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 WALL•E Predictions 
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
87 for 89 on RT. Pixar is a pure monster.

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 9:46 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
FinaL Prediction:

OW - 70.0m ($17,535 average)

2nd weekend drop - 35%

Domestic TotaL - 345m (4.93 muLtipLier)
Overseas - 540m
WW - 885m


Fri Jun 27, 2008 10:44 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
BJ wrote:
350m+

BJs Prediction:

80m | 503m

:thumbsup:

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:31 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
67m/295m.

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:32 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
xiayun wrote:
67m/295m.

dramatic under prediction, ew :puke:

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:34 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
Final

OW: 70.9m

TOTAL: 329.7m

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:47 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
OW: $65m

Domestic: $305m

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:48 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
I still like my 90M/375M prediction.

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:51 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
the last 3 posted are all under predictions fo sho.

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 12:55 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
I would love if ur prediction comes true. But just dont see that happening in such a competitive summer. Even my prediction is very optimistic.

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Fri Jun 27, 2008 1:11 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
I got bored so I decided to project Wall-E's run. I used Nemo as reference for Wall-E's first few weeks, considering Nemo's June 30th also fell on a Monday, then Ratatouille for the rest of its run. I tried to make the weekend drops as reasonable as possible (no drop under 30% until 8th weekend is actually quite pessimistic and its weekly earnings eventually fall behind Cars). So barring, a harsh 2nd weekend drop (40%+), I'd say that $275 million is the minimum, which should be good for 2nd biggest Pixar movie ever.

Daily GrossDaily ChangeWeekly ChangePer-TheaterTheater CountChangeGross-to-dateWeekend/Weekly GrossChangePer-Theater
$23,164,1080.0%0.0%$5,80339920$23,164,108
$22,116,197-4.5%0.0%$5,54039920$45,280,305
$17,807,221-19.5%0.0%$4,46139920$63,087,526$63,087,5260.0%$15,803
$8,913,286-49.9%0.0%$2,23339920$72,000,812
$9,038,0721.4%0.0%$2,26439920$81,038,884
$7,926,389-12.3%0.0%$1,98639920$88,965,273
$9,408,62418.7%0.0%$2,35739920$98,373,897$98,373,8970.0%$24,643
$10,772,87414.5%-53.5%$2,69939920$109,146,771
$16,870,32156.6%-23.7%$4,22639920$126,017,093
$12,585,260-25.4%-29.3%$3,15339920$138,602,352$40,228,455-36.2%$10,077
$6,330,386-49.7%-29.0%$1,58639920$144,932,738
$6,811,4957.6%-24.6%$1,70639920$151,744,233
$6,504,978-4.5%-17.9%$1,63039920$158,249,211
$6,563,5220.9%-30.2%$1,64439920$164,812,733$66,438,836-32.5%$16,643
$8,224,09425.3%-23.7%$2,2593641-351$173,036,827
$9,671,53417.6%-42.7%$2,65636410$182,708,361
$7,427,738-23.2%-41.0%$2,04036410$190,136,099$25,323,366-37.1%$6,955
$3,825,285-48.5%-39.6%$1,05136410$193,961,384
$4,116,0077.6%-39.6%$1,13036410$198,077,391
$4,243,6033.1%-34.8%$1,16636410$202,320,994
$3,768,320-11.2%-42.6%$1,03536410$206,089,314$41,276,581-37.9%$11,337
$6,187,58164.2%-24.8%$1,8053428-213$212,276,894
$5,902,952-4.6%-39.0%$1,72234280$218,179,846
$4,391,796-25.6%-40.9%$1,28134280$222,571,642$16,482,329-34.9%$4,808
$2,573,593-41.4%-32.7%$75134280$225,145,235
$2,918,45413.4%-29.1%$85134280$228,063,689
$2,845,493-2.5%-32.9%$83034280$230,909,182
$2,691,836-5.4%-28.6%$78534280$233,601,018$27,511,704-33.3%$8,026
$3,022,93212.3%-51.1%$9973031-397$236,623,950
$4,056,77534.2%-31.3%$1,33830310$240,680,724
$3,188,625-21.4%-27.4%$1,05230310$243,869,349$10,268,331-37.7%$3,388
$1,492,276-53.2%-42.0%$49230310$245,361,625
$1,451,985-2.7%-50.2%$47930310$246,813,610
$1,436,013-1.1%-49.5%$47430310$248,249,624
$1,517,8665.7%-43.6%$50130310$249,767,489$16,166,472-41.2%$5,334
$1,781,97517.4%-41.1%$7372419-612$251,549,464
$2,412,79435.4%-40.5%$99724190$253,962,257
$1,872,328-22.4%-41.3%$77424190$255,834,585$6,067,096-40.9%$2,508
$1,130,886-39.6%-24.2%$46824190$256,965,471
$1,047,200-7.4%-27.9%$43324190$258,012,672
$1,035,681-1.1%-27.9%$42824190$259,048,353
$920,721-11.1%-39.3%$38124190$259,969,073$10,201,584-36.9%$4,217
$1,143,53524.2%-35.8%$5692008-411$261,112,608
$1,431,70625.2%-40.7%$71320080$262,544,314
$1,163,977-18.7%-37.8%$58020080$263,708,291$3,739,218-38.4%$1,862
$541,249-53.5%-52.1%$27020080$264,249,540
$574,8076.2%-45.1%$28620080$264,824,347
$588,6022.4%-43.2%$29320080$265,412,949
$642,7539.2%-30.2%$32020080$266,055,702$6,086,629-40.3%$3,031
$653,0371.6%-42.9%$3381933-75$266,708,740
$1,035,71758.6%-27.7%$53619330$267,744,457
$1,011,896-2.3%-13.1%$52319330$268,756,353$2,700,651-27.8%$1,397
$564,638-44.2%4.3%$29219330$269,320,991
$616,0209.1%7.2%$31919330$269,937,011
$547,026-11.2%-7.1%$28319330$270,484,037
$533,350-2.5%-17.0%$27619330$271,017,387$4,961,685-18.5%$2,567
$588,28510.3%-9.9%$3821541-392$271,605,672
$1,001,85070.3%-3.3%$65015410$272,607,522
$736,359-26.5%-27.2%$47815410$273,343,881$2,326,494-13.9%$1,510
$256,253-65.2%-54.6%$16615410$273,600,134
$247,284-3.5%-59.9%$16015410$273,847,418
$274,98011.2%-49.7%$17815410$274,122,398
$271,680-1.2%-49.1%$17615410$274,394,079$3,376,692-31.9%$2,191
This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

