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 superman returns predictons 
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Post They didn't do it separately for BATMAN BEGINS/T3/POSEIDON
KC wrote:
I have a quick question. Are they going to count the Tuesday 10 pm shows separately from the opening day gross like they did when Matrix Reloaded came out? If they do (which they should) then its opening day gross will be lower be at least 5-10 mil.


So they should be counting it with Wed with SUPERMAN


Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:13 pm
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revolutions wrote:
KC wrote:
I have a quick question. Are they going to count the Tuesday 10 pm shows separately from the opening day gross like they did when Matrix Reloaded came out? If they do (which they should) then its opening day gross will be lower be at least 5-10 mil.


depends if it breaks records ;) like Reloaded.


But won't. :tongue:

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:14 pm
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revolutions wrote:
KC wrote:
I have a quick question. Are they going to count the Tuesday 10 pm shows separately from the opening day gross like they did when Matrix Reloaded came out? If they do (which they should) then its opening day gross will be lower be at least 5-10 mil.


depends if it breaks records ;) like Reloaded.


If box office websites don't count it sepatately, then there is a conspiracy against Reloaded and I say Reloaded's opening day should be 42.5 million!! :biggrin:

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:16 pm
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KC wrote:
revolutions wrote:
KC wrote:
I have a quick question. Are they going to count the Tuesday 10 pm shows separately from the opening day gross like they did when Matrix Reloaded came out? If they do (which they should) then its opening day gross will be lower be at least 5-10 mil.


depends if it breaks records ;) like Reloaded.


If box office websites don't count it sepatately, then there is a conspiracy against Reloaded and I say Reloaded's opening day should be 42.5 million!! :biggrin:


boxoffice mojo counted it separate. :( $37m.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/da ... pen&p=.htm

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:20 pm
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revolutions wrote:
KC wrote:
revolutions wrote:
KC wrote:
I have a quick question. Are they going to count the Tuesday 10 pm shows separately from the opening day gross like they did when Matrix Reloaded came out? If they do (which they should) then its opening day gross will be lower be at least 5-10 mil.


depends if it breaks records ;) like Reloaded.


If box office websites don't count it sepatately, then there is a conspiracy against Reloaded and I say Reloaded's opening day should be 42.5 million!! :biggrin:


boxoffice mojo counted it separate. :( $37m.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/da ... pen&p=.htm


I know they did and so did every other box office site that I know. All that I'm saying is that since Superman also opens with 10 pm shows on Tuesday, they should be counted separately from its Wed opening day gross.

I remember everyone on BOM going nuts when they first reported Reloaded opened with $42.5 mil but then later on in the day changed it to $37 so Reloaded could not have the opening day record. Bastards. ;)

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Last edited by KC on Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:30 pm
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Rolling Thunder wrote:
What kind of thoughts do we have as they pertain to the Yahoo! buzz chart? I know SR is #1 on Moviefone, but I'd be a little worried if it wasn't.


its been number 1 for a month


Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:31 pm
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1 DAY & 9 HOURS TO GO!! :shout:

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:35 pm
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revolutions wrote:
1 DAY & 9 HOURS TO GO!! :shout:


OMG! :biggrin:

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:37 pm
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BJ wrote:
Eventine wrote:
BJ wrote:
25%-30% :biggrin:


revolutions wrote:
SR will drop between 25% & 30% on thursday. :D


Hah.


I expect a less than usual friday increase, 35%-40% :smile:


I would expect exactly the opposite. Since the release date was shanged so late in it's marketing, I'd say a good hunk of people still consider the 30 to be it's "official" release date. I'm expecting a huge fall on Thursday due to the fanboy rush on Wednesday, but a huge increase on Friday.

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 3:58 pm
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Okay, even I, the eternal pessimist about the film, have to admit that the buzz for the film is omnipotent. There are commercials everywhere, the originals are playing on every channel and I watched Superman II yesterday and now even I am kind of excited. Maybe I underestimated the film just a bit. :lol:

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 6:27 pm
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My nearly-final prediction:

Wednesday: $23 million
Thursday: $13.8 million (-40%)
Friday: $20.7 million (+50%)
Saturday: $22.1 million (+7%)
Sunday: $17.7 million (-20%)
Monday: $13.3 million (-25%)
Tuesday: $8 million (-40%)
Wednesday: $6 million (-25%)
Thursday: $5.4 million (-10%)
Friday: $7.6 million (+40%)
Saturday: $9.9 million (+30%)
Sunday: $7.4 million (-25%)

Opening weekend: $60.5 million
Five day: $97.3 million
Six day: $115 million
Seven day: $123 million
Second weekend: $24.9 million (-58.8%)
Ten day: $159.3 million

Domestic Gross: $216,276,048
International Gross: $234,299,064
Worldwide Gross: $450,575,112

I've bowed to the inevitable and admitted that, yes, this will cross $200 million. But it won't be the $250 million monster some of you are predicting.

