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 May 27-29th Predictions 
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Romosexual!
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revolutions wrote:
#1 Mad $70/$88
#2 ROTS $60/$72 (raised from $50/$62)
#3 LY $40/$50


(all 4 days)
#4 mil $9.6
#5 k&s $6.7
#6 crash $5.0
#7 unleashed $2.1
#8 interupter $1.7
#9 how $1.6
#10 koh $1.5

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Mon May 23, 2005 9:31 am
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loyalfromlondon
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May 27-29/30
Very Early Predictions

1. Madagascar - $60 million / $77 million
2. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $54.5 million / $70.5 million
3. The Longest Yard - $40 million / $50.5 million
4. Monster-In-Law - $9.5 million / $12.5 million
5. Kicking & Screaming - $6 million / $8 million
6. Crash - $4.5 million / $6 million
7. The Interpreter - $2 million / $2.5 million
8. House of Wax - $1.5 million / $2.5 million
9. Unleashed - $1.5 million / $2.5 million
10. Kingdom of Heaven - $1.5 million / $2 million

Top three will comprise about 85% of the total box office.

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Mon May 23, 2005 3:19 pm
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Confessing on a Dance Floor
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These are 4-day predictions

1. Madagascar 90.1
2. ROTS 75.0
3. LY 48.5

family movies surprise during memorial day weekend. Think Bruce Almighty and how that came out of left field. Also, there's no way the top movie doesn't gross at least $90 million. Sith is unlikely to drop that little so that's why I'm giving Madagascar the edge here.


Mon May 23, 2005 3:21 pm
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3-Day
1. Madagascar - $67
2. ROTS - $58
3. The Longest Yard - $34

With the rest of the movies with low numbers, this will be yet another weekend behind 2004's.


Mon May 23, 2005 5:19 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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its going to be fun looking at the wknd numbers next tuesday and seeing that madagascar indeed opening with less than 50m for the 3 day wknd =D>

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Mon May 23, 2005 5:21 pm
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Extraordinary
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90 million for Madagascar? This isn't a Pixar film for heaven sakes. I'm sure over 50 is reasonable 3day but 90 4day is just unreasonable.

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Mon May 23, 2005 5:41 pm
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3-Day

1. Star Wars Episode III - $57.5
2. Madagascar - $57.5
3. The Longest Yard - $43.5
4. Monster-In-Law - $9.0
5. Kicking and Screaming - $5.0


Mon May 23, 2005 5:49 pm
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nghtvsn wrote:
90 million for Madagascar? This isn't a Pixar film for heaven sakes. I'm sure over 50 is reasonable 3day but 90 4day is just unreasonable.


=; what so like Pixar is the only one that can open a big movie? how much do u wanna bet I'm right and you're wrong. :wink:


Mon May 23, 2005 5:53 pm
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Sbil

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I_Was_Your_Sam wrote:
nghtvsn wrote:
90 million for Madagascar? This isn't a Pixar film for heaven sakes. I'm sure over 50 is reasonable 3day but 90 4day is just unreasonable.


=; what so like Pixar is the only one that can open a big movie? how much do u wanna bet I'm right and you're wrong. :wink:


There is no way Madagascar will make $90M in four days.


Mon May 23, 2005 7:05 pm
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Extraordinary
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I don't need to bet. I can tell you that you're wrong even before it's happend.

Madagascar will NOT make 90 million over the 4 day. That's just reality. Does anyone really think this film will have one 30 million dollar day? I don't think so. The movie looks good, interesting and funny but PLZ.

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Mon May 23, 2005 7:39 pm
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nghtvsn wrote:
I don't need to bet. I can tell you that you're wrong even before it's happend.

Madagascar will NOT make 90 million over the 4 day. That's just reality. Does anyone really think this film will have one 30 million dollar day? I don't think so. The movie looks good, interesting and funny but PLZ.


=; talk to the hand cuz my ears aint listening

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Mon May 23, 2005 8:02 pm
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It IS possible that Madagascar makes $90 million 4-day, although I agree that is very doubtful. Bruce Almighty surprised all and grossed $85 million for the 4-day, which is only 5 mil. short of $90 million. Seeing as how Madagascar is even more kid friendly, it could potentially grab the extra 5 million needed to get a $90 million 4-day. It's not that absurd. Personally I think Madagascar could have possibly achieved it had Star Wars not opened this past weekend, but I don't think it will now. Still, it's going to do better this weekend than some people are predicting. Some people are easily lowballing the film, in my opinion.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Mon May 23, 2005 8:03 pm
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Madagascar had a chance to open to that amount, but the marketing has been pretty weak thus far. Ads are now starting to pick up, so hopefully, it'll be able to do well this weekend. For now, though, I don't see how it can get over $80 million 4-day.

On the other hand, if Episode III follows the pattern of Attack of the Clones, we're looking at a $65 million 3-day weekend, and a $81 million 4-day weekend. It may sound like a whole lot, but realistically, there's a great chance. It doesn't seem to be as frontloaded as people are thinking, considering that it had a better drop on Sunday than Attack of the Clones (AND Shrek 2), even after such a monsterous weekend. Now, we'll have to see how it compares throughout the week, but for now, I'm thinking it'll dominate again.

