about at all) and should be lauded for that already, but the immense PTA was bound to drop at some point of its expansion.

Looks like a $3.1 million 4-day weekend to me and a 4-day PTA of around $14,000 which is still pretty good, just not as great as expected. Next weekend should be around $2-3 million as well, if there is no expansion and when it goes to 275+ theatres on January 6th it should make $2-3 million once again. If slow expansion continues (and in this case I think it is a good strategy), then it is unlikely that we will see a weekend gross of $5+ million by it anytime soon, but it should stay steady for a while and eventually top $45 million.

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:13 pm
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Extraordinary
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Is there a reliable source confirming the $0.7m gross for BBM?


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:15 pm
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Extraordinary

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BOM Friday.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:17 pm
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xiayun wrote:


The Ape breaks the Lion's jaw, with a smal margin. :shades:


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:20 pm
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xiayun wrote:


Nice to see Kong still on top.... :sweat:


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:20 pm
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[align=center][table][row color=#003366]Rank[col color=#003366]Movie[col color=#003366]Gross[col color=#003366]%Change (t)[col color=#003366]%Change (lf)[col color=#003366]PTA[col color=#003366]PTA Drop (lf)[col color=#003366]Total[row color=#003366]1[col color=#003366]King Kong[col color=#003366]$8.025.000[col color=#003366]43,95%[col color=#003366]-44,53%[col color=#003366]$2.244[col color=#003366]-44,66%[col color=#003366]$95.535.000[row color=#003366]2[col color=#003366]The Chronicles of Narnia[col color=#003366]$7.990.000[col color=#003366]38,64%[col color=#003366]-11,32%[col color=#003366]$2.074[col color=#003366]-15,29%[col color=#003366]$141.432.840[row color=#003366]3[col color=#003366]Fun with Dick and Jane[col color=#003366]$5.335.000[col color=#003366]36,27%[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$1.746[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$13.011.000[row color=#003366]4[col color=#003366]Cheaper by the Dozen 2[col color=#003366]$3.855.000[col color=#003366]41,11%[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$1.214[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$9.136.754[row color=#003366]5[col color=#003366]Memoirs of a Geisha[col color=#003366]$2.720.000[col color=#003366]1214,01%[col color=#003366]621,58%[col color=#003366]$1.758[col color=#003366]-75,75%[col color=#003366]$5.810.000[row color=#003366]6[col color=#003366]The Ringer[col color=#003366]$2.365.000[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$1.293[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$2.365.000[row color=#003366]7[col color=#003366]The Family Stone[col color=#003366]$2.355.000[col color=#003366]39,07%[col color=#003366]-41,62%[col color=#003366]$954[col color=#003366]-41,70%[col color=#003366]$21.555.006[row color=#003366]8[col color=#003366]Harry Potter & The Goblet of Fire[col color=#003366]$1.525.000[col color=#003366]24,75%[col color=#003366]1,86%[col color=#003366]$605[col color=#003366]28,71%[col color=#003366]$258.240.413[row color=#003366]9[col color=#003366]Munich[col color=#003366]$1.380.000[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$2.594[col color=#003366]-[col color=#003366]$1.380.000[row color=#003366]10[col color=#003366]Syriana[col color=#003366]$1.090.000[col color=#003366]25,11%[col color=#003366]-32,77%[col color=#003366]$632[col color=#003366]-30,79%[col color=#003366]$26.729.730[row color=#003366]11[col color=#003366]Brokeback Mountain[col color=#003366]$745.000[col color=#003366]112,86%[col color=#003366]-2,61%[col color=#003366]$3.433[col color=#003366]-69,03%[col color=#003366]$5.682.241[row color=#003366]12[col color=#003366]Walk the Line[col color=#003366]$650.000[col color=#003366]25,48%[col color=#003366]-37,80%[col color=#003366]$424[col color=#003366]8,09%[col color=#003366]$85.303.783[/table][/align]


Last edited by Anonymous on Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:21 pm
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Heh, only $35,000 difference between the two.

