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cujoy
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Mar 05, 2005 10:16 pm
Posts: 164
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SITH is going to eat this film alive.
Longest Yard has the misfortune to be targeting the same young male demographic that Star Wars does, and I think that younger guys are going to be preoccupied with SITH next weekend.
Madagascar, on the other hand, will probably do OK, since it has a more rounded appeal, and parents with younger kids can take them to see it while tweens and teens go to SITH.
I see no more then a 20 million 3-day opening for Longest Yard. And a 35-40 million opening for Madagascar.
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My Favorite Movies 2005: Crash, Sky High, Narnia
Beating a Drum for: DaVinci Code, Cars, Pirates of the Carribbean II
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| Sat May 21, 2005 9:48 am |
 
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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bump for relevance, opens soon.
I agree more or less with Zing's numbers.
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| Wed May 25, 2005 2:23 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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I actually do think this looks good now, before I thought it looked like shit, but im sticking with my early opening weekend prediction for the most part but a better total, mostly because ROTS will take alot of its thunder.
Opening - 40m ( 4Day )
Final - 115m
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Wed May 25, 2005 2:31 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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My Predictions
Opening
38 million (3-day)
48.4 million (4-day)
Closing
128.1 million.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 4:12 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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BTW, I saw the movie during an employee screening, and It is alot funnier than the trailer makes it look. The movie was completely hysterical. I think this should get great WOM.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see. and many more.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 4:27 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Scott Vasquez wrote: BTW, I saw the movie during an employee screening, and It is alot funnier than the trailer makes it look. The movie was completely hysterical. I think this should get great WOM.  The reviews at RT are not kind and neither is the Rating which is "SPLAT".. Same for Madagascar.. It to is a "SPLAT".. Not good when heading into the Memorial Day Weekend.. SITH gets my $$$ and just for the hell of it, so will Amityville if I can find it.. :mrgreen:
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| Fri May 27, 2005 6:02 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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WOM should be great. Lots of people are saying that the movie is so much funnier than the trailer makes it out to be...
Opening: $40.5 million / $50.6 million
Total: $131.6 million
My analysis has a smaller total, but I have more faith in the legs, now.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 6:33 am |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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 BKB_The_Man wrote: Scott Vasquez wrote: BTW, I saw the movie during an employee screening, and It is alot funnier than the trailer makes it look. The movie was completely hysterical. I think this should get great WOM. Sorry but F the reviews.
Do you really think this is a critics movie.
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And as someone who has seen free movies cause I used to get some free passes from work,
whether or not you pay for a movie, it is painful to watch a bad movie.
It doesn't make it easier to see.
I know I have given up and walked out of a couple of freebies early on because they were horrible.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 8:18 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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This is a Sandler film and it has a built in audience. This film will succeed. It won't be monstrous, but Mr. Deeds numbers seem reasonable.
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Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 8:22 am |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Scott Vasquez wrote: BTW, I saw the movie during an employee screening, and It is alot funnier than the trailer makes it look. The movie was completely hysterical. I think this should get great WOM. Good news.
Who makes the movie?
Sandler, Rock, Burt Reynolds, someone else?
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| Fri May 27, 2005 8:24 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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I didn't predict this yet?
3 day - 36m
Total - 119m
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| Fri May 27, 2005 9:11 am |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm
Posts: 631
Location: Cephiro
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35/112
Which is probably low, but - my feelings about this one are colored by the fact that I really liked the original and just can't see Sandler, who is no athlete, in the role played by Burt Reynolds, who was a a star at FSU.
blah blah enough with the needless remakes blah. :wink:
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| Fri May 27, 2005 12:25 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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My final predictions:
Opening weekend - $37.8 million
Total gross - $119.5 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri May 27, 2005 12:26 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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My final predictions...
Opening: $34.6
4-Day: $43.8
Total: $133.5
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| Fri May 27, 2005 12:27 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Goldie wrote: Scott Vasquez wrote: BTW, I saw the movie during an employee screening, and It is alot funnier than the trailer makes it look. The movie was completely hysterical. I think this should get great WOM. Good news. Who makes the movie? Sandler, Rock, Burt Reynolds, someone else? The whole emsemble makes the movie hilarious. _________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see. and many more.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 1:49 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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BKB_The_Man wrote: Scott Vasquez wrote: BTW, I saw the movie during an employee screening, and It is alot funnier than the trailer makes it look. The movie was completely hysterical. I think this should get great WOM. Not all the time. When we had an employee screening for Hellboy, the reaction was mostly negetive. _________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see. and many more.
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| Fri May 27, 2005 1:56 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Final:
$32.7M/$41M
$130M total.
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| Sat May 28, 2005 5:52 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Well I didn't post my final predictions in this thread, but I told ya'll it would be a huge hit. Honestly, with the great WOM this has, I wouldn't be surprised if this became Sandler's biggest film.
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| Sat May 28, 2005 2:49 pm |
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