1. Star Wars Episode III - $65 million / $81.3 million
2. Madagascar - $55 million / $71.5 million
3. The Longest Yard - $40.5 million / $51 million


Mon May 23, 2005 9:01 pm
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May 27-29/30
Early Predictions

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $62.6 million / $78.9 million
2. Madagascar - $60.1 million / $76.9 million
3. The Longest Yard - $40.2 million / $50.7 million
4. Monster-In-Law - $9.6 million / $12.7 million
5. Kicking & Screaming - $6.4 million / $8.5 million
6. Crash - $4.7 million / $6.1 million
7. Unleashed - $2.1 million / $2.7 million
8. The Interpreter - $1.9 million / $2.4 million
9. House of Wax - $1.8 million / $2.4 million
10. Kingdom of Heaven - $1.8 million / $2.3 million

I think Sith should be able to top this weekend again, but just barely. Madagascar doesn't have the appeal to make $80 million over four days, and The Longest Yard will echo Sandler's other films. The rest will hold nicely with the holiday, but have no real effect.

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Mon May 23, 2005 9:42 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
I'm just messin', Flava'd. MG knows that. :wink:

And, hey, I don't care when people say stuff about my horrible predictions. :razz:

And yes, it was just a group of 3 people that didn't like it. That post was mainly a joke, but I think I typed it too seriously. :)

I'll be seeing Star Wars tomorrow, so I can officially see what I'm predicting. \:D/


Tue May 24, 2005 12:30 am
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Star Trek XI

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1. Revenge of the Sith - $65m/$79m
2. Madagascar - $55m/$68m
3. The Longest Yard - $38m/$50m

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All time North American box office.

1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m


Tue May 24, 2005 12:46 am
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Cream of the Crop
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I will stand with my prediction

ROTS - 74m(3 day)/93m(4 day)
Madagascar - 49m / 62m
TLY - 33m/ 41 m

Rest is not worthy to mention.


Tue May 24, 2005 4:08 am
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Wallflower
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*****MY PREDICTIONS FOR MEMORIAL WEEKEND*****

1. MADAGASCAR - 55.5 MILLION (3-Day)/72.7 MILLION (4-Day)
2. STAR WARS: EPISODE 3 - 55.3 MILLION
3. THE LONGEST YARD - 33.7 MILLION (3-Day)/42.5 MILLION (4-Day)
4. MONSTER-IN-LAW - 10 MILLION
5. KICKING & SCREAMING - 7 MILLION
6. CRASH - 4.7 MILLION
7. UNLEASHED - 2.3 MILLION
8. THE INTERPRETER - 2 MILLION
9. HOUSE OF WAX - 1.9 MILLION
10. KINGDOM OF HEAVEN - 1.8 MILLION
11. HITCHHIKER'S GUIDE TO THE GALAXY - 1 MILLION


Tue May 24, 2005 2:07 pm
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ef star star kay
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SHOCKED!!

Everyone is really low with Sith..

I know Madagascar will open big.. But Sith will hold up very well too..

3 days
Sith - 67m
Madagascar - 52m


Tue May 24, 2005 2:13 pm
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Horror Hound
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Im not sure i see MADAGASCAR breaking $60M anymore.
Robots knocked my confidence, and the reviews.
I'm not sure yet.....all the top 3 over $35M though i rekon.

House of Wax might pass $30M after the 4 day :)


Wed May 25, 2005 2:12 pm
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My current predictions (3-day):

1. Madagascar - $58.7 million
2. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $54.5 million
3. The Longest Yard - $38.9 million

The rest is irrelevant

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Wed May 25, 2005 3:49 pm
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May 27-29/30


1. Madagascar - $59 million / $76 million
2. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $60.4 million / $74.64 million
3. The Longest Yard - $38 million / $48.25 million
4. Monster-In-Law - $8.75 million / $11 million
5. Kicking & Screaming - $5.75 million / $7.75 million
6. Crash - $4.33 million / $6.10 million
7. The Interpreter - $2.25 million / $2.85 million
8. House of Wax - $1.65 million / $2.25 million
9. Unleashed - $1.43 million / $2.15 million
10. Kingdom of Heaven - $1.23 million / $1.85 million


Last edited by Kali_Ariel on Thu May 26, 2005 9:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed May 25, 2005 10:27 pm
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Extraordinary
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Hmmm, for three-day I'm guessing

Sith - 60 million
Madagascar - 51 million
Longest Yard - 38 million

For four day, madagascar will make up some leg room due to families being together, so:

Sith - 72 million
Madagascar - 65 million
Longest Yard - 45 million


edit**** Wow, and to think I always get 95 percentile on math related exams! I'm changing my predicts.

Sith - 54 million (50% drop)
Madagascar - 48 million
Longest Yard - 38 million

Four Day

Sith - 66 million
Madagascar - 62 million
Longest Yard - 43 million


Wed May 25, 2005 10:30 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Updated 3 day:

Madagascar - 74m
ROTS - 46m
The Longest Yard - 36m

Slightly lower for Madagascar, but I'm not really feeling it for TLY. As for ROTS, I am still predicting a huge drop.


Thu May 26, 2005 3:03 pm
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Oh come on. You must be on crack if you make that kind of prediction


Thu May 26, 2005 3:05 pm
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