Now at 76%. I'm also noticing some sellouts tonight around me, including for Night Before Our Stars. So, looking good.

If this were to open around the 57M that Sex And The City did, what would it need in previews tonight? SATC did 2.5M in midnights. Fault has inflated ticket prices for the special shows and an earlier start, so that number will need to be bigger. I'm thinking it will need at least 7M in previews to have a shot at SATC.

Sounds about right. Including The Night Before Our Stars I have its previews pegged at about $8 million right now ($5.8 million regular, $2.2 million TNBOS).

Weekend Predictions for Jun 6-8
1. (N) The Fault in Our Stars (Fox)- 51.2 million, NEW, 3,173 theaters (N), $16,136 avg., 12 million budget, Week 1, 51.2 million to date
2. (1) Maleficent (Buena Vista)- 34.7 million, -50%, 3,948 theaters (No Change), $8,789 avg., 180 million budget, Week 2, 128.5 million to date
3. (N) Edge of Tomorrow (Warner Bros.)- 32.3 million, NEW, 3,490 theaters (N), $9,255 avg., 178 million budget, Week 1, 32.3 million to date
4. (2) X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox)- 17.8 million, -45%, 3,639 theaters (-362), $4,891 avg., 200 million budget, Week 3, 192.5 million to date
5. (3) A Million Ways to Die in the West (Universal)- 9.1 million, -45%, 3,160 theaters (+2), $2,880 avg., 40 million budget, Week 2, 32.1 million to date
6. (4) Godzilla (Warner Bros.)- 5.7 million, -52%, 3,110 theaters (-391), $1,833 avg., 160 million budget, Week 4, 184.9 million to date
7. (6) Neighbors (Universal)- 5.2 million, -35%, 2,673 theaters (-266), $1,945 avg., 18 million budget, Week 5, 137.9 million to date
8. (5) Blended (Warner Bros.)- 4.9 million, -39%, 2,928 theaters (-627), $1,673 avg., 40-45 million budget, Week 3, 37.4 million to date
9. (8) Million Dollar Arm (Buena Vista)- 2.1 million, -40%, 1,643 theaters (-686), $1,278 avg., 25 million budget, Week 4, 31.7 million to date
10. (9) Chef (Open Road)- 1.9 million, -+0%, 1,298 theaters (+674), $1,464 avg., No Budget Available, Week 5, 9.7 million to date

Updating Fault to $63m and Edge to $31m

YouTube:
Edge of Tomorrow: 31.5m
Fault in our Stars: 29.2m

Predictions:
TFIOS: 55.5m
EOT: 35.6m

I have TFIOS in the same ratio range as CF, and Divergent. Perhaps it can do better. I once thought EOT would be at 1.4-1.5, but that seems too optimistic with the way ratios have dropped this year.

Maleficent: -55%
DOFP: -46%
AMWTDITW: -50%

I wonder if anyone at Warner Bros. is a bit queasy over the fact their star-driven, lavish, 200-million-dollar science-fiction epic is, upon release, a distant second banana to a low-budget teen weepy.

If they wanted a $90m Godzilla opening, they should have marketed it like so.

Instead, they've done the bare minimum and thus have to rely on legs.

Original films never open to massive numbers anyway, sci-fi films even less so, look at Inception, that was around $65m if I'm not mistaken. This needs to hit $35m though as its floor.

In that way, I find it kind of sad that the GA will never wholeheartedly embrace originality in droves on opening weekend, but maybe that's inherent in the way we work.

The more interesting number for Fault will be its OD. I am sure that will drop like a rock.

EoT also seems to be doing good I think it will hold out its own this weekend and might even get a Saturday victory.

$178m