WARNER


1 N Resident Evil IV (Sony) 1
2 N BECK (Shochiku) 1
3 1 Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 3
4 2 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 8
5 N Mr. Children: Split the Difference Concert (Toho (Video Division)) 1

Previews for Resident Evil IV were so strong it topped at Warner locations.

It's definitely aiming for a huge opening when it opens next week with the 3D prices. With this weekend's previews, $10m Fri-Sun looks very likely imo. It's too bad the previews will probably be added to the three day next week though, I bet they were high enough for almost a Top 5 ranking this weekend. For a comparision, Inception's previews failed to ranking here.

And TS3 might have actually lost several 3D screens to REIV already (it was No.3 at Warner last weekend). A shorter run is the price to pay when you only release your film on 3D screens to fully benefit from the higher tickets, though.

BECK beating Flowering Dogwood here as well means it'll be No.1 this weekend since it'll be No.1 at Shikoku locations for sure.

SHIKOKU


1 N BECK (Shochiku) 1
2 1 Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 3
3 2 Police Dog Dream (Shochiku) 3
4 3 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 8
5 N Mr. Children: Split the Difference Concert (Toho (Video Division)) 1
6 5 The Karate Kid (Sony) 4
7 4 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 9
8 6 Metal Fight Beyblade VS Taiyō Shakunetsu no Shinryakusha (Toho) 3
9 8 Thriller Restaurant (Toei) 3
10 7 Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions Zoroark (Toho) 9


BECK opening on top at all three major chains is such a much needed victory for Shochiku. They've been struggling all year, as have every other non-Toho local distributor, so BECK is a much needed hit for them.

I'm curious if the strong showings for the Mr. Children concert at Warner and Shikoku is enough to give it a National Top 10 Ranking.

Something definitely hit TS3 this weekend, most likely screen loss. Falling out of the Top 5 at Warner, and dropping three positions at Shikoku.

Wow for Resident Evil, that franchise is huge in Japan! I'm excited to see its opening next week.

This movie is gonna be huge overseas.

domestic could be anywhere from 50-70m

The budget is 60m

Resident Evil (2002) - $17,477,878 (O/W = $1,582,914 from 285 and increased in 2nd weekend)
Apocalypse (2004) - $23,642,659 (O/W = $5,879,255 against The Village $3m)
Extinction (2007) - $24,648,673 (O/W = $5,208,839 against 2 other local openings above $4m)

---

So yeah, surprising yet not too surprising. The past two flicks have opened to big numbers....coupled with 3D and sub standard grosses from foreign releases since Inception...probably contributed to this. It's clear that locals love the franchise. With a $10m opening, this one is headed for a total close to $40m then....may even beat Inception.

Would somebody have the grosses for Colorful, it looks like a beautiful anime!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPWGZ2_caUg

I have to be at work in an hour, but I'll post it's numbers tonight.

Weekend Rankings
September 4-5, 2010



1 N BECK (Shochiku) 1
2 1 Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 3
3 2 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 8
4 3 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 9
5 4 The Karate Kid (Sony) 4
6 8 Metal Fight Beyblade VS Taiyō Shakunetsu no Shinryakusha (Toho) 3
7 9 Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) 10
8 5 The A-Team (Fox) 4
9 N Here Comes The Bride, My Mom! (Kadokawa) 1
10 6 Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Double & Decade Forever A-Z (Toei) 5


BECK - 313,574,750 ($3.7m), 230,151 admissions on 316 screens

Flowering Dogwood - Very close to Y2 billion ($23.5m) after 3 weeks.

The Borrower Arrietty - Grosses Y8.4 billion ($99.5m) after 8 weeks.

Toy Story 3 - Has now grossed Y10.4 billion ($123m) after 9 weeks.

Bayside Shakedown 3 - Has exceeded Y7 billion ($83m) after 10 weeks.

This means TS3 added around $5 million since its last weekend. Looks like $130 million is a lock.

Could it still top Alice?