Final Gross
: $285 million (4.52 multiplier)

:D

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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:44 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
And $285m would be fantastic.


Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:47 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
No shit. :D

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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:49 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
Just sayin', people here are still expecting $300m+ total. That's a bit of a stretch. Not impossible, but it'll need quite a multiplier for that.


Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:51 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
If you want anything close to $300m, look to its legs closer to the end of its run. I recall that both Nemo and Pirates had some insanely good holds when their weekend grosses were rather small. But it made a huge difference in the end.

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Tue Jul 01, 2008 10:53 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
$290+ mil.

4.6+ multiplier.

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Tue Jul 01, 2008 11:01 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
Eventine, WALL•E shouLd drop Lower than 30% on TDK weekend. Cars dropped 26% against Pirates 2 opening.


Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:08 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
Well, Cars dropping well against Pirates can be attributed to the fact that all Disney films hold well on the weekend of a new Disney flick. I'm not sure if it happens every time, but in recent memory, always.


Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:11 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
Zingaling wrote:
Well, Cars dropping well against Pirates can be attributed to the fact that all Disney films hold well on the weekend of a new Disney flick. I'm not sure if it happens every time, but in recent memory, always.


I thought it's because of the seLL-outs. :oops: But I was thinking, if Cars can drop that Low against a somehow famiLy fiLm, WALL•E shouLd hoLd better against a huge opener of the opposite.


Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:16 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
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:funny:

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Thu Jul 03, 2008 9:33 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
No it will have great legs but um getting to 300 million would be almost impossible with a opening of 62 million.

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Thu Jul 03, 2008 10:17 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
This will do about 235 in my estimation. Legs will be typically weaker than most pixar films.

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Thu Jul 03, 2008 11:00 am
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
No this is going to 250 million for sure.

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Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:09 pm
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Post Re: WALL•E Predictions
Box wrote:
If you want anything close to $300m, look to its legs closer to the end of its run. I recall that both Nemo and Pirates had some insanely good holds when their weekend grosses were rather small. But it made a huge difference in the end.


I already made a chart on that and nobody commented. :emo:

Of course, that chart kicks the shit out of mine.

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