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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
87 for 89 on RT. Pixar is a pure monster.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 9:46 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am Posts: 4556
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
FinaL Prediction:
OW - 70.0m ($17,535 average)
2nd weekend drop - 35%
Domestic TotaL - 345m (4.93 muLtipLier) Overseas - 540m WW - 885m
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 10:44 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
BJ wrote: 350m+
BJs Prediction:
80m | 503m 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:31 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
67m/295m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:32 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
dramatic under prediction, ew 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:34 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am Posts: 4669 Location: Anchorage, AK
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
Final
OW: 70.9m
TOTAL: 329.7m
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:47 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
OW: $65m
Domestic: $305m
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:48 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
I still like my 90M/375M prediction.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
the last 3 posted are all under predictions fo sho.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:55 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
I would love if ur prediction comes true. But just dont see that happening in such a competitive summer. Even my prediction is very optimistic.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jun 27, 2008 1:11 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
I got bored so I decided to project Wall-E's run. I used Nemo as reference for Wall-E's first few weeks, considering Nemo's June 30th also fell on a Monday, then Ratatouille for the rest of its run. I tried to make the weekend drops as reasonable as possible (no drop under 30% until 8th weekend is actually quite pessimistic and its weekly earnings eventually fall behind Cars). So barring, a harsh 2nd weekend drop (40%+), I'd say that $275 million is the minimum, which should be good for 2nd biggest Pixar movie ever.
Daily Gross | Daily Change | Weekly Change | Per-Theater | Theater Count | Change | Gross-to-date | Weekend/Weekly Gross | Change | Per-Theater |
$23,164,108 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $5,803 | 3992 | 0 | $23,164,108 | | | |
$22,116,197 | -4.5% | 0.0% | $5,540 | 3992 | 0 | $45,280,305 | | | |
$17,807,221 | -19.5% | 0.0% | $4,461 | 3992 | 0 | $63,087,526 | $63,087,526 | 0.0% | $15,803 |
$8,913,286 | -49.9% | 0.0% | $2,233 | 3992 | 0 | $72,000,812 | | | |
$9,038,072 | 1.4% | 0.0% | $2,264 | 3992 | 0 | $81,038,884 | | | |
$7,926,389 | -12.3% | 0.0% | $1,986 | 3992 | 0 | $88,965,273 | | | |
$9,408,624 | 18.7% | 0.0% | $2,357 | 3992 | 0 | $98,373,897 | $98,373,897 | 0.0% | $24,643 |
$10,772,874 | 14.5% | -53.5% | $2,699 | 3992 | 0 | $109,146,771 | | | |
$16,870,321 | 56.6% | -23.7% | $4,226 | 3992 | 0 | $126,017,093 | | | |
$12,585,260 | -25.4% | -29.3% | $3,153 | 3992 | 0 | $138,602,352 | $40,228,455 | -36.2% | $10,077 |
$6,330,386 | -49.7% | -29.0% | $1,586 | 3992 | 0 | $144,932,738 | | | |
$6,811,495 | 7.6% | -24.6% | $1,706 | 3992 | 0 | $151,744,233 | | | |
$6,504,978 | -4.5% | -17.9% | $1,630 | 3992 | 0 | $158,249,211 | | | |
$6,563,522 | 0.9% | -30.2% | $1,644 | 3992 | 0 | $164,812,733 | $66,438,836 | -32.5% | $16,643 |
$8,224,094 | 25.3% | -23.7% | $2,259 | 3641 | -351 | $173,036,827 | | | |
$9,671,534 | 17.6% | -42.7% | $2,656 | 3641 | 0 | $182,708,361 | | | |
$7,427,738 | -23.2% | -41.0% | $2,040 | 3641 | 0 | $190,136,099 | $25,323,366 | -37.1% | $6,955 |