Awesome for Beck. How does its chances of 20m look now? Also, does live action adaptations suffer heavy 2nd weekend drops because of frontloading?

TS3 still needs to gross over Y1 billion to beat Alice in Wonderland. If it fell over 40% this weekend with no 3D openers, just limited screenings for Resident Evil IV, it's probably going to see a hefty drop this coming weekend and definitely the following weekend. We're talking about $10m+ back to back openers (previews included for REIV), both in 3D, the next two weeks. TS3 has no 2D screens to support it.

And it looks like TS3 grossed about Y150-Y170m this past weekend, so Y1 billion isn't going to come easy, in fact, I'd say it's almost impossible.




$20m is locked. Y2.5 billion (high 20's, maybe 30m) should roughly be where BECK ends up.

Nah, the drop next weekend will be just fine. Almost no local films ever see a second weekend drop of near or over 50%. Only the pure fanbase driven films come near the 50% second weekend drop mark, and even then, most fail to drop 50%.

It's nice to see two post-summer hits, BECK (aiming for $30m) and Flowering Dogwood (targeting $35m), following July's Big 3.



And mid/late September definitely has it's share of big hit films it's about to contribute:

REIV will do over $30m, maybe has a chance at $40m just due to 3D if it's not too frontloaded. REII grossed Y2.7b ($32m today), and REIII grossed Y2.85b ($34m today).

Kimi ni Todoke should be a $20/$25m grosser I think. Each of the currently 12 volumes has sold over 1m copies.

Gundam Trailblazer has a big fanbase ready to come out, and should be a smaller scale version of Evangelion 2.0 and One Piece Film Strong World.

Umizaru 3 has some big unknown potential breaking the local screen count and being the first major local 3D release. It'll be released on a minimum of 50% more screens than Umizaru 2. It's predecessor grossed Y7.1b, or $83m today, and was the second biggest local film of 2006 just behind Tales From Earthsea (Y7.65b).

I'm not sure on Thirteen Assassins, but it's been charting well on every list I've seen, so it should be a solid hit, too.

Most Recent updates for each film will be in blue.

Summer 2010 Big 3 Watch

Bayside Shakedown 3:
2day total - Y971,993,832 ($11.08m), 707,399 admissions
5day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1.1m admissions
7day total - Y1.9b ($21.5m), 1.55m admissions
9day total - Y2,501,584,528 ($28.4m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3,662,187,666 ($42.3m), 2.9m admissions
17day total - Y3.92b ($45.1m), 3,005,883 admissions
19day total - Y4.2b ($48.3m), 3.2m admissions
23day total - Y4,599,620,600 ($52.6m), 3,531,063 admissions
25day total - Y4.7b ($53.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y5,251,455,362 ($61.1m), 4m admissions
37day total - Y5,724,349,425 ($66.4m), 4.3m admissions
44day total - Y6,340,024,652 ($73.7m), 4.7m admissions
51day total - Y6,679,149,400 ($79.3m), 5.15m admissions
58day total - Y6,881,105,505 ($81.5m), 5,364,137 admissions
65day total - Y7.05b ($83m), 5.5m admissions



Toy Story 3:
2day total - Y977,332,877 ($11.04m), 649,190 admissions
6day total - Y1.5b ($17.2m), 1m admissions
9day total - Y2,373,155,050 ($27.3m), 1.5m admissions
12day total - Y3b ($34.5m), 2m admissions
16day total - Y3.88b ($44.3m), 2.4m admissions
19day total - Y4,436,000,550 ($51m), 3,002,391 admissions
23day total - Y5,411,249,060 ($62.8m), 3.6m admissions
30day total - Y6,659,674,963 ($77.2m), 4.5m admissions
33day total - Y7.3b ($85.2m), 5m admissions
37day total - Y8,283,716,750 ($96.2m), 5,688,359 admissions
44day total - Y9,320,510,372 ($110.6m), 6.3m admissions
51day total - Y9,982,504,148 ($118.2m), 6,800,988 admissions
52day total - Y10,056,769,750 ($119.5m), 6,829,569m admissions
58day total - Y10.4b ($123m), 7m admissions