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zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


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Mon Jun 26, 2006 6:32 pm
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Even Routh's hometown premier couldnt pack seats up

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 6:46 pm
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Superman Returns was a great movie, so hopefully the person here with the highest prediction is right. ;)


Mon Jun 26, 2006 8:36 pm
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wednesday: 22.1 million
thursday: 13.4 million
friday:21.2 million
saturday: 24.1 million
sunday: 20.0 million
monday:17.9 million
tuesday: 13.6 million
wednesday: 7.1 million
thursday: 6.9 million
2nd weekend: 30.6 million -53%
12 day total: 176.3 million
domestic total: 250 million
overseas:350 million
worldwide total: 600 million

ow:65.2 million
5day: 100.7 million


Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:11 pm
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http://www.supermanhomepage.com/news.php?readmore=2295
http://www.flickr.com/photos/65438684@N ... 178069010/

“Superman Returns” Countdown at Niagara Falls

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:14 pm
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Magnus wrote:
trixster wrote:
My nearly-final prediction:

Wednesday: $23 million
Thursday: $13.8 million (-40%)
Friday: $20.7 million (+50%)
Saturday: $22.1 million (+7%)
Sunday: $17.7 million (-20%)
Monday: $13.3 million (-25%)
Tuesday: $8 million (-40%)
Wednesday: $6 million (-25%)
Thursday: $5.4 million (-10%)
Friday: $7.6 million (+40%)
Saturday: $9.9 million (+30%)
Sunday: $7.4 million (-25%)

Opening weekend: $60.5 million
Five day: $97.3 million
Six day: $115 million
Seven day: $123 million
Second weekend: $24.9 million (-58.8%)
Ten day: $159.3 million

Domestic Gross: $216,276,048
International Gross: $234,299,064
Worldwide Gross: $450,575,112

I've bowed to the inevitable and admitted that, yes, this will cross $200 million. But it won't be the $250 million monster some of you are predicting.


I knew you'd come to your senses.

It still won't make $105 million in five days. :tongue:

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


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I don't think. I predict. ;)


Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:20 pm
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Final Prediction :strong:

Opening weekend: $115m
Five day: $175m
Six day: $195m
Seven day: $210m
Second weekend: $56m
Ten day: $286m

Domestic Gross: $425m
International Gross: $525m
Worldwide Gross: $950m

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:29 pm
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that niagra falls thing is sweeeeeeeet


Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:32 pm
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What do you guys think the Tuesday 10 pm shows will do?? I think they will gross around 9-10 mil.

Tues: 9 mil
Wed: 16 mil

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:38 pm
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well they seem to be selling pace if not ahead of xmen 3, which got 5.9. im expecting between 4.5 and 5.


Mon Jun 26, 2006 9:59 pm
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Magnus wrote:
KC wrote:
What do you guys think the Tuesday 10 pm shows will do?? I think they will gross around 9-10 mil.

Tues: 9 mil
Wed: 16 mil


Um...no.

I'm thinking 4m though could be lower. This film has a fanbase no doubt it, but its not devoted to its franchise that much that a lot of people would go be seeing 10PM showings.

I'm thinking 21.5m Wed, and 4m from the previews for a 25.5m OD, 6th highest Wed. ever.


I think the total opening day including the Tues 10 pm shows will be around 25 mil, but I think a large % of that will come from the 10 pm shows. Based on my local area, the 10 pm shows are selling out like crazy. And compared to X3 which grossed around 5 mil (I think) on midnight shows, there were no sellouts in my local area. The Tues 10 shows will be huge!

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:08 pm
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Ever seen a black superman? ;) :lol:

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:17 pm
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My final predictions for Superman:

Day 1 (including Tuesday night): $22M
Day 2: $14M
Weekend: $62M
5-day weekend: $98M

Total: $260M
Worldwide: $475M

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:20 pm
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YOUR BLACK TOO! I thought i was the only brotha here! ;)

the thing i superman has mass kid appeal and nobodys in school, unlike xmen. that will also inflate is wednesday and thursdays.


Mon Jun 26, 2006 10:20 pm
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excel wrote:
YOUR BLACK TOO! I thought i was the only brotha here! ;)


you're black also. i thought u were white. :lol:

we're not the only ones though. ;) there couple more sprinkled in the crowd.

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Mon Jun 26, 2006 11:17 pm
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