$3,825,285 | -48.5% | -39.6% | $1,051 | 3641 | 0 | $193,961,384 | | | |
$4,116,007 | 7.6% | -39.6% | $1,130 | 3641 | 0 | $198,077,391 | | | |
$4,243,603 | 3.1% | -34.8% | $1,166 | 3641 | 0 | $202,320,994 | | | |
$3,768,320 | -11.2% | -42.6% | $1,035 | 3641 | 0 | $206,089,314 | $41,276,581 | -37.9% | $11,337 |
$6,187,581 | 64.2% | -24.8% | $1,805 | 3428 | -213 | $212,276,894 | | | |
$5,902,952 | -4.6% | -39.0% | $1,722 | 3428 | 0 | $218,179,846 | | | |
$4,391,796 | -25.6% | -40.9% | $1,281 | 3428 | 0 | $222,571,642 | $16,482,329 | -34.9% | $4,808 |
$2,573,593 | -41.4% | -32.7% | $751 | 3428 | 0 | $225,145,235 | | | |
$2,918,454 | 13.4% | -29.1% | $851 | 3428 | 0 | $228,063,689 | | | |
$2,845,493 | -2.5% | -32.9% | $830 | 3428 | 0 | $230,909,182 | | | |
$2,691,836 | -5.4% | -28.6% | $785 | 3428 | 0 | $233,601,018 | $27,511,704 | -33.3% | $8,026 |
$3,022,932 | 12.3% | -51.1% | $997 | 3031 | -397 | $236,623,950 | | | |
$4,056,775 | 34.2% | -31.3% | $1,338 | 3031 | 0 | $240,680,724 | | | |
$3,188,625 | -21.4% | -27.4% | $1,052 | 3031 | 0 | $243,869,349 | $10,268,331 | -37.7% | $3,388 |
$1,492,276 | -53.2% | -42.0% | $492 | 3031 | 0 | $245,361,625 | | | |
$1,451,985 | -2.7% | -50.2% | $479 | 3031 | 0 | $246,813,610 | | | |
$1,436,013 | -1.1% | -49.5% | $474 | 3031 | 0 | $248,249,624 | | | |
$1,517,866 | 5.7% | -43.6% | $501 | 3031 | 0 | $249,767,489 | $16,166,472 | -41.2% | $5,334 |
$1,781,975 | 17.4% | -41.1% | $737 | 2419 | -612 | $251,549,464 | | | |
$2,412,794 | 35.4% | -40.5% | $997 | 2419 | 0 | $253,962,257 | | | |
$1,872,328 | -22.4% | -41.3% | $774 | 2419 | 0 | $255,834,585 | $6,067,096 | -40.9% | $2,508 |
$1,130,886 | -39.6% | -24.2% | $468 | 2419 | 0 | $256,965,471 | | | |
$1,047,200 | -7.4% | -27.9% | $433 | 2419 | 0 | $258,012,672 | | | |
$1,035,681 | -1.1% | -27.9% | $428 | 2419 | 0 | $259,048,353 | | | |
$920,721 | -11.1% | -39.3% | $381 | 2419 | 0 | $259,969,073 | $10,201,584 | -36.9% | $4,217 |
$1,143,535 | 24.2% | -35.8% | $569 | 2008 | -411 | $261,112,608 | | | |
$1,431,706 | 25.2% | -40.7% | $713 | 2008 | 0 | $262,544,314 | | | |
$1,163,977 | -18.7% | -37.8% | $580 | 2008 | 0 | $263,708,291 | $3,739,218 | -38.4% | $1,862 |
$541,249 | -53.5% | -52.1% | $270 | 2008 | 0 | $264,249,540 | | | |
$574,807 | 6.2% | -45.1% | $286 | 2008 | 0 | $264,824,347 | | | |
$588,602 | 2.4% | -43.2% | $293 | 2008 | 0 | $265,412,949 | | | |
$642,753 | 9.2% | -30.2% | $320 | 2008 | 0 | $266,055,702 | $6,086,629 | -40.3% | $3,031 |
$653,037 | 1.6% | -42.9% | $338 | 1933 | -75 | $266,708,740 | | | |
$1,035,717 | 58.6% | -27.7% | $536 | 1933 | 0 | $267,744,457 | | | |
$1,011,896 | -2.3% | -13.1% | $523 | 1933 | 0 | $268,756,353 | $2,700,651 | -27.8% | $1,397 |
$564,638 | -44.2% | 4.3% | $292 | 1933 | 0 | $269,320,991 | | | |
$616,020 | 9.1% | 7.2% | $319 | 1933 | 0 | $269,937,011 | | | |
$547,026 | -11.2% | -7.1% | $283 | 1933 | 0 | $270,484,037 | | | |
$533,350 | -2.5% | -17.0% | $276 | 1933 | 0 | $271,017,387 | $4,961,685 | -18.5% | $2,567 |
$588,285 | 10.3% | -9.9% | $382 | 1541 | -392 | $271,605,672 | | | |
$1,001,850 | 70.3% | -3.3% | $650 | 1541 | 0 | $272,607,522 | | | |
$736,359 | -26.5% | -27.2% | $478 | 1541 | 0 | $273,343,881 | $2,326,494 | -13.9% | $1,510 |
$256,253 | -65.2% | -54.6% | $166 | 1541 | 0 | $273,600,134 | | | |
$247,284 | -3.5% | -59.9% | $160 | 1541 | 0 | $273,847,418 | | | |
$274,980 | 11.2% | -49.7% | $178 | 1541 | 0 | $274,122,398 | | | |
$271,680 | -1.2% | -49.1% | $176 | 1541 | 0 | $274,394,079 | $3,376,692 | -31.9% | $2,191 |
This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ
Final Gross: $285 million (4.52 multiplier) 
_________________
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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:44 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
And $285m would be fantastic.