The Borrower Arrietty:
2day total - Y895,561,635 ($10.35m), 680,234 admissions
3day total - Y1.35b ($15.6m), 1,038,138 admissions
9day total - Y2,617,702,260 ($29.9m), 2,062,166 admissions
16day total - Y3,978,417,127 ($46.2m), 3m admissions
18day total - Y4,215,660,000 ($49.3m), 3,462,883 admissions
20day total - Y4.5b ($52.4m), 3.7m admissions
23day total - Y5,018,507,263 ($58.3m), 4.1m admissions
30day total - Y6,465,551,370 ($75.1m), 5,341,467 admissions
37day total - Y7,391,062,220 ($87.8m), 6.1m admissions
44day total - Y8,033,861,171 ($95.1m), 6,754,168 admissions
51day total - Y8.4b ($99.5m), 7m admissions


Updated with weekend estimates. Also edited TS3's 52day admissions since an actual number had been revealed.

Updated with weekend estimates.

Top 20 Opening Weekends of 2010

1. April, Alice in Wonderland (Disney) - $14,297,616 (2day), 859 screens - $16,644 pta, 828,149 admissions
2. Dec. 09, One Piece Film Strong World (TOEI) - $11,692,830 (2day), 188 screens - $62,196 pta, 819,738 admissions
3. July, Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - $11,080,725 (2day), 447 screens - 24,789 pta, 707,399 admissions
4. July, Toy Story 3 (Disney) - $11,034,083 (2day), 530 screens - $20,819 pta, 649,190 admissions
5. July, The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - $10,352,700 (2day) / $15,627,122 (3day), 447 screens - $23,160 pta, 680,234 admissions (2day) / 1,038,138 admissions (3day)
6. July, Inception (WB) - $7,837,192 (2day + previews)/$8,915,763 (3day + previews), 523 screens - $14,928 pta
7. July, Pokemon 13 Ruler of Illusions: Zoroark (Toho) - $7,107,555 (2day), 369 screens - $19,262 pta, 601,602 admissions
8. Dec. 09, Up (Disney) - $6,992,874 (2day), 663 screens - $10,547 pta, 440,804 admissions
9. Dec. 09, Avatar (Fox) - $6,611,848 (2day)/$14,553,033 (5day), 839 screens - $7,881 pta
10. March, Doraemon 30 South Sea Adventure (Toho) - $6,115,994 (2day), 366 screens - $16,710 pta, 498,198 admissions

11. April, Nodame Cantabile: The Movie II (Toho) - $6,114,997 (2day), 410 screens - $14,915 pta, 437,613 admissions
12. April, Detective Conan 14 Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - $6,103,158 (2day), 352 screens - $17,339 pta, 471,527 admissions
13. Dec. 09, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider W & Dikeido (TOEI) - $5,096,420 (2day), 292 screens - $17,453 pta, 396,178 admissions
14. August, Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - $4,742,088 (2day), 310 screens - $15,297 pta, 301,275 admissions
15. Dec. 09, Nodame Cantabile: The Movie I (Toho) - $4,364,808 (2day), 409 screens - $10,672 pta, 317,302 admissions
16. March, Liar Game: The Final Stage (Toho) - $4,331,798 (2day), 283 screens - $15,307 pta, 308,824 admissions
17. July, Salt (Sony) - $4,176,768 (2day), 332 screens - $12,812 pta, 319,545 admissions
18. May, Trick the Movie: Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - $4,004,850 (2day), 320 screens - $12,515 pta, 270,705 admission
19. August, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Double & Decade Forever A-Z (Toei) - $3,841,186 (2day), 460 screens - $8,350 pta, 251,720 admissions
20. Jan., Oceans (Gaga) - $3,756,389 (2day)/$4,356,393 (3day), 303 screens - $12,483 pta, 280,726 admissions