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:21 pm
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xiayun wrote:


meh :glare:

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:21 pm
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38.6% increase for Narnia, and KK is slightly ahead. :tongue:


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:22 pm
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DP07 wrote:
38.6% increase for Narnia, and KK is slightly ahead. :tongue:


:glare:

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:24 pm
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So, how many here think Kong will pass $100 million tomorrow?


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:24 pm
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Narziss wrote:
So, how many here think Kong will pass $100 million tomorrow?


I think it will. I don't see the drop today being bigger than 40%.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:27 pm
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Walk the Line is actually down to 1,534 theatres, I suppose it will drop to below 1,200 on Sunday, once Rumor Has It arrives. It should still make around $2.5 million for the 4-day weekend.

Syriana is still dying a slow death. It is down over 30% from last weekend, despite being in its third weekend and not having lost theatres. Once December is over it's done. I don't think it will reach $40 million anymore.

Excellent number for Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire. Bodes well for my $285 million projection.

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:28 pm
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Extraordinary

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Anyway its said, I don't believe that it was a good expansion at all for BBM. In 69 theaters, I think it still could have done $500,000-$550,000 at least. The additional 148 theaters didn't really do much. It'll still be a good avg, but its disappointing no less.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:32 pm
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Memoirs of a Geisha is in for a really good weekend. As xiayun has said before, it might not suffer a huge decline on Christmas Eve and will have a good weekend multiplier. I expect around $11-11.5 million for the 4-day weekend. With a good hold next weekend and probably decent legs (even The Phantom of the Opera had good legs), I can see it reaching $50+ million. Would be weird if it actually managed to outdo Brokeback Mountain despite its bashing by the critics.


Wow, Pride and Prejudice actually decreased 25% from Thursday. I blame Focus once again for mishandling the movie. It will still reach $35 million.


Fun with Dick and Jane will make around $22-25 million for the 4-day portion I think. It should follow Ocean Twelve's or MTF's pattern, I suppose. With such a weekend and a nice next weekend, it should still be a lock for $100 million.

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:33 pm
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Narziss wrote:
So, how many here think Kong will pass $100 million tomorrow?


It should easily be able to do it....


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:33 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
$0.7 million for Brokeback Mountain's Friday gross isn't great, but it's okay. I never expected this movie to break through to mainstream audiences completely. It will go further than any serious movie that had gay relationships as its main plot point (and please spare me from the comments which say that this is not what the movie is about at all) and should be lauded for that already, but the immense PTA was bound to drop at some point of its expansion.

Looks like a $3.1 million 4-day weekend to me and a 4-day PTA of around $14,000 which is still pretty good, just not as great as expected. Next weekend should be around $2-3 million as well, if there is no expansion and when it goes to 275+ theatres on January 6th it should make $2-3 million once again. If slow expansion continues (and in this case I think it is a good strategy), then it is unlikely that we will see a weekend gross of $5+ million by it anytime soon, but it should stay steady for a while and eventually top $45 million.


I agree that it is slightly disappointing, but looking at the Friday numbers, it seems that the adult oriented stuff wsa what increased the least, which I suppose makes sence since that is the group most likely to be distracted by last minute shopping and preparations for the holidays... I expect it to post some good numbers on Christmas Day (adult films always do well that day) and through the week as well... here's hoping!

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:36 pm
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BJ wrote:
DP07 wrote:
38.6% increase for Narnia, and KK is slightly ahead. :tongue:


:glare:


If it makes you feel any better, Narnia will almost certainly beat KK from Tuesday to Thursday this week. ;)


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:37 pm
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Hahaha. Cool. Kong beat Narnia.

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Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:37 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Memoirs of a Geisha is in for a really good weekend. As xiayun has said before, it might not suffer a huge decline on Christmas Eve and will have a good weekend multiplier. I expect around $11-11.5 million for the 4-day weekend. With a good hold next weekend and probably decent legs (even The Phantom of the Opera had good legs), I can see it reaching $50+ million. Would be weird if it actually managed to outdo Brokeback Mountain despite its bashing by the critics.


I think it's pretty much a lock. With an increase certain next weekend I don't see how it can fall shy of 40m, and I don't see Brokeback getting that high.


Sat Dec 24, 2005 7:40 pm
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