superman returns predictons
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
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its mixed? its got a b+ on yahoo, and lots of 10's on polls. where are you getting its mixed?
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 2:58 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
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Zingaling wrote: Well, the overall reaction to the film is quite mixed, more leaning towards the bad side than the good side. Far from the "excellent WOM" some of you (excel, especially) expected. It could fall faster than War of the Worlds. It won't fall more than 50% for two straight weeks. _________________
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:02 pm |
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El Maskado
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WOTW got a B+ on its first day of reviews mainly due to people being overhyped for a movie that they have to give a high grade. It happens alot to event movies where we dont know the actual grade until few weeks later after its release. Grading is good if you arent grading anything that doesnt fall into the tentpole category but look at the actual poster reviews in BOM,RT and imdb so you would get an actual feel if its mixed or not.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:03 pm |
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El Maskado
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Magnus wrote: Its mixed on the positive side to me. From what I've seen on IMDB, BOM, this site, and the fansites, it seems like no one really hates it, but no one really LOVES it aside from the extreme fanboys. Most are giving it either a B/B+/A- for the film. It isn't mixed like DVC, but its not that positive, and its not positive enough I think that it will survive POTC2.
That said, I'm leaning towards a 5-day multiplier of 2.3 now, though I'm expecting a bigger opening.
Oh, and BOG has it at a 135m 5-day...which is pretty high. Good analysis, thats why I said mixed along the same way as WOTW because even though a few people liked it they were disappointed at one end of the spectrum and thats the ending. WOTW also was more on the positive side but even when it was positive people were still let down by the hype
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:06 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
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reviews seem to either say its the greatest thing ever or its a mammoth dissapointment. judhging from polls, more people are being blown away then dissapointed; ill determine how i see it going when i see it.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:07 pm |
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El Maskado
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Eventine wrote: Zingaling wrote: Well, the overall reaction to the film is quite mixed, more leaning towards the bad side than the good side. Far from the "excellent WOM" some of you (excel, especially) expected. It could fall faster than War of the Worlds. It won't fall more than 50% for two straight weeks. I dont think Zing implied anywhere were SR would fall 50% two straight weeks in a row, I dont think even WOTW fell 50% on its 3rd week and especially when SR third week competition is only Little Man and You, Me and Dupree I pretyt much doubt it. I could see SR 2nd week fall closer to 65% though because of all the factor of mixed reaction on the slight positive side, POTC2 opening, the inflated holiday weekend, and it being a comicbook movie with a huge fanbase
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:09 pm |
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El Maskado
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excel wrote: reviews seem to either say its the greatest thing ever or its a mammoth dissapointment. judhging from polls, more people are being blown away then dissapointed; ill determine how i see it going when i see it. That was the exact samething for WOTW. Either people were very impressed or greatly let down. The comparisons are very parallel
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:10 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
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It's the superman loonies, Im telling you, inflating the grade.
They're just as bad as the Click loonies.
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:10 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
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dude, many theaters are reporting clapping at the end.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:11 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
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dude, many theaters are reporting clapping at the end.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:11 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
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Zing said it would fall faster than WOTW, which fell 53% on its 2nd weekend and another 50% on its 3rd weekend. While I think the 2nd weekend drop of SR would be bigger, I believe it'll stabilize on its 3rd week and for the rest of its run, given the competition.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:12 pm |
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El Maskado
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Magnus wrote: In fact, I take back what I said a couple weeks ago. If this film DOESN'T get a drop below 55%, I would be shocked.
This kind of WOM + POTC2 + holiday = 55%+ drop on 2nd weekend.
But I will say that out of the all the live-action blockbusters this year, this seems like it is getting the best reaction. Only problem is POTC2 of course, because not only is that the most hyped film of the year, but I have a feeling it is going to get the best reaction. People are going to love it simply because its Pirates. Honestly, I really think A LOT would have changed if POTC2 was released a week later. True about the movies this year, it seems to be disappointing everyone left to right. Its no wonder they all had a 55% drop the second week excluding MI3 that already had to settle for a disappointing opening
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:13 pm |
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El Maskado
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excel wrote: dude, many theaters are reporting clapping at the end. Tell me a movie at a night time showing that doesnt have CLAPPING at the end *gasp*, more than 50% of night time shows Ive seen have clapping
If it was matinee and people were clapping, I would be surprised because the only matinee shows lots of clapping in the end were Spiderman 2, Passion of the Christ and Batman Begins
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:16 pm |
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El Maskado
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Magnus wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: True about the movies this year, it seems to be disappointing everyone left to right. Its no wonder they all had a 55% drop the second week excluding MI3 that already had to settle for a disappointing opening And its funny that while blockbusters this year are dissapointing, the overall BO is up from last year. Last year, the BO was down but most of the blockbusters actually DID NOT dissapoint really. For the most part last summer, the only movies that even opened to more than 60 million was SW and WOTW. This summer we would have 5 opening past 60 million. And last summer we had countless bombs like KOH, Stealth, and The Island. So far the only major bomb is Poseidon
Last edited by El Maskado on Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:20 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
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other pirates, junes EMPTY. even with mixed wom, it has an easier schedule then war of the worlds did, even with pirates.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:22 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
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SR could cross 3.5 multiplier from its 3-day, like WOTW did, but considering it's released on a Wednesday, it shouldn't count.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:25 pm |
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El Maskado
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excel wrote: other pirates, junes EMPTY. even with mixed wom, it has an easier schedule then war of the worlds did, even with pirates. WOTW after FF,CATF, and WC opened got off easy its 4th week because of Stealth and Island bombing the following weeks. SR 3rd week should be easy because I could even see You, Me and Dupree opening below Little Man  . Its 4th week could be questionable because Monster House and Lady in the Water could open to 30 million each. LITW could even be taking away some theaters away from SR like how WB redistributed its theaters for CATC away from BB. Miami Vice will definately take away most of its audience if SR remaining moviegoers are adults
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:26 pm |
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
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$25.4m OD
$78m OW
$111m First 5 Days
I have about 70% confidence in each of those, sadly...
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:35 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
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ShawnMR wrote: $25.4m OD
$78m OW
$111m First 5 Days
I have about 70% confidence in each of those, sadly... Wooohooo, and other BOMer converted  welcome to KJs  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:45 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
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ShawnMR wrote: $25.4m OD
$78m OW
$111m First 5 Days
I have about 70% confidence in each of those, sadly... it would be 24.95m | 80M | 120m for me  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:46 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
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Why'd you quote him the 2nd time, BJ?
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:47 pm |
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Squee
Squee
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Eventine wrote: Why'd you quote him the 2nd time, BJ? To up his post count.  _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee."
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 3:47 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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People clapped after Click last weekend. No one clapped after Superman Returns, just during one scene in the film. It's not like "hey, people clapped! awesome WOM!" It's not excellent WOM, it's just mixed.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 4:03 pm |
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ShawnMR
Angels & Demons
Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 3:35 pm
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BJ wrote: ShawnMR wrote: $25.4m OD
$78m OW
$111m First 5 Days
I have about 70% confidence in each of those, sadly... Wooohooo, and other BOMer converted welcome to KJs Thankya.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 4:08 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
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Men Are From Krypton 
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| Wed Jun 28, 2006 8:35 pm |
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