_________________________________________________________________________________


Top 20 Films of 2010 by Gross

1. Avatar (Fox) - $166,371,800
2. Alice In Wonderland (Disney) - $135,112,098
3. Toy Story 3 (Disney) - $123,000,000 (58 days in release)
4. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - $99,500,000 (51 days in release)
5. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - $83,000,000 (65 days in release)
6. One Piece Film Strong World (TOEI) - $56,776,373
7. Up (Disney) - $54,285,463
8. Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions: Zoroark (Toho) - $46,750,000 (58 days in release)
9. Nodame Cantabile The Movie II (Toho) - $44,402,145
10. Nodame Cantabile The Movie I (Toho) - $44,322,317


11. Confessions (Toho) - $43,492,0766 (100 days in release)
12. Inception (WB) - $39,000,000 (44 days, plus 3 preview days in release)
13. Detective Conan 14 The Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - $36,140,006
14. Doraemon 30 Nobita's South Sea Adventure (Toho) - $35,780,264
15. Liar Game: The Final Stage (Toho) - $27,148,337
16. Oceans (GAGA) - $25,721,299
17. Sherlock Holmes (WB) - $23,274,806
18. Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - $23,000,000 (16 days in release)
19. Salt (Sony) - $22,500,000 (37 days in release)
20. Younger Brother (Shochiku) - $21,047,812



Studio/Distributor Tally: Toho - 10, Disney - 3, WB - 2, TOEI - 1, Fox - 1, Sony - 1 Shochiku - 1, Gaga - 1

_________________________________________________________________________________


Top 20 Films of 2010 by Admissions

1. Avatar (Fox) - 9.7 million admissions
2. Alice in Wonderland (Disney) - 7.2 million admissions
3. Toy Story 3 (Disney) - 7 million admissions (58 days in release)
4. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - 7 million admissions (51 days in release)
5. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - 5.5 million admissions (65 days in release)
6. One Piece Film Strong World (Toei) - 4.1 million admissions
7. Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions Zoroark (Toho) - 3.75 million admissions (58 days in release)
8. Up (Disney) - 3.25 million admissions
9. Nodame Cantabile The Movie I (Toho) - 3.2 million admissions
10. Nodame Cantabile The Movie II (Toho) - 3.1 million admissions


11. Confessions (Toho) - 3.1 million admissions (100 days in release)
12. Detective Conan 14 The Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - 2.7 million admissions
13. Doraemon 30 Nobita's South Sea Adventure (Toho) - 2.65 million admissions
14. Inception (WB) - 2.55 million admissions (44 days, plus 3 preview days in release)
15. Liar Game The Final Stage (Toho) - 2 million admissions
16. Oceans (GAGA) - 1.85 million admissions
17. Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - 1.7 million admissions (16 days in release)
18. Sherlock Holmes (WB) - 1.7 million admissions
19. Younger Brother (Shochiku) - 1.65 million admissions
20. Trick The Movie 3 Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - 1.5 million admissions



New Entries - Flowering Dogwood debuts on the Gross and Admissions charts after 16 days.
i - still playing

BECK might make the Top 20 Opening Weekend Chart at No.20 edging out Oceans, but right now it's about $30,000 short with estimates. The charts will be updated with actuals late Tuesday or on Wednesday.

Also, Confessions is still listed at a few theaters, but no updates have been available for two weeks. It's pretty much done, so I'm removing it from the still playing for now.

Some weekend actuals (totals anyway),

Here Comes The Bride, My Mom! - Y38,657,199 ($456,021), 32,575 admissions on 89 screens.

Flowering Dogwood - Y1,880,060,921 ($22.2m) after 16 days.

The Borrower Arrietty - Y8,431,772,774 ($100.3m), 7,086,428 admissions, after 51 days.

Bayside Shakedown 3 - Y7,014,378,500 ($83.4m), 5,471,451 admissions, after 65 days.

The Resident Evil IV previews totaled Y418,426,140 ($4.9m). Wow. That'd have easily won the weekend, and all of that is going to be included into REIV's opening 3day total this weekend. The 3day, plus the previews, will probably be close to $15m. The opening weekend will be Sat. and Sun. as usual, so the $4.9m from previews will be added to the total of those two days for the official opening weekend itself.