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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:47 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
No shit. 
_________________
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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:49 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
Just sayin', people here are still expecting $300m+ total. That's a bit of a stretch. Not impossible, but it'll need quite a multiplier for that.
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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:51 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
If you want anything close to $300m, look to its legs closer to the end of its run. I recall that both Nemo and Pirates had some insanely good holds when their weekend grosses were rather small. But it made a huge difference in the end.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:53 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
$290+ mil.
4.6+ multiplier.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Jul 01, 2008 11:01 pm |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am Posts: 4556
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
Eventine, WALL•E shouLd drop Lower than 30% on TDK weekend. Cars dropped 26% against Pirates 2 opening.
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Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:08 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
Well, Cars dropping well against Pirates can be attributed to the fact that all Disney films hold well on the weekend of a new Disney flick. I'm not sure if it happens every time, but in recent memory, always.
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Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:11 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am Posts: 4556
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
Zingaling wrote: Well, Cars dropping well against Pirates can be attributed to the fact that all Disney films hold well on the weekend of a new Disney flick. I'm not sure if it happens every time, but in recent memory, always. I thought it's because of the seLL-outs.  But I was thinking, if Cars can drop that Low against a somehow famiLy fiLm, WALL•E shouLd hoLd better against a huge opener of the opposite.
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Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:16 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32629 Location: the last free city
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Thu Jul 03, 2008 9:33 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
No it will have great legs but um getting to 300 million would be almost impossible with a opening of 62 million.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Thu Jul 03, 2008 10:17 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
This will do about 235 in my estimation. Legs will be typically weaker than most pixar films.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Thu Jul 03, 2008 11:00 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
No this is going to 250 million for sure.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:09 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm Posts: 7578 Location: Torrington, CT
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 Re: WALL•E Predictions
Box wrote: If you want anything close to $300m, look to its legs closer to the end of its run. I recall that both Nemo and Pirates had some insanely good holds when their weekend grosses were rather small. But it made a huge difference in the end. I already made a chart on that and nobody commented. Of course, that chart kicks the shit out of mine.
_________________ It's my lucky crack pipe.
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Thu Jul 03, 2008 4:37 pm |
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