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 superman returns predictons 
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College Boy Z

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At least Magnus is being a little realistic.

excel, pretend for a second that the world doesn't track Superman Returns information 24/7 like you do. Ever since marketing started and the trailers were released, the film has been advertised for June 30. Then, it moves. The same thing happened to lots of other films and all of them disappointed opening day and rebounded somewhat over the weekend (or, in Shrek 2's case, a massive rebound). To continue to think that the opening day will still be massive after this switch and the general public not knowing about it is just plain bias towards the film.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:33 am
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I think the film is gonna have a lot of trouble attracting teenagers on its first weekend; they're just not interested in Superman. What's popular now is Spidey and X-Men, not some guy in a boring blue suit straight out of the 30's.

I do think however that it's gonna be big with little boys and also decently big with nostalgic adults.

With that said, I think that even if it came out on Friday, $80M would be the absolute maximum weekend gross for it.

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:35 am
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Superfreak
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Zingaling wrote:
At least Magnus is being a little realistic.

excel, pretend for a second that the world doesn't track Superman Returns information 24/7 like you do. Ever since marketing started and the trailers were released, the film has been advertised for June 30. Then, it moves. The same thing happened to lots of other films and all of them disappointed opening day and rebounded somewhat over the weekend (or, in Shrek 2's case, a massive rebound). To continue to think that the opening day will still be massive after this switch and the general public not knowing about it is just plain bias towards the film.


its not bias, its how i see the marketing going. if the tv spots say the 28th, and theres the amount of tv spots we seem to be getting, this will not have that bigof an effect. it might keep it from getting say 30 million, but itll get atleast 20, and probably 25. and if the marketing goes how i see it n how it looks to be going, i think itll get 28.

when you see a tv spot for a movie over and over again, and they have a voice over saying the release date like the supes tv spot have, you kinda notice after a while what their saying even if your not paying attention.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:43 am
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Superfreak
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choubachou wrote:
I think the film is gonna have a lot of trouble attracting teenagers on its first weekend; they're just not interested in Superman. What's popular now is Spidey and X-Men, not some guy in a boring blue suit straight out of the 30's.

I do think however that it's gonna be big with little boys and also decently big with nostalgic adults.

With that said, I think that even if it came out on Friday, $80M would be the absolute maximum weekend gross for it.


80 millions its weekend max now. for 115 5 day like magnus mentioned, i can see a 25/17/73 ow happening.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:44 am
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College Boy Z

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Wow.

You really can twist anything into a positive, even if it doesn't make sense. So, basically, the guy who speaks on the Superman TV spots has such a powerful voice that he can force someone to remember the June 28th release date.

Um, okay.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:51 am
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Superfreak
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zing, you know what i mean.

if the tv spots are there the posters saying the 30th wont matter.

you dont get what i said? picture this: your watching tv but not paying attention cause its a commercial break. you look over n see the "S" n the annoucer says "opens June 28th". you shrug it off as thats in 2 weeks.

when your see a spot and hear those words 100 times youll get it.

im not turning anythign into positive, im saying IF the tv spots are there then these wont matter.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:57 am
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Extraordinary
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Excel is awsome, I love how he comes up with conclusions. So if Batman did bad in it's midnight showings yet it got 3m, SR should be able to get over 5m in midnight showings and then add 21m for the rest of the day, just cause. So 26m is minimum. BKB is about to get replaced by excel as my favorite poster.

:wacko:

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:59 am
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Superfreak
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no..5 million with midnights AND ther 10 pm sneaks.

the 10pm sneaks ALONE got 7 million FOR MATRIX RELOADED.So 4 from them for an event movie like this really sint that much.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:03 am
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College Boy Z

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excel, do you not realize the biggest problem with your argument?

THE HYPE FOR SUPERMAN RETURNS IS NOT EVEN HALF OF WHAT THE MATRIX RELOADED HAD.

Also, I don't care about the posters. I'm not arguing about that. I'm arguing that the commercials and trailers have advertised June 30th for months and WB has just switched the date at the last minute. This has happened to MANY films and all suffered disappointing opening days, for the most part. Superman Returns is not some mega-force that won't suffer from a lower-than-expected opening day "just because" the commercials will change to June 28th, starting next week. There's a big affect.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:10 am
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Superfreak
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yeah it isnt half as big YET.


im predicting....in this prediction thread...that by wednesday, june 28th, it will be half as big. probably more.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:22 am
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I know, excel is just coming up with pure gold.

Quote:
remember how effective fox using taking over myspace was for x3 getting teens?

w.b.s doing the same thign but for kids with toyrs r us. this what toys r us in time square currntly looks like


I want to put that in my sig. :lol:

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 3:34 am
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Superfreak
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why?


Sun Jun 04, 2006 4:32 am
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Superfreak
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why?


Sun Jun 04, 2006 4:33 am
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Romosexual!
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Superman hands the Best Hero award to Batman at the MTV Movie Award. :D

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Is it 2028 yet?


Sun Jun 04, 2006 10:14 am
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Bryan Singer (Director - filmography)
Untitled Superman Returns Sequel (2009) (announced) (in negotiations)
http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0001741/

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Is it 2028 yet?


Sun Jun 04, 2006 10:28 am
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Image

is that kryptonite in your pocket or are u just happy to see meImage

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Is it 2028 yet?


Sun Jun 04, 2006 11:14 am
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Excel

Eventine wrote:
I still think that changing the release date so late will affect its OD quite a lot because TV spots are most effective during spring season, when hit TV shows are drawing to a conclusion. Most people are aware that SR opens on June 30th because TV spots shown in shows like American Idol say so and chances are most of them are probably done watching TV. The only statistic I could use to back this up is the declining TV ratings during summer.


TV spots won't do as much as you think.

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 12:53 pm
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Superfreak
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thats the trippiest commercial.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:27 pm
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What's with all the pictures in this thread? It's starting to take forever to load now. :shades:


Sun Jun 04, 2006 1:37 pm
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Extraordinary
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Heh, funny stuff.

http://www.dailynews.com/ci_3898117


Quote:
On a much lighter note, cast members Brandon Routh, Kevin Spacey and Kate Bosworth of the upcoming "Superman Returns" presented the award of "best hero" to Christian Bale, star of last year's hit "Batman Begins."

After thanking director Christopher Nolan "for getting rid of those bloody nipples" on the bat suit worn by George Clooney in Batman and Robin," Bale turned to Routh and said, "I'm sorry Superman, but Batman is the bada**."

Bale also paid tribute to his wife who he called "my personal Wonder Woman" then thanked the fans "for embracing the rebirth of Batman. There will be more!"



Oh boy, Bosworth is doing the anorexic thing.

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:40 pm
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a tease to the Batman Vs Superman movie in 5 years. :D I WISH!!!

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:46 pm
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Extraordinary
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I think once both franchises wear out their welcome will see Batman vs Superman, for one last bang. I dont know if Bale would do it since he'll be a oscar winning actor by then who doesnt need to resort to stuff like that, BUT dont worry Routh will still be there, since he wont have anything on his plate :tongue:

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:51 pm
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Extraordinary
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Image

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 2:56 pm
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:hahaha: PERFECT!!

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Sun Jun 04, 2006 3:12 pm
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Superfreak
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Killuminati510 wrote:


Oh boy, Bosworth is doing the anorexic thing.

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your just noticing??? shes MAD skinny.


Sun Jun 04, 2006 5:44 pm
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