By comparision, Resident Evil III's opening weekend was Y598m ($5.2m back in 2007). So Resident Evil IV's limited previews alone almost matched that in USD.

It'll have to be very, very frontloaded to not gross $40m, imo. 3D (for films people want to see) is magical in Japan.

@ RE4!! Wow. In previews alone. I'm very happy for it, that is going to translate into a colossal OW and a massive total for this type of movie. Its Japanese gross may end up being more than half of its American gross!

Weekend Summary
September 4-5, 2010



1. Beck Shochiku $3,722,132 1 316 $11,779 0 $3,722,132
2. Flowering Dogwood Toho $2,606,240 3 310 $8,407 -31 $22,316,323
3. The Borrower Arrietty Toho $1,789,823 8 447 $4,004 -36 $100,085,143
4. Toy Story 3 Walt Disney Int'l $1,621,431 9 438 $3,702 -45 $123,016,576
5. Karate Kid Sony Int'l $888,690 4 279 $3,185 -38 $14,707,798
6. Metal Fight Beyblade the movie/Duel Masters the Movie 2010 Toho $612,367 3 216 $2,835 -37 $5,100,086
7. A-Team, The Fox Int'l $584,523 3 350 $1,670 -47 $6,782,868
8. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose ! Toho $565,712 10 447 $1,266 -41 $83,260,673
9. Kamen Rider The Movie W/Goseiger TOEI $484,415 5 349 $1,388 -52 $16,742,972
10. Inception Warner Bros. Int'l $468,382 7 282 $1,661 -52 $39,739,479


Strong opening for BECK. A much needed success for distributor Shochiku.

Flowering Dogwood continues doing well and is aiming for a total in the mid 30's.

The Borrower Arrietty crosses $100m after 8 weeks. A total of about $115m is looking likely.

Toy Story 3 sees a somewhat big drop, but still a solid week and hold. Two big 3D releases are coming up this weekend and the next, so it's hard to tell if it'll get completely slaughtered or not. If it's hit hard, a total in the high 120's will be it's stopping point. If it survives somehow, then it should crawl pass $130m.

Bayside Shakedown 3 is still holding in there after 10 weeks now, and a total in the high 80's looks to be as far as it'll go, however.

Inception just never caught on really. A final total of probably $41m is certainly great, but there was some lost potential here as it finishes as the 6th biggest film of the Summer.

Updated with weekend actuals and what the comparison films grossed their next weekend.

Summer 2010 Big 3 Comparison Film Breakdown

Rank/Last Week/Film Title/Weekend Gross/Total Gross/Screens/Week in Release


Disney

1 1 Finding Nemo - 834,541,043, 7,498,771,753 - 660, 5
1 1 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - 526,660,686, 8,374,848,942 - 757, 5
1 1 Alice in Wonderland - 438,591,102, 9,342,592,551 - 858, 5
1 1 Toy Story 3 - 420,806,325, 6,659,674,963 - 516, 5

1 1 Toy Story 3 - 540,231,512, 8,283,716,750 - 498, 6
2 1 Finding Nemo - 536,947,721, 9,175,668,691 - 644, 6
2 1 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - 395,931,376, 9,081,536,181 - 691, 6
1 1 Alice in Wonderland - 375,774,094, 10,104,580,224 - 841, 6

2 2 Finding Nemo - 310,631,304, 9,572,084,716 - 502, 7
1 1 Alice in Wonderland - 299,215,129, 10,710,280,798 - 794, 7
2 2 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - 282,514,155, 9,624,656,016 - 674, 7
2 1 Toy Story 3 - 275,545,231, 9,320,510,372 - 477, 7

2 2 Toy Story 3 - 251,608,086, 9,982,504,148 - 468, 8
2 2 Finding Nemo - 240,949,130, 9,964,240,832 - 442, 8
4 2 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - 189,634,800, 9,930,103,575 - 622, 8
4 1 Alice in Wonderland - 186,199,923, 11,151,746,396 - 732, 8


2 2 Finding Nemo - 214,923,798, 10,294,026,650 - 412, 9
4 2 Toy Story 3 - 136,599,082, 10,363,654,516 - 438, 9
5 4 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - 130,956,630, 10,309,683,688 - 591, 9
5 4 Alice in Wonderland - 98,555,679, 11,383,923,946 - 455, 9


3 2 Finding Nemo - 107,042,086, 10,486,659,280 - 354, 10
6 5 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - 83,854,395, 10,512,234,046 - 531, 10
7 5 Alice in Wonderland - 71,678,635, 11,539,183,171 - 379, 10




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Ghibli

1 1 Ponyo on a Cliff - 851,271,785, 9,941,725,180 - 481, 5
2 2 The Borrower Arrietty - 478,784,680, 6,465,551,370, 447, 5
1 2 Tales From Earthsea - 284,980,912, 6,014,554,180 - 435, 5

1 1 Ponyo on a Cliff - 577,168,070, 11,468,206,391 - 481, 6
2 2 The Borrower Arrietty - 272,109,884, 7,391,062,220 - 447, 6
1 1 Tales From Earthsea - 199,861,136, 6,643,263,096 - 435, 6

3 1 Ponyo on a Cliff - 513,243,165, 12,726,831,025 - 481, 7
2 2 The Borrower Arrietty - 238,352,221, 8,033,861,171 - 447, 7
2 1 Tales From Earthsea - 152,139,154, 6,863,997,660 - 315, 7


3 3 Ponyo on a Cliff - 378,160,822, 13,443,809,295 - 481, 8
3 3 The Borrower Arrietty - 150,785,423, 8,431,772,774 - 447, 8
5 2 Tales From Earthsea - 111,016,548, 7,054,251,446 - 314, 8


3 3 Ponyo on a Cliff - 259,925,868, 13,884,548,993 - 481, 9
8 5 Tales From Earthsea - 70,124,345, 7,226,512,948 - 314, 9



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Fuji TV Dramas

2 1 Rookies - 414,383,922, 6,017,566,852 - 428, 5
1 1 Hero - 314,995,958, 6,526,534,663 - 475, 5
5 4 Bayside Shakedown 3 - 292,061,729, 5,251,455,362 - 447, 5

2 2 Rookies - 283,389,044, 7,300,125,466 - 428, 6
6 5 Bayside Shakedown 3 - 192,819,053, 5,724,349,425 - 447, 6
1 1 Hero - 175,564,917, 7,054,029,965 - 475, 6

4 6 Bayside Shakedown 3 - 221,763,337, 6,340,024,652 - 447, 7
4 2 Rookies - 183,065,247, 7,648,577,884 - 428 - 7
1 1 Hero - 134,350,539, 7,380,113,378 - 475, 7　

7 4 Rookies - 108,982,179, 7,854,254,371 - 340 - 8
2 1 Hero - 108,315,030, 7,631,975,829 - 475 - 8
9 4 Bayside Shakedown 3 - 95,465,812, 6,679,149,400 - 447, 8

9 9 Bayside Shakedown 3 - 82,127,598, 6,881,105,505 - 447, 9
6 7 Rookies - 72,375,651, 8,087,645,884 - 339, 9
6 2 Hero - 64,682,826, 7,824,276,239 - 325, 9

8 9 Bayside Shakedown 3 - 47,659,029, 7,014,378,500 - 447, 10
10 6 Hero - 36,151,732, 7,918,488,604 - 320, 10
- - Rookies (fell out of the Top 10)


--Hero (fell out of the Top 10)
--Rookies (out of the Top 10)

Updated with actuals.

Top 20 Opening Weekends of 2010

1. April, Alice in Wonderland (Disney) - $14,297,616 (2day), 859 screens - $16,644 pta, 828,149 admissions
2. Dec. 09, One Piece Film Strong World (TOEI) - $11,692,830 (2day), 188 screens - $62,196 pta, 819,738 admissions
3. July, Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - $11,080,725 (2day), 447 screens - 24,789 pta, 707,399 admissions
4. July, Toy Story 3 (Disney) - $11,034,083 (2day), 530 screens - $20,819 pta, 649,190 admissions
5. July, The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - $10,352,700 (2day) / $15,627,122 (3day), 447 screens - $23,160 pta, 680,234 admissions (2day) / 1,038,138 admissions (3day)
6. July, Inception (WB) - $7,837,192 (2day + previews)/$8,915,763 (3day + previews), 523 screens - $14,928 pta
7. July, Pokemon 13 Ruler of Illusions: Zoroark (Toho) - $7,107,555 (2day), 369 screens - $19,262 pta, 601,602 admissions
8. Dec. 09, Up (Disney) - $6,992,874 (2day), 663 screens - $10,547 pta, 440,804 admissions
9. Dec. 09, Avatar (Fox) - $6,611,848 (2day)/$14,553,033 (5day), 839 screens - $7,881 pta
10. March, Doraemon 30 South Sea Adventure (Toho) - $6,115,994 (2day), 366 screens - $16,710 pta, 498,198 admissions

11. April, Nodame Cantabile: The Movie II (Toho) - $6,114,997 (2day), 410 screens - $14,915 pta, 437,613 admissions
12. April, Detective Conan 14 Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - $6,103,158 (2day), 352 screens - $17,339 pta, 471,527 admissions
13. Dec. 09, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider W & Dikeido (TOEI) - $5,096,420 (2day), 292 screens - $17,453 pta, 396,178 admissions
14. August, Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - $4,742,088 (2day), 310 screens - $15,297 pta, 301,275 admissions
15. Dec. 09, Nodame Cantabile: The Movie I (Toho) - $4,364,808 (2day), 409 screens - $10,672 pta, 317,302 admissions
16. March, Liar Game: The Final Stage (Toho) - $4,331,798 (2day), 283 screens - $15,307 pta, 308,824 admissions
17. July, Salt (Sony) - $4,176,768 (2day), 332 screens - $12,812 pta, 319,545 admissions
18. May, Trick the Movie: Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - $4,004,850 (2day), 320 screens - $12,515 pta, 270,705 admission
19. August, Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Double & Decade Forever A-Z (Toei) - $3,841,186 (2day), 460 screens - $8,350 pta, 251,720 admissions
20. Jan., Oceans (Gaga) - $3,756,389 (2day)/$4,356,393 (3day), 303 screens - $12,483 pta, 280,726 admissions



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Top 20 Films of 2010 by Gross

1. Avatar (Fox) - $166,371,800
2. Alice In Wonderland (Disney) - $135,112,098
3. Toy Story 3 (Disney) - $123,016,576 (58 days in release)
4. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - $100,085,143 (51 days in release)
5. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - $83,260,673 (65 days in release)
6. One Piece Film Strong World (TOEI) - $56,776,373
7. Up (Disney) - $54,285,463
8. Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions: Zoroark (Toho) - $46,907,269 (58 days in release)
9. Nodame Cantabile The Movie II (Toho) - $44,402,145
10. Nodame Cantabile The Movie I (Toho) - $44,322,317


11. Confessions (Toho) - $43,492,076
12. Inception (WB) - $39,739,479 (44 days, plus 3 preview days in release)
13. Detective Conan 14 The Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - $36,140,006
14. Doraemon 30 Nobita's South Sea Adventure (Toho) - $35,780,264
15. Liar Game: The Final Stage (Toho) - $27,148,337
16. Oceans (GAGA) - $25,721,299
17. Sherlock Holmes (WB) - $23,274,806
18. Salt (Sony) - $22,869,105 (37 days in release)
19. Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - $22,316,323 (16 days in release)
20. Younger Brother (Shochiku) - $21,047,812



Studio/Distributor Tally: Toho - 10, Disney - 3, WB - 2, TOEI - 1, Fox - 1, Sony - 1 Shochiku - 1, Gaga - 1

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Top 20 Films of 2010 by Admissions

1. Avatar (Fox) - 9.7 million admissions
2. Alice in Wonderland (Disney) - 7.2 million admissions
3. The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) - 7.1 million admissions (51 days in release)
4. Toy Story 3 (Disney) - 7 million admissions (58 days in release)
5. Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) - 5.5 million admissions (65 days in release)
6. One Piece Film Strong World (Toei) - 4.1 million admissions
7. Pokemon 13 Diamond & Pearl Ruler of Illusions Zoroark (Toho) - 3.8 million admissions (58 days in release)
8. Up (Disney) - 3.25 million admissions
9. Nodame Cantabile The Movie I (Toho) - 3.2 million admissions
10. Nodame Cantabile The Movie II (Toho) - 3.1 million admissions


11. Confessions (Toho) - 3 million admissions
12. Detective Conan 14 The Lost Ship in the Sky (Toho) - 2.7 million admissions
13. Doraemon 30 Nobita's South Sea Adventure (Toho) - 2.65 million admissions
14. Inception (WB) - 2.55 million admissions (44 days, plus 3 preview days in release)
15. Liar Game The Final Stage (Toho) - 2 million admissions
16. Oceans (GAGA) - 1.85 million admissions
17. Sherlock Holmes (WB) - 1.7 million admissions
18. Younger Brother (Shochiku) - 1.65 million admissions
19. Flowering Dogwood (Toho) - 1.6 million admissions (16 days in release)
20. Trick The Movie 3 Psychic Battle Royale (Toho) - 1.5 million admissions



New Entries - Flowering Dogwood debuts on the Gross and Admissions charts after 16 days.
i - still playing

BECK narrowly missed making it into the Top 20 Opening Weekends of 2010.

Weekend Forecast
September 11-12, 2010



1 N Resident Evil IV (Sony) 1
2 1 BECK (Shochiku) 2
3 N Villain (Toho) 1
4 2 Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 4
5 3 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 9
6 4 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 10
7 5 The Karate Kid (Sony) 5
8 6 Metal Fight Beyblade the movie/Duel Masters the Movie 2010 (Toho) 4
9 7 The A-Team (Fox) 4
10 8 Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) 11

Variety said 15.5 mln opening for RE4 (obviously with previews).

Yep$15m was about what I expected with the $4.9m previews.

About $10m Fri-Sat ($7mish for Sat and Sun).

I'm away until tomorrow, I'll update everything then sometime.

Is $45+ million possible for it?

I doubt it. I mean, it's possible, but with the big previews it should be a bit frontloaded.

I see high 30's/low 40's right now.

Weekend Rankings
September 11-12, 2010



1 N Resident Evil IV (Sony) 1
2 N Villain (Toho) 1
3 1 BECK (Shochiku) 2
4 2 Flowering Dogwood (Toho) 4
5 3 The Borrower Arrietty (Toho) 9
6 4 Toy Story 3 (Disney) 10
7 5 The Karate Kid (Sony) 5
8 N You Dance With The Summer (Toei) 1
9 6 Metal Fight Beyblade the movie/Duel Masters the Movie 2010 (Toho) 4
10 8 Bayside Shakedown 3 Set The Guys Loose! (Toho) 11


Resident Evil IV has grossed Y1.3b (including previews and Friday), for a total of about $15.5m on 688,301 total admissions. By comparison, Inception grossed $8.9m with previews and Friday added it's opening weekend on barely 600,000 total admissions. So you can see how much 3D helped Resident Evil IV. Y1.3b is nearly 50% of the total gross of the previous two installments.

No numbers, just demo breakdown, for Villain yet.

You dance With The Summer - 32,142 admissions on 201 screens.

SD has TS3 at Y10.5b or $125m after 10 weeks. If true, $130m probably won't happen with a bigger 3D release coming out this weekend. Regardless, still a monster smash hit.

BECK - Y832m ($9.8m) after two weeks (9days).